Research article

Bounds for stop-loss distance of generalized multinomial model of random sum via Stein's method

  • Published: 27 February 2026
  • MSC : 60F05

  • In 1962, Tallis introduced the generalized multinomial model for a sequence of random variables $ (X_j) $. This model generalizes the independent case to a dependent structure resembling equicorrelation, which is meaningful in practice because it captures scenarios in which several risks or variables are jointly driven by a common underlying factor, causing them to move together with comparable strength. Within this model, we denote $ W = X_1+X_2+\cdots + X_N $ as a random sum with a random index $ N $, and $ Z $ as the standard normal random variable. Our goal is to establish a non-uniform bound for the stop-loss distance, $ |E(W-k)^+ - E(Z-k)^+| $. In this work, in addition to biasing ideas, we apply Stein's method together with an appropriately chosen test function, which allows us to effectively use the mean value theorem. Moreover, our results are illustrated through a realistic application involving the quantity $ E(W-k)^+ $, which arises naturally in many financial and insurance settings, as it represents the expected excess of a loss or payoff above a specified threshold $ k $.

    Citation: Punyapat Kammoo, Kritsana Neammanee, Kittipong Laipaporn. Bounds for stop-loss distance of generalized multinomial model of random sum via Stein's method[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2026, 11(2): 5092-5119. doi: 10.3934/math.2026208

    Related Papers:

  • In 1962, Tallis introduced the generalized multinomial model for a sequence of random variables $ (X_j) $. This model generalizes the independent case to a dependent structure resembling equicorrelation, which is meaningful in practice because it captures scenarios in which several risks or variables are jointly driven by a common underlying factor, causing them to move together with comparable strength. Within this model, we denote $ W = X_1+X_2+\cdots + X_N $ as a random sum with a random index $ N $, and $ Z $ as the standard normal random variable. Our goal is to establish a non-uniform bound for the stop-loss distance, $ |E(W-k)^+ - E(Z-k)^+| $. In this work, in addition to biasing ideas, we apply Stein's method together with an appropriately chosen test function, which allows us to effectively use the mean value theorem. Moreover, our results are illustrated through a realistic application involving the quantity $ E(W-k)^+ $, which arises naturally in many financial and insurance settings, as it represents the expected excess of a loss or payoff above a specified threshold $ k $.



    加载中


    [1] G. M. Tallis, The use of a generalized multinomial distribution in the estimation of correlation in discrete data, J. R. Stat. Soc. B, 24 (1962), 530–534. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1962.tb00478.x doi: 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1962.tb00478.x
    [2] F. Daly, Gamma, Gaussian and Poisson approximations for random sums using size-biased and generalized zero-biased couplings, Scand. Actuar. J., 2022 (2022), 471–487. https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2021.1984293 doi: 10.1080/03461238.2021.1984293
    [3] N. Kolev, D. Paiva, Multinomial model for random sums, Insurance Math. Econom., 37 (2005), 494–504. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.05.005 doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.05.005
    [4] N. Kolev, D. Paiva, Random sums of exchangeable variables and actuarial applications, Insurance Math. Econom., 42 (2008), 147–153. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2007.01.010 doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2007.01.010
    [5] S. D. Promislow, Fundamentals of actuarial mathematics, Wiley, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781119971528
    [6] H. You, X. Zhou, The Pareto-optimal stop-loss reinsurance, Math. Probl. Eng., 2021 (2021), 2839726. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/2839726 doi: 10.1155/2021/2839726
    [7] L. H. Y. Chen, L. Goldstein, Q. M. Shao, Normal approximation by Stein's method, Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15007-4
    [8] H. Robbins, On the asymptotic distribution of the sum of a random number of random variables, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 34 (1948), 162–163. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.34.4.162 doi: 10.1073/pnas.34.4.162
    [9] B. V. Gnedenko, V. Y. Korolev, Random summation: Limit theorems and applications, Boca Raton: CRC Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781003067894
    [10] C. Döbler, New Berry-Esseen and Wasserstein bounds in the CLT for non-randomly centered random sums by probabilistic methods, ALEA, Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat., 12 (2015), 863–902.
    [11] S. Jongpreechaharn, K. Neammanee, Normal approximation for call function via Stein's method, Comm. Statist. Theory Methods, 48 (2019), 3498–3517. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2018.1476716 doi: 10.1080/03610926.2018.1476716
    [12] K. Neammanee, N. Yonghint, Poisson approximation for call function via Stein-Chen method, Bull. Malays. Math. Sci. Soc., 43 (2020), 1135–1152. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40840-019-00729-5 doi: 10.1007/s40840-019-00729-5
    [13] P. Kammoo, K. Neammanee, K. Laipaporn, Bounds for the stop-loss distance of an independent random sum via Stein's method, AIMS Mathematics, 10 (2025), 13082–-13103. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2025587 doi: 10.3934/math.2025587
    [14] J. K. Sunklodas, $L_1$ bounds for asymptotic normality of random sums of independent random variables, Lith. Math. J., 53 (2013), 438–447. https://doi.org/10.1007/S10986-013-9220-X doi: 10.1007/S10986-013-9220-X
    [15] I. G. Shevtsova, Convergence rate estimates in the global CLT for compound mixed Poisson distributions, Theory Prob. Appl., 63 (2018), 72–93. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0040585X97T988927 doi: 10.1137/S0040585X97T988927
    [16] I. G. Shevtsova, A moment inequality with application to convergence rate estimates in the global CLT for Poisson-binomial random sums, Theory Prob. Appl., 62 (2018), 278–294. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0040585X97T988605 doi: 10.1137/S0040585X97T988605
    [17] J. K. Sunklodas, On the normal approximation of a binomial random sum, Lith. Math. J., 54 (2014), 356–365. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10986-014-9248-6 doi: 10.1007/s10986-014-9248-6
    [18] J. K. Sunklodas, On the normal approximation of a negative binomial random sum, Lith. Math. J., 55 (2015), 150–158. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10986-015-9271-2 doi: 10.1007/s10986-015-9271-2
    [19] L. Goldstein, Normal approximation for hierarchical structures, Ann. Appl. Probab., 14 (2004), 1950–1969. https://doi.org/10.1214/105051604000000440 doi: 10.1214/105051604000000440
    [20] C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, In: Proceedings of the sixth Berkeley symposium on mathematical statistics and probability, 2 (1972), 583–602.
    [21] C. Stein, Approximate computation of expectations, In: Institute of mathematical statistics lecture notes, 7 (1986), 161–164.
    [22] S. Jongpreechaharn, K. Neammanee, Non-uniform bound on normal approximation for call function of locally dependent random variables, Int. J. Math. Comput. Sci., 17 (2022), 207–216.
    [23] S. Jongpreechaharn, K. Neammanee, A constant of approximation of the expectation of call function by the expectation of normal distributed random variable, In: Proceeding for 11th conference on science and technology for youth year 2016, 2016,112–121.
    [24] L. H. Y. Chen, Q. M. Shao, A non-uniform Berry–Esseen bound via Stein's method, Probab. Theory Relat. Fields, 120 (2001), 236–254. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00008782 doi: 10.1007/PL00008782
    [25] L. H. Y. Chen, Stein's method: Some perspectives with applications, In: Probability towards 2000, New York: Springer, 128 (1998), 97–122. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-2224-8_6
    [26] N. Chaidee, M. Tuntapthai, Berry-Esseen bounds for random sums of Non-i.i.d. random variables, Int. Math. Forum, 4 (2009), 1281–1288.
    [27] L. H. Y. Chen, Stein's method of normal approximation: Some recollections and reflections, Ann. Statist., 49 (2021), 1850–1863. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-aos2083 doi: 10.1214/21-aos2083
    [28] G. Auld, K. Neammanee, Explicit constants in the nonuniform local limit theorem for Poisson binomial random variables, J. Inequal. Appl., 2024 (2024), 67. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13660-024-03143-z doi: 10.1186/s13660-024-03143-z
    [29] N. E. Karoui, Y. Jiao, Stein's method and zero bias transformation for CDO tranche pricing, Finance Stoch., 13 (2009), 151–180. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-008-0084-6 doi: 10.1007/s00780-008-0084-6
    [30] L. Goldstein, G. Reinert, Stein's method and the zero bias transformation with application to simple random sampling, Ann. Appl. Probab., 7 (1997), 935–952. http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1043862419 doi: 10.1214/aoap/1043862419
    [31] N. Ross, Fundamentals of Stein's method, Probab. Surveys, 8 (2011), 210–293. https://doi.org/10.1214/11-PS182 doi: 10.1214/11-PS182
    [32] N. Yonghint, K. Neammanee, Refinement on Poisson approximation of CDOs, Sci. Asia, 47 (2021), 388–392. http://dx.doi.org/10.2306/scienceasia1513-1874.2021.041 doi: 10.2306/scienceasia1513-1874.2021.041
    [33] A. D. Barbour, L. Holst, S. Janson, Poisson approximation, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198522355.001.0001
    [34] C. Lefévre, S. Utev, On order-preserving properties of probability metrics, J. Theor. Probab., 11 (1998), 907–920. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022608613982 doi: 10.1023/A:1022608613982
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2026 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(106) PDF downloads(8) Cited by(0)

Article outline

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog