
Accurate and effective building energy consumption prediction is an important basis for carrying out energy-saving evaluation and the main basis for building energy-saving optimization design. However, due to the influence of environmental and human factors, energy consumption prediction is often inaccurate. Therefore, this paper presents a building energy consumption prediction model based on an attention mechanism, time convolutional neural (TCN) network fusion, and a bidirectional gated cycle unit (BIGRU). First, t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (T-SNE) was used to preprocess the data and extract the key features, and then a BIGRU was employed to acquire past and future data while capturing immediate connections. Then, to catch the long-term dependence, the dataset was partitioned into the TCN network, and the extended sequence was transformed into several short sequences. Consequently, the gradient explosion or vanishing problem is mitigated when the BIGRU handles lengthy sequences while reducing the spatial complexity. Second, the self-attention mechanism was introduced to enhance the model's capability to address data periodicity. The proposed model is superior to the other four models in accuracy, with an mean absolute error of 0.023, an mean-square error of 0.029, and an coefficient of determination of 0.979. Experimental results indicate that T-SNE can significantly improve the model performance, and the accuracy of predictions can be improved by the attention mechanism and the TCN network.
Citation: Yi Deng, Zhanpeng Yue, Ziyi Wu, Yitong Li, Yifei Wang. TCN-Attention-BIGRU: Building energy modelling based on attention mechanisms and temporal convolutional networks[J]. Electronic Research Archive, 2024, 32(3): 2160-2179. doi: 10.3934/era.2024098
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Accurate and effective building energy consumption prediction is an important basis for carrying out energy-saving evaluation and the main basis for building energy-saving optimization design. However, due to the influence of environmental and human factors, energy consumption prediction is often inaccurate. Therefore, this paper presents a building energy consumption prediction model based on an attention mechanism, time convolutional neural (TCN) network fusion, and a bidirectional gated cycle unit (BIGRU). First, t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (T-SNE) was used to preprocess the data and extract the key features, and then a BIGRU was employed to acquire past and future data while capturing immediate connections. Then, to catch the long-term dependence, the dataset was partitioned into the TCN network, and the extended sequence was transformed into several short sequences. Consequently, the gradient explosion or vanishing problem is mitigated when the BIGRU handles lengthy sequences while reducing the spatial complexity. Second, the self-attention mechanism was introduced to enhance the model's capability to address data periodicity. The proposed model is superior to the other four models in accuracy, with an mean absolute error of 0.023, an mean-square error of 0.029, and an coefficient of determination of 0.979. Experimental results indicate that T-SNE can significantly improve the model performance, and the accuracy of predictions can be improved by the attention mechanism and the TCN network.
Dengue is one of the deadliest and most dangerous infections. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 50–100 million viruses cause illness each year, resulting in 500,000 emergency room visits and approximately 12,500 deaths [1]. Recently, dengue has come to be presumed as a tropical illness, but it has propagated the zone of infection to maintain or restore zones, owing mainly to global climate change [2]. Dengue is spread to individuals through the mouth of contaminated Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. It is believed that four highly associated DENV adenoviruses occur, namely DENV-1, DENV-2, DENV-3 and DENV-4 [3], so these serotypes lead to illnesses of varying severities in individuals. The contaminated person typically suffers from an intense bacteraemia known as dengue fever that is checked by a highly complicated immune reaction within seven days of disease initiation. Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS) are more drastic representations of this illness (DSS). DHF/DSS can be potentially lethal if not cured appropriately and properly. The WHO previously suggested a new dengue classification predicated on infection intensity [4]. We should notice that, despite significant initiatives to create an efficacious vaccine against dengue pathogens, advertising for dengue immunization is still not accessible [5]. From this perspective, it is critical to comprehend the biochemical practices and dynamic system procedures at work all throughout the infection [6,7]. These intricate nonlinear natural mechanisms also produce a model structure with diverse and significant complexities. The incidence rate of dengue in various demographics has been investigated previously or in gradually expanded editions of the fundamental SIR mathematical formulation [8]. Moreover, we should mention that only a handful of micro-epidemiological experiments on dengue viruses, including one new analysis focusing on the T-cell immune reaction, provide a comprehensive and vibrant model that encompasses a specific antibody immune reaction [9,10].
Furthermore, secondary infection occurs when a person who has had a systemic virus is subjected to dengue virus with a high degree of specificity. It is common for certain sick people to develop intricate and potentially lethal DSS/DHF environments. Because the new DENV serotype is similar in composition to the old one, it stimulates the development of lymphocytes that enhance the old serotype (i.e., cross immunity) as well as the most recent immune responses that counteract the different pathogenicity. Consequently, there are primarily two pertinent immunoglobulins presently: one generated by the viral illness that is heterologous to the unique subtype and one generated by the antibiotic treatment that is homologous. Both of these immune cells have the ability to attach to and incapacitate viral genomes. After neutralization, the specific antibody are transported to phagocytes. However, owing to their low attachment to this fresh serotype, the heterologous immune cells are primed to extract the pathogen when it enters the leukocytes. This leaves a portion of the virions exposed and willing to inoculate the phagocyte. Hence, reactions are catalyzed against the latest serotype that both safeguard and transport the pathogen to their priorities, contingent on the attachment of the immune response receptor. This is known as antibody reliant augmentation (ARA) of infection [11]. For generations, the most prevalent speculation that could describe the increased heinousness of potential pathogens has been ARA [12]. As a result, we can conclude that the immune system is mainly accountable for both influencing the virus and supplying protection, while also boosting responses within the bloodstream that cause extreme manifestations such as DHF/DSS. Lastly, a framework for reinfection should incorporate the similar phenomenon of ARA of viruses and increased lymphocyte proliferation.
Researchers in numerous classifications and scientific disciplines have gravitated toward using fractional systems of differential equations (DEs) in the majority of their novel evidence and investigations as a consequence of the emergence of fractional derivatives [13]. In addition, to see this realistically, we can resort to numerical techniques for the proliferation and evolution of numerous infections and communicable conditions, which have emerged as an intriguing issue for scholars in past centuries; they employ fractional frameworks of initial value problems [14,15]. While reviewing the articles, we discovered that various scholars have proposed kernels that can be employed to create fractional differential formulations [16]. The major motivation behind this is that serious challenges exhibit signs of mechanisms that are similar to the behaviors of precise scientific expressions. Fractional calculus incorporating a power law kernel has been led by the contributions of Riemann, Liouville, Cauchy, and Abel. Caputo later improved their approach, and this form has been employed in several scientific disciplines owing to its capacity to enable classical initial conditions (ICs) [17]. Prabhakar proposed an appropriate kernel containing three components as a combination of index laws and the generalized Mittag-Leffler (GML) kernel. This form has likewise piqued the interest of numerous scholars and investigations into both concepts and implementations have been conducted.
Furthermore, the various kernels have distinctive features; for instance an index kernel only aids in the replication of systems that indicate index kernel tendencies. GML, the combination of the index kernel, exponential kernel and GML kernel. The generalized three distinct have their own domain of applicability [18,19]. Because the phenomenon is multifaceted, Caputo and Fabrizio developed a novel kernel with a particular exponential kernel exhibiting Delta Dirac characteristics. A differential formulation that is becoming increasingly popular due to memory. Furthermore, the notion of a fractional derivative having a nonsingular kernel was pioneered by this kernel, marking the inauguration of a revolutionary era in fractional calculus [20]. A scientist's observation regarding the kernel's non-fractionality resulted in the creation of a novel kernel, i.e., the GML function, which includes one component. Atangana and Baleanu [21] proposed this formulation, which represents another advancement in the discipline of fractional calculus. The formulations have been employed successfully in a variety of fields of study. Glancing at reality and its intricacies, it is clear that these proposed kernels are insufficient to forecast all of our universe's complicated characteristics. Following the remark, one will look for a different kernel or modified kernel, or a set of procedures that will be used to add novel differential formulations. Sabatier has proposed various kernel variants that will additionally lead to novel avenues of inquiry [22]. In addition to these remarkable breakthroughs, numerous additional notions were proposed, such as the conception of short memory and the definition of a fractional derivative in the Caputo interpretation for distinct characteristics of fractional orders. Notwithstanding the well-known formulation, which takes a fractional order to be time-dependent, the goal was to achieve a different form of variable order derivative. Wu et al. [23] proposed and implemented this scenario in chaotic theory. However, researchers have discovered that some real-world phenomena demonstrate mechanisms exhibiting varying behaviors as a factor of space and time. A transition from deterministic to stochastic, either from index-law to exponential decay, is an example. Because conventional differential formulations may be incapable of accounting for these tendencies, piecewise differential/integral formulations were devised to cope with issues manifesting crossover phenomena [24]. The primary goal of this article is to present a detailed evaluation, potential implementations, strengths and shortcomings of these two notions.
Moreover, there are multiple fractional operators that identify dengue evolution in the research [25,26] and the reference materials therein. All of the additional implications above depict the complexities of dengue viruses from various perspectives, including nonlinear dynamic analysis, vaccination and stochastic optimization analysis. El-Sayed et al. [27] lists several notable survey reports that mentioned dengue disease by using actual information.
The purpose of this research is to investigate the dynamic behavior of a deterministic-stochastic secondary dengue viral infection (SDVI) model with multiple target cells via the piecewise fractional differential operators approach, which aids in the identification of mechanisms with crossover patterns. Thus, it is more pragmatic to investigate frameworks with both white noise and deterministic noise rather than just white noise. Even so, there are no studies on the stationary distribution of the stochastic SDVI model under regime switching in the existing literature. In this manuscript, we demonstrate the ergodicity stationary distribution (ESD) of an SDVI model under regime switching by effectively preparing Lyapunov candidates and an invariant region. Piecewise modeling via the well-noted fractional derivative operators is highlighted with descriptions of chaos concerns. Taking into account the computed findings, we procure a critical value for the extinction of SDVI, which is presented by Rs0<1. As a result, the intermittent nature of untreated specific receptors has a significant impact on virus infection elimination. We contend that, while the GML kernel, exponential decay and power law have been revealed to be capable of depicting several crossover behaviors, their strengths to accomplish this may be restricted due to the enormity of nature.
The structure of the article is organized as follows, Section 2 describes preliminary ideas related to stochastic processes and fractional calculus. Also, the model formulation is predicted herein. Section 3 examines the qualitative characteristics of the deterministic and stochastic states. By formulating a certain adequate Lyapunov mapping, we demonstrate the existence of a unique ESD of the solution. In Section 4, theoretical findings are analyzed by utilizing the crossover effects with varying kernels. Section 5 exhibits the results and discussion of the suggested model. Finally, Section 6 contends with some epilogue and future perspectives.
The secondary infectious disease framework presented by [28] is an extended version of the acute infection system depicted in [9]. A sixth component, which also characterized the threshold of immune response constituted during the preceding reinfection but is heterologous to the active viral serotype, has been incorporated into the main framework. The homologous recombination immune cells can connect to the virus particles in this scenario, but the severity of complexation is determined not only by the substitutability between the pathogen and immunoglobulin but also by the densities of the heterologous immune cells. It has been discovered that various pathogen serovars in both dominant and supplementary pathogens share immunologic similarities in their enzyme shell. Tanvi et al. [28] developed the SDVI model for neutralizing antibody:
{˙s1(t)=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,˙x1(t)=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2x1,˙u1(t)=δ1s1v1−ς1u1,˙r1(t)=δ2s1v1−ς2r1,˙v1(t)=ζ1u1+ζ2r1φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,˙m1(t)=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,˙j1(t)=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1, | (2.1) |
with ICs s1(0)=s10,x1(0)=x10,u1(0)=u10,r1(0)=r10,v1(0)=v10,m1(0)=m10,j1(0)=j10. At a time step t, the intensities of the heterologous immune response interacting on the initial infection and homologous specific antibody against the deadly pathogen serogroup of the serious infection are denoted by m1=m1(t) and j1=j1(t), respectively. The descriptor ω2v1j1 refers to the yield of dengue virus neutralization by immune responses j1. The phrase ρ2j1 refers to the mortality speed of specific antibody j1. B-cells produce specific antibody m1 and j1 at rates of ρ1m1 and ρ2j1, respectively. The immune response pathogen compound has an effect on the antibody development at rates of s1v1m1 and x1v1m1. Researchers [29] have incorporated immunity and CTL immunity into their framework of supplementary reinfection. Rashid et al. [30] presented the numerical investigation of a fractional-order cholera epidemic model with transmission dynamics via fractal–fractional operator technique. Atangana and Rashid [31] contemplated the novel view of a deterministic-stochastic oncolytic M1 model involving immune response through the use of a crossover behavior. Rashid and Jarad [32] expounded upon the stochastic dynamics of the fractal-fractional ebola epidemic model by combining a fear and environmental spreading mechanism. Al-Qureshi et al. [33] established the dynamical behavior of a stochastic highly pathogenic avian influenza A (HPAI) epidemic model via piecewise fractional differential technique. Boisov et al. [34] evaluated a SDVI model with contagious and systemic infections of viral diseases, trying to take secretory and CTL prerogatives into consideration. Bonyah et al. [35] contemplated the fractional order dengue fever model in the frame of reference of secured travellers. Fatmawati et al. [36] expounded a new framework for dengue fever in the context of fractional calculus. Khan and Fatmawati [37] examined the modeling and simulation consequences of a fractional dengue system.
In fact, there is unpredictability and stochasticity. As a result of the impact of Browinian motion on modeling techniques, the stochastic framework is more accurate than the other modeling techniques [38,39,40]. We assume that stochastic disturbances to individuals are influenced by random intensities and are proportional to each state s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t) and j1(t), respectively.
In light of the preceding discussion conducted in [38], we advocate for the stochastic SDVI framework via logistic growth as follows:
{ds1(t)=(ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1)+℘1s1(t)dB1(t),dx1(t)=(ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2x1)+℘2x1(t)dB2(t),du1(t)=(δ1s1v1−ς1u1)+℘3u1(t)dB3(t),dr1(t)=(δ2s1v1−ς2r1)+℘4r1(t)dB4(t),dv1(t)=(ζ1u1+ζ2r1φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1)+℘5v1(t)dB5(t),dm1(t)=(χ1v1m1−ρ1m1)+℘6m1(t)dB6(t),dj1(t)=(χ2v1j1−ρ2j1)+℘7j1(t)dB7(t), | (2.2) |
where the concentrations of the standard Gaussian white noises are ℘p,p=1,...,7 and Bp(t),p=1,...,7 are independent standard Wiener mechanisms.
Throughout this investigation, it is assumed that the scheme (2.2) is identified on a complete probability space (ℶ,F,{Ft}t>0,P) with a right continuous filtration {Ft}t>0 and an {F0} comprising all of the components with measure zero.
The stochastic DE in d-dimensions is described as follows:
du(t)=f(u(t),t)dt+g1(u(t),t)dB(t),u(t0)=u0,∀t0≤t≤T<∞, | (2.3) |
where f:Rd×[t0,T]↦Rd and g1:Rd×[t0,T]↦Rd×m1 are Borel measurable, B={B(t)}t≥t0 is an Rm1-valued Wiener technique, and u0 is an Rd-valued random variable stated on Θ.
