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Research article

Sensitivity analysis unveils the interplay of drug-sensitive and drug-resistant Glioma cells: Implications of chemotherapy and anti-angiogenic therapy

  • Received: 01 November 2023 Revised: 05 December 2023 Accepted: 07 December 2023 Published: 14 December 2023
  • This study presented a glioma growth model that accounts for drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cells in response to chemotherapy and anti-angiogenic therapy. Chemotherapy induces mutations in drug-sensitive cells, leading to the emergence of drug-resistant cells and highlighting the benefits of combined therapy. Anti-angiogenic therapy can mitigate mutations by inducing angiogenic dormancy. We have identified two reproduction numbers associated with the non-cell and disease-free states. Numerical sensitivity analysis has highlighted influential parameters that control glioma growth dynamics, emphasizing the interactions between drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cells. To reduce glioma endemicity among sensitive cases, it was recommended to decrease chemotherapy expenditure, increase angiogenic dormancy, and adjust chemotherapy infusion rates. In addition, to combat resistance to glioma endemicity, enhancing angiogenic dormancy is crucial.

    Citation: Latifah Hanum, Dwi Ertiningsih, Nanang Susyanto. Sensitivity analysis unveils the interplay of drug-sensitive and drug-resistant Glioma cells: Implications of chemotherapy and anti-angiogenic therapy[J]. Electronic Research Archive, 2024, 32(1): 72-89. doi: 10.3934/era.2024004

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  • This study presented a glioma growth model that accounts for drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cells in response to chemotherapy and anti-angiogenic therapy. Chemotherapy induces mutations in drug-sensitive cells, leading to the emergence of drug-resistant cells and highlighting the benefits of combined therapy. Anti-angiogenic therapy can mitigate mutations by inducing angiogenic dormancy. We have identified two reproduction numbers associated with the non-cell and disease-free states. Numerical sensitivity analysis has highlighted influential parameters that control glioma growth dynamics, emphasizing the interactions between drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cells. To reduce glioma endemicity among sensitive cases, it was recommended to decrease chemotherapy expenditure, increase angiogenic dormancy, and adjust chemotherapy infusion rates. In addition, to combat resistance to glioma endemicity, enhancing angiogenic dormancy is crucial.



    Gliomas represents the most prevalent category of primary brain tumors, encompassing their exceptionally aggressive variant known as glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). This subtype constitutes approximately 15% of all brain tumors [1]. Malignant gliomas are aggressive brain tumors known for their rapid development of blood vessels (angiogenesis), which is essential for their growth in the brain. These tumors exhibit a high level of proliferation of endothelial cells, a key feature in their classification according to the World Health Organization (WHO) classification system. This process of angiogenesis, which involves complex interactions between tumor cells and blood vessel cells, plays a critical role in the behavior of these tumors and the prognosis of patients [2].

    Chemotherapy remains a potential approach for treating cancer despite these advances. Failures in chemotherapy are associated with drug resistance. Drug resistance is now a major problem in the field of cancer. The long-term efficacy of drugs aimed at cancer patients is frequently inevitably constrained by drug resistance. Thousands of efforts have been put toward reducing drug resistance and increasing patient survival [3].

    Chemotherapy combinations often include antiangiogenic treatment. Antiangiogenic treatment is a technique used to treat cancer to obstruct the ability of blood vessels to carry nutrients and oxygen to tumor cells while also halting the growth of new blood vessels. Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), which is considered a primary promoter of angiogenesis, is the target of the majority of licensed antiangiogenic drugs used to treat cancer [4,5]. Because VEGF also exhibits immunosuppressive properties, which emphasizes a potential target for antiangiogenic therapy, these medications can improve immunotherapy in addition to reducing angiogenesis. Given the high rate of endothelial proliferation, increased vascular permeability, and the production of proangiogenic growth factors [6], targeting blood vessels in brain tumors has become a very attractive method.

