
Combining Sterile and Incompatible Insect techniques can significantly reduce mosquito populations and prevent the transmission of diseases between insects and humans. This paper describes impulsive differential equations for the control of a mosquito with Wolbachia. Several interesting conditions are created when sterile male mosquitoes are released impulsively, ensuring both open- and closed-loop control. To determine the wild mosquito population size in real-time, we propose an open-loop control system, which uses impulsive and constant releases of sterile male mosquitoes. A closed-loop control scheme is also being investigated, which specifies the release of sterile mosquitoes according to the size of the wild mosquito population. To eliminate or reduce a mosquito population below a certain threshold, the Sterile insect technique involves mass releases of sterile insects. Numerical simulations verify the theoretical results.
Citation: Rajivganthi Chinnathambi, Fathalla A. Rihan. Analysis and control of Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes using sterile-insect techniques with Wolbachia[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2022, 19(11): 11154-11171. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022520
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Combining Sterile and Incompatible Insect techniques can significantly reduce mosquito populations and prevent the transmission of diseases between insects and humans. This paper describes impulsive differential equations for the control of a mosquito with Wolbachia. Several interesting conditions are created when sterile male mosquitoes are released impulsively, ensuring both open- and closed-loop control. To determine the wild mosquito population size in real-time, we propose an open-loop control system, which uses impulsive and constant releases of sterile male mosquitoes. A closed-loop control scheme is also being investigated, which specifies the release of sterile mosquitoes according to the size of the wild mosquito population. To eliminate or reduce a mosquito population below a certain threshold, the Sterile insect technique involves mass releases of sterile insects. Numerical simulations verify the theoretical results.
Dengue hemorrhagic fever is emerging as one of the most serious vector-borne diseases worldwide. The Aedes Aegypti mosquito is a major vector for the transmission of dengue and other arboviral infections from an infected individual to a susceptible individual. In recent decades, people have been paying more attention to the prevalence, mortality, and massive economic impact of diseases like malaria, chikungunya, dengue, etc, due to their morbidity burdens; see [1,2,3,4]. For a long time, there is no available vaccines for the mosquito-borne diseases, even though the researchers is trying to find an effective vaccine. Multerer et al. [5] discussed the dynamical behaviors of Aedes Aegypti mosquito in terms of partial differential equations and also described an Allee effect to capture extinction events and optimal control analysis to identify the release strategy that eliminates the mosquitoes. Zheng et al. [6] investigated the existence and stability results for the mosquito and human populations model in which contains dengue serotype circulates, the delay terms capture the respective intrinsic and extrinsic incubation periods, as well as the maturation delay between mating and emergence of adult mosquitoes [7,8].
There are mainly two biological control techniques for mosquito populations: Incompatible Insect Techniques (IIT) and Sterile Insect Techniques (SIT). The IIT contains an intracellular bacterium, Wolbachia, commonly found in insects including mosquitoes. The technique of releasing mosquitoes carrying Wolbachia to replace the wild mosquito population is a type of population replacement strategy. If the females mosquitoes infected Wolbachia, then its produced offsprings will also be infected. If the females are uninfected, mate with male with infected Wolbachia, then the offsprings will be dead [9]. Ormaetxe et al. [10] reported the availability of different Wolbachia strains, which are successfully implanted to Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes. The important thing of such techniques is stopping the spread of mosquitoes and reducing the mosquitoes life span. The authors in [11], discussed the augmentation control strategies of Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes with infected Wolbachia. Li et al. [12] investigated the spread of Wolbachia in sex-structured mosquitoes model with birth pulse and studied the sufficient condition for stability of total replacement periodic solution. Zheng et al. [13] studied the qualitative properties of Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes with infected Wolbachia and maturation delay terms. Li et al. [14] introduced the stage-structured mosquitoes model with Wolbachia infection and key factors like, including male killing effect, cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI), fecundity cost due to fitness effect, different mortality rates for infected individuals and maternal transmission are discussed. The authors in [15] discussed the dynamical behaviours the Wolbachia infected mosquito model with delays and effective control techniques.
In the SIT system, natural mosquito reproduction is disrupted and modified by physical, chemical, and radical methods into male mosquitoes that are sterile. These sterile mosquitoes are then released into the environment to mate with wild mosquitoes that are present in the environment. Repeating the process of sterile mosquitoes releases may control or wipe out the wild mosquitoes population. The authors [16,17] reported the mathematical modelling of SIT to Aedes albopictus, which transmits the Chikungunya diseases and discussed pulsed periodic releases, which is useful to prevent, eliminate, reduce the diseases. Almeida et al. [18] discussed the control techniques, SIT and IIT to the mosquitoes model and optimizing the dissemination protocol for each of these strategies, in order to get as close as possible to these objectives. Nowadays, some researchers focused on the dynamical results of SIT into mosquitoes models; see [19,20,21,22].
In the most recent literature, continuous dynamical models and continuous mosquito releases were discussed. Instantaneous releases are a key feature of sterile mosquito releases, and they should be repeated numerous times to bring the mosquito population under control. Generally, continuous dynamical models have disadvantages in defining such control analysis with the impulsiveness nature of releases. Impulsive sterile releases can be applied to make up for a lack of such capacity. Huang et al. [23] reported the dynamical behavior of the interaction of sterile and wild mosquitoes and also discussed the impact of periodic impulsive sterile mosquitoes releases. Zhang et al. [24] described the stroboscopic maps which used to define the numbers of mosquitoes with uninfected and infected Wolbachia immediately after each birth pulse at the discrete times. Li et al. [25] studied the dynamical behaviors of mosquitoes and Wolbachia model with impulsive general birth and death rate functions and the sufficient conditions of mosquito extinction are discussed. Bliman et al. [26] reported the open and closed-loop control strategies for releasing impulsive sterile male insect techniques in the wild mosquito population, and they studied the open-loop control technique. In cases where the size of the wild mosquito population cannot be determined in real-time, cyclical impulsive releases of sterile males with constant release sizes are used. A closed-loop control strategy is proposed if periodic assessments of wild population size (synchronized with releases or sparser) are available in real-time [27]. The authors in [28,29] described the modelling of sterile and incompatible insect techniques for the mosquitoes model and suppression of the population. Mosquitoes epidemic models described through the impulsive differential equations have received much attention from the researchers (see [30,31,32]).
Herein, we provide new models of Aedes Aegypti mosquitos with infected Wolbachia and impulsive discharges of sterile mosquitos, inspired by earlier studies. We investigate periodic impulsive sterile emissions and formulate parameters for effective eradication based on the magnitude and frequency of the releases. We use a combination of SIT and IIT approaches to produce high sterile male mosquitoes in these models. Periodic releases are calculated so as to maintain the mosquito-free equilibrium. In this environment, open-loop techniques can be designed that ensure mosquito eradication in a finite amount of time without estimating the size of the wild mosquito population. By using the open-loop control technique, sterile mosquitoes are released every τ days in order to eliminate wild mosquitoes. We can also create closed-loop control qualities to determine the size of the wild population.
In this paper, we develop a Wolbachia Aedes Aegypti Mosquito model and examine the findings of local stability in Section 2. The open and closed loop control features of the underlying model are studied in Section 3. In Section 4, the numerical results are discussed in order to confirm the theoretical results. Section 5 ends with a conclusion.
Assume that Mu(t),Mw(t) and Fu(t),Fw(t) denote the population density of male and female Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes with uninfected, infected Wolbachia respectively. Consider a Aedes Aegypti Mosquitoes with Wolbachia model of the form
˙Mu=rρuFuMuMu+γwMwe−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMuMu,˙Fu=(1−r)ρuFuMuMu+γwMwe−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFuFu,˙Mw=rρwFwe−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMwMw,˙Fw=(1−r)ρwFwe−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFwFw. | (2.1) |
This model assumes that all females mate equally. The parameter β includes direct or indirect effects of competition at different stages (larvae, pupae, adults). Let r∈(0,1) define the primary sex ratio in offspring, and ρu,ρw represent the mean number of eggs produced by a single female (uninfected and infected Wolbachia) who can deposit on average per day. γw measures the competition between male mosquitoes with uninfected and infected Wolbachia for the female mates. μMu,μFu,μMw,μFw are mean death rates of adult mosquitoes with uninfected, infected Wolbachia respectively. The basic offspring numbers are described as NMu=rρuμMu,NFu=(1−r)ρuμFu,NMw=rρwμMw, and NFw=(1−r)ρwμFw. Generally, the male mortality is larger than female, so let us take μMu≥μFu,μMw≥μFw.
Now, we discuss the local asymptotic stability of (2.1). The model (2.1) has four steady states:
(i) Mosquito free equilibrium point E0=(0,0,0,0).
