
Encouraged by the tremendous success of lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4), analogous NaFePO4 has been predicted to show identical properties as LiFePO4. Synthesis of NaFePO4 materials in the maricite phase has been carried out using the sol-gel method with variations of calcination temperature and starting materials as sources of sodium Na2CO3 and NaCl. The resulted NaFePO4 maricite phase with the purity between 40% and 85%, according to X-ray diffractometry (XRD) characterization was obtained. The morphology and grain size of the particles in samples, as observed by a scanning electron microscope (SEM), tend to enlarge upon calcination at higher temperatures. The increment of calcination temperature increases the NaFePO4 maricite phase content in the sample. The impedance data analysis shows that the diffusion coefficient of Na+ ions and the electrical conductivity of a sample using Na2CO3 is higher than that of NaCl. This comprehensive study provides a feasible method and opens new opportunities for the continuous study of Na-ion batteries.
Citation: Fahmi Astuti, Rima Feisy Azmi, Mohammad Arrafi Azhar, Fani Rahayu Hidayah Rayanisaputri, Muhammad Redo Ramadhan, Malik Anjelh Baqiya, Darminto. Employing Na2CO3 and NaCl as sources of sodium in NaFePO4 cathode: A comparative study on structure and electrochemical properties[J]. AIMS Materials Science, 2024, 11(1): 102-113. doi: 10.3934/matersci.2024006
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Encouraged by the tremendous success of lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4), analogous NaFePO4 has been predicted to show identical properties as LiFePO4. Synthesis of NaFePO4 materials in the maricite phase has been carried out using the sol-gel method with variations of calcination temperature and starting materials as sources of sodium Na2CO3 and NaCl. The resulted NaFePO4 maricite phase with the purity between 40% and 85%, according to X-ray diffractometry (XRD) characterization was obtained. The morphology and grain size of the particles in samples, as observed by a scanning electron microscope (SEM), tend to enlarge upon calcination at higher temperatures. The increment of calcination temperature increases the NaFePO4 maricite phase content in the sample. The impedance data analysis shows that the diffusion coefficient of Na+ ions and the electrical conductivity of a sample using Na2CO3 is higher than that of NaCl. This comprehensive study provides a feasible method and opens new opportunities for the continuous study of Na-ion batteries.
Many practical problems in the real world can be abstracted into complex network models for research. For example, the spread and control of epidemics, the spread of computer viruses in the Internet, and the spread of rumors can all be regarded as spreading behaviors that obey a certain law on a complex network. At present, there have been many research results on the spread and control of epidemics on complex networks. For related research reports, see references [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23].
In classical epidemic-disease dynamics models, it is generally assumed that the rate of treatment for a disease is proportional to the number of infected persons. This means that medical resources such as drugs, vaccines, hospital beds and isolation facilities are sufficient for the epidemic. In reality, however, every community or country has adequate or limited capacity for treatment and vaccination. If too much medical resources are invested, social resources will be wasted. If fewer resources are put into care, the risk of disease outbreaks increases. Therefore, it is important to identify different capacity for treatment depending on the community or country.
In order to investigate the effect of the limited capacity for treatment on the spread of infectious disease, references [24,25] established an infectious disease model under a discontinuous treatment strategy. Wang et al. considered the following segments of treatment functions in the literature [25]
h(I)={kI,0≤I≤I0kI0,I>I0 |
where k is the cure rate and I0 is the maximum capacity of the medical system. In other words, when the number of patients is small and does not exceed the maximum capacity of the medical system, the treatment rate is proportional to the number of patients.When the number of patients exceeds the maximum capacity of the medical system, the treatment rate of the disease is a constant constant. reference [26], Zhang and Liu introduced the following saturation processing functions:
h(I)=rI1+αI |
where r is the cure rate, α is used to describe the impact of delayed treatment of a person with an illness in a situation where medical care is limited. Related studies on the function of saturation therapy are reported in references [27,28,29,30].
This paper proposes a SEIR model with a saturated processing function based on a complex network. We will analyze the influence of the heterogeneity of the population on the spread of the virus, and use the advancement of optimal control theory to study the time-varying control of infectious diseases.
The organization structure of this article is as follows. In Section 2, we propose a network-based SEIR model with saturation processing function. In Section 3, we analyzed the dynamics of the model. In Section 4, we study the bifurcation behavior of the model. In Section 5, we study the optimal control problem. Finally, in Section 6 and Section 7, we give the results of the numerical simulation and summarize the paper.
