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Research article

On weighted residual varextropy: characterization, estimation and application

  • Received: 26 February 2025 Revised: 30 April 2025 Accepted: 07 May 2025 Published: 16 May 2025
  • MSC : 62G05, 94A17

  • In recent years, the study of variability in uncertainty measures has gained significant interest in information theory. In this context, the concept of varextropy has been introduced and investigated by several researchers. This paper focuses on the study of weighted varextropy and introduces weighted residual varextropy, presenting a thorough examination of their theoretical properties. Specifically, we investigate the impact of monotonic transformations on these measures and derive various bounds. Additionally, we analyze the application of weighted varextropy within coherent systems and proportional hazard rates models. A non-parametric kernel-based method is introduced to estimate weighted (residual) varextropy, and the estimators' consistency and asymptotic normality are given. Finally, the effectiveness of this estimation method is demonstrated through simulations as well as analysis of a real-world data set, illustrating its potential applications in uncertainty analysis.

    Citation: Li Zhang, Bin Lu. On weighted residual varextropy: characterization, estimation and application[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2025, 10(5): 11234-11259. doi: 10.3934/math.2025509

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  • In recent years, the study of variability in uncertainty measures has gained significant interest in information theory. In this context, the concept of varextropy has been introduced and investigated by several researchers. This paper focuses on the study of weighted varextropy and introduces weighted residual varextropy, presenting a thorough examination of their theoretical properties. Specifically, we investigate the impact of monotonic transformations on these measures and derive various bounds. Additionally, we analyze the application of weighted varextropy within coherent systems and proportional hazard rates models. A non-parametric kernel-based method is introduced to estimate weighted (residual) varextropy, and the estimators' consistency and asymptotic normality are given. Finally, the effectiveness of this estimation method is demonstrated through simulations as well as analysis of a real-world data set, illustrating its potential applications in uncertainty analysis.



    Quantifying the uncertainty tied to random variables is a fundamental task in various disciplines, including lifetime data analysis, experimental physics, and demography. To address this, a variety of information measures have been developed. Shannon [1] laid the foundation for information theory by introducing the concept of differential entropy for random variable X with probability density function (PDF) f(x). The entropy H(X) is given by

    H(X)=E(log(f(X)))=0f(x)logf(x)dx. (1.1)

    Here, the natural logarithm is used with the convention 0log0=0. As noted by [2], entropy alone does not comprehensively capture the information within a distribution. As an alternative, they introduced extropy, a complementary measure of uncertainty, which is

    J(X)=E(12f(X))=120f2(x)dx.

    Extropy, J(X), is particularly useful for quantifying uncertainty related to the lifetime of systems. However, for certain scenarios, such as when the current age of a system is known, extropy alone may be insufficient to assess the remaining uncertainty. Specifically, for a unit that has survived up to a given time t, it becomes essential to consider residual extropy as an appropriate measure. Qiu and Jia [3] formalized the residual extropy, which is defined as

    J(X;t)=12t(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx, (1.2)

    where fXt(x)=f(x)/ˉF(t) denotes the PDF of Xt=[Xt|X>t], and ˉF(t) is the survival function of X. The measures J(X) and J(X;t) defined here give equal importance to each event and depend solely on the probability, regardless of the values of random variables, ensuring the measure that remains shift-independent. Nevertheless, in practical applications, such as reliability analysis or mathematical neurobiology, addressing shift-dependent information measures becomes essential. To tackle this challenge, researchers have introduced weighted information measures, which can account for specific contexts. Sathar and Nair [4] developed weighted variants of extropy measures to address these concerns. Specifically, they defined the weighted extropy (WEx) and the weighted residual extropy (WREX) as

    Jw(X)=120w(x)f2(x)dx (1.3)

    and

    Jw(X;t)=12tw(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx, (1.4)

    respectively, where the weighting function w(x) represents the variability of the weighted information content associated with X. It is worth mentioning that as t approaches zero, Jw(X;t) converges to Jw(X). Various authors have explored measures of extropy measures and their practical uses. Qiu [5] analyzed characterization properties, monotonic behavior, and lower bounds of extropy for order statistics and record values. Krishnan et al. [6] and Nair and Sathar [7] investigated interrelations among extropy and derived results linking them to L-moments. For additional research on extropy and its application, please refer to [8,9,10].

    The concept of varextropy has been introduced as a complementary measure to Shannon entropy for quantifying uncertainty. The varextropy of X is (see [11])

    VJ(X)=Var(12f(X))=14E(f2(X))J2(X)=14(0f3(x)dx(0f2(x)dx)2).

    As noted by the authors, when two variables share the same extropy, varextropy provides a valuable tool for determining which extropy is more appropriate for measuring uncertainty. Moreover, it has been argued that varextropy is often more adaptable than varentropy, as it does not rely on distributional parameters in specific models. Vaselabadi et al. [11] extended these concepts to study the residual varextropy of X at time t, given by

    VJ(X;t)=14E(f2t(Xt))(J(X;t))2. (1.5)

    Recently, Chaudhary and Gupta [12] introduced the notion of weighted varextropy (WVEx), given by

    VJw(X)=Var(12w(X)f(X))=14(E(w2(X)f2(X))E2(w(X)f(X)))=14(0w2(x)f3(x)dx(0w(x)f2(x)dx)2). (1.6)

    Saha and Kayal [13] introduced weighted varentropy (WVE) and weighted residual varentropy (WRVE) for random variables and examined their theoretical properties. Vaselabadi et al. [11] highlighted an important distinction: WVE lacks affine invariance, whereas varentropy retains this property. This limitation arises because varentropy and varextropy are sometimes unable to capture the variability in the information content of a random process across different time points. To address this shortcoming, measures such as WVE and WVEx have been proposed.

    The most existing research has primarily focused on the properties of WVEx and residual varextropy. In this paper, we further explore some properties of WVEx. As noted by Asadi et al. [14], if X represents the lifetime of a new unit, the classical entropy H(X) may not adequately capture the uncertainty regarding the unit's residual lifetime. In such cases, it becomes essential to consider residual varextropy. In practical applications such as lifetime analysis, classical entropy or extropy provides a global perspective on uncertainty, treating all values of the random variable equally. However, in many real-world contexts, particularly in reliability and survival analysis, the uncertainty associated with the residual life beyond a certain threshold is of greater relevance. In engineering systems, once a system has operated up to time t, understanding the variability and uncertainty of its remaining lifetime becomes crucial for maintenance planning and risk assessment. Weighted residual varextropy (WRVEx) offers a localized measure specifically tailored to the residual distribution, providing more actionable insights. In medical applications, patients who have survived beyond a critical period often present different risk profiles. Weighted measures such as WVEx and WRVEx enable emphasis on particular survival times (e.g., long-term survivors), delivering more clinically meaningful evaluations compared to uniform entropy-based measures.

    The paper is structured as follows: Section 2 explores several properties of WVEx, including closed-form expressions for WVEx in specific distributions. We also derive the WVEx under affine transformations and explore its various bounds. Section 3 proposes WRVEx and presents several findings, including bounds for WRVEx. Additionally, we investigate WRVEx under general monotonic transformations and the proportional hazard rates (PHR) model. In Section 4, we examine the WVEx of coherent systems and present several proposed bounds. Section 5 provides insights into non-parametric estimation of both WVEx and WRVEx using real and simulated datasets. Section 6 presents an analysis of a real dataset to illustrate the proposed methods. Finally, Section 7 summarizes this paper.

    Throughout this work, it is assumed that all random variables are absolutely continuous and non-negative. Furthermore, the terms "increasing" and "decreasing" are used to refer to functions that are non-decreasing and non-increasing, respectively.

    It is often challenging to obtain an explicit closed-form expression for the WVEx. In such situations, transformations can be utilized to determine the WVEx of a transformed random variable by leveraging the WVEx of a known distribution. Theorem 2.1 provides a practical solution in this regard.

    Theorem 2.1. Let X be a random variable with PDF f(x), and consider the affine-transformed variable Y=aX+b, where a>0 and b0. The WVEx of Y is given by

    VJy(Y)=VJx(X)+(ba)2VJ(X)+b2a(E(Xf2(X))4Jx(X)J(X)),

    where VJx(X) denotes the WVEx of X with w(x)=x.

    Proof. Let Y=aX+b, where a>0. Then the PDF of Y is given by the standard transformation formula

    g(y)=1af(yba),y>b.

    By (1.6), it follows that

    VJy(Y)=140y2g3(y)dy(Jy(Y))2, (2.1)

    where

    Jy(Y)=120yg2(y)dy=12by(1af(yba))2dy=12a2byf2(yba)dy. (2.2)

    Now, perform the change of variable x=yba, which implies y=ax+b, and dy=adx. Substituting into (2.2), we have

    Jy(Y)=12a20(ax+b)f2(x)adx=12a0(ax+b)f2(x)dx=120xf2(x)dxb2a0f2(x)dx=Jx(X)+baJ(X). (2.3)

    Note that

    0y2g3(y)dy=0(ax+ba)2f3(x)dx (2.4)
    =0x2f3(x)dx+2ba0xf3(x)dx+(ba)20f3(x)dx. (2.5)

    Substituting Eqs (2.3) and (2.4) into (2.1) yields the required result, completing the proof.

    Remark 2.1. According to [4], X and X+b possess different weighted extropy despite having identical extropy. For Y=aX+b, J(Y)=1aJ(X) and Jw(Y)=Jw(X)+baJ(X); thus, when a=1, J(Y)=J(X) while Jw(Y)Jw(X). They also show that X and aX have identical weighted extropy, but their extropies differ. As discussed in [11], VJ(Y)=1a2VJ(X), Theorem 2.1 also highlights cases where, for b=0, X and X+b have distinct WVEx even though their varextropy remains identical.

    In the following, we compute WVEx defined in (1.6) with w(x)=x for some continuous distributions, which are derived under the assumption that the underlying random variables are absolutely continuous and possess finite moments required for the existence of the weighted expectations. Table 1 presents the WVEx values for several widely used distributions.

    Table 1.  WVEx for various distributions.
    Distribution f(z) VJw(X)
    Uniform (a,b) 1(ba),a<z<b 148
    Exponential (θ) θeθz,0<z< 51728
    Gamma (α,β) eβzzα1βαΓ(α),0<z< 14[Γ(3α)33αΓ(α)3Γ(2α)224αΓ(α)4]
    Beta (α,θ) zα1(1z)θ1B(α,θ),0<z<1 14[B(3α,3θ2)B(α,θ)3B(2α,2θ1)2B(α,θ)4]
    Power (α,λ) αλαzα1,0<z1λ 148α2
    Rayleigh (σ) zσ2ez22σ2,0<z< 5432

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Here, we provide detailed derivations of WVEx for the Gamma, Beta and Power distributions.

    (ⅰ) Let X follow Gamma (α,β), then, we have

    VJw(X)=14(0w2(x)f3(x)dx(0w(x)f2(x)dx)2)=14(0x2(eβzxα1βαΓ(α))3dx(0x(eβxxα1βαΓ(α))2dx)2)=33αΓ(α)Γ(3α)42αΓ(2α)24Γ(α)4=14(33αΓ(α)Γ(3α)Γ(α)442αΓ(2α)2Γ(α)4)=14(Γ(3α)33αΓ(α)3Γ(2α)224αΓ(α)4).

    (ⅱ) Let X follow Beta (α,θ); then, we have

    VJw(X)=14(10w2(x)f3(x)dx(10w(x)f2(x)dx)2)=14(10x2(xα1(1x)θ1B(α,θ))3dx(10x(xα1(1x)θ1B(α,θ))2dx)2)=B(α,θ)Γ(3α)Γ(3θ2)Γ(3α+3θ2)Γ(2α)2Γ(2θ1)2Γ(2α+2θ1)24B(α,θ)4=B(α,θ)B(3α,3θ2)B(2α,2θ1)24B(α,θ)4.

    Note that

    B(α,θ)=Γ(α)Γ(θ)Γ(α+θ),

    then we have

    Γ(2α)2Γ(2θ1)2Γ(2α+2θ1)2=B(2α,2θ1)2,

    and

    Γ(3α)Γ(3θ2)Γ(3α+3θ2)=B(3α,3θ2).

    Thus,

    B(α,θ)Γ(3α)Γ(3θ2)Γ(3α+3θ2)Γ(2α)2Γ(2θ1)2Γ(2α+2θ1)24B(α,θ)4=B(α,θ)B(3α,3θ2)B(2α,2θ1)24B(α,θ)4=14(B(α,θ)B(3α,3θ2)B(α,θ)4B(2α,2θ1)2B(α,θ)4)=14(B(3α,3θ2)B(α,θ)3B(2α,2θ1)2B(α,θ)4).

    (ⅲ) Let X follow Power (α,λ), then we have

    VJw(X)=14(1λ0w2(x)f3(x)dx(1λ0w(x)f2(x)dx)2)=14(1λ0x2(αλαzα1)3dx(1λ0x(αλαzα1)2dx)2)=α248.

    Example 2.1. Let X follow Gamma and Beta distribution, respectively. Figures 1 and 2 depict the variation of VJw(X) concerning distribution parameters.

    Figure 1.  Plots of VJw(X) for Gamma distribution.
    Figure 2.  Plots of VJw(X) for Beta distribution with different shape parameters α and θ.

    Figure 1 indicates that VJw(X) varies with α; as α increases, VJw(X) also increases steadily.

    From Figure 2, it is evident that VJw(X) depends on both α and θ. As θ increases, VJw(X) decreases more sharply, with higher α values causing steeper declines. Conversely, increasing α leads to an increase in VJw(X), and VJw(X) shows stronger sensitivity to α for larger θ. The effect of α is more pronounced for larger θ, while smaller θ results in a more gradual change of VJw(X) as α varies.

    Sometimes, obtaining the closed-form expression of WVEx is not feasible. In such instances, bounds can provide valuable insight into the variability measure. The next theorem establishes bounds for the WVEx with w(x)=x. The proof is straightforward and hence omitted.

    Theorem 2.2. Let X be a random variable with PDF f(x), such that

    1x3+3f(x)1,

    then

    14((E(w2(X)f2(X))(E(X))2)VJw(X)12Jw1(X)14(E(XX3+3))2,

    where Jw1(X) is the WEx with w1(x)=x2.

    Proof. According to Eq (1.6), for w(x)=x, we have

    VJw(X)=14(0x2f3(x)dx(0xf2(x)dx)2).

    For the first integral, we obtain that

    0x2f3(x)dx0x2f(x)dx=E(X2)=Jw1(X),

    where w1(x)=x2, and thus

    0x2f3(x)dxJw1(X).

    Moreover, since f(x)1x3+3, we obtain

    0xf2(x)dx0x(1x3+3)2dx=E(X(X3+3)2),

    then

    (0xf2(x)dx)2(E(X(X3+3)2))2.

    We then obtain the upper bound

    VJw(X)12Jw1(X)14(E(XX3+3))2.

    On the other hand, using the upper bound f(x)1, we obtain

    0x2f3(x)dx0x2(1x3+3)3dx,

    and

    0xf2(x)dx0x12dx=E(X).

    Thus,

    VJw(X)14(E(x2f3(x))(E(X))2).

    Combining the two bounds yields the desired result.

    The condition 1x3+3f(x)1 assumed in Theorem 2.2 ensures that the probability density function f(x) is bounded above and below in a controlled manner. In particular, the upper bound restricts the distribution from having excessively sharp peaks, while the lower bound guarantees that the density does not decay too quickly at infinity. This condition is satisfied by a variety of distributions with moderately heavy tails; the following remark is presented to illustrate the condition in Theorem 2.2.

    Remark 2.2. (i) Let X follow a Lomax distribution with CDF F(x)=1(1+xa)b,a>0,b>0. Figure 3(a) illustrates that the condition

    1x3+3f(x)1

    holds for a=2 and b=1.5.

    Figure 3.  Illustrate the condition 1/(x3+3)f(x)1.

    (ii) Let X follow a Pareto distribution with PDF

    f(x)=babxb1.

    Figure 3(b) illustrates that the condition in Theorem 2.2 also holds for a=0.4 and b=0.5.

    In the following, we examine the WVEx under monotonic transformations and explore its fundamental properties.

    Theorem 2.3. Let Y=φ(X), where φ(x) be a strictly monotone, continuous, and differentiable function. Then, the WVEx of Y is

    VJy(Y)={VJφφ(X),ifφis strictly increasing;14E(φ2(X)φ(X)2f2(X))Jφφ(X),ifφis strictly decreasing,

    where Jφφ(X) and VJφφ(X) with w(x)=φ(x)/φ(x) are defined as (1.3) and (1.6), respectively.

    Proof. Consider the first case where φ(x) is strictly increasing. By (1.6), the WVEx of Y=φ(X) is given by

    VJy(Y)=14(0y2f3(φ1(y))(φ(φ1(y)))3dy(0yf2(φ1(y))(φ(φ1(y)))2dy)2). (2.6)

    Substituting y=φ(x) into the above expression simplifies the right-hand side, yielding the desired result.

    When φ is strictly decreasing, the transformation Y=φ(X) implies that

    FY(y)=P(Yy)=P(φ(X)y)=P(Xφ1(y))=1FX(φ1(y)).

    Thus, the PDF of Y is

    fY(y)=|ddyFY(y)|=|fX(φ1(y))ddyφ1(y)|=fX(φ1(y))|ddyφ1(y)|.

    Since φ is strictly decreasing, we have φ(x)<0 for all x, and thus

    ddyφ1(y)=1φ(φ1(y))<0.

    Therefore,

    fY(y)=fX(φ1(y))|φ(φ1(y))|.

    Note that y=φ(x); we have

    fY(φ(x))=fX(x)|φ(x)|.

    Thus,

    0y2f3Y(y)dy=0φ2(x)(fX(x)|φ(x)|)3|φ(x)|dx=0φ2(x)|φ(x)|2f3X(x)dx,

    and

    (0yf2Y(y)dy)2=(0φ(x)(fX(x)|φ(x)|)2|φ(x)|dx)2=(0φ(x)|φ(x)|f2X(x)dx)2.

    Therefore,

    VJy(Y)=14(0φ2(x)(φ(x))2f3X(x)dx(0φ(x)φ(x)f2X(x)dx)2).

