Research article Special Issues

Modeling the effect of random diagnoses on the spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia


  • Received: 20 May 2022 Revised: 16 June 2022 Accepted: 21 June 2022 Published: 08 July 2022
  • Saudi Arabia was among the countries that attempted to manage the COVID-19 pandemic by developing strategies to control the epidemic. Lockdown, social distancing and random diagnostic tests are among these strategies. In this study, we formulated a mathematical model to investigate the impact of employing random diagnostic tests to detect asymptomatic COVID-19 patients. The model has been examined qualitatively and numerically. Two equilibrium points were obtained: the COVID-19 free equilibrium and the COVID-19 endemic equilibrium. The local and global asymptotic stability of the equilibrium points depends on the control reproduction number Rc. The model was validated by employing the Saudi Ministry of Health COVID-19 dashboard data. Numerical simulations were conducted to substantiate the qualitative results. Further, sensitivity analysis was performed on Rc to scrutinize the significant parameters for combating COVID-19. Finally, different scenarios for implementing random diagnostic tests were explored numerically along with the control strategies applied in Saudi Arabia.

    Citation: Salma M. Al-Tuwairqi, Sara K. Al-Harbi. Modeling the effect of random diagnoses on the spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2022, 19(10): 9792-9824. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022456

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  • Saudi Arabia was among the countries that attempted to manage the COVID-19 pandemic by developing strategies to control the epidemic. Lockdown, social distancing and random diagnostic tests are among these strategies. In this study, we formulated a mathematical model to investigate the impact of employing random diagnostic tests to detect asymptomatic COVID-19 patients. The model has been examined qualitatively and numerically. Two equilibrium points were obtained: the COVID-19 free equilibrium and the COVID-19 endemic equilibrium. The local and global asymptotic stability of the equilibrium points depends on the control reproduction number Rc. The model was validated by employing the Saudi Ministry of Health COVID-19 dashboard data. Numerical simulations were conducted to substantiate the qualitative results. Further, sensitivity analysis was performed on Rc to scrutinize the significant parameters for combating COVID-19. Finally, different scenarios for implementing random diagnostic tests were explored numerically along with the control strategies applied in Saudi Arabia.



    Numerical investigation and improvement of the aerodynamic performance of a modified elliptical-bladed Savonius-style wind turbine. By Sri Kurniati, Sudirman Syam and Arifin Sanusi. AIMS Energy, 2023, Volume 11, Issue 6: 1211–1230. Doi: 10.3934/energy.2023055

    The authors would like to make the following corrections to the published paper [1].

    On page 1213, we updated the contents of "one symbol statement: ρ" in section 2. The updated contents are as follows:

    - ρ is the the density of air,

    On page 1215, we updated the contents of "Eq 16" in section 2. The updated contents are as follows:

    ϕϕt+(V)(ΓV)=R (16)

    On page 1216, we updated the contents of "Table 2" in section 2. The updated contents are as follows:

    Table 2.  The terms in the general transfer equation Eq 16.
    ϕt+(V)(ΓV)=R(16)
    l Γ
    1 U vt 1ρρx+x(vtux)+y(vtvx)+z(vtwx)+gx
    2 V vt 1ρρy+x(vtuy)+y(vtvy)+z(vtwy)+gy
    3 W vt 1ρρz+x(vtuz)+y(vtvz)+z(vtwz)+gz
    4 1 0 0
    5 K vt/ Gε
    6 ε vt/ C1εkGc2εkε

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    All authors declare no conflicts of interest in this paper.



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