In this section, we propose a network-based SEIR epidemic model with saturation treatment function. Then we use the SEIR epidemic model to prove the positivity and boundedness of understanding.
In the classic compartmental model, each individual has the same probability of contact with an infected individual. However, when the population is large, it is generally believed that factors such as exposure heterogeneity should be considered. Therefore, a complicated network is added to the infectious disease model to describe contact and so on. In a complex network work, each individual corresponds to a node of the network, and the interaction between two individuals corresponds to a link between two nodes.
On the basis of reference [31], we consider the following network-based SEIR epidemic model.
The flow diagram of the state transition is depicted in Figure 1.
The dynamic equations can be written as
dSk(t)dt=π−βkSk(t)θ(t)−μSk(t),dEk(t)dt=βkSk(t)θ(t)−pβkEk(t)θ(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t),dIk(t)dt=pβkEk(t)θ(t)+δEk(t)−rIk(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t),dRk(t)dt=rIk(t)1+αθ(t)+γIk(t)−μRk(t) | (2.1) |
The explanation of the parameters is the same as in reference [31]. θ(t) describes a link pointing to an infected node, which satisfies the relation θ(t)=1⟨k⟩∑kkp(k)Ik(t), p(k) is a degree distribution, ⟨k⟩=n∑k=1kp(k) describes the average degree. Here, we assume that the connectivities of nodes in network at each time are uncorrelated.
rIk(t)1+αθ(t) represents the recovery of the k-th infection group after treatment.
g(θ)=1⟨k⟩n∑h=1hP(h)rIh(t)1+αθ(t)=rθ(t)1+αθ(t) represents the probability that a given edge is connected to an infected node that is recovering through treatment. Similar to the processing function given in reference [26], g is a saturation processing function.
In the following cases, we make the following assumptions: (ⅰ) all new births are susceptible; (ⅱ) the total number of nodes is constant, and the number of deaths is equal to the number of births, so π=μ; (ⅲ) assume that the degree of each node is time-invariant.
Nk is a constant, stands for the number of nodes with degree k. Then Nk=Sk+Ek+Ik+Rk,k=1,2,···,n and ∑kNk=N.
For the practice, the initial condition for model (2.1) satisfy:
{0≤Sk(0),Ek(0),Ik(0),Rk(0),≤Nk,Sk(0)+Ek(0)+Ik(0)+Rk(0)=Nk,k=1,2,⋯,n | (2.2) |
The probability 0≤θ(t)≤1 describes a link pointing to an infected host, which satisfies the relation
θ(t)=1⟨k⟩∑kkP(k)Ik(t), | (2.3) |
At t time, the global ensity is
S(t)=n∑k=1P(k)Sk(t),E(t)=n∑k=1P(k)Ek(t),I(t)=n∑k=1P(k)Ik(t),R(t)=n∑k=1P(k)Rk(t) |
Because
d(Sk(t)+Ek(t)+Ik(t)+Rk(t))dt=0 |
For the sake of convenience. it is assumed that the system has been normalized, so there are Sk(t)+Ek(t)+Ik(t)+Rk(t)=1, So the positive invariant set of system (3.1) is
Ω={(Sk(t),Ek(t),Ik(t),Rk(t)):Sk(t)>0,Ek(t)≥0,Ik(t))≥0, |
Rk(t)≥0,Sk(t)+Ek(t)+Ik(t)+Rk(t)=1} |
Lemma 1. Suppose that Sk(t),Ek(t),Ik(t),Rk(t) is a solution of model (2.1) satisfying initial conditions of Eq.(2.2). Then Ω={(S1,E1,I1,R1⋯,Sn,En, In,Rn):Sk≥0,Ek≥0, Ik≥0,Rk≥0,Sk+Ek+Ik+Rk=1,k=1,2,⋯,n} is a positively invariant for model (2.1).
Proof. First, we proved that Ek(t)≥0 for any t>0. If not, as Ek(0)>0, there exist k0∈{1,2,···,n} and t∗ such that t∗=inf{t⏐Ek0(t)=0,˙Ek0(t)<0}. On the hand, according to the definition of t∗, we have Ek0(t∗)=0,˙Ek0(t∗)<0 and Ek0(t)>0 for 0≤t<t∗. From the second equation of model (2.1), we obtain ˙Ek0(t∗)=βk0λSk0(t∗)θ(t∗)<0, which leads to Sk0(t∗)<0. On the other hand, in the time interval [0,t∗], from the first equation of model (3.1), we have ˙Sk0(t)≥−βkSk0(t)θ(t)−μSk0(t), which implies Sk0(t)≥Sk0(0)e−βkθ(t)−μ≥0 for 0≤t≤t∗. In particular, it follows Sk0(t∗)≥0. It is a contradiction, so Ek(t)≥0 for any t>0. Using the same method, we can verify Sk(t)≥0, Ik(t)≥0 and Rk(t)≥0 for any t>0.
The proof is complete.
Theorem 1. Basic reproduction number of system (2.1) is R0=βδ(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩. If R0<1, the system (2.1) has only virus-free quilibrium; if R0>1, then system (2.1) has endemic equilibrium.
Proof. Assuming that E=(S1,E1,I1,R1,⋯,Sn,En,In,Rn) is the unique balance of system (2.1), then E should satisfy
The equilibria of system (2.1) are determined by setting
{βkSkθ−pβkEkθ−(μ+δ)Ek=0,pβkEkθ+δEk−rIk1+αθ−(μ+γ)Ik=0,rIk1+αθ+γIk−μRk=0,Sk+Ek+Ik+Rk=1,k=1,2,⋯,n | (3.1) |
After calculation, there is
{Sk=1βkθ(pβkθ+μ+δ)1pβkθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)Ik,Ek=1pβkθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)Ik,Rk=1μ(r1+αθ+γ)Ik,{pβkθ+μ+δβkθ(pβkθ+δ)(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+1pβkθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+1+1μ(r1+αθ+γ)}Ik=1 | (3.2) |
This implies that
Ik=βkθpβkθ+μ+δpβkθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βkθpβkθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βkθ+βkθμ(r1+αθ+γ) | (3.3) |
Substituting Ik into system (2.3), we have
θ=1⟨k⟩n∑h=1hP(h)Ih=1⟨k⟩n∑h=1hP(h)βhθpβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθ+βhθμ(r1+αθ+γ) | (3.4) |
θ[1−1⟨k⟩n∑h=1βh2P(h)pβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθpβhΘ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθ+βhθμ(r1+αθ+γ)]=0
Define
F(θ)=1−1⟨k⟩n∑h=1βh2P(h)pβhΘ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθ+βhθμ(r1+αθ+γ)
Because
F(1)>1−1⟨k⟩n∑h=1βh2P(h)βh=0 |
and F is continuous on [0,1]. According to the intermediate value theorem, if F(0)<0, then F(θ)=0 has a positive solution. While
F(0)=1−1⟨k⟩n∑h=1βh2P(h)μ+δδ(r+μ+γ)<0 |
namely
βδ(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩>1 |
Then let R0=βδ(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩. If R0<1, the system (2.1) has only disease-free quilibrium E0; if R0>1, then system (1) has endemic equilibrium.
Remark 1. One can also obtain the same basic reproduction number by using the method of second generation matrix [32], where indicates that if R0<1, then the disease-free equilibrium E0 of model (2.1) is locally asymptotically stable; if R0>1, then E0 is unstable.
Theorem 2. For system (2.1), if R0<1, then the free quilibrium E0 is locally asymptotically stable.
Proof. 1. Since Sk+Ek+Ik+Rk=1 system (2.1) is converted into an equivalent system:
dSk(t)dt=π−βkSk(t)θ(t)−μSk(t),dEk(t)dt=βkSk(t)θ(t)−pβkEk(t)θ(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t),dIk(t)dt=pβkEk(t)θ(t)+δEk(t)−rIk(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t) | (3.5) |
The Jacobian matrix of model (3.5) at disease-free equilibrium J2n×2n is given by:
JE0=(J11J12J13J21J22J23J31J31J33) |
and
J11=(−μ0⋯00−μ⋯0⋯⋯⋯⋯00⋯−μ) |
J22=(−(μ+δ)0⋯00−(μ+δ)⋯0⋯⋯⋯⋯00⋯−(μ+δ)) |
J33=(−r−(μ+γ)0⋯00−r−(μ+γ)⋯0⋯⋯⋯⋯00⋯−r−(μ+γ)) |
J12=J21=J31==(00⋯000⋯0⋯⋯⋯⋯00⋯0) |
J13=(−β⋅11⋅p(1)⟨k⟩−β⋅12⋅p(2)⟨k⟩⋯−β⋅1n⋅p(n)⟨k⟩−β⋅21⋅p(1)⟨k⟩−β⋅22⋅p(2)⟨k⟩⋯−β⋅2n⋅p(n)⟨k⟩⋯⋯⋯⋯−β⋅n1⋅p(1)⟨k⟩−β⋅n2⋅p(2)⟨k⟩⋯−β⋅nn⋅p(n)⟨k⟩) |
J23=(β⋅11⋅p(1)⟨k⟩β⋅12⋅p(2)⟨k⟩⋯β⋅1n⋅p(n)⟨k⟩β⋅21⋅p(1)⟨k⟩β⋅22⋅p(2)⟨k⟩⋯β⋅2n⋅p(n)⟨k⟩⋯⋯⋯⋯β⋅n1⋅p(1)⟨k⟩β⋅n2⋅p(2)⟨k⟩⋯β⋅nn⋅p(n)⟨k⟩) |
The characteristic equation of the disease-free equilibrium is
(λ+μ)n(λ+μ+δ)n−1(λ+r+μ+γ)n−1[(λ+μ+δ)(λ+r+μ+γ)−δβ⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩]=0 |
The eigenvalues of JE0 are all negative when R0<1, the disease-free equilibrium E0 of model (2.1) is locally asymptotically stable when R0<1.