Furthermore, C2,1(Rd×[t0,∞);R+) is regarded as the collection of all positive mappings V(u,t) on Rd×[t0,∞) that are continuously twice differentiable in u∈Rd and once in t∈[t0,∞). The differential operator L for the stochastic DE (2.3) is provided by
L=∂∂t+d∑p=1fp(u,t)∂∂up+12d∑i,p=1m1∑ℓ=1g1pℓ(u,t)g1pℓ(u,t)∂2∂up∂ui. |
Define the mapping V∈C2,1(Rd×[t0,∞); then,
LV(u,t)=Vt(u,t)+Vu(u,t)f(u,t)+12d∑i,p=1m1∑ℓ=1g1iℓ(u,t)g1pℓ(u,t)Vuu(u,t), |
where Vt:=∂V∂t,Vs1=(Vup,...,Vud)andVuu=(Vup,Vup)d×d.
For u(t)∈Rd, Ito's approach is defined as
dV(u(t),t)=LV(u(t),t)dt+Vu(u(t),t)g1(u(t),t)dB(t). |
Here, we provide the accompanying description to help readers who are acquainted with fractional calculus[17,20,21].
C0DβtF(t)=1Γ(1−β)t∫0F′(r)(t−r)βdr,β∈(0,1]. |
CF0DβtF(t)=M(β)1−βt∫0F′(r)exp[−β1−β(t−r)]dr,β∈(0,1], |
where M(β) is defined as a normalized function with M(0)=M(1)=1.
The formulation of the Atangana-Baleanu derivative is represented below:
ABC0DβtF(t)=ABC(β)1−βt∫0F′(r)Eβ[−β1−β(t−r)β]dr,β∈(0,1], |
where ABC(β)=1−β+βΓ(β) signifies the normalization function.
To verify that our framework is reproductively adequate, we define a region for the densities of the system's cohorts. Intensities should not be negative or undefined on specific terms.
Generate the compact set Δ={(s1, ...,sn,u1,...,un,v1, m1,j1)∈R2n+3+:sp, up∈[0,Lp], v1∈[0,K1], m1∈[0,K2],j1∈[0,K3],p=1, ...,n}.
Lemma 3.1. The domain Δ of the model (2.1) is positively invariant.
Proof. Equating the system Eq (2.1) to zero, we have
˙sp|sp=ϑp>0,p=1,...,n,˙up|up=δps1pv1>0,fors1p,v1≥0,p=1,...,n,˙v1p|v1=n∑p=1ζpyp≥0,fors1p,v1≥0,p=1,...,n,˙m1p|m1=0,˙j1p|j1=0. |
Therefore, (s1,...,sn,u1,...,un,v1,m1,j1)∈R2n+3+ for all t≥0.
Taking Tp=s1p+u1p; then,
˙Tp=ϑp−ξps1p−ςpu1p≤ϑp−σp(s1p+u1p)=ϑp−σpTp, |
where σp=min{ξp,ςp},p=1,...,n. Thus, Tp≤Lp, if Tp(0)≤Lp, where Lp=ϑpσp. The positivity of the system's parameters implies that s1p,u1p∈Lp. Moreover, we describe G=v1+ω1χ1m1+ω2χ2j1; then,
˙G=n∑p=1ζpu1p−φv1ω1χ1m1−ω2χ2j1≤n∑p=1ζpLp−ϖ(v1+ω1χ1m1+ω2χ2j1)=n∑p=1ζpLp−ϖG, |
where ϖ=min{φ,ρ1,ρ2}. Thus G(t)≤K1, if G(0)≤K1, where K1=1ϖn∑p=1ζpLp. Since v1(t),m1(t)≥0 and j1(t)≥0; then, v1(t)∈[0,K1],m1(t)∈[0,K2]andj1(t)∈[0,K3]. Also, K2=χ1ω1K1 and K3=χ2ω2K1.
Next, we established the equilibria and basic reproduction numbers of the system (2.1).
Theorem 3.1. Assume that there are three thresholds parameters R0,R1 and R2 with R1<R0 and R2<R0 such that
(a) if R0≤1; then, (2.1) has one equilibrium point E0∈Δ,
(b) if R1≤1<R0 and R2≤1<R0 then (2.1) has two equilibria points E0∈Δ and E1∈Δ∘, where Δ∘ is the interior point of Δ,
(c) if R1>1 and R2<1 then (2.1) has three equilibria points E0∈Δ,E1∈Δ∘ and E2∈Δ∘,
(d) if R2>1 and R1<1 then (2.1) has three equilibria points E0∈Δ,E1∈Δ∘ and E3∈Δ∘,
(e) if R2>1 and R1>1 then (2.1) has three equilibria points E0∈Δ,E1∈Δ∘,E2∈Δ∘ and E3∈Δ∘.
Proof. Equating the left side of the model (2.1) to zero, we have
0=ϑp−δps1pv1−ξps1p,0=δps1pv1−ςpu1p,0=n∑p=1ζpu1p−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,0=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,0=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1. | (3.1) |
Utilizing last two equations of (3.1), we have three scenarios, as follows:
Case (a) For m1=j1=0; then, the first and second equations of (3.1) can reduces to
s1p=ϑpξp+δpv1,u1p=δps1pv1ςp. | (3.2) |
In view of the third equation of (3.1), we find
(n∑p=1ζpδps1pφςp−1)φv1=0. | (3.3) |
Then, (3.3) has one of two configurations v1=0 or n∑p=1ζpδpxpφςp−1=0.
Further, if v1=0; then, inserting it into (3.2) yields the infection-free equilibrium E0(s0,...,s0n,n+3⏞0,...,0,0) with s10p=ϑpξp. If v1≠0, we have
n∑p=1ζpδps1pφςp−1=0. | (3.4) |
Inserting the first equation of (3.1) into (3.4), we have
n∑p=1ζp(ϑp−ξps1p)φςp−v1=0. | (3.5) |
As s1p depends on v1; then, from (3.5), we present a mapping Υ1(v1) as
Υ1(v1)=n∑p=1ζp(ϑp−ξps1p(v1))φςp−v1. | (3.6) |
We must demonstrate that there exists ~v1>0 such that Υ1(~v1)=0. Note that, if v1=0 then s1p=s10p and Υ1(0)=0 and when v1=v∗1=n∑p=1ζpξps1∗pφςp>0, we have s1∗p=s1p(v∗1) and
Υ1(v∗1)=−n∑p=1ζpξps1∗pφςp<0. |
Therefore, we have
Υ′1(0)=n∑p=1ζpδpϑpφξpςp−1. |
Thus, Υ′1(0)>0 if
n∑p=1ζpδpϑpφξpςp>1. | (3.7) |
This implies that if the criterion (3.7) is fulfilled, then there exists ~v1∈(0,v∗1) fulfilling Υ1(~v1)=0. Again, from (3.2), we have that ~s1p,~u1p,~v1>0. Therefore, a persistent infection to a deactivated immunologic antibody reaction E1(˜s1,...,˜sn,˜u1,...,˜un,˜v1,0,0) holds when n∑p=1ζpδpϑpφξpςp>1.
Then, we can establish
R0=n∑p=1ζpδpϑpφξpςp. |
In this case, R0 represents the basic reproduction number, which also represents the number of productive specific receptors produced by a single afflicted cell over the course of its existence. The next-generation matrix approach [41] or the local stability of the infection equilibrium point E0 can furthermore be applied to determine R0.
Case (b) If m1≠0andj1=0, we achieve a contaminated equilibrium point by using only the effective heterologous immune response E2(ˉs,...,ˉsn,ˉu,...,ˉun,¯v1,¯m1,0), where ¯s1p=ϑpξp+δpρ1χ1,¯u1p=δpϑpρ1ςp(χ1ξp+δpρ1),¯v1=ρ1χ1,¯m1=φω1(R1−1)andR1=n∑p=1χ1ζpδpϑpφςp(χ1ξp+δpρ1).
Case (c) If m1=0andj1≠0, we achieve an afflicted steady state by using only the effective homologous immune response E3(ˆs,...,ˆsn,ˆu,...,ˆun,^v1,0,^j1), where ˆsp=ϑpξp+δpρ2χ2,^u1p=δpϑpρ2ςp(χ2ξp+δpρ2),^v1=ρ2χ2,^j1=φω2(R2−1)andR2=n∑p=1χ2ζpδpϑpφςp(χ2ξp+δpρ2).
Obviously R1<R0 and R2<R0.
Assertions (b) and (c) show that if R1>1 and R2>1 then E0,E1,E2 and E3 all occur.
Here, R1 is the heterologous specific antibody immune system stimulation quantity and R2 is the handful of homologous specific antibody immune reaction stimulation.
We presently demonstrate that E0∈Δ and E1,E2,E3∈Δ∘. It is obvious that E0∈Δ. Suppose that that R0>1; then, E1 holds and ϑp=ξp˜sp+ςp˜up. As a result of this,
sp<ϑpξp≤Lp,up<ϑpςp≤Lp. |
Also, we have that φ~v1=n∑p=1ζp˜up; then,
~v1=1φn∑p=1ζp˜up<1φn∑p=1ζpLp≤1ϖn∑p=1ζpLp=K1. |
We obtain ~m1=~j1; then, E1∈Δ∘. Obvious that ˉsp,ˉup∈(0,Lp).
Following that, we define that 0<¯v1<K1 and 0<¯m1<K2 when R1>1. The equilibrium condition of M2 yields
φ¯v1+ω1¯v1¯m1=n∑p=1ζp¯u1p. |
Thus, if R1>1, we have that φ¯v1<n∑p=1ζpˉup⟹0<¯v1<1φn∑p=1ζpLp≤1ϖn∑p=1ζpLp=K1.
Eventually, we get
¯m1<1ω1¯v1n∑p=1ζpˉup<χ1ω1K1=K2. |
Thus, E2∈Δ∘. Analogously, we can easily prove that E3∈Δ∘.
The first consideration when researching the dynamic characteristics of an outbreak framework is determining whether the configuration is global and non-negative. In this segment, we will demonstrate that the Scheme (2.2) has a unique global non-negative solution with any initial settings by using the Lyapunov mechanism technique referenced in [42]. We demonstrate the subsequent formalism.
Theorem 3.2. Assume that a system (2.2) (s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t)) on t≥0 by the ICs (s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))∈R7+ and the solution (s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t))∈R7+,∀t≥0 almost surely (a.s.).
Proof. Because the system (2.2) indices fulfill the local Lipschitz requirement, for any ICs (s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))∈R7+, there exists only one local solution (s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t)) on t∈[0,λϵ), where λϵ indicates the moment of explosion [43]. In order to prove the global solution, we need λϵ=∞. To that point, let k0>1 be large enough that (s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))∈R7+ is defined on [1/k0,k0]. Identify the stopping time for every integer k≥k0 as shown:
λϵ=inf{t∈[0,λϵ):min{(s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t))}≤1kormax{(s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t))}≥k}. |
For the sake of simplicity, we take inf∅=∞ (∅ signifies the empty set). Evidently, λk is nondecreasing as k↦∞. Assume that λ∞=limk↦∞λk, where λ∞≤λϵ (a.s). When λ∞=∞ holds (a.s), then λϵ=∞ (a.s) and (s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t))∈R7+,∀t≥0 (a.s). That is, we only need to demonstrate λ∞=∞(a.s) to obtain the evidence. If this assumption is factually inaccurate, then a couple of constants exist T>0 and ϵ∈(0,1) such that
P{λ∞≤T}>ϵ. | (3.8) |
As a result, there is an integer k1≥k0 such that
P{λk≤T}≥ϵ,∀k≥k1. |
We introduce a C2-function Φ:R7+↦R+ as follows:
Φ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)=((s1−a1−a1lns1a1)+(x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1)−6−(lnx1+lnu1+lnr1+lnv1+lnm1+lnj1). | (3.9) |
The positivity of (3.9) is evident from ρ1−lnρ1−1≥0 for every ρ1>0.
Using Ito's strategy [44], we get
dΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)=LΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)dt+℘1(s1−a1)dB1(t)+℘1(s1−1)dB1(t)+℘2(x1−1)dB2(t)+℘3(u1−1)dB3(t)+℘4(r1−1)dB4(t)+℘5(v1−1)dB5(t)+℘6(m1−1)dB6(t)+℘7(j1−1)dB7(t), | (3.10) |
where LΦ:R7+↦R is stated as
dΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)=(1−a1s1)(λ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1)+(1−1x1)(λ2−δ2x1v1−γ2x1)+(1−1u1)(δ1s1v1−ς1u1)+(1−1r1)(δ2x1v1−ς2r1)+(1−1v1)(ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1)+(1−1m1)(χ1v1m1−ρ1m1)+(1−1j1)(χ2v1j1−ρ2j1)+12(a1℘21+℘22+℘23+℘24+℘25+℘26+℘27)=λ1+λ2+a1γ1+γ2+ς1+ς2+ρ1+ρ2−δ1s1v1−γ1s1+a1δ1v1−δ2x1v1−γ2x1+δ2v1+δ1s1v1−ς1u1+δ2x1v1−ς2r1+ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1s1m1−ω2v1j1+ω1m1+ω2j1+χ1v1m1−ρ1m1−χ1v1+χ2v1j1−ρ2j1−χ2v1+a1ϑ1s1−ϑ2x1−λ1s1v1u1λ2x1v1r1−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+12(a1℘21+℘22+℘23+℘24+℘25+℘26+℘27)≤(ϑ1+ϑ2)+a1γ1+γ2+ς1+ς2+ρ1+ρ2+(ζ1−ς1)u1+(a1+δ1+δ2−χ1−φ−χ2)v1+(ζ2−ς2)r1+(ω1−ρ1)m1+(ω2−ρ2)j1+12(a1℘21+℘22+℘23+℘24+℘25+℘26+℘27). |
Since a1=χ1+φ+χ2−δ1−δ2, it follows that
dΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)≤(ϑ1+ϑ2)+a1γ1+γ2+ς1+ς2+ρ1+ρ2+12(a1℘21+℘22+℘23+℘24+℘25+℘26+℘27):=ϝ. |
Additionally, ϝ is non-negative constant. Therefore, we have
dΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)≤ϝdt+℘1(s1−a1)dB1(t)+℘1(s1−1)dB1(t)+℘2(x1−1)dB2(t)+℘3(u1−1)dB3(t)+℘4(r1−1)dB4(t)+℘5(v1−1)dB5(t)+℘6(m1−1)dB6(t)+℘7(j1−1)dB7(t). | (3.11) |
For every k>k0, integrating (3.11) on both sides from 0 to λk∧T and then applying the expectation gives
EΦ(s1(λk∧T),x1(λk∧T),u1(λk∧T),r1(λk∧T),v1(λk∧T),m1(λk∧T),j1(λk∧T))≤Φ(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))+ϝT. |
For k≥k0, Λk={ω∈Λ:λk=λk(ω)≤T}. Thus, we get P(Λk)≥˜ϵ. Obviously, for each ω∈Λk there exists s1(λk,ω),x1(λk,ω), u1(λk,ω), r1(λk,ω),v1(λk,ω),m1(λk,ω)andj1(λk,ω) equating to either k or 1k. Therefore, Φ(s1(λk,ω),x1(λk,ω), u1(λk,ω),r1(λk,ω),v1(λk,ω), m1(λk,ω), j1(λk,ω)) is not less than either k−a1−a1lnka1or1k−a1−a1ln1a1k = 1k−a1+a1ln(a1k), k−1−lnk, 1k−1−ln1k=1k−1+lnk.
As a result, we have
Φ(s1(λk,ω),x1(λk,ω),u1(λk,ω),r1(λk,ω),v1(λk,ω),m1(λk,ω),j1(λk,ω))≥(k−a1−a1lnka1)∧(1k−a1+a1ln(a1k))∧(k−1−lnk)∧(1k−1+lnk). |
Finally, we have
Φ(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))+ϝT≥E{IΛkΦ(s1(λk,ω),x1(λk,ω),u1(λk,ω),r1(λk,ω),v1(λk,ω),m1(λk,ω),j1(λk,ω))}≥ϵ(k−a1−a1lnka1)∧(1k−a1+a1ln(a1k))∧(k−1−lnk)∧(1k−1+lnk), |
where IΛk presents the indicator function of Λk. Taking k↦∞ leads to the contradiction
∞>Φ(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))+ϝT=∞. |
This completes the proof.
In disease transmission, it is important to determine when an illness will persist in the community. We demonstrate that the endemic equilibrium exists and is globally asymptotically stable in the deterministic model (2.1). However, the highly prevalent stabilization does not exist in the stochastic model (2.2) of the infected individual. According to Has'minskii's theory [45], there exists an ESD that reveals that the illness will endure.
Besides that, we reveal several hypotheses about the ESD (see Has'minskii [45]). Suppose that there is a homogeneous Markov procedure u(t) in R7+ that is characterized by the stochastic DE presented as
du(t)=f(u(t))dt+ℓ∑r1=1g1r1(u(t))dBr1(t). | (3.12) |
The diffusion matrix of the system u(t) is presented as follows:
A(y)=(aip(y)),aip(y)=ℓ∑r1=1g1ir1(y)g1pr1(y). | (3.13) |
Lemma 3.2. [45] Suppose that u(t) is the Markov process with a unique ESD π(.) if there exists a bounded region Q∈Rn has a regular boundary O and
(i) ∃ a positive S1 such that d∑i,p=1aip(y)ξiξp≥S1|ξ|2,∀y∈Q,∀ξ∈Rn,
(ii) ∃ a positive C2-mapping Φ such that LΦ is non-positive for every Rn∖Q, where L presents the differential operator described by
L=n∑p=1b1p(y)∂∂yp+12n∑i,p=1aip(y)∂2∂yi∂yp. | (3.14) |
Then
Py{limT↦∞1TT∫0f(u(t))dt=∫Rnf(y)π(dy)}=1,∀y∈Rn, | (3.15) |
where f(.) is an integrable mapping regarding to the measure π.
Define a parameter
Rs0=ζ1ζ2ϑ1ϑ2δ1δ2(℘212−γ1)(℘222−γ2)(℘232−ς1)(℘242−ς2)(℘252+φ)2. | (3.16) |
Theorem 3.3. Suppose that system (2.2) (s1(t),x1(t),u1(t),r1(t),1(t),v1(t),m1(t),j1(t)) is ergodic and admits a unique stationary distribution π(.).
Proof. To test the assertion (ii) of Lemma 3.2, we must classify a non-negative C2-mapping Φ:R7+↦R+, which must be categorized
Φ1=s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1−q1lns1−q2lnx1−q3lnu1−q4lnr1−q5lnv1, | (3.17) |
where q1,q2,q3,q4 and q5 are the constants to be determined later. Using Ito's methodology and the proposed framework, we produce the mentioned findings (2.2).
L(s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1)=π−d(s1(t)+x1(t)+u1(t)+r1(t)+v1(t)+m1(t)+j1(t)). | (3.18) |
It follows that
L(−lns1)=−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212,L(−lnx1)=−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222,L(−lnu1)=−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232,L(−lnr1)=−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242,L(−lnv1)=−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252,L(−lnm1)=−χ1v1+ρ1+℘252,L(−lnj1)=−χ2j1+ρ2+℘262. |
Now, we have
LΦ1=−d(s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1)−q1ϑ1s1+q1(℘212−γ1)−q1δ1v1−q2ϑ2x1+q2(℘222−γ2)−q2δ2v1−q3δ1s1v1u1−q3(ς1−℘232)−q4δ2x1v1r1−q4(ς2−℘242)−q5ζ1u1v1−q5ζ2r1v1+q5ω1m1+q5ω2j1+q5(φ+℘252). |
The preceding signifies that
LΦ1≤−7{d(s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1)×q1ϑ1s1d(s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1)×q2ϑ2x1×q3δ1s1v1u1×q4δ2x1v1r1×q5ζ1u1v1×q5ζ2r1v1}1/7+q1(℘212−γ1)+q2(℘222−γ2)+q3(℘232−ς1)+q4(℘242−ς2)+q5(φ+℘252)+(ϑ1+ϑ2)+q1ϑ1s1. |
Assume that
q1(℘212−γ1)=q2(℘222−γ2)=q3(℘232−ς1)=q4(℘242−ς2)=q5(φ+℘252)=(ϑ1+ϑ2). |
Accordingly, we have
q1=ϑ1+ϑ2(℘212−γ1),q2=ϑ1+ϑ2(℘222−γ2),q3=ϑ1+ϑ2(℘232−ς1),q4=ϑ1+ϑ2(℘242−ς2),q5=ϑ1+ϑ2(℘252+φ). |
As a result, we get
LΦ1≤−7({(ϑ1+ϑ2)7ζ1ζ2ϑ1ϑ2δ1δ2(℘212−γ1)(℘222−γ2)(℘232−ς1)(℘242−ς2)(℘252+φ)2}1/7−π)+q1ϑ1s1≤−7(ϑ1+ϑ2)[(Rs0)1/7−1]+q1ϑ1s1. |
Furthermore, we obtain
Φ2=q6(s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1−q1lns1−q2lnx1−q3lnu1−q4lnr1−q5lnv1)−lns1−lnm1−lnj1+s1(t)+x1(t)+u1(t)+r1(t)+v1(t)+m1(t)+j1(t)=(q6+1)(s1+x1+u1+r1+v1+m1+j1)−(q1q6+1)lns1−q2q6lnx1−q3q6lnu1−q4q6lnr1−q6q5lnv1−lnm1−lnj1. |
Note that q6>0 is a constant which will be determined later. It is effective to demonstrate that
lim(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+∖HℓΦ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)=+∞,asℓ↦∞, | (3.19) |
where Hℓ=(1/ℓ,ℓ)×(1/ℓ,ℓ)×(1/ℓ,ℓ)×(1/ℓ,ℓ)×(1/ℓ,ℓ). The next process is to demonstrate that Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1) has only specified minimum value Φ2(s10,x10,u10,r10,v10,m10,j10).
The partial derivatives of Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1) corresponding to s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1andj1 is as follows:
∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂s1=1+q6−1+q1q6s1,∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂x1=1+q6−q2q6x1,∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂u1=1+q6−q3q6u1,∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂r1=1+q6−q4q6r1,∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂v1=1+q6−q5q6v1,∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂m1=1+q6−1m1,∂Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∂j1=1+q6−1j1. | (3.20) |
It is not difficult to determine that Φ2 has a distinct stagnation point.
(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))=(1+q1q61+q6,q2q61+q6,q3q61+q6,q4q61+q6,q5q61+q6,11+q6,11+q6). | (3.21) |
Also, the Hessian matrix Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1) at (s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0)) is
U=[1+q1q6s21(0)0000000q2q6x21(0)0000000q3q6u21(0)0000000q4q6r21(0)0000000q5q6v21(0)00000001m21(0)00000001j21(0)]. | (3.22) |
The aforesaid matrix seems to be positive definite. As a result, Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1) has the lowest value of Φ2(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0)).
In view of (3.19) and the continuity of Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1), observe that Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1) has at least one value Φ2(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))∈R7+.
After that, we shall define a positive C2-mapping Φ:R7+↦R+ as follows
Φ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)=Φ2(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)−Φ2(s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0)). | (3.23) |
In view of Ito's formula and the suggested model, we have
LΦ≤q6{−7(ϑ1+ϑ2)[(Rs0)1/7−1]+q1ϑ1s1}−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π−d(s1(t)+x1(t)+u1(t)+r1(t)+v1(t)+m1(t)+j1(t)). | (3.24) |
As a result of this, the following supposition can be constituted:
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π−d(s1(t)+x1(t)+u1(t)+r1(t)+v1(t)+m1(t)+j1(t)), | (3.25) |
where q7=7(ϑ1+ϑ2)[(Rs0)1/7−1]>0.
The next stage is to produce the set
Q={s1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2),x1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2),u1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2),r1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2),v1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2),m1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2),j1∈(ϵ1,1ϵ2)}, | (3.26) |
where ϵp>0,p=1,2 is a very small arbitrary constant. For the sake of clarification, we will split up the whole R7+∖Q into the aforementioned domains.
Q1={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;s1∈(0,ϵ1]},Q2={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;x1∈(0,ϵ2],s1>ϵ2},Q3={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;u1∈(0,ϵ1],x1>ϵ2},Q4={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;r1∈(0,ϵ1],u1>ϵ2},Q5={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;v1∈(0,ϵ1],r1>ϵ2},Q6={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;m1∈(0,ϵ1],v1>ϵ2},Q7={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;j1∈(0,ϵ1],m1>ϵ2},Q8={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;s1≥1ϵ2},Q9={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;x1≥1ϵ2},Q10={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;u1≥1ϵ2},Q11={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;r1≥1ϵ2},Q12={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;v1≥1ϵ2},Q13={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;m1≥1ϵ2},Q14={(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+;j1≥1ϵ2}. |
Here we will demonstrate that LΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1) on R7+∖Q, which is equivalent to conveying it on the ten previously specified domains.
Case I. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q1, Eq (3.25), yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−ϑ1ϵ1+(1+q1q6)ϑ1ϵ1+Y1, | (3.27) |
where
Y1=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q1.
Case II. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q2, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−ϑ2ϵ2+Y2, | (3.28) |
where
Y2=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q2.
Case III. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q3, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ1ϵ1v1ϵ2−ζ1ϵ1v1+Y3, | (3.29) |
where
Y3=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q3.
Case IV. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q4, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ2ϵ2v1ϵ1−ζ2ϵ1v1+Y4, | (3.30) |
where
Y4=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q4.
Case V. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q5, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ1ϵ1−δ2ϵ2ϵ1−ζ1u1ϵ1−ζ2r1ϵ1+Y5, | (3.31) |
where
Y5=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−ς1+℘232−ς2+℘242+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q5.
Case VI. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q6, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤ω1ϵ1−δ1s1ϵ2u1−δ2x1ϵ2r1−ζ1u1ϵ2−ζ2r1ϵ2+Y6, | (3.32) |
where
Y6=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−ς1+℘232−ς2+℘242+φ+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q6.
Case VII. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q7, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−q6q7+ω1ϵ2+ω2ϵ1+Y7, | (3.33) |
where
Y7=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q7.
Case VIII. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q8, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤(1+q1q6)ϑ1ϵ2−ϑ1ϵ2+Y8, | (3.34) |
where
Y8=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q8.
Case IX. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q9, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ2v1ϵ2r1−ϑ2ϵ2+Y9, | (3.35) |
where
Y9=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q9.
Case X. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q10, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ1s1v1ϵ2−ζ1ϵ2v1+Y10, | (3.36) |
where
Y10=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q10.
Case XI. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q11, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ2x1v1ϵ2−ζ2ϵ2v1+Y11, | (3.37) |
where
Y11=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q11.
Case XII. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q12, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−δ1ϵ2−δ2ϵ2+Y12, | (3.38) |
where
Y12=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−γ1+℘212−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q12.
Case XIII. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q13, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−q6q7+ω1ϵ2+Y13, | (3.39) |
where
Y13=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω2j1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q13.
Case XIV. For (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q14, Eq (3.25) yields
LΦ≤−q6q7+(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+ω2j1+℘252+π≤−q6q7+ω2ϵ2+Y14, | (3.40) |
where
Y14=sup(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+{(1+q1q6)ϑ1s1−ϑ1s1−δ1v1−γ1+℘212−ϑ2x1−δ2v1−γ2+℘222−δ1s1v1u1−ς1+℘232−δ2x1v1r1−ς2+℘242−ζ1u1v1−ζ2r1v1+φ+ω1m1+℘252+π}. |
Thus, we conclude that LΦ≤−1 for each (s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈Q14.
Evidently, we can deduce from (3.27)–(3.40) that for a sufficiently small ϵ,
LΦ≤−1∀(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+∖Q. |
As a result, we develop that a constant U>0 is such that it ensures
LΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)<U,∀(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈R7+∖Q. |
Finally,
dΦ(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)<−Udt+[(q6+1)s1−(q1q6)℘1]dB1(t)+[(q6+1)x1−q2q6℘2]dB2(t)+[(q6+1)u1−q3q6℘3]dB3(t)+[(q6+1)r1−q4q6℘4]dB4(t)+[(q6+1)v1−q5q6℘5]dB5(t)+[(q6+1)m1−℘6]dB6(t)+[(q6+1)j1−℘7]dB7(t). | (3.41) |
Suppose that (s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))=(r1,r2,r3,r4,r5,r6,r7)=ˉr∈R7+∖Q, and that δˉr is the time span from an initial point ˉr to reach a domain Q; then
λn=inf{t:|u(t)=n|}andλ(n)(t)=min{λˉr,t,λn}. |
By integrating both sides of the variant (3.41) from zero to λ(n)(t), contemplating the expectation and using Dynkin's computation, one can obtain the following:
UΦ(s1(λ(n)(t)),x1(λ(n)(t)),u1(λ(n)(t)),r1(λ(n)(t)),v1(λ(n)(t)),m1(λ(n)(t)),m1(λ(n)(t)))−Φ(ˉr)=U∈tλ(n)(t)0LΦ(s1(u1),x1(u1),u1(u1),r1(u1),v1(u1),m1(u1),j1(u1))du1≤U∈tλ(n)(t)0−Udu1=−UUλ(n)(t). | (3.42) |
Since Φ(ˉr) is positive,
Uλ(n)(t)≤Φ(ˉr)U. | (3.43) |
This indicates that P{λϵ<∞}=1 as a consequence of proof of Theorem 3.3. Conversely, the model (2.2) can be stated as regular. Thus, if n,t↦∞, we almost surely find λ(n)(t)↦λˉr,(a.s).
Applying Fatou's lemma, we have
Uλ(n)(t)≤Φ(ˉr)U<∞. | (3.44) |
Obviously, supˉr∈ℓUλˉr, where ℓ is a compact subset of R7+. It validates the Lemma 3.2 assertion (ii).
Also, the diffusion matrix of the model (2.2) is
U=[℘21s210000000℘22x210000000℘23u210000000℘24r210000000℘25v210000000℘26m210000000℘27j21]. | (3.45) |
Selecting V1=min(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈ˉQ∈R7+{℘21s21,℘22x21,℘23u21,℘24r21,℘25v21,℘26m21,℘27j21}, we find that
7∑p,p=1app(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)ℑpℑp=℘21s21ℑ2+℘22x21ℑ2+℘23u21ℑ2+℘24r21ℑ2+℘25v21ℑ2+℘26m21ℑ2+℘27j21ℑ2≥V1|ℑ|2,(s1,x1,u1,r1,v1,m1,j1)∈ˉQ, | (3.46) |
where ℑ=(ℑ1,ℑ2,ℑ3,ℑ4,ℑ5,ℑ6,ℑ7)∈R7+. This shows that the assertion (i) of Lemma 3.2 is satisfied. Based on the foregoing discussion, Lemma 3.2 illustrates that the framework (2.2) is ergodic and has only one stationary distribution.