(ii) If NFu>1, Wolbachia free equilibrium point E1=(M∗u,F∗u,0,0),
where M∗u=NMuNMu+NFu1βlnNFu,F∗u=NFuNMu+NFu1βlnNFu and M∗u+F∗u=1βlnNFu.
(iii) If NFw>1, all Wolbachia infected equilibrium point E2=(0,0,M∗w,F∗w) where M∗w=NMwNMw+NFw1βlnNFw,F∗w=NFwNMw+NFw1βlnNFw and M∗w+F∗w=1βlnNFw.
(iv) If NFu,NFw>1, the interior equilibrium point E3=(M∗u,F∗u,M∗w,F∗w), where
M∗u=γwβQcNMuNMwNFwlnNFw,F∗u=γwβQcNFuNMwNFwlnNFw,M∗w=1βQcNMuNMw(NFu−NFw)lnNFw,F∗w=1βQcNMuNFw(NFu−NFw)lnNFw,andQc=NMu(NFu−NFw)(NMw+NFw)+γwNMwNFw(NMu+NFu). |
The Jacobian matrix of the model (2.1) is described by
J=(a1a2a3a4a5a6a7a8a9a9a10a11a12a12a12a13), |
where
a1=rρub2c{−βM∗u+b6}−μMu,a2=rρub1(1−βF∗u)c,a3=−rρuF∗ub1cγw+β(M∗u+γwM∗w)M∗u+γwM∗w,a4=−rβρuF∗ub1c,a5=(1−r)ρub2c(b6−βM∗u),a6=(1−r)ρub1c(1−βF∗u)−μFu,a7=b3(γw+β(M∗u+γwM∗w))1M∗u+γwM∗w,a8=b3β,a9=−rβρwF∗wc,a10=a9−μMw,a11=rρwc(1−βF∗w),a12=−(1−r)βρwF∗wc,a13=(1−r)ρwc(1−βF∗w)−μFw,b1=M∗uM∗u+γwM∗w,b2=F∗uM∗u+γwM∗w,b3=−(1−r)ρuM∗ub2c,b4=−rβρwF∗wc,b5=−(1−r)βρwF∗wc,b6=γwM∗wM∗u+γwM∗w,c=1NFw. |
The Jacobian matrix at E0 is
J(E0)=(−μMu0000−μFu0000−μMwrρw000(1−r)ρw−μFw). |
Then, the trivial equilibrium point E0 is locally stable if NFw<1.
The characteristic equation at Wolbachia free equilibrium point E1 is defined as
(λ+μMw)(λ+μFw+(1−r)ρwe−β(M∗u+F∗u))(λ2+p1λ+p2)=0,λ1=−μMw,λ2=−(μFw+(1−r)ρwe−β(M∗u+F∗u))and(λ2+p1λ+p2)=0, |
where
p1=μFu+μMu+ρue−β(M∗u+F∗u)(rβF∗u−(1−r)(1−βF∗u)),p2=μMuμFu+ρue−β(M∗u+F∗u)(rβF∗uμFu−μMu(1−r)(1−βF∗u)). |
p1>0,p2>0 are necessary conditions for all roots in the characteristic equation λ2+p1λ+p2=0 to have negative real parts.
Lemma 1. Suppose that NFu>1. Then Wolbachia free equilibrium point E1 is locally asymptotically stable if p1>0,p2>0.
The characteristic equation at all Wolbachia infected equilibrium point E2 is defined as
(λ+μMu)(λ+μFu)(λ2+r1λ+r2)=0,λ1=−μMu,λ2=−μFuand(λ2+r1λ+r2)=0, |
where
r1=μFw+μMw+ρwe−β(M∗w+F∗w)(rβF∗w−(1−r)(1−βF∗w)),r2=μMwμFw+ρwe−β(M∗w+F∗w)(rβF∗wμFw−μMw(1−r)(1−βF∗w)). |
r1>0,r2>0 are necessary conditions for all roots in the characteristic equation λ2+r1λ+r2=0 to have negative real parts.
Lemma 2. Suppose that NFw>1, then all Wolbachia infected equilibrium point E2 is locally asymptotically stable if r1>0,r2>0.
