Research article

Asymptotic behavior and numerical simulation of a stochastic multi-group SEIR epidemic model with infinite distributed delays

  • Published: 14 May 2026
  • MSC : 34K20, 60G51, 60H10, 92D30

  • In this paper, we studied the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic multi-group Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) epidemic model with infinite distributed delays and Lévy jumps. First, by the methods of Lyapunov functions, Itô's formula, and the theory of stopping times, we proved the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution to the stochastic delayed system. Furthermore, by using appropriate Lyapunov functions, graph theory and stochastic analysis, we established the asymptotic dynamical behaviors around the disease-free equilibrium $ P_{0} $ and the endemic equilibrium $ P^{*} $ of the deterministic system, respectively. It was shown that if the threshold $ R_{0} < 1 $, the solution of the stochastic delayed system oscillates around the disease-free equilibrium $ P_{0} $; while if $ R_{0} > 1 $, the solution fluctuates around the endemic equilibrium $ P^{*} $. Finally, numerical simulations were performed to intuitively analyze the impact of Lévy noise on the dynamical behavior of the stochastic delayed system.

    Citation: Die Sun, Yingjia Guo. Asymptotic behavior and numerical simulation of a stochastic multi-group SEIR epidemic model with infinite distributed delays[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2026, 11(5): 13412-13448. doi: 10.3934/math.2026553

    Related Papers:

  • In this paper, we studied the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic multi-group Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) epidemic model with infinite distributed delays and Lévy jumps. First, by the methods of Lyapunov functions, Itô's formula, and the theory of stopping times, we proved the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution to the stochastic delayed system. Furthermore, by using appropriate Lyapunov functions, graph theory and stochastic analysis, we established the asymptotic dynamical behaviors around the disease-free equilibrium $ P_{0} $ and the endemic equilibrium $ P^{*} $ of the deterministic system, respectively. It was shown that if the threshold $ R_{0} < 1 $, the solution of the stochastic delayed system oscillates around the disease-free equilibrium $ P_{0} $; while if $ R_{0} > 1 $, the solution fluctuates around the endemic equilibrium $ P^{*} $. Finally, numerical simulations were performed to intuitively analyze the impact of Lévy noise on the dynamical behavior of the stochastic delayed system.