Theorem 3. For system (2.1), Denote ˆR0=β⟨k2⟩(r1+α+μ+γ)⟨k⟩. If ˆR0<1, then the free quilibrium E0 is globally asymptotically stable.
Proof. Constructing a lyapunov function:
V=n∑k=1kP(k)⟨k⟩{Sk(t)−1−lnSk(t)+Ek(t)+Ik(t)} |
Deriving the V function along system (2.1),
dVdt|(2.1)=n∑k=1kP(k)⟨k⟩{S′k(t)−S′k(t)Sk(t)+E′k(t)+I′k(t)}=n∑k=1kP(k)⟨k⟩{(1−1Sk(t)){π−βkSk(t)θ(t)−μSk(t)+βkSk(t)θ(t)−pβkEk(t)θ(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t)+pβkEk(t)θ(t)+δEk(t)−rIk(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t)}=n∑k=1kP(k)⟨k⟩{π−βkSk(t)θ(t)−μSk(t)−πSk(t)+βkθ(t)+μ+βkSk(t)θ(t)−pβkEk(t)θ(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t)+pβkEk(t)θ(t)+δEk(t)−rIk(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t)}=n∑k=1kP(k)⟨k⟩π{1−μSk(t)π−1Sk(t)+μπ}+n∑k=1kP(k)⟨k⟩{βkθ(t)−rIk(t)1+αθ(t)−μEk(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t)} |
We now claim that if 0<Sk(t)<1, the first term is negative. In fact, because of π=μ, we have
1−μSk(t)π−1Sk(t)+μπ=[1−Sk(t)][1−1Sk(t)]<0 |
This means
dVdt|(2.1)≤∑kkP(k)⟨k⟩{βkθ(t)−rIk(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t)}=β⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩θ(t)−rθ(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)θ(t) |
Because 0<Ik(t)<1 for all k, we know that 0<θ(t)<1. Therefore
dVdt|(2.1)≤[β⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩−r1+α−(μ+γ)]θ(t)=(r1+α+μ+γ))(ˆR0−1)θ(t) |
If ˆR0<1, dVdt|(2.1)≤0. The equation holds if and only if Ik(t)=0. For the limit system E′k(t)=−(μ+δ)Ek(t), it is easy to see that limt→+∞Ek(t)=0, For the limit system R′k(t)=−μRk(t), it is easy to see that limt→+∞Rk(t)=0.Finally, from Sk(t)+Ek(t)+Ik(t)+Rk(t)=1, we get limt→+∞Sk(t)=1. According to the LaSalle invariant principle, E0 is globally attractive. Combining the locally asymptotically stability, we conclued that the free quilibrium E0 is globally asymptotically stable.
We noticed that in Theorem 3, the disease-free equilibrium E0 is globally asymptotically stable only when ˆR0<1. In addition, you can see that R0<ˆR0. This prompts us to think about whether the disease can persist even if R0<1.
In this section, we will determine whether there is a backward bifurcation at R0=1. More accurately, we derive the condition for determining the bifurcation direction at R0=1. let us find endemic equilibria. At an endemic equilibrium, we have Ik>0 for all k=1,2,...,n, which means θ>0. From F(θ)=0, we can see that the unique equilibrium should satisfy the following equation :
1⟨k⟩n∑h=1βh2P(h)pβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+βhθ+βhθμ(r1+αθ+γ)=1 | (4.1) |
The denominator and numerator are multiplied by the quantity δ⟨k2⟩(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ+μd)⟨k⟩, which can be expressed by R0 and θ as follows:
1⟨k⟩n∑h=1R0h2P(h)δ⟨k2⟩(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩pβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+R0hθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ+μd)+R0hθ+R0hθμ(r1+αθ+γ)=1
If the local θ is a function of R0, the sign of the bifurcation direction is the slope at (R0,θ)=(1,0) (cf. Figure 2). More specifically, if the derivative is positive at the critical value (R0,θ)=(1,0), that is
∂θ∂R0|(R0,θ)=(1,0)>0 |
the endemic equilibrium curve diverges forward. Conversely, if the derivative is negative at the critical value (R0,θ)=(1,0), that is
∂θ∂R0|(R0,θ)=(1,0)<0 |
the local equilibrium curve diverges backward.
1⟨k⟩n∑h=1I1−I2{δ⟨k2⟩(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩pβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+R0hθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+R0hθ+R0hθμ(r1+αθ+γ)}2=0
I1=h2P(h){δ⟨k2⟩(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩pβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+R0hθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+R0hθ+R0hθμ(r1+αθ+γ)} |
where
I1|R0=1θ=0=h2P(h)⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩ |
where
I2=R0h2P(h){δ⟨k2⟩(μ+δ)(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩[−μpβh(pβhθ+δ)2(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+pβhθ+μ+δpβhθ+δ−rα(1+αθ)2]∂θ∂R0+hθpβhθ+δ(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+[R0hδ(pβhθ+δ)2(r1+αθ+μ+γ)+R0hθpβhθ+δ−rα(1+αθ)2]∂θ∂R0+hθ+R0h∂θ∂R0+hθμ(r1+αθ+γ)+[R0hμ(r1+αθ+γ)+R0hθμ−rα(1+αθ)2]∂θ∂R0} |
I2|R0=1θ=0=h2P(h){−hpβμ⟨k2⟩δ(μ+δ)⟨k⟩−rα⟨k2⟩(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩+hδ(r+μ+γ)+h+hμ(r+γ)}∂θ∂R0 |
Substituting R0=1 amd θ=0 into Eq (4.1), we have
1⟨k⟩n∑h=1h2P(h)⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩−{−hpβμ⟨k2⟩δ(μ+δ)⟨k⟩−rα⟨k2⟩(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩+hδ(r+μ+γ)+h+hμ(r+γ)}∂θ∂R0(⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩)2=0 |
This yields
1⟨k⟩n∑h=1h2P(h){−hpβμ⟨k2⟩δ(μ+δ)⟨k⟩−rα⟨k2⟩(r+μ+γ)⟨k⟩+hδ(r+μ+γ)+h+hμ(r+γ)}∂θ∂R0(⟨k2⟩⟨k⟩)2=1 |
From this we have
{−pβμ⟨k3⟩δ(μ+δ)⟨k2⟩−rαr+μ+γ+r+μ+γδ⟨k⟩⟨k3⟩⟨k2⟩2+⟨k⟩⟨k3⟩⟨k2⟩2+r+γμ⟨k⟩⟨k3⟩⟨k2⟩}∂θ∂R0|R0=1θ=0=1 | (4.2) |
We can from Eq (4.2) that
∂θ∂R0|(R0,θ)=(1,0)<0⇔α>r+μ+γr[r+μ+γδ+1+r+γμ−pβμ⟨k2⟩δ(μ+δ)⟨k⟩]⟨k⟩⟨k3⟩⟨k2⟩2 |
To conclude, we have the following theorem:
Theorem 4. System (2.1) has backward bifurcation at R0=1 if and only if
α>r+μ+γr[r+μ+γδ+1+r+γμ−pβμ⟨k2⟩δ(μ+δ)⟨k⟩]⟨k⟩⟨k3⟩⟨k2⟩2 | (4.3) |
where ⟨k2⟩=n∑h=1h2P(h), ⟨k3⟩=n∑h=1h3P(h).
It can be seen from Theorem 4 that the nonlinear processing function does play a key role in causing backward bifurcation. More precisely, if α is large enough to satisfy condition (4.3), backward bifurcation will occur. Otherwise, when this effect is weak, there is no backward bifurcation.
In order to achieve the control goal and reduce the control cost, the optimal control theory is a feasible method.
Due to practical needs, we define a limited terminal time. Then, model (2.1) is rewritten as
dSk(t)dt=π−βkSk(t)θ(t)−μSk(t),dEk(t)dt=βkSk(t)θ(t)−pβkEk(t)θ(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t),dIk(t)dt=pβkEk(t)θ(t)+δEk(t)−rk(t)Ik(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t),dRk(t)dt=rk(t)Ik(t)1+αθ(t)+γIk(t)−μRk(t) | (5.1) |
The objective function is set as
J(rk(t))=∫T0n∑k=1[Ik(t)+12Akr2k(t)]dt, | (5.2) |
with Lagrangian
L(X(t),rk(t))=n∑k=1[Ik(t)+12Akr2k(t)] | (5.3) |
Our objective is to find a optimal control r∗k(t) such that
J(r∗k(t))=minU∫T0L(X(t),rk(t))dt | (5.4) |
where U={rk,0≤rk(t)≤1,t∈[0,T]} is the control set. Next we will analyze the optimal control problem.
In order to obtain the analytic solution of the optimal control, we need to prove the existence of the optimal control first. The following lemma comes from reference [33].
Lemma 2. If the following five conditions can be met simultaneously:
(C1) U is closed and convex.
(C2) There is r∈Usuch that the constraint dynamical system is solvable.
(C3) F(X(t),rk(t)) is bounded by a linear function in X.
(C4) L(X(t),rk(t)) is concave on U.
(C5) L(X(t),rk(t))≥c1‖r‖φ2+C2 for some φ>1, c1>0 and c2.
Then the optimal control problem has an optimal solution.
Theorem 5. There exists an optimal solution r∗(t) stastify the control system.
Proof. Let us show that the five conditions in Lemma 3 hold true.
ⅰ) It is easy to prove the control set U is closed and convex. Suppose r is a limit point of U, there exists a sequence of points {rn}∞n=1, we have r∈(L2[0,T])n. The closedness of U follows from 0≤r=limn→∞rn≤1.
Let r1,r2∈U, η∈(0,1), we have 0≤(1−η)r1+ηr2≤1∈(L2[0,T])n as (L2[0,T])n is a real vector space.
ⅱ) For any control variable r∈U, the solution of system (12) obviously exists following from the Continuation Theorm for Differential Systems [34].
ⅲ) Let the function F(X(t),rk(t)) resprensts the right side of model (5.1), F is continuous, bounded and can be written as a linear function of X in three state.
−βkSk(t)−μSk(t)≤−βkSk(t)θ(t)−μSk(t)≤˙Sk(t)≤π, |
−pβkEk(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t)≤−pβkEk(t)θ(t)−(μ+δ)Ek(t)≤˙Ek(t)≤βkSk(t), |
−rk(t)Ik(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t)≤−rk(t)Ik(t)1+αθ(t)−(μ+γ)Ik(t)≤˙Ik(t)≤pβkEk(t)+(μ+δ)Ek(t), |
−μRk(t)≤˙Rk(t)≤rk(t)Ik(t)1+αθ(t)+γIk(t)≤rk(t)Ik(t). |
ⅳ) L(X(t),rk(t)) is concave on U. We calculate the function ∂2L∂r2=rk(t)≥0, so the function L is concave on U.
ⅴ) Since Ik(t)≥0, L≥n∑k=112Akr2k(t)≥12min{Ak}‖r‖22. There exsits φ=2, C1=12min{Ak} and C2=0 such that L(X(t),rk(t))≥c1‖r‖φ2+C2.
In this section, we will deal with the OCP based on the Pontryagin Maximum Principle [35]. Define the Hamiltonian H as
H=n∑k=1[Ik(t)+12Akr2k(t)]+n∑k=1[λ1k(t)˙Sk(t)+λ2k(t)˙Ek(t)+λ3k(t)˙Ik(t)+λ4k(t)˙Rk(t)] |
where λ1k(t),λ2k(t),λ3k(t),λ4k(t) are the adjoint variables to be determined later.
Theorem 6. Let S∗k(t), E∗k(t), I∗k(t), R∗k(t),k=1,2,⋯,n be the optimal state solutions of dynamic model (5.1) related to the optimal control r∗(t)=(r∗1(t),r∗2(t),⋯,r∗n(t)). Let θ∗(t)=n∑k=1kp(k)I∗k(t)⟨k⟩. And there exist adjoint varibles λ1k(t), λ2k(t), λ3k(t), λ4k(t) that satisfy
{˙λ1k(t)=βkθ∗(t)[λ1k(t)−λ2k(t)]+μλ1k(t),˙λ2k(t)=pβkθ∗(t)[λ2k(t)−λ3k(t)]+δ[λ2k(t)−λ3k(t)]+μλ2k(t),˙λ3k(t)=−1+1⟨k⟩βkP(k)n∑k=1kS∗k(t)(λ1k(t)−λ2k(t))+1⟨k⟩pβkP(k)n∑k=1kE∗k(t)(λ2k(t)−λ3k(t))+r∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)(λ3k(t)−λ4k(t))−r∗k(t)αkP(k)(1+αθ∗(t))2⟨k⟩n∑k=1I∗k(t)(λ3k(t)−λ4k(t))+(μ+γ)λ3k(t)−γλ4k(t),˙λ4k(t)=μλ4k(t) |
with transversality condition
λ1k(T)=λ2k(T)=λ3k(T)=λ4k(T)=0,k=1,2,⋯,n |
In addition, the optimal control r∗k(t) is given by
r∗k(t)=min{max(0,1Bk{I∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)[λ3k(t)−λ4k(t)]}),1}. |
Proof. According to the Pontryagin Maximum Principle [cankaowenxian] with the Hamiltonianfunction, the adjoint equations can be determined by the following equations
dλ1k(t)dt=−∂H∂Sk|Sk(t)=S∗k(t),Ek(t)=E∗k(t),Ik(t)=I∗k(t),Rk(t)=R∗k(t)=βkθ∗(t)[λ1k(t)−λ2k(t)]+μλ1k(t),dλ2k(t)dt=−∂H∂Ek|Sk(t)=S∗k(t),Ek(t)=E∗k(t),Ik(t)=I∗k(t),Rk(t)=R∗k(t)=pβkθ∗(t)[λ2k(t)−λ3k(t)]+δ[λ2k(t)−λ3k(t)]+μλ2k(t),dλ3k(t)dt=−∂H∂Ik|Sk(t)=S∗k(t),Ek(t)=E∗k(t),Ik(t)=I∗k(t),Rk(t)=R∗k(t)=−1+1⟨k⟩βkP(k)n∑k=1kS∗k(t)(λ1k(t)−λ2k(t))+1⟨k⟩pβkP(k)n∑k=1kE∗k(t)(λ2k(t)−λ3k(t))+r∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)(λ3k(t)−λ4k(t))−r∗k(t)αkP(k)(1+αθ∗(t))2⟨k⟩n∑k=1I∗k(t)(λ3k(t)−λ4k(t))+(μ+γ+μd)λ3k(t)−γλ4k(t),dλ4k(t)dt=−∂H∂Rk|Sk(t)=S∗k(t),Ek(t)=E∗k(t),Ik(t)=I∗k(t),Rk(t)=R∗k(t)=μλ4k(t) | (5.5) |
Furthermore, by the necessary condition, we have
∂H∂rk|Sk(t)=S∗k(t),Ek(t)=E∗k(t),Ik(t)=I∗k(t),Rk(t)=R∗k(t)=0 | (5.6) |
Bkr∗k(t)+I∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)[λ4k(t)−λ3k(t)]=0 | (5.7) |
r∗k(t)=1Bk{I∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)[λ3k(t)−λ4k(t)]}. | (5.8) |
So the optimal control problem can be determined by the following system:
{dS∗k(t)dt=π−βkS∗k(t)θ∗(t)−μS∗k(t),dE∗k(t)dt=βkS∗k(t)θ∗(t)−pβkE∗k(t)θ∗(t)−(μ+δ)E∗k(t),dI∗k(t)dt=pβkE∗k(t)θ∗(t)+δE∗k(t)−r∗k(t)Ik(t)1+αθ∗(t)−(μ+γ)I∗k(t),dR∗k(t)dt=r∗k(t)Ik(t)1+αθ∗(t)+γI∗k(t)−μR∗k(t)˙λ1k(t)=βkθ∗(t)[λ1k(t)−λ2k(t)]+μλ1k(t),˙λ2k(t)=pβkθ∗(t)[λ2k(t)−λ3k(t)]+δ[λ2k(t)−λ3k(t)]+μλ2k(t),˙λ3k(t)=−1+1⟨k⟩βkP(k)n∑k=1kS∗k(t)(λ1k(t)−λ2k(t))+1⟨k⟩pβkP(k)n∑k=1kE∗k(t)(λ2k(t)−λ3k(t))+r∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)(λ3k(t)−λ4k(t))−r∗k(t)αkP(k)(1+αθ∗(t))2⟨k⟩n∑k=1I∗k(t)(λ3k(t)−λ4k(t))+(μ+γ)λ3k(t)−γλ4k(t),˙λ4k(t)=μλ4k(t),r∗k(t)=min{max(0,1Bk{I∗k(t)1+αθ∗(t)[λ3k(t)−λ4k(t)]}),1}. | (5.9) |
with initial condition
{0<S∗k(0)<1,0<I∗k(0)<1,E∗k(0)=0,R∗k(0)=0,S∗k(0)+I∗k(0)=1, | (5.10) |
and transversality condition
λ1k(T)=λ2k(T)=λ3k(T)=λ4k(T)=0,k=1,2,⋯,n | (5.11) |
Owing to our models are network-based models, it is indispensable to carry out stochastic simulations as well as numerical simulations. The validity of the model can be better verified by means of combinating numerical simulations of differential system and node-based stochastic simulations.