The characteristic equation at interior equilibrium point E3 is defined as
λ4+s1λ3+s2λ2+s3λ+s4=0, |
where
s1=−(1+a10a13),s2=a2a5+(a1+a6)(a10+a13)+a12(a4−a8−a11)−a9(a3+a7)+a1a6+a10a13,s3=−a2a5(a10+a13)+a2(a7a9+a8a12)+a3(a5(a12−a9)−a11a12)+a9(a4a12+a7(a1+a13))−a1a6(a10+a13)−a10a13(a1+a6)+a12(a11(a1+a6−a7))+a8(a1−a9+a10)+a3a9(a6+a13)−a4a12(a6+a10),s4=a6a12(a3a11−a4a9)+(a1a6+a2a5)(a10a13−a11a12)+(a4a5+a1a8)(a12(a9−a10))+(a9a13−a11a12)(a3a5−a7(a1+a2))+a2a8a12(a9−a10)+a6(a4a10a12−a3a9a13). |
According to the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, all roots λ1,2,3,4 of the characteristic equation λ4+s1λ3+s2λ2+s3λ+s4=0 must be negative real parts. The conditions are
s1>0,s3>0,s4>0,s1s2s3>s23+s21s4. |
We arrive at the following Lemma.
Lemma 3. The interior steady state E3 is locally asymptotically stable if s1>0,s3>0,s4>0,s1s2s3>s23+s21s4.
Here, we incorporate continuous releases sterile male mosquitoes into model (2.1) and assume γw=1, the revised model takes the form
˙Mu=rρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMuMu,˙Fu=(1−r)ρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFuFu,˙Mw=rρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMwMw,˙Fw=(1−r)ρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFwFw,˙Ms=Λ−μMsMs. | (2.2) |
The sterile male population density at time t is Ms(t). At the beginning of each release period, Λ is the number of sterile male mosquitoes released. The mean death rate of sterile mosquitoes is μMs. γs be a relative reproductive efficiency and the value is smaller than one. The recruitment terms in (2.2) only include the successful mating of uninfected females Fu and Wolbachia infected females Fw, i.e., those leading to viable offspring, that are detected with probabilities MuMu+Mw+γsMsand Mu+MwMu+Mw+γsMs, respectively. From (2.2), the equilibrium point M∗s=ΛμMs. Moreover, μMs≥μMu and μMs≥μMw.
Theorem 1. Assume NFw>1, then the Λcrit value described as
Λcrit=μMs(NFwe−β(NMuNMu+NFu+NFuNMu+NFu+NMwNMw+NFw+NFwNMw+NFw)−1)γ(NMuNMu+NFu+NMwNMw+NFw). |
Proof: From the model (2.2)
M∗uM∗u+M∗w+γsM∗se−β(M∗u+F∗u+M∗w+F∗w)=1NFu,M∗u+M∗wM∗u+M∗w+γsM∗se−β(M∗u+F∗u+M∗w+F∗w)=1NFw,M∗u=NMuNMu+NFu,F∗u=NFuNMu+NFu,M∗w=NMwNMw+NFw,F∗w=NFwNMw+NFw, |
and
(1−r)ρwM∗u+M∗wM∗u+M∗w+γsM∗se−β(M∗u+F∗u+M∗w+F∗w)=μFw,NFwe−β(M∗u+F∗u+M∗w+F∗w)=1+γsM∗sM∗u+M∗w,Λcrit=μMs(NFwe−β(M∗u+F∗u+M∗w+F∗w)−1)γs(M∗u+M∗w). |
If NFw>1, there exists Λcrit>0 such that (2.2) have one non negative steady state at Λ=Λcrit and no non negative steady state at Λ>Λcrit. The asymptotic stability results of the model (2.2) are similar to those in the previous subsection, so it is omitted.
Now, we incorporate periodic impulsive sterile male mosquitoes into model (2.2), the model becomes
˙Mu=rρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMuMu,˙Fu=(1−r)ρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFuFu,˙Mw=rρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMwMw,˙Fw=(1−r)ρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFwFw,˙Ms=−μMsMs,foranyt∈⋃n∈N(nτ,(n+1)τ),Ms(nτ+)=τΛn+Ms(nτ−),n=1,2,3,…. | (2.3) |
Make Λn a constant and drop consequently the subindex n. Ms(nτ±) represents the right and left limits of Ms(t) at t=nτ. In other terms, model (2.3) evolves according first four equations of (2.3) on the union of open intervals (nτ, (n+1)τ). While Ms undergoes jumps at each nτ, accounting for the released sterile male mosquitoes. For such release schedule, when t→∞, the function Ms converges towards the following periodic solution
Mpers(t)=τΛ1−e−μMsτe−μMs(t−nτ+). |
We define the periodic system
˙Mu=rρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMuMu,˙Fu=(1−r)ρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFuFu,˙Mw=rρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMwMw,˙Fw=(1−r)ρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFwFw. | (2.4) |
The model (2.3) has the same mosquito free equilibrium point E0. Now, we are going to study the conditions under which mosquitoes free steady state is asymptomatically stable. For the such study, we find the mean value of 1Mpers,
⟨1Mpers⟩:=1τ∫τ01Mpers(t)dt=(1−e−μMsτ)τ2Λ∫τ0eμMstdt=2(cosh(μMsτ)−1)μMsτ2Λ. | (2.5) |
Theorem 2. Assume that
Λ≥Λcritper=2(cosh(μMsτ)−1)eβγsμMsτ2min{NMu,NFu,NMw,NFw},τ>0, | (3.1) |
Therefore, the solution of (2.4) converges globally exponentially to the steady-state E0.
Proof: From (2.4),
˙Fu=((1−r)ρuMuMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFu)Fu. |
For any Fu≥0 and t≥0 and use α={xe−βx;x≥0}=1eβ
MuMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)≤MuMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu)≤α1γMpers. |
Integrate from nτ to t with nτ<t, we get
Fu(t)≤Fu(nτ)e∫tnτ((1−r)ρuα1γsMpers−μFu)ds.Takingt=(n+1)τ,n∈N,Fu((n+1)τ)≤e((1−r)ρuα1γs⟨1Mpers⟩−μFu)τFu(nτ). |
Thus, the sequence {Fu(nτ)}n∈N approaches to 0,
(1−r)ρuα1γs⟨1Mpers⟩<μFu,⟨1Mpers⟩<eβγs1NFu. |
From the first equation of (2.4), similarly, we can prove ⟨1Mpers⟩<eβγs1NMu. Let us consider
˙Fw=((1−r)ρwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFw)Fw,Mu+MwMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)≤Mu+MwMu+Mw+γsMperse−β(Mu+Mw)≤α2γsMpers. |
Integrate from nτ to t with nτ<t,
Fw(t)≤Fw(nτ)e∫tnτ((1−r)ρwα2γsMpers−μFw)ds.Takingt=(n+1)τ,n∈N,Fw((n+1)τ)≤e((1−r)ρwα2γs<1Mpers>−μFw)τFw(nτ). |
Thus, the sequence {Fw(nτ)}n∈N decreases towards 0, provided that
⟨1Mpers⟩<eβγs1NFw. |
Similarly, from (2.4), we have ⟨1Mpers⟩<eβγs1NMw.
Providing the necessary conditions ⟨1Mpers⟩ leads to sufficient conditions for asymptotic stability at E0;
⟨1Mpers⟩=2(cosh(μMsτ)−1)μMsτ2Λ<eβγsmax{1NMu,1NFu,1NMw,1NFw},Λ≥2(cosh(μMsτ)−1)eβγsμMsτ2min{NMu,NFu,NMw,NFw}. |
Lemma 4. Let k1,k2 be a real number such that 0<k1<1NFu,0<k2<1NFw. Then, every solution of (2.2) such that MuMu+Mw+γMs≤k1 and Mu+MwMu+Mw+γMs≤k2,t≥0, converges exponentially to E0.
Proof: By using the assumptions MuMu+Mw+γMs≤k1 and Mu+MwMu+Mw+γMs≤k2, the model (2.2) becomes
˙Mu=rρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μMuMu,≤rρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMs−μMuMu,≤−μMuMu+rρuk1Fu,˙Fu≤(1−r)ρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMs−μFuFu,≤(−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1)Fu,˙Mw≤−μMwMw+rρwk2Fw,˙Fw≤(−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2)Fw. |
The autonomous linear system
(˙M′u˙F′u˙M′w˙F′w)=(−μMurρuk1000−μFu+(1−r)ρuk10000−μMwrρwk2000−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2)(M′uF′uM′wF′w) | (3.2) |
is monotone (Metzler matrix involved) (see [33]), and it can be used as a comparison system for the evolution of (2.2). Thus, it is deduced that
0≤Mu(t)≤M′u(t),0≤Fu(t)≤F′u(t),0≤Mw(t)≤M′w(t),0≤Fw(t)≤F′w(t),t≥0. |
Here, (M′u,F′u,M′w,F′w) be the solution of the linear system (3.2) obtained by same initial condition as the solution (Mu,Fu,Mw,Fw) of (2.2). Furthermore, the linear system (3.2) is asymptotically stable if 0<k1<1NFu,0<k2<1NFw., i.e., (M′u,F′u,M′w,F′w) asymptotically converges to E0. Based on this, (Mu,Fu,Mw,Fw) also asymptotically converges to E0.