    A relatively recent concept in cancer research is the idea of cancer dormancy, which is an additional characteristic hallmark of cancer. Angiogenic and immunogenic dormancy processes are well known; there is also a form of cellular dormancy that occurs within the tumor at the individual cell level. Before angiogenesis undergoes changes, increased cell growth leads to a decrease in oxygen and nutrient levels in areas far from blood vessels. This, in turn, causes cell death and establishes a balance between cancer cell growth and cell death [7,8]. Dormant tumor cells are quite common in the general population [9], and those that persist after primary tumor treatment or removal often exhibit resistance to chemotherapy [10,11]. Predictions in the case of mathematical modeling are helpful to understand the extent of the disease population, the effects of widespread disease, and how long the disease will last. The author also performed a sensitivity analysis of the model to identify which parameters had an impact and to interpret their biological significance. By analyzing the effect and extent of the spread of the disease through a mathematical model, accurate predictions can be made regarding how the infection will spread so that preventive and treatment measures can be taken against the spread of the disease in a population.

    This model is based on previous research by [12], incorporating two types of disease cells: Those sensitive to drugs and those resistant to drugs. It is important to note that in this model, we considered antiangiogenic therapy as a form of continuous treatment. Within this model, we also account for dormancy occurring within cells, called angiogenic dormancy. This factor influences the balance between cell proliferation and cell death.

    These types include cells affected by the disease, namely the concentration of glioma-sensitive cells (g2) and glioma-resistant cells (g3), with healthy cells among them, such as the concentration of glial cells (g1), endothelial cells (g4), and neurons (g5), as well as the concentrations of chemotherapy (q) and antiangiogenic agents (y). The parameters of the non-dimensionalized model used in the model are shown in Table 1:

    Table 1.  Parameter values.
    Notation Parameters
    p1 Rate of glial cell proliferation
    p2 Rate of proliferation of sensitive glioma cells
    p3 Rate of proliferation of resistant glioma cells
    p4 Rate of endothelial cell proliferation
    β1 Rate of competition among glial cells
    β2,β3 Rate of competition among sensitive and resistant glioma cells
    di0,i=1,2,5 Rate of chemotherapy agent predation on gi without g4 and y
    di1,i=1,2,5 Rate of increase in predation on gi by chemotherapy agent per concentration of g4
    di2,i=1,2,5 Rate of increase in predation on gi by chemotherapy agent per concentration of y
    d4 Rate of predation by anti-angiogenic agent on g4
    ai,i=1,2,4,5 Holling type-Ⅱ constant
    τ Proportion of endothelial cells involved in tumor angiogenesis
    u Tumor cell mutation rate
    ρ Dormancy rate of angiogenic glioma cells
    μ Rate of glioma cell formation caused by endothelial cells
    α Rate of neuronal cell loss due to the influence of glial cells
    ci,i=1,2,4,5 Rate of AK and AA combined with gi
    ϕ Rate of chemotherapy drug infusion
    δ Rate of anti-angiogenic drug infusion
    ψ Rate of chemotherapy drug expenditure
    γ Rate of anti-angiogenic drug expenditure

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    As per the reference [12], the non-dimensionalized model can be expressed as follows:

    dg1dt=p1g1[1g1]β1g1[g2+g3]d1(g4,y)g1qa1+g1 (2.1)
    dg2dt=p2g2[1g2+g31+τg4]β2g1g2uF(q)g2ρF(y)g2d2(g4,y)g2qa2+g2 (2.2)
    dg3dt=p3g3[1g2+g31+τg4]β3g1g3+uF(q)g2ρF(y)g3 (2.3)
    dg4dt=μ[g2+g3]+p4g4[1g4]d4g4ya4+g4 (2.4)
    dg5dt=α˙g1F(˙g1)g5d5(g4,y)g5qa5+g5 (2.5)
    dqdt=ϕ[ψ+c1g1a1+g1+c2g2a2+g2+c5g5a5+g5]q (2.6)
    dydt=δ[γ+c4g4a4+g4]y (2.7)

    with

    di(g4,y)=di0+di1g4+di2y,i=1,2,5

    and initial values gi0,i=1,...,5 q0,y0 for t=0 and F(x) is a function defined as

    F(x)={0,x01,x>0. (2.8)

    In this subsection, we calculate the basic reproduction numbers for a model involving a disease with drug-sensitive and drug-resistant strains. The basic reproduction number (R0) measures the rate of spread of a tumor. If R0 is greater than one, it suggests that the number of affected cells, which encompasses both drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cases, will increase, implying the persistence of the affected cells. On the other hand, if is less than one, it indicates that, on average, each tumor cell produces fewer than one new cell and, therefore, therapy (administration of drugs) has the potential to eradicate the tumor. In this model, at each time step, a tumor cell gives rise to offspring or dies, serving as a parameter that determines whether the tumor will continue growing or will be suppressed and eventually eliminated by therapy [13,14]. In our analysis, we employ the next-generation matrix technique to estimate the basic reproduction numbers for our system, which encompasses both drug-sensitive and drug-resistant forms of the disease [15].

    The simplified model considers two disease states: Drug-sensitive (g2) and drug-resistant (g3) states, along with five non-disease states: Glial cell (g1), endothelial cells (g4), and neurons (g5), as well as chemotherapy agent (q) and antiangiogenic agent (y). According to [12], to determine the glioma-free equilibrium point, we evaluate the system of Eqs (2.1)–(2.7) when g2=g3=0. The first glioma-free equilibrium point is E0=(0,0,0,0,0,q,y), which represents the non-cell state. Therefore, from Eqs (2.6) and (2.7), in the absence of glioma, we have q=ϕψ and y=δγ.

    When we linearize the system around this first glioma-free equilibrium, we discover that the Eqs (2.2) and (2.3) govern the dynamics of and create a closed system, resulting in a linearized sub-model for the disease dynamics involving both drug-sensitive and drug-resistant strains. Let x represent the disease compartments and y represent the non-disease compartments, so it can be written as follows,

    x=(g2(t)g3(t))

    and

    y=(g1(t)g4(t)g5(t)q(t)y(t))

    so that ˙x=F(x,y)ν(x,y) where

    ˙x=(p2g2[1g2+g31+τg4]β2g1g2uF(q)g2ρF(y)g2d2(g4,y)g2qa2+g2p3g3[1g2+g31+τg4]β3g1g3+uF(q)g2ρF(y)g3)=(p2g2[1g2+g31+τg4]p3g3[1g2+g31+τg4]+uF(q)g2)(β2g1g2+uF(q)g2+ρF(y)g2+d2(g4,y)g2qa2+g2β3g1g3+ρF(y)g3)=(F1(x,y)F2(x,y))(ν1(x,y)ν2(x,y))=F(x,y)ν(x,y). (2.9)

    The matrix F contains the transmission component of x (i.e., the arrival of susceptible individuals into the disease compartments g2 and g3) and the matrix ν contains transitions between, and out of the disease states (i.e., mutation, dormancy and death), then ˙y=s(x,y) is as follows:

    ˙y=(p1g1[1g1]β1g1[g2+g3]d1(g4,y)g1qa1+g1μ[g2+g3]+p4g4[1g4]d4g4ya4+g4α˙g1F(˙g1)g5d5(g4,y)g5qa5+g5ϕ[ψ+c1g1a1+g1+c2g2a2+g2+c5g5a5+g5]qδ[γ+c4g4a4+g4]y)=(s1(x,y)s2(x,y)s3(x,y)s4(x,y)s5(x,y))=s(x,y). (2.10)

    Before calculating the basic reproduction number using the next-generation matrix, several assumptions need to be met, as follows:

    1) Based on F(x,y) and v(x,y) in Eq (2.9), it is obtained that F(0,y)=0 and v(0,y)=0 for every y0.

    2) Based on Eq (2.10), the disease-free system ˙y=s(0,y) has a stable asymptotic equilibrium point. The disease-free population in the system (2.1)–(2.7) is g1,g4,g5,q, and y, so from Eq (2.10), we have:

    s(0,y)=(p1g1[1g1]d1(g4,y)g1qa1+g1p4g4[1g4]d4g4ya4+g4α˙g1F(˙g1)g5d5(g4,y)g5qa5+g5ϕ[ψ+c1g1a1+g1+c5g5a5+g5]qδ[γ+c4g4a4+g4]y).

    The first equilibrium point for glioma from system ˙y=s(0,y) is (0,0,0,ϕψ,δγ). The Jacobian matrix of the system s(0,y) at the point (0,0,0,ϕψ,δγ) is as follows:

    Df(s(0,y))=(p1(d12δγ+d10)ϕψa100000p4d4δγa400000000c1ϕψa10c5ϕa5ψψ00c4δγa400γ).

    Next, we calculate the eigenvalues of the matrix Df(s(0,y)) as follows:

    |Df(s(0,y))λI|=0|p1(d12δγ+d10)ϕψa1λ00000p4d4δγa4λ00000λ00c1ϕψa10c5ϕa5ψψλ00c4δγa400γλ|=0.

    The eigenvalues obtained are λ1=p1(d12δγ+d10)ϕψa1, λ2=p4d4δγa4, λ3=0, λ4=ψ, and λ5=γ. Since ψ>0 and γ>0, we have λ4<0 and λ5<0. Furthermore, if ϕ>p1ψa1γ(d10γ+d12δ), then p1(d12δγ+d10)ϕψa1<0, and we obtain λ1<0. Similarly, if δ>p4γa4δd4, then p4d4γa4<0, and we obtain λ2<0. Therefore, as for all λi<0 for i=1,2,3,4,5, the equilibrium point of the disease-free system is asymptotically stable.

    3) The values of F(x,y)0 for every x,y0.

    4) If x=0, then v(x,y)0.

    5) Based on the matrix v(x,y), it is obtained that

    2i=1vi(x,y)=β2g1g2+uF(q)g2+ρF(y)g2+d2(g4,y)g2qa2+g2+β3g1g3+ρF(y)g30

    so that 2i=1vi(x,y)0 for every x,y0.

    The system (2.1)–(2.7) satisfies the five assumptions of the next-generation matrix. Therefore, to calculate the basic reproduction number, the next-generation matrix method can be used. Next, we will determine the matrix F, which is the Jacobian matrix of the matrix F at the disease-free equilibrium point, and then the matrix V will be the Jacobian matrix of the matrix v at the first equilibrium point of glioma. Here is the matrix F and V at the first glioma-free equilibrium point:

    F=(p20up3)andV=(u+ρ+d22δγ+d20ϕψa200ρ).

    The next-generation matrix, M, is then given by [15]

    M=FV1=(p2γψa2(a2(u+ρ)ψ+d20ϕ)γ+d22δϕ0uρp3ρ).

    The eigenvalues of M obtained are λ1=p2γψa2(a2(u+ρ)ψ+d20ϕ)γ+d22δϕ and λ2=p3ρ. The principal eigenvalues of matrix M serve as the fundamental reproduction rates for both the drug-susceptible and drug-resistant glioma. They represent the average number of new infections generated by a single infected individual from each strain. The lower triangular structure of M allows an immediate extraction of the fundamental reproduction rates for the drug-susceptible and drug-resistant glioma, respectively, as follows:

    R0A=p2γψa2(a2(u+ρ)ψ+d20ϕ)γ+d22δϕ

    and

    R0B=p3ρ

    so that

    R01=max{R0A,R0B}.

    At R01, we choose either R0A or R0B by taking the maximum between them.

    Analogously to the steps in the first reproduction number, we obtain the second reproduction number associated with the disease-free state E1=(gb1,0,0,gb4,0,qb,yb). Therefore, we have the second reproduction number

    R0C=a2p2(β2gb1+ρ+u)a2+d2(gb4,yb)qbandR0D=p3β3gb1+ρ

    so that

    R02=max{R0C,R0D}.

    At R02, we choose either R0C or R0D by taking the maximum between them. Interestingly we find that the basic reproduction numbers g2 and g3 are both independent of the amplification rate ρ [16].

    Equations (2.1)–(2.7) indicate the existence of a glioma-free equilibrium, E0, as shown in [12].

    E0=(0,0,0,0,0,ϕψ,δγ).

    It is also clear that there exists a second glioma-free equilibrium, denoted as E1, which is always present and defined as E1=(gb1,0,0,gb4,0,qb,yb).

    gb4=(γa4+γ+c4)+(γa4γc4)24(γ+c4)[δ(d4)/p4a4γ]2(γ+c4)yb=δ[a4+gb4]a4γ+c4gb4+gb4γgb1=(ψ+c1ψa1)+[(ψc1+ψa1)]24(ψ+c1)[d1(gb4,yb)ϕ/p1ψa1]1/22(ψ+c1)qb=p1[1gb1][a1+gb1]d10+d11gb4+d12yb.

    For the existence of the equilibriua E1 note that if δ(d4)<a4γp4, then γa3+γ+c4<(γa4γc4)24(γ+c4)[δ(d4)/p4a4γ]. Therefore, if ϕ/ψ<p1a1/(d10+d11gb4+d12yb), gb1>0 always exists, as well as for qb.

    Furthermore, from Eqs (2.1)–(2.7) we can also derive the existence of a mono-existent endemic equilibrium, denoted as E2, where the drug-resistant strain persists while the drug-susceptible strain decreases E2=(0,0,gr3,gr42,0,qr,yr), where

    gr3=(gr42τ+1)(R0B1)R0Bqr=ϕψyr=δ(a4+gr42)γ(a4+gr42)+c4gr42, (2.11)

    and gr42 is a real positive solution of the following equation: l1g34+l2g24+l3g4+l4=0, where li, for i=1,2,3,4, are defined as follows:

    l1=1l2=((μτ+(a41)p4)p3+μρτ)p3p4l3=(((a4τ1)μ+d4ya4p4)p3+ρμ(a4τ+1))p3p4l4=a4μ(ρp3)p3p4.

    When we examine Eq (2.11), we can observe that the mono-existence of the endemic equilibrium exists if and only if R0B1, 3l3<l22, q24>p327, 2l32+27l4<9l2l3 and l2<0.

    In this subsection, the stability of each equilibrium point of the system (2.1)–(2.7) will be analyzed through linearization. The following results are established:

    Lemma 1. If R01=max[R0A,R0B]<1, ϕ>p1ψa1γ(d10+d12δ), δ>p4γa4d4 the non-cell equilibrium E0=(0,0,0,0,0,ϕφ,δγ) is locally asymtotically stable: If, however, R01=max[R0A,R0B]>1, at least one of the eigenvalues has a positive real part, rendering E0 unstable.

    Proof. We consider the Jacobian of the system (2.1)–(2.7) at the first glioma-free equilibrium point, E0, which reduces to which is given by DfE0. By symbolizing each component of the Jacobian matrix with mij, where i represents the row index and j represents the column index, we obtain

    DfE0=[m110000000m22000000um3300000μμm440000000m5500c1ϕψa1c2ϕψa200c5ϕψa5m660000c4δγa400m77].

    The structure of DfE0 allows us to immediately read off the seven eigenvalues, λi, as

    λ1=p1(d12δ/γ+d10)ϕψa1,λ2=(a2(u+ρ)ψ+d20ϕ)γ+d22δϕγa2ψ(R0A1),λ3=ρ(R0B1),λ4=p4d4δγa4,λ5=(d52δ/γ+d50)ϕψa5,λ6=ψ,λ7=γ. (2.12)

    It can be readily confirmed that for R0A<1, R0B<1, ϕ>p1ψa1γ(d10+d12δ), and δ>p4γa4d4 all eigenvalues have negative real parts. Consequently, the equilibrium of the non-cell E0 in the system (2.1)–(2.7) is locally asymptotically stable under these conditions. However, if R0A>1 or R0B>1, at least one of the seven eigenvalues has a positive real part, making E0 unstable.

    Lemma 2. If R02=max[R0C,R0D]<1, i1>0, i1i2>i3, i1i2i3>i23+i21i4 the first glioma-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable: If, however, R02=max[R0C,R0D]>1, at least one of the eigenvalues has a positive real part, making E1 unstable.

    Proof. We consider the Jacobian of the system (2.1)–(2.7) at the glioma-free equilibrium point, E1, which reduces to which is given by DfE1. By symbolizing each component of the matrix with eij, where i represents the row index and j represents the column index, we obtain

    DfE1=[e11e12e13e140e16e170e22000000e32e3300000e42e43e4400e470000e5500e61e6200e65e660000e7400e77].

    The structure of DfE1 allows us to immediately read off the first to third eigenvalues,

    λ1=β2gb1+ρ+u+d2(gb4,yb)qba2(R0C1),λ2=β3gb1+ρ(R0D1),λ3=d5(gb4,yb)qba5,

    then we find λ4,λ5,λ6,λ7 from the roots of the following equation

    i0λ4+i1λ3+i2λ2+i3λ+i4=0

    with

    i0=1,i1=(e11+e66+e44+e77),i2=(e66+e44+e77)e11+(e44+e77)e66+e44e77e74e47,i3=((e44e77)e66e44e77+e74e47)e11e66(e44e77e74e47),i4=e66(e44e77e74e47)e11e61e44e77e16.

    For local stability, we must ensure that the Routh-Hurwitz criteria is satisfied; it will be negative if i1>0, i1i2>i3, i1i2i3>i23+i21i4. It can be easily confirmed that for R0C<1, R0D<1, all eigenvalues have negative real parts. Consequently, the second glioma-free equilibrium E1 in the system (2.1)–(2.7) is locally asymptotically stable under these conditions. However, if R0C>1 or R0D>1, at least one of the seven eigenvalues has a positive real part, rendering E1 unstable.

    Lemma 3. Given the values of s2, B, and P in Eqs (2.15), (2.19), and (2.20), if R0B>max[1,R0A], p1<β1gr3+(d11gr4+d12yr+d10)qra1, P362<23B3P+s23 and P632+s23>32B6P, then the equilibrium point E2=(0,0,gr3,gr4,0,qr,yr) is asymptotically stable.

    Proof. We consider the Jacobian of the system (2.1)–(2.7) at the glioma-free equilibrium point, E2, which reduces to which is given by DfE2. By symbolizing each component of the Jacobian matrix with oij, where i represents the row index and j represents the column index, we obtain

    DfE2=[o110000000o2200000o31o32o33o340000o42o43o4400o470000o5500o61o6200o65o660000o7400o77.]. (2.13)

    The structure of DfE2 allows us to immediately read off the first to fourth eigenvalues,

    λ1=p1β1gr3(d11gr4+d12yr+d10)qra1λ2=(1d21gr4p3ϕp2ρψa2)(R0AR0B)λ3=(d51gr4+d52yr+d50)qra5λ4=ψ,

    then we find λ5,λ6,λ7,λ8 from the roots of the following equation

    s1λ3+s2λ2+s3λ+s4=0. (2.14)

    with

    s1=1s2=o33 s3=o47o74s4=o33o47o74o34o43o77

    Next, the roots of the characteristic equation (2.14) are obtained by following the steps of Cardano's formula, provided by [17] as follows:

    λ5=3A+A2+4B333232B33A2+A2+4B3s23 (2.15)
    λ6=(1i3)3A+A2+4B3632+(1+i3)32B63A+A2+4B3s23 (2.16)
    λ7=(1+i3)3A+A2+4B3632+(1i3)32B63A+A2+4B3s23 (2.17)

    where

    A=9s2s327s42s32 (2.18)
    B=3s3s22. (2.19)

    Next, we will analyze the real part of these eigenvalues and the conditions under which the real part of the eigenvalues is negative. Let

    P=3A+A2+4B3. (2.20)

    The condition for P to be real is that A2B then we obtain:

    λ5=P33232B3Ps23 (2.21)
    λ6=(1i3)P632+(1+i3)32B6Ps23 (2.22)
    =P632+32B6Ps23+i36(P32+32BP) (2.23)
    λ7=(1+i3)P632+(1i3)32B6Ps23 (2.24)
    =P632+32B6Ps23i36(P32+32BP). (2.25)

    The condition for λ5<0 is P362<23B3P+s23, and the condition for Re(λ6,7)<0 is P632+s23>32B6P.

    Since the real part of all eigenvalues λi is negative for each i=1,2,3,4,5,6,7, the equilibrium point E2=(0,0,gr3,gr4,0,qr,yr) is asymptotically stable.

    Sensitivity analysis is performed to guide the parameters that contribute the most to cancer treatment efficacy. In this study, a normalization index method [18] will be employed to indicate which treatment parameters contribute the most to cancer eradication. The analysis is focused on parameters related to the basic reproduction number. A sensitivity analysis of this model is conducted to determine the impact of changes in parameter values on the values of the basic reproduction number. We focus on sensitivity analysis regarding the second reproduction number R02, specifically the glioma-free state. If the data were available, we could use ordinary least squares and its extension[30] to estimate the parameters. However, if the data were affected by uncertainties, the parameters could still be estimated using a fuzzy approach; see, e.g., [31,32,33] for a more detailed method. In this paper, however, we will only use predefined parameter values, as given in Table 2. The results of the sensitivity analysis for a parameter are as follows.

    Table 2.  Parameters of the non-dimensionalization model.
    Parameter Value Description Reference
    p1 0.0068 p1<p2 [19]
    p2 0.012 - [20]
    p3 0.002;0.006 - [21]
    p4 0.002 p4<p1 [22]
    β1 1.8×102 - [19]
    β2,β3 1.8×103 β2,β3<β1 [19]
    ai,i=1,2,4,5 1 - [21]
    τ 0.15 τ<1 [19]
    μ 0.004 μ>p4 [23]
    c1 0.0002 - [19]
    c2 0.032 c2c1 [19]
    c4 0.032 c4c2 [24]
    c5 0.0012 c5c1 Assumption
    u 01 - [21]
    ρ 01 - [25]
    α 010 - [19]
    d10 4.7×108 - [19]
    d20 7.8×102 d20d10 [26]
    d50 4.7×103 d20>d50d10 Assumption
    d4 0.71 d3>d20 [19]
    d11 4.0×108 d11<d10 [19]
    d21 4.0×102 d21>d11 [19]
    d51 4.0×103 d21>d51>d11 Assumption
    d12 3.9×108 d12<d10 [19]
    d22 7.5 d22>d12 [19]
    d52 3.9×103 d22>d52>d12 Assumption
    ϕ 3.3×103 - [27]
    ψ 0.01813 - [28]
    δ 2.4×104 ϕ=14δ [27]
    γ 0.136 γ=7.5ψ [29]

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    From Table 3, it is evident that the parameter with a positive sensitivity index is ψ. This indicates that if ψ is increased while keeping the other parameters constant, it will increase the value of R0C and, consequently, increase the endemicity of tumor cells from glioma. On the other hand, the parameters ϕ and ρ have negative values of the sensitivity index, meaning that if ϕ or ρ increases while keeping the other parameters constant, it will decrease the value of R0C and consequently reduce the endemicity of glioma tumor cells.

    Table 3.  Sensitivity index value R0C.
    Parameter Sensitivity value
    ψ 0.61836
    ϕ 0.62177
    ρ 0.2954

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    From Table 4, it is evident that the sensitivity indices with positive values are associated with the parameters ϕ. This indicates that if one of the parameters of ϕ is increased while keeping the other constant, it will increase the value of R0D and, consequently, increase the endemicity of tumor cells from gliomas. On the other hand, the parameters ρ and ψ have negative sensitivity indices. This means that if one of the parameters of is increased while keeping the others constant, it will decrease the value of R0D and, consequently, reduce the endemicity of glioma tumor cells.