    By simplifying, we finally obtain

    VJy(Y)=14E(φ2(X)(φ(X))2f2(X))Jφφ(X).

    The next remark demonstrates how WVEx behaves under scale and location transformations.

    Remark 2.3. (a) If Y=aX, a>0, then

    VEax(aX)=VJφφ(X)=VJx(X).

    (b) If Y=X+b,, then

    VJφ(X+b)=VJφφ(X)=VJx(X)+b2VJ(X)+b2(E(Xf2(X))4Jx(X)J(X)),b0.

    Inspired by [12], this section introduces the WRVEx as a natural generalization of the residual varextropy (RVEx), aiming to provide a more flexible tool for measuring uncertainty in the residual lifetime of random variable X. By introducing a weight function w(x), we allow differential emphasis across the support of X, thereby enabling a more nuanced quantification of residual uncertainty. For a weight function w(x), the WRVEx of X can be expressed as

    VJw(X;t)=14(tw2(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))3dx(tw(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx)2). (3.1)

    Moreover, as t0, the WRVEx converges to the weighted varextropy, i.e., VJw(X;t)VJw(X), reflecting the global weighted uncertainty of X. The weighted varextropy measures the overall uncertainty of X under a weight function w(x), while WRVEx focuses on the residual distribution beyond a specified threshold t.

    Next, we present the WRVEx given by (3.1) with w(x)=x for various commonly used distributions.

    Example 3.1 (ⅰ) Suppose X is uniformly distributed over the interval (a,b). In this case, we have VJw(X;t)=1/48, which matches the WVEx of U(a,b).

    (ⅱ) Suppose X follows an exponential distribution with parameter λ. Then, the WRVEx is

    VJw(X;t)=12λt(3λt1)+51728.

    (ⅲ) Let X follow a Rayleigh distribution with PDF

    f(x)=xσ2ex22σ2,0<x<.

    Then, we have

    VJw(X;t)=5σ4+9t46σ2t2432σ4.

    Figure 4 illustrates how the variation of VJw(X;t) depends on t and parameters of exponential and Rayleigh distributions. The plots demonstrate that VJw(X;t) increases sharply as t increases. Larger values of λ and σ result in a slower increase of VJw(X;t) as t grows.

    Figure 4.  Plots of VJw(X;t) for two distributions.

    The result below presents a clear expression for the derivative of WRVEx with respect to t.

    Theorem 3.1. For any t>0, it holds that

    ddtVJw(X;t)=14(w2(t)r3(t)+w(t)r2(t))+34r(t)ˉF2(t)E(w2(X)f(X)|X>t)12r(t)ˉF(t)E(w(X)|X>t).

    Proof. Based on (3.1), we can obtain that

    ddtVJw(X;t)=ddt(14tw2(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))3dx(Jw(X;t))2)=14w2(t)(f(t)ˉF(t))3+34f(t)ˉF(t)tw2(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx+w(t)(f(t)ˉF(t))22f(t)ˉF(t)tw(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx12tw(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx =14w2(t)r3(t)+34r(t)ˉF2(t)tw2(x)f2(x)dx+14w(t)r2(t)12r(t)ˉF(t)tw(x)f(x)dx12tw(x)(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx=14w2(t)r3(t)+34r(t)ˉF2(t)E(w2(X)f(X)|X>t)+14w(t)r2(t)12r(t)ˉF(t)E(w(X)|X>t)121ˉF2(t)E(w(X)f2(X)|X>t).

    The following theorem establishes bounds for the WRVEx.

    Theorem 3.2. If the PDF f(x) of X satisfies

    1x3+3f(x)1,

    then

    12ˉF(t)Jw2(X;t)(Jx(X;t))2VJx(X;t)12ˉF(t)Jw1(X;t)14ˉF4(t)(E(XX3+3|X>t))2,

    where Jw1(X;t) and Jw2(X;t) are defined with w1(x)=x2 and w2(x)=x2/(x3+3) as in (1.4).

    Example 3.2. Suppose X follows the Lomax distribution with CDF

    F(x)=1(1+xa)b.

    For a=4 and b=2, the condition specified in Theorem 3.2 is satisfied. Figure 5 displays VJx(X;t) and its two bounds, illustrating the result in Theorem 3.2.

    Figure 5.  Graph of WRVEx and its bounds.

    Theorem 3.3. For a random variable X, the following holds:

    t4ˉF3(t)E(Xf2(X)|X>t)(Jx(X;t))2VJx(X;t)14ˉF3(t)E(X2f2(X)|X>t)tJ(X;t)Jx(X;t),

    where J(X;t) is defined in (1.2), and Jx(X;t) is defined in (1.4) with w(x)=x.

    Proof. According to Lemma 2 of [13], Jx(X;t)tJ(X;t). The remainder of the proof follows from simple transformations and is omitted for brevity.

    We now present a lower bound for the WRVEx, expressed using the variance of the residual life (VRL), denoted as σ2(t), is defined as

    σ2(t)=Var(Xt|X>t)=2ˉF(t)tdννˉF(u)duμ2(t),

    where

    μ(t)=E(Xt|X>t)=tˉF(x)ˉF(t)dx

    represents the mean residual lifetime (MRL).

    Theorem 3.4. Let Xt be the residual lifetime of X, assuming a finite μ(t) and e σ2(t). Then, the lower bound of VJx(X;t) is given by

    VJx(X;t)σ2(t)4{E(ηt(Xt)ft(Xt))E(ηt(Xt)Xtft(Xt))}2,

    where ηt(x) satisfies

    σ2(t)ηt(x)ft(x)=x0(μ(t)u)ft(u)du.

    Proof. According to [15], the next inequality holds:

    Var(h(X))σ2(E(ξ(X)h(X)))2,

    where ξ(x) is defined as

    σ2ξ(x)f(x)=x0(μ(t)u)f(u)du.

    Let Xt denote a reference random variable satisfying h(x)=(xf(x))/2. Consequently,

    VJx(X;t)=Var(12Xtft(Xt))σ2(t)4{E(ηt(Xt)(Xtft(Xt)))}2=σ2(t)4{E(ηt(Xt)ft(Xt))E(ηt(Xt)Xtft(Xt))}2,

    This completes the proof.