Remark 1. The upper bound of k1 and k2 are fixed on the ratio MuMu+Mw+γMs and Mu+MwMu+Mw+γMs respectively, in order to make the apparent basic offspring number k1NFu and k2NFw is smaller than 1.
Here, we want to verify the condition Mu+MwMu+Mw+γMs≤k2, based on the sufficient impulse sterile releases Λn. Before, the value of Ms on (nτ,(n+1)τ] is described as
Ms(t)=Ms(nτ+)e−μMs(t−nτ)=(τΛn+Ms(nτ))e−μMs(t−nτ). | (3.3) |
We impose the stronger condition instead of Mu+MwMu+Mw+γMs≤k2, on (nτ,(n+1)τ]
γMs(t)≥(1k2−1)(M′u(t)+M′w(t)),t≥0, | (3.4) |
where M′u(t),M′w(t) refers to super solution of Mu(t),Mw(t) (Lemma 4).
Lemma 5. The solution of (3.2) on (nτ,(n+1)τ] with initial conditions \\ (M′u(nτ),F′u(nτ),M′w(nτ),F′w(nτ))=(Mu(nτ),Fu(nτ),Mw(nτ),Fw(nτ)) is defined by
(M′u(nτ)F′u(nτ)M′w(nτ)F′w(nτ))=(p1d1000p20000p3d2000p4)(Mu(nτ)Fu(nτ)Mw(nτ)Fw(nτ)), | (3.5) |
where p1=e−μMu(t−nτ),p2=e−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1)(t−nτ),p3=e−μMw(t−nτ),p4=e−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2)(t−nτ), d1=rρuk1μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1(e−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1)(t−nτ)−e−μMu(t−nτ)), and d2=rρwk2μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2(e−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2)(t−nτ)−e−μMw(t−nτ)).
Now, we define the feedback control analysis, on any (nτ,(n+1)τ], substitute the values of (3.3) and (3.5) into (3.4), we get
γMs(t)≥(1k2−1)(M′u(t)+M′w(t)),γ(Λnτ+Ms(nτ))e−μMs(t−nτ)≥1−k2k2(e−μMu(t−nτ)Mu(nτ)+rρuk1μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1(e−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1)(t−nτ)−e−μMu(t−nτ))Fu(nτ)+e−μMw(t−nτ)Mw(nτ)+rρwk2μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2×(e−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2)(t−nτ)−e−μMw(t−nτ))Fw(nτ)),Λnτ≥−Ms(nτ)+1−k2γk2e(μMs−μMu)s(Mu(nτ)+rρuk1μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1×(e(μMu−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1))s−1)Fu(nτ)+Mw(nτ)+rρwk2μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2×(e(μMw−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2))s−1)Fw(nτ)),s∈[0,τ]. |
We arrive the following theorem:
Theorem 3. For a given k1∈(0,1NFu),k2∈(0,1NFw), assuming, for n∈N,
τΛn≥|Γ(Mu(nτ)Fu(nτ)Mw(nτ)Fw(nτ))−Ms(nτ)|+,Γ=(1−k2γk2e(μMs−μMu)τ(1−k2)k2rρuk1γ(μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1)(e(μMs−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1))τ−e(μMs−μMu)τ)1−k2γk2e(μMs−μMw)τrρw(1−k2)γ(μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2)(e(μMs−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2))τ−e(μMs−μMw)τ))T | (3.6) |
Then, every solution of (2.3) exponentially converges to E0 with a rate of convergence restricted from below by a value unrelated to the initial value. Moreover,
τΛn≤Γ(Mu(nτ)Fu(nτ)Mw(nτ)Fw(nτ)), | (3.7) |
then the series ∑+∞n=0Λn also converges.
Proof: Suppose (Mu(nτ),Fu(nτ),Mw(nτ),Fw(nτ))=(0,0,0,0), there is no impulsion effect Λn on the evolution of (Mu,Fu,Mw,Fw). Let us consider (Mu(nτ),Fu(nτ),Mw(nτ),Fw(nτ))≠(0,0,0,0).
Case(i) Assume the strict inequality of (3.6), one can easily get
γMs(t)>(1−k2k2)(M′u(t)+M′w(t)),foreveryt∈(nτ,(n+1)τ], | (3.8) |
where the solution (M′u,F′u,M′w,F′w) of (3.2) starting from (Mu(nτ),Fu(nτ),Mw(nτ),Fw(nτ)) at t=nτ. Initially, we establishes like that
Mu(t)<M′u(t),Fu(t)<F′u(t),Mw(t)<M′w(t),Fw(t)<F′w(t),foreveryt∈[nτ,(n+1)τ]. | (3.9) |
Let t0∈[nτ,(n+1)τ) such that Mu(t0)≤M′u(t0),Fu(t0)≤F′u(t0),Mw(t0)≤M′w(t0),Fw(t0)≤F′w(t0) with at least one equality. Let us show the existence of t1 such that t0<t1<(n+1)τ,
Mu(t)<M′u(t),Fu(t)<F′u(t),Mw(t)<M′w(t),Fw(t)<F′w(t),foreveryt∈(t0,t1). | (3.10) |
Based on (3.8) and the definition of t0,
γMs(t0)>(1−k2k2)(M′u(t0)+M′w(t0))≥(1−k2k2)(Mu(t0)+Mw(t0)), |
when t0=nτ, and Ms(t0)=Ms(nτ+). The functions Mu(t),Fu(t),Mw(t),Fw(t) and Ms(t) are continuous on (nτ,(n+1)τ), there exists t1 such that t0<t1<(n+1)τ
γMs(t)>(1−k2k2)(Mu(t)+Mw(t)),foreveryt∈(t0,t1). |
It can be shown as in Lemma 4 that (M′u(t),F′u(t),M′w(t),F′w(t))≥(Mu(t),Fu(t),Mw(t),Fw(t)) for any t∈(t0,t1), Also (M′u(t),F′u(t),M′w(t),F′w(t))>(Mu(t),Fu(t),Mw(t),Fw(t)) because the functions defining the right hand sides of (2.3) take on strictly smaller values than those defining the r.h.s of (3.2). Therefore, for any t0∈(nτ+)∪(nτ,(n+1)τ), there exists t1>t0 such that (3.10) holds. From (3.10) and the fact that (Mu(nτ),Fu(nτ),Mw(nτ),Fw(nτ))=(M′u(nτ),F′u(nτ),M′w(nτ),F′w(nτ)), one deduces that (3.10) is true with t1=(n+1)τ, and (3.9) is true. Finally, putting together (3.8) and (3.9) yields
γMs(t)>(1−k2k2)(Mu(t)+Mw(t)),foreveryt∈(nτ,(n+1)τ]. | (3.11) |
Case(ii) Assume (3.6) holds, and instead of (3.11), considering the Λn values convergent from above to the quantity in the r.h.s of this inequality, and trust the flow's consistency with respect to Λn.
γMs(t)≥(1−k2k2)(Mu(t)+Mw(t)),foreveryt∈(nτ,(n+1)τ]. | (3.12) |
From (3.12), for any t∈(nτ,(n+1)τ], MuMu+Mw+Ms≤k1 and Mu+MwMu+Mw+Ms≤k2.
˙Fu=(1−r)ρuFuMuMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFuFu,≤((1−r)ρuk1−μFu)Fu,˙Fw=(1−r)ρwFwMu+MwMu+Mw+γsMse−β(Mu+Fu+Mw+Fw)−μFwFw,≤((1−r)ρwk2−μFw)Fw. |
From the values of Γ, there exists ϵ1,ϵ2>0 such that μFu−(1−r)ρuk1>ϵ1,μFw−(1−r)ρwk2>ϵ2 and then ˙Fu≤−ϵ1Fu,˙Fw≤−ϵ2Fw. Therefore, Fu(t),Fw(t) exponentially converges to 0. It is then deduced from first and third equation of (2.3) that Mu(t),Mw(t) also exponentially converges to 0. (Mu(t),Fu(t),Mw(t),Fw(t)) converges to E0.
Finally, Λn satisfies (3.6) and (3.7), based on exponentially stability concepts, there exist C,ϵ>0 such that Mu(t)<Ce−ϵt,Fu(t)<Ce−ϵt,Mw(t)<Ce−ϵt,Fw(t)<Ce−ϵt,t≥0. We can easily obtain that
Λn≤(1−k2)τγk2e(μMs−μMu)τMu(nτ)+rρuk1(1−k2)τγk2(μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1)(e(μMs−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1))τ−e(μMs−μMu)τ)Fu(nτ)+(1−k2)τγk2e(μMs−μMw)τMw(nτ)+rρw(1−k2)τγ(μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2)×(e(μMs−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2))τ−e(μMs−μMw)τ)Fw(nτ),≤Cγτ((1−k2)k2e(μMs−μMu)τ+rρu(1−k2)k1k2(μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1)(e(μMs−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1))τ−e(μMs−μMu)τ)+(1−k2)k2e(μMs−μMw)τ+rρw(1−k2)(μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2)(e(μMs−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2))τ−e(μMs−μMw)τ))e−nϵτ,+∞∑n=0Λn≤Cγτ((1−k2)k2e(μMs−μMu)τ+rρu(1−k2)k1k2(μMu−μFu+(1−r)ρuk1)(e(μMs−(μFu−(1−r)ρuk1))τ−e(μMs−μMu)τ)+(1−k2)k2e(μMs−μMw)τ+rρw(1−k2)(μMw−μFw+(1−r)ρwk2)(e(μMs−(μFw−(1−r)ρwk2))τ−e(μMs−μMw)τ))11−e−ϵt. |
The above series is convergent.
We consider the parameter values of the model: r=0.5, ρu=6.4, ρw=3.5, γs=0.9, μMu=0.07, μFu=0.06, μMw=0.04, μFw=0.03, μMs=0.11, σ=0.05, K=155, β=σK=3.22×10−4. The basic offspring numbers: NMu≈45.71, NFu≈53.33, NMw≈43.75, NFw≈58.33. The basic offspring figures show the average number of children produced over a person's lifespan. Figures 1 and 2 display the stable behaviour of the steady states E1,E2 and E3, respectively. Let's starting with the regular rash discharges of sterile male mosquitoes. The releasing method derived in Theorem 2 is demonstrated. For open-loop periodic impulsive releases carried out every 7 and 14 days. Consider the smallest value in (3.1) to estimate the number of sterile male mosquitoes to release, i.e., Λcritper×7=1525 × 7=10,675 and Λcritper×14=1595×14=22,330, sterile male mosquitoes per hectare and per two weeks, respectively. Figure 3 depicts the corresponding simulations.
The closed-loop method can be utilized to reduce the total number of sterile insects released. Theorem 3 shows how the method can be used to lower the total number of sterile insects released. We consider the wild population every τ days both here and in the examination of the feedback technique. We also look at the values of k1 and k2 to show the tradeoff between treatment duration and control effort. A small k1 and k2 results in a larger control effort and a faster convergence to E0. For k1NFu=0.2, k2NFw=0.25, τ=7 and k1NFu=0.2, k2NFw=0.25, τ=14, the diagrams displayed in Figure 4 show that that the wild population is close to extinction with the help of SIT treatment. The control effort is smaller and convergence should be delayed for bigger values of k1 and k2. For k1NFu=0.7, k2NFw=0.8, τ=7 and k1NFu=0.7, k2NFw=0.8, τ=14, the diagrams are displayed in Figure 5. The size Λn of the nth release is taken equal to the right-hand side of (3.6). As it can be clearly seen that k1, k2 and τ have a significant impact on the mosquito population convergence to E0.
Our study utilized a Wolbachia-infected Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes model, followed by continuous and impulsive releases of sterile male mosquitoes. Mosquitoes can be controlled by releasing sterile mosquitoes or by replacing the wild population with one that carries Wolbachia bacteria, which prevents the transmission of viruses from mosquitoes to humans. Our analysis suggests that despite the lower fitness of the Wolbachia-carrying population in comparison to the wild population, the CI-reproductive phenotype gives the system an advantage when shifting from a wild to a Wolbachia-carrying population. A number of interesting sufficient conditions have been derived for the model's local asymptotic stability. The conditions required for open-loop or closed-loop control systems were also assessed using sterile male mosquitoes released impulsively. Based on wild population estimates, release sizes are determined in closed-loop control. As shown by (3.6), the released volume is essentially proportional to the measured population. Using sterile insect techniques may lead to periodic outbreaks of mosquitoes due to a periodic oscillation in the system. The theoretical results confirm the numerical solution to the proposed model.
The use of control variables (open, closed-loop, and mixed control techniques) will be considered in future research to determine the best SIT technique, mixed control, and mosquito population elimination strategies.
This research was funded by the UAEU Research, fund # 12S005-2021.
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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