In this part, we will investigate the dynamical behavior of SDVI models (2.1) and (2.2) that incorporate the multi-target cells and involve classical, index-law and eventually, stochastic processes. In this scenario, if we define T as the final time of transmission, that is, the penultimate time when a secondary outbreak occurs, then the mathematical framework will be developed by using the classical derivative formulation in the first round, then the index-law kernel in the second step and finally the stochastic environment in the later phases. Following that, the mathematical formalism that explains this phenomenon is offered as follows:
{ds1dt=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,dx1dt=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1,du1dt=δ1s1v1−χ1u1,if0≤t≤T1,dr1dt=δ2x1v1−χ2r1,dv1dt=ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,dm1dt=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,dj1dt=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1, | (4.1) |
{c0Dϖts1(t)=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,c0Dϖtx1(t)=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1,c0Dϖtu1(t)=δ1s1v1−χ1u1,ifT1≤t≤T2,c0Dϖtr1(t)=δ2x1v1−χ2r1,c0Dϖtv1(t)=ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,c0Dϖtm1(t)=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,c0Dϖtj1(t)=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1 | (4.2) |
{ds1(t)=(ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1)+℘1s1(t)dB1(t),dx1(t)=(=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1)+℘2x1(t)dB2(t),du1(t)=(δ1s1v1−χ1u1)+℘3u1(t)dB3(t),ifT2≤t≤T,dr1(t)=(δ2x1v1−χ2r1)+℘4r1(t)dB4(t),dv1(t)=(ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1)+℘5v1(t)dB5(t),dm1(t)=(=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1)+℘6m1(t)dB6(t),dj1(t)=(=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1)+℘7j1(t)dB7(t) | (4.3) |
Here, we apply the technique described in [24] for the scenario of Caputo's derivative to analyze quantitatively the piecewise structure described by (4.1)–(4.3). We commence the technique as follows:
{dΩℓ(t)dt=Λ(t,Ωℓ).Ωℓ(0)=Ωℓ,0,ℓ=1,2,...,nift∈[0,T1],cT1DβtΩℓ(t)=Λ(t,Ωℓ),Ωℓ(T1)=Ωℓ,1,ift∈[T1,T2],dΩℓ(t)=Λ(t,Ωℓ)dt+℘ℓΩℓdBℓ(t),Ωℓ(T2)=Ωℓ,2,ift∈[T2,T]. |
It follows that
Ωrℓ={Ωℓ(0)+r∑p=2{2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt},t∈[0,T1].Ωℓ(T1)+(Δt)β−1Γ(β+1)r∑p=2Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Ξ1+(Δt)β−1Γ(β+2)r∑p=2{Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)−Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)}Ξ2+β(Δt)β−12Γ(β+3)r∑p=2{Λ(tp,Ωp)−2Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)+Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)}Ξ3,t∈[T1,T2],Ωℓ(T2)+n∑p=r+3{512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt}+n∑p=r+3{512(B(tp−1)−B(tp−2))℘Ωp−2−43(B(tp)−B(tp−1))℘Ωp−1+2312(B(tp+1)−B(tp))℘Ωp},t∈[T2,T], |
where
Ξ1:=(r−p−1)β−(r−p)β, | (4.4) |
Ξ2:=(r−p+1)β(r−p+2β+3)−(r−p)β(r−p+3β+3), | (4.5) |
and
Ξ3:={(r−p+1)β(2(r−p)2+(3β+10)(r−p)+2β2+9β+12)+(r−p)β(2(r−p)2+(5β+10)(r−p)+6β2+18β+12). | (4.6) |
In this subsection, we will examine the system dynamics of SDVI propagation involving multiple-target cells comprising classical, exponential decay law and stochastic mechanisms. If we describe T as the concluding time of transmission, that is, the final time when a secondary epidemic appears, then the mathematical structure will be formed in the first round by using the classical derivative implementation, then the exponential decay kernel in the second step and eventually the stochastic environment in the subsequent periods. Regarding that, the mathematical approach used to illustrate this occurrence is presented as follows:
{ds1dt=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,dx1dt=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1,du1dt=δ1s1v1−χ1u1,if0≤t≤T1,dr1dt=δ2x1v1−χ2r1,dv1dt=ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,dm1dt=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,dj1dt=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1, | (4.7) |
{CF0Dϖts1(t)=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,CF0Dϖtx1(t)=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1,CF0Dϖtu1(t)=δ1s1v1−χ1u1,ifT1≤t≤T2,CF0Dϖtr1(t)=δ2x1v1−χ2r1,CF0Dϖtv1(t)=ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,CF0Dϖtm1(t)=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,CF0Dϖtj1(t)=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1, | (4.8) |
{ds1(t)=(ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1)+℘1s1(t)dB1(t),dx1(t)=(=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1)+℘2x1(t)dB2(t),du1(t)=(δ1s1v1−χ1u1)+℘3u1(t)dB3(t),ifT2≤t≤T,dr1(t)=(δ2x1v1−χ2r1)+℘4r1(t)dB4(t),dv1(t)=(ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1)+℘5v1(t)dB5(t),dm1(t)=(=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1)+℘6m1(t)dB6(t),dj1(t)=(=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1)+℘7j1(t)dB7(t). | (4.9) |
Here, we apply the technique described in [24] for the scenario of the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative to analyze quantitatively the piecewise structuredescribed by (4.7)–(4.9). We commence the technique as follows:
{dΩℓ(t)dt=Λ(t,Ωℓ).Ωℓ(0)=Ωℓ,0,ℓ=1,2,...,nift∈[0,T1],CFT1DβtΩℓ(t)=Λ(t,Ωℓ),Ωℓ(T1)=Ωℓ,1,ift∈[T1,T2],dΩℓ(t)=Λ(t,Ωℓ)dt+℘ℓΩℓdBℓ(t),Ωℓ(T2)=Ωℓ,2,ift∈[T2,T]. | (4.10) |
It follows that
Ωrℓ={Ωℓ(0)+r∑p=2{2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt},t∈[0,T1].Ωℓ(T1)+1−βM(β)Λ(tn,Ωn)+βM(β)r∑p=2{512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt},t∈[T1,T2],Ωℓ(T2)+n∑p=r+3{512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt}+n∑p=r+3{512(B(tp−1)−B(tp−2))℘Ωp−2−43(B(tp)−B(tp−1))℘Ωp−1+2312(B(tp+1)−B(tp))℘Ωp},t∈[T2,T]. | (4.11) |
Here, we will concentrate on the dynamic behavior of SDVI spreading, which demonstrates three main phases for a certain region, including the classical, GML law and lastly, stochastic causes. If we define T as the final time when a secondary epidemic appears, the mathematical configuration will be constituted in the first round employing the classical derivative application, followed by the Mittag-Leffler kernel in the second step and finally the stochastic environment in subsequent periods. In this regard, the mathematical model utilized to describe this phenomenon is as follows:
{ds1dt=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,dx1dt=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1,du1dt=δ1s1v1−χ1u1,if0≤t≤T1,dr1dt=δ2x1v1−χ2r1,dv1dt=ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,dm1dt=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,dj1dt=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1, | (4.12) |
{ABC0Dϖts1(t)=ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1,ABC0Dϖtx1(t)=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1,ABC0Dϖtu1(t)=δ1s1v1−χ1u1,ifT1≤t≤T2,ABC0Dϖtr1(t)=δ2x1v1−χ2r1,ABC0Dϖtv1(t)=ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1,ABC0Dϖtm1(t)=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1,ABC0Dϖtj1(t)=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1, | (4.13) |
{ds1(t)=(ϑ1−δ1s1v1−γ1s1)+℘1s1(t)dB1(t),dx1(t)=(=ϑ2−δ2x1v1−γ2s1)+℘2x1(t)dB2(t),du1(t)=(δ1s1v1−χ1u1)+℘3u1(t)dB3(t),ifT2≤t≤T,dr1(t)=(δ2x1v1−χ2r1)+℘4r1(t)dB4(t),dv1(t)=(ζ1u1+ζ2r1−φv1−ω1v1m1−ω2v1j1)+℘5v1(t)dB5(t),dm1(t)=(=χ1v1m1−ρ1m1)+℘6m1(t)dB6(t),dj1(t)=(=χ2v1j1−ρ2j1)+℘7j1(t)dB7(t). | (4.14) |
Here, we apply the technique described in [24] for the scenario of the Atanagan-Baleanu-Caputo derivative to analyze quantitatively the piecewise structure described by (4.12)–(4.14). We commence the technique as follows:
{dΩℓ(t)dt=Λ(t,Ωℓ).Ωℓ(0)=Ωℓ,0,ℓ=1,2,...,nift∈[0,T1],ABCT1DβtΩℓ(t)=Λ(t,Ωℓ),Ωℓ(T1)=Ωℓ,1,ift∈[T1,T2],dΩℓ(t)=Λ(t,Ωℓ)dt+℘ℓΩℓdBℓ(t),Ωℓ(T2)=Ωℓ,2,ift∈[T2,T]. |
It follows that
Ωrℓ={Ωℓ(0)+r∑p=2{2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt},t∈[0,T1].Ωℓ(T1)+βABC(β)Λ(tn,Ωn)+β(Δt)β−1ABC(β)Γ(β+1)r∑p=2Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Ξ1+β(Δt)β−1ABC(β)Γ(β+2)r∑p=2{Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)−Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)}Ξ2+β(Δt)β−12ABC(β)Γ(β+3)r∑p=2{Λ(tp,Ωp)−2Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)+Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)}Ξ3,t∈[T1,T2],Ωℓ(T2)+n∑p=r+3{512Λ(tp−2,Ωp−2)Δt−43Λ(tp−1,Ωp−1)Δt+2312Λ(tp,Ωp)Δt}+n∑p=r+3{512(B(tp−1)−B(tp−2))℘Ωp−2−43(B(tp)−B(tp−1))℘Ωp−1+2312(B(tp+1)−B(tp))℘Ωp},t∈[T2,T], |
where Ξ1,Ξ2 and Ξ3 are stated as before in (4.4)–(4.6).