    Example 3.3. Consider a random variable XN(0,1). Let Xt denote the residual lifetime given that X>t, with conditional PDF ft(x). For illustration, we numerically compute and plot ηt(x) for several fixed values of t. The resulting curves are shown in Figure 6. As observed, ηt(x) behaves as a monotonic function with respect to x, and its shape systematically varies with t. This behavior reflects the cumulative imbalance between the conditional mean and the observed residual lifetime values up to x.

    Figure 6.  Variation of ηt(x) under standard normal distribution.

    Remark 3.1. (i) If η1(t) is an increasing function of t, then

    VJx(X;t)σ2(t)4{E(η1(Xt)ft(Xt))}2, t0.

    (ii) If ft(x)1x3+1, then

    VJx(X;t)σ2(t)4{E(η1(Xt)X3+1)+E(ηt(Xt)Xtft(Xt))}2, t0.

    In the following, we investigate the behavior of WRVEx under arbitrary monotonic transformations.

    Theorem 3.5. Assume that ϕ(x) is a strictly monotonic, continuous, and differentiable function, and let Y=ϕ(X); then

    VJy(Y;t)={VJφφ(X;φ1(t)),ifφis strictly increasing;14E(φ2(Xt)φ(Xt)2f2t(Xt))Jφφ(X;φ1(t)),ifφis strictly decreasing,

    where Jφφ(X;φ1(t)) and VJφφ(X;φ1(t)) with w(x)=φ(x)/φ(x) are defined as in (1.4) and (3.1), respectively.

    Proof. Suppose φ(x) is strictly increasing. According to (3.1), the WRVEx of Y=φ(X) can be expressed as

    VJy(Y;t)=14(ty2f3(φ1(y))(φ(φ1(y)))3ˉF3(φ(t))dy(tyf2(φ1(y))(φ(φ1(y)))2ˉF2(φ(t))dy)2). (3.2)

    Substituting y=φ(x) into the right-hand side of equation (3.2) and simplifying yields the result. The case where φ(x) is strictly decreasing can be handled in a similar manner and is omitted here.

    Example 3.4. It is a well-established result that F(X) follows a uniform distribution on (0,1) for any continuous random variable X. Consequently, if we define Y=F(X), VJw(Y;t) equals the WRVEx of U(0,1). Thus, we have

    VJw(Y;t)=VJFF(X;F1(t)). (3.3)

    Suppose that X follows an exponential distribution with CDF F(x)=1eθx,  θ>0. Then, F1(t)=log(1t)θ. By (3.3), we obtain that VJw(Y;t)=148, which is the WRVEx of U(0,1).

    Next, we examine the WRVEx for the PHR model. A random variable X follows the PHR model if its survival function takes the form ˉFX(x)=ˉFλ(x) for λ>0. The PDF of X is

    g(x)=λˉFλ1(x)f(x)=λˉFλ(x)r(x),λ>0, (3.4)

    where λ is the proportional parameter, ˉF(x) represents the baseline survival distribution, f(x) is the baseline PDF, and r(x)=f(x)/ˉF(x) is the baseline hazard rate function, which is well-defined on the support where ˉF(x)>0. The PHR model is a highly flexible family of distributions that has found extensive use in reliability and survival analysis. It includes well-known distributions such as the exponential, Weibull, and Pareto distributions as special cases. For more applications of the PHR model, see [16,17,18].

    Theorem 3.6. Let Y have the PDF given by (3.4); then the WRVEx of Y is

    VJx(Y;t)=λ44ˉF3λ(t)ˉFλ(t)0(ˉF1(y1λ))2(yr(ˉF1(y1λ)))4dyλ64ˉF4λ(t)(ˉFλ(t)0ˉF1(y1λ)(yr(ˉF1(y1λ)))3dy)2,

    where y=ˉFλ(x), and ˉF1(y1λ)=sup{x:ˉF(x)y1λ} is the quantile function of ˉF(x).

    Proof. From (3.1), the WRVEx of Y is

    VJx(Y;t)=14(tx2(g(x)ˉG(t))3dx(tx(g(x)ˉG(t))2dx)2).

    Since y=ˉFλ(x), we have

    VJx(Y;t)=14ˉF3λ(t)ˉFλ(t)0(ˉF1(y1λ))2(λy11λf(ˉF1(y1λ)))4dy14ˉF4λ(t)(ˉFλ(t)0ˉF1(y1λ)(λy11λf(ˉF1(y1λ)))3dy)2=λ44ˉF3λ(t)ˉFλ(t)0(ˉF1(y1λ))2(yr(ˉF1(y1λ)))4dyλ64ˉF4λ(t)(ˉFλ(t)0ˉF1(y1λ)(yr(ˉF1(y1λ)))3dy)2.

    This completes the proof.

    This section focuses on analyzing the WVEx of coherent systems. A system is considered coherent if its structure function τ increases with respect to each component, and all components are essential. In other words, improving the performance of any individual component cannot reduce the overall lifetime of the system. Coherent systems play a crucial role in various real-world applications, such as industrial machinery, telecommunications networks, and oil pipeline infrastructures. Let T represent the lifetime of a coherent system whose components have dependent, identically distributed lifetimes denoted by X, with CDF F(x) and PDF f(x). Then the CDF of T is

    FT(x)=q(F(x)),

    where q:[0,1][0,1] denotes a distortion function that only depends on the structure function and survival copula. Additionally, let h be an increasing continuous function defined on the interval [0,1] such that h(0)=0 and h(1)=1. To simplify, let u=F(x) and denote

    β1,u=supu[0,1]ϕ(q(u))ϕ(u),ϕ(u)=(F1(u))2(f(F1(u)))3,andψ(u)=F1(u)(f(F1(u)))2,

    then the WVEx of T is given by

    VJx(T)=14(0x2f3T(x)dx(0xf2T(x)dx)2)=14(0ϕ(FT(x))dx(0ψ(FT(x))dx)2)=14(0ϕ(q(F(x)))dx(0ψ(q(F(x)))dx)2)=14(10ϕ(q(u))f(F1(u))du(10ψ(q(u))f(F1(u))du)2), (4.1)

    where fT(x) is PDF of T.