    Table 4.  Sensitivity index value R0D.
    Parameter Sensitivity value
    ρ 0.84746
    ϕ 1.486×107
    ψ 1.478×107

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    In Figure 1, the sensitivity analysis indicates that the sensitivity index of the parameter ρ to R0C is -0.2954. This means that an increase in 10% of the parameter ρ while keeping other parameters constant will result in a decrease of 2.954% in R0C. On the contrary, a 10% decrease in ρ will lead to a 2.954% increase in R0C. The analysis of sensitivity indicates that the ρ parameter has a sensitivity index of -0.84746 in relation to R0D. This suggests that if the parameter ρ is increased by 10%, the value of R0D will decrease by 8. 4746%. Conversely, if ρ is decreased by 10%, the value of R0D will increase by 8. 4746%.

    Figure 1.  Sensitivity analysis (a) R0C vs ρ and (b) R0D vs ρ.

    In Figure 2, the sensitivity analysis results reveal that the sensitivity index of the parameter ψ to R0C is 0.61836. This means that if the parameter ψ increases by 10%, the value of R0C also increases by 6.1836%. Conversely, if the parameter ψ decreases by 10%, the value of R0C decreases by 6.1836%. According to the sensitivity analysis findings, the sensitivity index of the parameter ψ to R0D is approximately 1.478×107. In simpler terms, if the parameter ψ is increased by 10%, the value of R0D will decrease by approximately 1.478×107%. Conversely, if the parameter ψ is decreased by 10%, the value of R0D will increase by approximately 1.478×107%.

    Figure 2.  Sensitivity analysis (a) R0C vs ψ and (b) R0D vs ψ.

    The sensitivity analysis results, as depicted in Figure 3, reveals the sensitivity index of the parameter ϕ to R0C, which is calculated at -0.62177. This means that if the parameter ϕ increases by 10%, the value of R0C will decrease by 6.2177%. Conversely, a 10% decrease in ϕ will result in a 6.2177% increase in the value of R0C. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis findings indicate a sensitivity index of 1.486×107 for the parameter ϕ to R0D. In simpler terms, a 10% increase in ϕ will lead to 14.86×107% increase in the value of R0D, while a 10% decrease in ϕ will correspondingly reduce the value of R0D.

    Figure 3.  Sensitivity analysis (a) R0C vs ϕ and (b) R0D vs ϕ.

    From the general sensitivity analysis, it becomes evident that the chemotherapy infusion rate (ϕ) and the angiogenic dormancy rate (ρ) exert the most significant influence on the fundamental reproduction number R0C. This implies that higher values of ϕ and ρ will lead to a decrease in R0C, thereby inhibiting the spread of tumor cells in gliomas. Similarly, among the nine parameters affecting R0D, the chemotherapy infusion rate (ϕ) and the angiogenic dormancy rate (ρ) are the most impactful. Notably, these impacts are in opposite directions. Increasing ϕ will result in the expansion of R0D, leading to a wider tumor spread. Conversely, raising ρ will cause a decrease in R0D, thereby restricting the spread of glioma tumors.

    In brief, this study unveiled a comprehensive model for glioma progression, emphasizing the efficacy of combination therapy and the role of antiangiogenic measures. Key parameters, particularly the chemotherapy infusion rate (ϕ) and the angiogenic dormancy rate (ρ), significantly influence glioma proliferation. Sensitivity analysis identified ϕ and ρ as crucial in decelerating glioma growth, shedding light on the interplay between drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cells. This insight was pivotal for refining treatment strategies and curbing disease progression. The significance of this study lies in optimizing therapeutic interventions through sensitivity analysis, providing valuable insights into glioma development and treatment effectiveness. Explaining these dynamics will contribute to advancing treatments for patients with glioma and propelling ongoing research in this field.

    The authors declare they have not used Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the creation of this article.

    This research is funded by the Directorate-General of Higher Education, Ministry of Education, Culture, Research and Technology, Republic of Indonesia under Master's Thesis Research Grant Number 3226/UN1 / DITLIT / Dig-Lit / PT.01.03/2023.

    The authors declare there is no conflicts of interest.



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