This part comprises numerical computations that demonstrate the simulated predictions via the notable technique proposed by Atangana and Araz [24]. We utilize the stochastic piecewise fractional DE method to obtain the stochastic version of the designed system by employing the power-kernel described by (4.1)–(4.3), exponential decay kernel described by (4.7) and (4.8) and GML kernel described by (4.12)–(4.14) for simulation analysis, as shown below. Suppose that ϑ1=10,ϑ2=6,γ1=0.01, γ2=0.01, ς1=0.5, ς2=0.3,ζ1=10, ζ2=5,φ=3, ω1=0.3, ω2=0.1, ρ1=0.1, ρ2=0.1, δ1=δ2=0.00005, χ1=0.0005 and χ2=0.001 with random intensities ℘1=℘2=℘3=℘4=℘5=℘6=℘7=0.01. Moreover, we assumed the ICs as s1(0)=0.1, x1(0)=0.1,u1(0)=0.1, r1(0)=0.1, v1(0)=0.1, m1(0)=0.2andj1(0)=0.5. We can instantly compute the threshold parameter Rs0=0.258<1 and the solution of the model (2.2) must comply with Theorem 3.3.
Depending on the above discussion, we took into account the model parameters and accompanying noise concentrations of the dynamical system (4.1)–(4.9) for Figure 1 by utilizing the deterministic-stochastic approach with crossover impacts. The estimate illustrates and validates eradication, and it demonstrates that the stochastic framework (2.2) is stochastically asymptotically stable in the prescribed environments. Figure 1 demonstrates that the simulation of Theorem 3.2 and its deterministic counterpart have analogous features. Both model solutions congregate at the disease-free equilibrium point of (2.1). This means that the illness becomes exterminated when such a prescribed requirement is satisfied, i.e., the number of affected patients will decrease tremendously, whereas susceptible individuals will remain.
Analogously, in Figure 2, we presume another case for the system's parameters to fix intensities of white noise (stated above) through the use of the exponential decay kernel, which also reveals an irreversible or steady dispersion and quantitatively appeases the theorem's "stationary distribution" declaration. According to modeling, the deterministic-stochastic model (4.7)–(4.9) will oscillate for a long time around the correlating deterministic model's specific regional steady state given by (2.1). Because the low noise concentration of the virus will persist, the mean volatility all around the outbreak steady state is minimal. In the long term, both frameworks result in similarities and differences between the stochastic model (2.2) and its deterministic counterpart described by (2.1).
Figure 3 represents the deterministic-stochastic dynamics of the SDVI described by (4.12)–(4.14) considering the piecewise fractional DEs with the system parameters and low random intensities. The dynamics of the Atanagana-Baleanu Caputo fractional derivative can predict the dynamics in a better way than the power-kernel and exponential decay kernel. Thus, we furthermore illustrate that the stochastic approach described by (2.2) has a unique stationary distribution only when the random intensities are small enough and the threshold parameter Rs0>1.
Figures 4–6 shows the phase portrait of the deterministic-stochastic behavior utilizing the GML kernel influence by the crossover effects with varying random intensities ℘1=0.01,℘2=0.02,℘3=0.03,℘4=0.04,℘5=0.05,℘6=0.06and℘7=0.07. Nonetheless, while the crossover qualities of the Mittag-Leffler kernel have been recognized as potent analytical techniques for depicting major difficulties, it is important to recognize that only underlying complications continuing to pursue the crossover residences of this kernel can be modeled with certain restrictions, as is present in legitimate challenges; this kernel will not be capable of demonstrating the time where the crossover occurred. Admittedly, serious concerns exemplifying multiple procedures mean that the GML cannot be recreated by using the Atangana-Baleanu derivative. The investigation is not constricted to the conceptual scheme for the SDVI model, as it can be extended to several other vector-borne diseases, including Rift Valley fever, yellow fever and Zika, to discuss the piecewise deterministic-stochastic behavior related to dynamical systems.
Many real-world phenomena are not deterministic but include stochastic consequences, which allows for a more precise prediction of their highly infectious evolution. In this research, we developed a viral model to describe the deterministic-stochastic effects of secondary dengue viral infection through the use of multiple target cells. In the framework, we have used both heterologous and homologous immune cells. We tested the fundamental features of solutions, such as the feasibility and invariant region. We determined the threshold parameters for both deterministic and stochastic simulations, respectively. More accurately, we have verified the following result:
Rs0=ζ1ζ2ϑ1ϑ2δ1δ2(℘212−γ1)(℘222−γ2)(℘232−ς1)(℘242−ς2)(℘252+φ)2. |
Then, for any initial setting (s1(0),x1(0),u1(0),r1(0),v1(0),m1(0),j1(0))∈R7+, the scheme (2.2) has a unique ESD π(.). We clearly see the adverse effect of noise concentration on virus transmission. The extermination of dengue virus infection in people grows in tandem with the extent of the noise in the vulnerable community. Accordingly, the persistence of the virus declines as the noise level increases. We contend that, while the GML kernel, exponential-decay kernel and power kernel have been revealed to be capable of depicting several crossover behaviors, their strengths to do so may be curtailed due to the intricacy of existence. Furthermore, numerous serious concerns exist about crossover behaviors that have yet to be illustrated by the Mittag-Leffler, the exponential or the power law kernel, so any mathematical formula based on these derivatives will be unable to exemplify such behavior. Some key features of piecewise concepts are described in the proposed model, and a numerical mechanism has been proposed. We are convinced that this theory will lead to opportunities for additional exploration of biological impacts, including time delay [46] and reaction-diffusion [47].
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
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1. | Hui Li, Nana Jin, Yu Zhang, Existence of nonoscillatory solutions for higher order nonlinear mixed neutral differential equations, 2024, 4, 2767-8946, 417, 10.3934/mmc.2024033 |