    The next result provides the relationship between the WVExs of the lifetimes of a coherent system and its components. The proof is straightforward and thus is omitted for brevity.

    Theorem 4.1. Suppose that ϕ(q(u))()ϕ(u) and ψ(q(u))()ψ(u); then

    VJx(T)()VJx(X).

    Proof. From (4.1), we have

    VJx(T)=14(10ϕ(q(u))f(F1(u))du(10ψ(q(u))f(F1(u))du)2),

    and similarly,

    VJx(X)=14(10ϕ(u)f(F1(u))du(10ψ(u)f(F1(u))du)2).

    Suppose that ϕ(q(u))()ϕ(u) and ψ(q(u))()ψ(u) for all u(0,1), and noting that f(F1(u))>0, we observe

    ● Since ϕ(q(u))()ϕ(u), it follows that

    ϕ(q(u))f(F1(u))()ϕ(u)f(F1(u)),

    and thus,

    10ϕ(q(u))f(F1(u))du()10ϕ(u)f(F1(u))du.

    ● Similarly, since ψ(q(u))()ψ(u), we have

    ψ(q(u))f(F1(u))()ψ(u)f(F1(u)),

    and hence,

    (10ψ(q(u))f(F1(u))du)2()(10ψ(u)f(F1(u))du)2.

    Combining the above two inequalities yields

    VJx(T)()VJx(X),

    which completes the proof.

    Theorem 4.1 establishes a comparison between the WVEx of the system and that of individual components. When the distortion function q(u) satisfies certain conditions, the system's WVEx is bounded above or below by that of its components. This indicates that the variability in system lifetime, as captured by WVEx, can either increase or decrease depending on the dependence structure among the components.

    The following Theorem 4.2 establishes an upper bound for the WVEx of coherent systems in relation to WEx.

    Theorem 4.2. If

    1x3+3f(x)1,

    then

    VJx(T)β1,uJw1(X),

    where Jw1(X) is the WEx with w1(x)=x2.

    Proof. From (4.1), it can be inferred that

    VJx(T)=14(10ϕ(q(u))f(F1(u))du(10ψ(q(u))f(F1(u))du)2)=14(10ϕ(q(u))ϕ(u)ϕ(u)f(F1(u))du(10ψ(q(u))f(F1(u))du)2)14supu[0,1]ϕ(q(u))ϕ(u)10ϕ(u)f(F1(u))du14β1,u0x2f2(x)dx=12β1,uJw1(X).

    Thus, we complete the proof.

    The next corollary, directly derived from Theorem 4.1, establishes a bound for the WVEx of a coherent system.

    Corollary 4.1. If f(x) satisfies the condition in Theorem 4.1, then

    VJx(T)β1,uVJx(X)+β1,u(Jx(X))2.

    The next corollary establishes an upper bound for VJx(T).

    Corollary 4.2. If the PDF f(x) of component lifetimes satisfies f(x)L>0, then

    VJx(T)14L10ϕ(q(u))du.

    The derived bounds involving β1,u and L provide practical tools for system designers and reliability engineers. They allow for estimating the WVEx of the system without fully specifying the joint distribution of component lifetimes, provided some information on marginal distributions and the copula structure is available.

    We introduce non-parametric estimators for WVEx and WRVEx. To achieve this, we utilize the well-known kernel density estimator for f(x), as proposed by [19]. The estimator is mathematically described as

    ˆfn(x)=1nbnnj=1k(xXjbn), (5.1)

    where k(x) denotes the kernel function such that

    (ⅰ) k(x)0 for all x;

    (ⅱ) k(x)dx=1;

    (ⅲ) k(x) is symmetric about zero;

    (ⅳ) k(x) satisfies the Lipschitz condition, i.e., there exists a constant M such that |k(x)k(y)|M|xy|.

    The following important properties of ˆfn(x) and ˆˉFn(t)=tˆfn(x)dx as given in [20] is useful to obtain our main results.

    Bias(ˆfn(x))bncss!f(s)(x),Var(ˆfn(x))Cknbnf(z), (5.2)
    Bias(ˆˉFn(t))tf(s)(x)dx,Var(ˆˉFn(t))CknbnˉF(t), (5.3)

    where cs=usK(u)du, Ck=k2(u)du, and f(s)(x) is the sth derivative of f with respect to x.

    Now, we construct non-parametric estimators for WVEx and WRVEx.

    Definition 5.1. The non-parametric estimators for WVEx and WRVEx with weight w(x)=x are

    ^VJwn(X)=14(0x2ˆf3n(x)dx(0xˆf2n(x)dx)2) (5.4)

    and

    ^VJwn(X;t)=14(tx2(ˆfn(x)ˆˉFn(t))3dx(tx(ˆfn(x)ˆˉFn(t))2dx)2), (5.5)

    respectively.

    The non-parametric estimators given in Eqs (5.4) and (5.5) are based on a kernel density estimation framework. It is well known that, under standard regularity conditions, the choice of kernel function has a relatively minor impact on the overall performance of the estimator, provided the kernel is a valid probability density function (e.g., symmetric and integrating to one). Popular choices such as the Gaussian, Epanechnikov, and uniform kernels generally yield similar results. Therefore, for practical purposes, we recommend using the Gaussian kernel due to its smoothness and widespread acceptance.

    In contrast, the choice of bandwidth is critically important and has a significant influence on the estimator's performance. A bandwidth that is too small leads to a highly variable estimator with large variance, while an excessively large bandwidth produces an over-smoothed estimator with substantial bias. To select an appropriate bandwidth, methods such as cross-validation or Silverman's rule can be employed.

    Next, we examine the consistency of the estimators for VJw(X) and VJw(X;t).

    Theorem 5.1. The non-parametric kernel estimators ^VJwn(X) and ^VJwn(X;t) serve as consistent estimators for VJw(X) and VJw(X;t), respectively.

    Proof. For convenience, we define

    ˆhn(t)=tx2ˆf3n(x)dx,h(t)=tx2f3(x)dx,ˆmn(t)=^ˉF3n(t) and m(t)=ˉF3(t),

    thus, we have

    14tx2(ˆfn(x)^ˉFn(t))3dx=14ˆhn(t)ˆmn(t).

    Applying the Taylor series approximation, it follows that

    ^ˉF3n(x)=ˉF3(x)+3ˉF2(x)(^ˉFn(x)ˉF(x))+3ˉF(x)(^ˉFn(x)ˉF(x))2+o(^ˉFn(x)ˉF(x))3

    and

    ˆf3n(x)=f3(x)+3f2(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))+3f(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))2+o(ˆfn(x)f(x))3.

    As a result,

    ˆhn(t)h(t)=3tx2(f2(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))+f(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))2)dx

    and

    ˆmn(t)m(t)=3(ˉF2(t)(^ˉFn(t)ˉF(t))+ˉF(x)(^ˉFn(t)ˉF(t))2)+o(^ˉFn(t)ˉF(t))3.

    Thus, we have

    Bias(ˆhn(t))3tx2(f2(x)Bias(ˆfn(x))+f(x)Bias2(ˆfn(x)))dx,Var(ˆhn(t))9t(x4f4(x)Var(ˆfn(x))+x4f2(x)Var2(ˆfn(x)))dx,Bias(ˆmn(t))3ˉF2(x)Bias(^ˉFn(t))+3ˉF(x)Bias2(^ˉFn(t)),Var(ˆmn(t))9ˉF4(x)Var(^ˉFn(t))+9ˉF2(x)Var2(^ˉFn(t)).

    By applying conditions (5.2) and (5.3) and noting that bn0 and nbn as n, bias and variance of ˆhn(t) and ˆmn(t) approach zero as n. Thus, as n,

    MSE(ˆhn(t))0 and MSE(ˆmn(t))0.

    It follows that, ˆhn(t)ph(t) and ˆmn(t)pm(t), as n. Applying Slutsky's theorem gives

    14tx2(ˆfn(x)^ˉFn(t))3dx=14ˆhn(t)ˆmn(t)p14h(t)m(t)=14tx2(f(x)ˉF(t))3dx.

    According to Theorem 5 of [4], ˆJwn(X;t) converges in probability to Jw(Z;t); thus

    (tx(ˆfn(x)^ˉFn(t))2dx)2p(tx(f(x)ˉF(t))2dx)2.

    Hence, ^VJwn(X;t) serves as a consistent estimator of VJw(Z;t), and the consistency of ^VJwn(X) can be shown similarly and is omitted here.

    The next theorem addresses the asymptotic normality of ^VJwn(X)and ^VJwn(X;t).

    Theorem 5.2. Let ^VJwn(X) and ^VJwn(X;t) denote the non-parametric kernel estimators for VJw(X) and VJw(X;t), respectively. Assume that the kernel function k() is a symmetric probability density function with compact support, bounded variation, and continuous first derivative. As n, for a fixed t, both

    (nbn)12(^VJwn(X)VJw(X)σ1)and(nbn)12(^VJωn(X;t)VJw(X;t)σ2)

    follow a standard normal distribution, where

    σ21=Ck0f(x)(34x2f2(x)xf(x)0tf2(t)dt)2dx,
    σ22=CkˉF6(t)(h(t)h1(t)+2ˉF3(t)h31(t)+9tx4f5(x)dx+9h(t)ˉF(t)),

    and h1(t)=txf2(x)dx.

    Proof. We start by noting that

    ^VJwn(X)=14(0x2ˆf3n(x)dx(0xˆf2n(x)dx)2)=140x2ˆf3n(x)dx14(0xˆf2n(x)dx0xf2(x)dx)2+14(0xf2(x)dx)2120xf2(x)dx(0xˆf2n(x)dx0xf2(x)dx).

    Using Taylor series expansion, it follows that

    0ˆfαn(x)dx0fα(x)dxα0fα1(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))dx,α=1,2,3.

    Thus, it follows that

    ^VJwn(X)140x2f3(x)dx+340x2f2(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))dx(0xf(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))dx)2+14(0xf2(x)dx)20xf2(x)dx0xf(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))dx,

    and hence,

    nbn(^VJwn(X)^VJw(X))nbn(340x2f2(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))dx(0xˆf2n(x)dx0xf2(x)dx)20xf2(x)dx0xf(x)(ˆfn(x)f(x))dx)=nbn0(ˆfn(x)f(x))(34x2f2(x)xf(x)0tf2(t)dt)dx+op(1),

    where the final equality is derived by Theorem 3.4 in [21]. By the asymptotic normality of ˆfn(x) established in [22], we can directly conclude that

    σ21=Ck0f(x)(34x2f2(x)xf(x)0tf2(t)dt)2dx.

    Following a similar approach, we can obtain the asymptotic normality of ^VJwn(X;t), which is omitted for brevity.

    In the following, we employ Monte Carlo simulations to analyze the behavior of the WVEx and WRVEx estimators, as defined in Eqs (5.4) and (5.5), respectively. The simulations are conducted using an exponential distribution with λ=1. For the estimation process, we utilize the Gaussian kernel k(z)=12πez2/2. The estimators are assessed across various values of t, bandwidth bn, and sample sizes n=40,50,100. For each combination of t and bn, the simulation is repeated 5000 times to ensure robust results. The accuracy of the estimators is measured using bias, standard deviations (SD), and mean squared error (MSE). The results of the WVEx and WRVEx estimators are presented in Tables 2 and 3, respectively.

    Table 2.  Bias, SD, and MSE of the WVEx for fixed bandwidth.
    n bn=0.5 bn=0.7 bn=0.9
    Bias SD MSE Bias SD MSE Bias SD MSE
    40 0.002750 0.001241 0.000009 0.002869 0.001024 0.000009 0.002818 0.000852 0.000009
    50 0.002658 0.001089 0.000008 0.002818 0.000903 0.000009 0.002785 0.000752 0.000008
    100 0.002496 0.000768 0.000007 0.002733 0.000638 0.000008 0.002733 0.000528 0.000008

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
    Table 3.  Bias, SD, and MSE of the WVREx for fixed bandwidth.
    n t bn=0.5 bn=0.7 bn=0.9
    Bias SD MSE Bias SD MSE Bias SD MSE
    0.5 -0.023646 0.015354 0.000795 -0.001988 0.002441 0.000010 0.002616 0.001188 0.000008
    40 0.7 -0.003232 0.009215 0.000095 0.002184 0.003026 0.000014 0.002763 0.001756 0.000011
    0.9 0.004743 0.005789 0.000056 0.002965 0.003629 0.000022 0.000814 0.002305 0.000006
    0.5 -0.022522 0.012834 0.000672 -0.001859 0.002156 0.000008 0.002631 0.001075 0.000008
    50 0.7 -0.002587 0.007706 0.000066 0.002275 0.002703 0.000012 0.002772 0.001576 0.000010
    0.9 0.004816 0.005071 0.000049 0.002968 0.003235 0.000019 0.000800 0.002060 0.000005
    0.5 -0.020418 0.007658 0.000476 -0.001610 0.001449 0.000005 0.002672 0.000768 0.000008
    100 0.7 -0.001448 0.004499 0.000022 0.002444 0.001884 0.000010 0.002799 0.001129 0.000009
    0.9 0.004906 0.003603 0.000037 0.002983 0.002332 0.000014 0.000791 0.001482 0.000003

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Tables 2 and 3 show that for both WVEx and WVREx, increasing the sample size results in improved performance, with smaller bias, SD, and MSE, indicating better accuracy and reduced estimation errors. Larger bandwidth values can lead to increased standard deviation and mean squared error, suggesting that choosing an appropriate bandwidth is crucial. Larger bandwidths may increase the variability of the estimates, making it essential to balance between bandwidth and estimation stability.

    Subsequently, we implemented Silverman's rule to automatically determine the bandwidth based on each generated sample. This approach is particularly useful in real-world applications where data variability is high and bandwidth selection is crucial for model accuracy. The results presented in Tables 4 and 5 demonstrate that, as the sample size increases, the bias, SD, and MSE of both the WVEx and WRVEx estimators generally decrease, indicating improved estimation accuracy.

    Table 4.  Bias, SD, and MSE of the WVEx for bandwidth selected by Silverman's rule.
    n Bias SD MSE
    40 0.002604 0.001586 0.000009
    50 0.002384 0.001357 0.000008
    100 0.001889 0.000901 0.000004

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
    Table 5.  Bias, SD, and MSE of the WVREx for bandwidth selected by Silverman's rule.
    n t Bias SD MSE
    40 0.5 -0.117707 1.752359 3.084615
    0.7 -0.019583 0.624645 0.390565
    0.9 0.004404 0.011882 0.000161
    50 0.5 -0.067621 0.380519 0.149367
    0.7 -0.012594 0.313122 0.098204
    0.9 0.004786 0.007094 0.000073
    100 0.5 -0.056758 0.080122 0.009641
    0.7 -0.005867 0.012762 0.000197
    0.9 0.005273 0.004499 0.000048

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    A real-world data set concerning COVID-19 infections is analyzed in this section, where data for 42 countries were gathered from various official sources as of March 26, 2020. Below is the detailed information of the data set: 1.56, 8.51, 2.17, 0.37, 1.09, 9.84, 4.95, 3.18, 11.37, 2.81, 6.22, 1.87, 9.05, 2.44, 1.38, 4.17, 3.74, 1.37, 2.33, 7.80, 2.10, 0.47, 2.54, 4.92, 0.09, 0.18, 1.72, 1.02, 0.62, 2.34, 0.50, 2.37, 3.65, 0.59, 5.76, 2.14, 0.88, 0.95, 4.17, 2.25. Kasilingam [23] applied an exponential model to analyze the transmission of COVID-19. Recently, Kayid [10] studied the data set; they compared the theoretical values of residual extropy with their corresponding estimates and observed that the data set closely fits an exponential distribution with an estimated parameter ˆλ=0.32. Here, we investigate the proximity of the WVEx and WRVEx estimators to their corresponding theoretical values, and no normalization or transformation was applied to the dataset before estimation. A range of combinations for t and bn are provided in Tables 6 and 7, which reveal that the WVEx and WRVEx estimators approach the theoretical values as bn increases.

    Table 6.  Theoretical values and corresponding estimates of WVEx.
    bn=0.1 bn=0.3 bn=0.5 bn=0.7 bn=0.9
    ^VJwn(X) 0.027771 0.007991 0.005479 0.005012 0.004975
    VJw(X) 0.002894 0.002894 0.002894 0.002894 0.002894

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
    Table 7.  Theoretical values and corresponding estimates of WRVEx.
    t bn=0.3 bn=0.5 bn=0.7 bn=0.9
    ^VJwn(X;t) 0.3 0.004085 0.002529 0.002892 0.003448
    VJw(X;t) 0.002419 0.002419 0.002419 0.002419
    ^VJwn(X;t) 0.5 0.003082 0.002016 0.002667 0.003376
    VJw(X;t) 0.002316 0.002316 0.002316 0.002316
    ^VJwn(X;t) 0.7 0.005146 0.002614 0.002976 0.003656
    VJw(X;t) 0.002383 0.002383 0.002383 0.002383
    ^VJwn(X;t) 0.9 0.008546 0.004291 0.003923 0.004385
    VJw(X;t) 0.002622 0.002622 0.002622 0.002622

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    Table 7 shows that both t and bn affect the estimator's accuracy. Moderate values of t (e.g., 0.5 or 0.7) yield estimates closer to the theoretical WRVEx. For bandwidth, larger bn (e.g., 0.7 or 0.9) reduces variance and improves stability. In applications, we recommend moderate t and data-driven bandwidth selection for balanced performance.

    In this study, we have introduced the concept of the WRVEx as a valuable addition to the study of variability in uncertainty measures. We have also explored the theoretical properties of the WVEx and WRVEx, including their behavior under monotonic transformations and the derivation of key bounds. Furthermore, we demonstrated the application of WVEx in the analysis of coherent systems and the PHR model. The kernel-based non-parametric estimators for both WVEx and WRVEx were proposed, with their effectiveness validated through simulation experiments and analysis of a real-world data set.

    Li Zhang: Methodology, Writing–review and editing; Bin Lu: Methodology, Writing original draft. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

    The authors declare they have not used Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the creation of this article.

    This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province of China (No. 22JR11RA144).

    The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.



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