In the following examples, numerical simulations is implementedby using the classic BA scale-free network model generation algorithm. We consider scale-free networks with degree distribution P(k)=ηk−2.5 for h=1,2,...,100, where the constant η is chosen to maintain 100∑k=1p(k)=1. Under the aforementioned conditions, we can obtain ⟨k⟩=1.7995, ⟨k2⟩=13.8643, ⟨k3⟩=500.7832.
Optimality system (5.9) is solved by using the forward-backward Runge-Kutta fourth order method [36].
he setting of the parameters of the models are summarized in Table 1. To note that the parameters can be changed according to various application scenarios.
Parameter | Value |
π | 0.1 |
δ | 0.8 |
μ | 0.01 |
γ | 0.001 |
p | 0.15 |
β | 0.08 |
Example 1. The first example is used to verify the threshold and stability results of the model. For the network, in the case of Figure 3 (a), (b), (c), we draw the trajectory of the average number of infected n∑k=1p(k)I∗k when R0<1, R0=1, and R0>1.
Example 2. In the second example, we study the case of forward bifurcation. We choose parameter α=22,25,28,31 to describe the bifurcation diagram in Figure 3, showing a positive bifurcation when R0=1. An interesting observation is that the local balance curve has an "S-shaped" α value. In this case, there is backward bifurcation from an endemic equilibrium at a certain value of R0, which leads to the existence of multiple characteristic balances.
Example 3. The third example shows the effectiveness of the optimal control strategy. We choose parameter α=31. The initial conditions are Sk(0)=0.9, Ek(0)=0, Ik(0)=0.1, Rk(0)=0. For the optimal control problems, the weights parameters are set as Ak=0.8, T=10. Through strategy simulation, the mean value of optimal control is obtained ⟨r⟩=1T∫T0r∗k(t)dt. The average value of the control measures is shown in the middle column of Figure 4. The left column shows the average number of infections for different control strategies, and the right column shows the cost. It can be seen from Figure 3 that in each case, the optimal control effect has reached the maximum control effect, but the cost is lower.
In order to understand the impact of limited medical resources and population heterogeneity on disease transmission, this paper proposes a SEIR model with a saturated processing function based on a complex network. The model proved that there is a threshold R0, which determines the stability of the disease-free equilibrium point. In addition, we also proved that there is a backward branch at R0=1. In this case, people cannot eradicate the disease unless the value of R0 decreases such that R0<ˆR0<1. In summary, in order to control or prevent infectious diseases, our research results show that if a backward bifurcation occurs at R0=1, then we need a stronger condition to eliminate the disease. However, if a positive bifurcation occurs at R0=1, the initial infectious invasion may need to be controlled at a low level, so that disease or death or close to a low endemic state of stability.
For the SEIR model with saturation processing function, in order to formulate effective countermeasures, two methods of constant control and time-varying control are introduced to control the model. For the optimal defense situation, the optimal control problem is discussed, including the existence and uniqueness of the optimal control and its solution. Finally, we performed some numerical simulations to illustrate the theoretical results. Optimal control does achieve a balance between control objectives and control costs.
Research Project Supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 1191278), the Fund for Shanxi 1331KIRT and Shanxi Natural Science Foundation (Grant No. 201801D121153, 201901D111179).
The authors declare there is no conflict of interest in this paper.
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Parameter | Value |
π | 0.1 |
δ | 0.8 |
μ | 0.01 |
γ | 0.001 |
p | 0.15 |
β | 0.08 |