### Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

2020, Issue 5: 6085-6097. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2020323
Research article Special Issues

# Analyzing the effect of duration on the daily new cases of COVID-19 infections and deaths using bivariate Poisson regression: a marginal conditional approach

• Received: 23 July 2020 Accepted: 07 September 2020 Published: 14 September 2020
• The whole world is devastated by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The socioeconomic and other effects of COVID-19 on people are visible in all echelons of society. The main goal of countries is to stop the spreading of this pandemic by reducing the COVID-19 related new cases and deaths. In this paper, we analyzed the correlated count outcomes, daily new cases, and fatalities, and assessed the impact of some covariates by adopting a generalized bivariate Poisson model. There are different effects of duration on new cases and deaths in different countries. Also, the regional variation found to be different, and population density has a significant impact on outcomes.

Citation: Rafiqul Chowdhury, Gary Sneddon, M. Tariqul Hasan. Analyzing the effect of duration on the daily new cases of COVID-19 infections and deaths using bivariate Poisson regression: a marginal conditional approach[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2020, 17(5): 6085-6097. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2020323

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• The whole world is devastated by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The socioeconomic and other effects of COVID-19 on people are visible in all echelons of society. The main goal of countries is to stop the spreading of this pandemic by reducing the COVID-19 related new cases and deaths. In this paper, we analyzed the correlated count outcomes, daily new cases, and fatalities, and assessed the impact of some covariates by adopting a generalized bivariate Poisson model. There are different effects of duration on new cases and deaths in different countries. Also, the regional variation found to be different, and population density has a significant impact on outcomes.

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###### 通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
• 1.

沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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