    加载中


    [1] A. Lajmanovich, J. Yorke, A deterministic model for gonorrhea in a non-homogeneous population, Math. Biosci., 28 (1976), 221–236. https://doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(76)90125-5 doi: 10.1016/0025-5564(76)90125-5
    [2] E. Beretta, V. Capasso, Global stability results for a multigroup SIR epidemic model, Proceedings of Trieste Research Conference on Mathematical Ecologym, 1986,317–342.
    [3] H. Guo, M. Li, Z. Shuai, Global stability of the endemic equilibrium of multigroup SIR epidemic models, Canadian Applied Mathematics Quarterly, 14 (2006), 259–284.
    [4] H. Guo, M. Li, Z. Shuai, A graph-theoretic approach to the method of global Lyapunov functions, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 136 (2008), 2793–2802. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-08-09341-6 doi: 10.1090/S0002-9939-08-09341-6
    [5] J. Wang, J. Wang, T. Kuniya, Analysis of an age-structured multi-group heroin epidemic model, Appl. Math. Comput., 347 (2019), 78–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2018.11.012 doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2018.11.012
    [6] C. Gupta, N. Tuncer, M. Martcheva, A network immuno-epidemiological model of HIV and opioid epidemics, Math. Biosci. Eng., 20 (2023), 4040–4068. https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2023189 doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023189
    [7] A. Chizhov, L. Pujo-Menjouet, T. Schwalger, M. Sensi, A refractory density approach to a multi-scale SEIRS epidemic model, Infectious Disease Modelling, 10 (2025), 787–801. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2025.03.004 doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2025.03.004
    [8] M. De La Sen, A. Ibeas, Stability results for switched linear systems with constant discrete delays, Math. Probl. Eng., 2008 (2008), 543145. https://doi.org/10.1155/2008/543145 doi: 10.1155/2008/543145
    [9] K. Cooke, S. Busenberg, Vertically transmitted diseases, Proceedings of the International Conference on Nonlinear Phenomena in Mathematical Sciences, 1982,189–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-434170-8.50029-7
    [10] H. Thieme, Persistence under relaxed point-dissipativity with application to an endemic model, SIAM J. Math. Anal., 24 (1993), 407–435. https://doi.org/10.1137/0524026 doi: 10.1137/0524026
    [11] E. Beretta, Y. Takeuchi, Global stability of an SIR epidemic model with time delays, J. Math. Biol., 33 (1995), 250. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00169563 doi: 10.1007/BF00169563
    [12] W. Ma, Y. Takeuchi, T. Hara, E. Beretta, Permanence of an SIR epidemic model with distributed time delays, Tohoku Math. J., 54 (2002), 581–591. https://doi.org/10.2748/tmj/1113247650 doi: 10.2748/tmj/1113247650
    [13] M. Y. Li, Z. Shuai, C. Wang, Global stability of multi-group epidemic models with distributed delays, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 361 (2010), 38–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2009.09.017 doi: 10.1016/j.jmaa.2009.09.017
    [14] M. Safi, A. Gumel, The effect of incidence functions on the dynamics of a quarantine/isolation model with time delay, Nonlinear Anal.-Real, 12 (2011), 215–235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nonrwa.2010.06.009 doi: 10.1016/j.nonrwa.2010.06.009
    [15] M. Safi, A. Gumel, E. Elbasha, Qualitative analysis of an age-structured SEIR epidemic model with treatment, Appl. Math. Comput., 219 (2013), 10627–10642. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2013.03.126 doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2013.03.126
    [16] H. Shu, D. Fan, J. Wei, Global stability of multi-group SEIR epidemic models with distributed delays and nonlinear transmission, Nonlinear Anal.-Real, 13 (2012), 1581–1592. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nonrwa.2011.11.016 doi: 10.1016/j.nonrwa.2011.11.016
    [17] M. De La Sena, S. Alonso-Quesadaa, A. Ibeas, On the stability of an SEIR epidemic model with distributed time-delay and a general class of feedback vaccination rules, Appl. Math. Comput., 270 (2015), 953–976. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2015.08.099 doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2015.08.099
    [18] W. Zhang, Q. Chen, W. Wu, Strong waves for epidemic model with time-space delay and multiple infectious stages, Appl. Anal., 105 (2026), 95–125. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036811.2025.2518172 doi: 10.1080/00036811.2025.2518172
    [19] Q. Yang, X. Mao, Extinction and recurrence of multi-group SEIR epidemic models with stochastic perturbations, Nonlinear Anal.-Real, 14 (2013), 1434–1456. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nonrwa.2012.10.007 doi: 10.1016/j.nonrwa.2012.10.007
    [20] F. Wang, S. Wang, Y. Peng, Asymptotic behavior of multigroup SEIR model with nonlinear incidence rates under stochastic perturbations, Discrete Dyn. Nat. Soc., 2020 (2020), 9367879. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/9367879 doi: 10.1155/2020/9367879
    [21] Q. Wang, K. Xiang, C. Zhu, L. Zou, Stochastic SEIR epidemic models with virus mutation and logistic growth of susceptible populations, Math. Comput. Simulat., 212 (2023), 289–309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2023.04.035 doi: 10.1016/j.matcom.2023.04.035
    [22] M. Liu, C. Bai, K. Wang, Asymptotic stability of a two-group stochastic SEIR model with infinite delays, Commun. Nonlinear Sci., 19 (2014), 3444–3453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.025 doi: 10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.025
    [23] Q. Liu, D. Jiang, N. Shi, T. Hayat, A. Alsaedi, Asymptotic behavior of stochastic multi-group epidemic models with distributed delays, Physica A, 467 (2017), 527–541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2016.10.034 doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.10.034
    [24] Q. Liu, D. Jiang, T. Hayat, B. Ahmad, Analysis of a delayed vaccinated SIR epidemic model with temporary immunity and Lévy jumps, Nonlinear Anal.-Hybri., 27 (2018), 29–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nahs.2017.08.002 doi: 10.1016/j.nahs.2017.08.002
    [25] Y. Ding, Y. Fu, Y. Kang, Stochastic analysis of COVID-19 by a SEIR model with Lévy noise, Chaos, 31 (2021), 043132. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0021108 doi: 10.1063/5.0021108
    [26] M. Sadki, K. Allali, Stochastic two-strain epidemic model with saturated incidence rates driven by Lévy noise, Math. Biosci., 375 (2024), 109262. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2024.109262 doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2024.109262
    [27] D. Applebaum, Lévy processes and stochastic calculus, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511809781
    [28] M. Siakalli, Stability properties of stochastic differential equations driven by Lévy noise, Ph. D Thesis, University of Sheffield, 2009.
    [29] D. West, Introduction to graph theory, Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall, 1996.
    [30] M. Li, Z. Shuai, Global stability problem for coupled systems of differential equations on networks, J. Differ. Equations, 248 (2010), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jde.2009.09.003 doi: 10.1016/j.jde.2009.09.003
    [31] D. Higham, An algorithmic introduction to numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations, SIAM Rev., 43 (2001), 525–546. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0036144500378302 doi: 10.1137/S0036144500378302
    [32] P. Protter, D. Talay, The euler scheme for Lévy driven stochastic differential equations, Ann. Probab., 25 (1997), 393–423. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1024404293 doi: 10.1214/aop/1024404293
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2026 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(71) PDF downloads(10) Cited by(0)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Figures(8)  /  Tables(2)

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog