
Unexpected events and shocks constitute greater threats to the attainment of zero hunger targets in Africa and the world over, and in the extreme case, lead to total collapse of the global food system and food supply chain. Consequently, this causes significant loss of critical income sources, renders individuals vulnerable, and further deteriorates households' livelihood outcome and welfare state. Therefore, the need for social protection programs to mitigate the impact of distress and unexpected events, as well as extreme occurrences cannot be over emphasized. This research used dataset from the 1499 households captured in the 2021 South African General Household Survey to investigate whether access to a special relief from distress grant has effect on the livestock farming households' food security status in Eastern Cape Province of South Africa. Descriptive statistics, cross-tabulation, a two-sample t-test, a food insecurity experience-based scale technique, and a fractional outcome model were used to analyze the datasets. Based on access to the grant, households in the non-beneficiary group are significantly distinguishable from the beneficiary counterparts, such that the beneficiary households out-performed the non-beneficiary households in the food break-even and food surplus categories. The findings further indicated the possibility of transition of the beneficiary households' population under the transitory food insecurity category to either the chronic food insecurity status or food break-even status, subject to the effectiveness of the food security policy to which they are exposed. The fractional outcome model also indicated that non-metropolitan resident households (p < 0.05), access to the special grant (p < 0.01), access to health facilities (p < 0.01), age of households' heads (p < 0.01), colored, indian and white population groups (both at p < 0.01), as well as access to remittance (p < 0.01) made significant contributions to the households' food security status. The Wald test indicated that access to the special relief grant had a significant effect on the households' food security status in the study area. The study therefore recommends accelerated investments in various social investment programs as sustained responses to expected and unexpected shocks and occurrences to be able to induce progress and realize more resilient food systems.
Citation: Seyi Olalekan Olawuyi, Abbyssinia Mushunje. Access to special COVID-19 relief from distress grant and livelihood outcome of livestock farming households in Eastern Cape Province, South Africa[J]. AIMS Agriculture and Food, 2023, 8(2): 598-614. doi: 10.3934/agrfood.2023033
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Unexpected events and shocks constitute greater threats to the attainment of zero hunger targets in Africa and the world over, and in the extreme case, lead to total collapse of the global food system and food supply chain. Consequently, this causes significant loss of critical income sources, renders individuals vulnerable, and further deteriorates households' livelihood outcome and welfare state. Therefore, the need for social protection programs to mitigate the impact of distress and unexpected events, as well as extreme occurrences cannot be over emphasized. This research used dataset from the 1499 households captured in the 2021 South African General Household Survey to investigate whether access to a special relief from distress grant has effect on the livestock farming households' food security status in Eastern Cape Province of South Africa. Descriptive statistics, cross-tabulation, a two-sample t-test, a food insecurity experience-based scale technique, and a fractional outcome model were used to analyze the datasets. Based on access to the grant, households in the non-beneficiary group are significantly distinguishable from the beneficiary counterparts, such that the beneficiary households out-performed the non-beneficiary households in the food break-even and food surplus categories. The findings further indicated the possibility of transition of the beneficiary households' population under the transitory food insecurity category to either the chronic food insecurity status or food break-even status, subject to the effectiveness of the food security policy to which they are exposed. The fractional outcome model also indicated that non-metropolitan resident households (p < 0.05), access to the special grant (p < 0.01), access to health facilities (p < 0.01), age of households' heads (p < 0.01), colored, indian and white population groups (both at p < 0.01), as well as access to remittance (p < 0.01) made significant contributions to the households' food security status. The Wald test indicated that access to the special relief grant had a significant effect on the households' food security status in the study area. The study therefore recommends accelerated investments in various social investment programs as sustained responses to expected and unexpected shocks and occurrences to be able to induce progress and realize more resilient food systems.
The biological sciences have advanced at a breakneck pace during the last few decades, and it's reasonable to predict that this trend will continue, aided by massive technological advancements in a long time. Mathematics has always both contributed to and benefited society. There is huge progress in the natural sciences because of mathematics, and it can do the same for biological science [1]. Biology generates intriguing problems, and mathematics develops models to help us understand them, and biology then tests the mathematical models. The handling of complex mathematical systems has been made easier thanks to recent improvements in computer algebra systems. This has allowed scientists to concentrate on understanding mathematical biology rather than the mechanics of solving problems [2].
Cancer has always been considered a complex system as it causes different diseases around two hundred with different characteristics. Therefore, many scientists are still trying to investigate the interactions between tumor cells and immune cells by employing different strategies to better understand the dynamics of cancer [3,4]. Research is devoted to understanding the interaction between the immune system and tumor cells [5]. Ordinary differential equations mathematical models have been proven valuable to understand the dynamics of the tumor-immune system how host immune cells and cancerous cells evolve interact; See e.g. [6,7,8]. However, fractional-order differential equations have more characteristics than classical derivatives in mathematical modeling.
Accordingly, the subject of fractional calculus has gained popularity and importance due to its demonstrated applications in system biology [9], and different fields of sciences [10]. Derivatives and integrals of any non-negative order are allowed in fractional calculus. The benefit of fractional derivatives (integral as well) is that they are not a local (or point) attribute (or quantity) [11]. We noticed that in epidemiology, mathematical models are frequently employed to comprehend the complexity of infectious diseases. The stability theory of differential equations is used to study the dysentery modeling approach with controls [12]. The most often employed operators, such as Caputo-Fabrizio, and Atangana-Baleanu, involve a local derivative with an exponential function, power-law, and a Mittag-Leffler function, respectively. On the other hand, real-world processes display intricate fractal behavior, including volatility, aquifers, porous media, biomedicine, and Darcy's law. In this context, it is necessary to have operators involving nonlocal differentiation in the kernel, which Atangana provided in the form of fractional fractal operators [13]. In the field of mathematical biology, epidemiological models design has been examined using classical and certain fractional-order operators such as conformable derivatives, Caputo-Fabrizio, Atangana-Baleanu, beta derivatives, and a few more. Dengue fever, tuberculosis, measles, Ebola, and other diseases are among the epidemiological designs supported by fractional operators. Nevertheless, fresh real-life applications studied on fractal-fractional operators have shown that the operator's effectiveness is best suited to curves derived under Caputo type fractal operators using actual banking data [14]. Fractal-fractional derivative and integration analysis develop complicated behaviors of diarrhoeal sickness. These operators have created the best curve of the actual data of the diseased population, and the model of diarrhea proves that these novel operators have a unique solution [15]. Some application of fractional order model with the local and nonlocal, nonsingular kernel is also studied in [16,17,18,19,20,21] having memory results for a dynamical system.
Fractional derivative in the Caputo sense is studied in [29,30,31]. A vitro model of HER 2 + breast cancer cells dynamics resulting from many dosages and timing of paclitaxel and trastuzumab combination regimens was proposed in [30]. Study the pattern and the trend of spread of this disease and prescribe a mathematical model which governs COVID-19 pandemic using Caputo type derivative [32]. Fractal-fractional operator in the Caputo sense, the condition for Ulam's type of stability of the solution to the models and its related work is in [33,34,35,36]. Distributed order time-fractional constitution model is put forward to analyze the unsteady natural convection boundary layer flow and heat transfer, in which the magnetic field effect is considered and its related work is in [37,38,39].
This paper, in Sections 1 and 2, consists of an introduction and basic definitions for analysis. Section 3 is for the Ulam-Hyres stability and uniqueness of the proposed scheme of the fractional order cancer model with the fractal fractional operator by using generalized Mittag-Leffler Kernel. A numerical algorithm for simulation and results is developed in Section 4. Description and conclusion of results are described in Sections 5 and 6.
We consider some basic refinement of fractional calculus [22,23,24,25] in this section which are helpful for analysis and simulation of the problem.
Definition 2.1. Let 0≤ξ, η≤1, then U(t) in the Riemann-Liouville for fractal-fractional with power-law kernel and the fractal-fractional integral have been given as [26]:
FFPDξ,η0,t(U(t))=1Γ(m−ξ)ddtξ∫t0(t−Ψ)m−ξ−1U(Ψ)dΨ, |
ddΨηU(Ψ)=limt→ΨU(t)−U(Ψ)tη−Ψη |
and
FFPIξ,η0,t(U(t))=1Γ(ξ)∫t0(t−Ψ)υ−1Ψ1−ηU(Ψ)dΨ. |
Definition 2.2. Let 0≤ξ, η≤1. Then U(t) in the Riemann-Liouville for fractal fractional operator having exponentially decaying kernel and fractal-fractional integral have been presented by [26,27]:
FFEDξ,η0,t(U(t))=M(ξ)Γ(m−ξ)ddtη∫t0exp[−ξ1−ξ(t−Ψ)n−ξ−1U(Ψ)dΨ, |
and
FFEDξ,η0,t(U(t))=η(1−ξ)tη−1U(t)M(ξ)+ξηM(ξ)∫t0Ψξ−1U(Ψ)dΨ. |
Definition 2.3. Let 0≤ξ, η≤1 then U(t). Then the Riemann-Liouville for fractal fractional operator with generalized Mittag-Leffler kernel and fractal-fractional integral have been presented by [26,27]:
FFMDξ,η0,t(U(t))=AB(ξ)1−ξddtη∫t0Eξ[−ξ1−ξ(t−Ψ)ξU(Ψ)dΨ, |
and
FFMDξ,η0,t(U(t))=η(1−ξ)tη−1U(t)AB(ξ)+ξηAB(ξ)∫t0Ψξ−1(t−Ψ)U(Ψ)dΨ. |
Recently, many researchers studies to examine the mathematical model of cancer-immune [27,28]. By this motivation, IL-12 cytokine is used to increase it ability by increasing the number of CD4+T, CD8+T lymphocytes, and the help of anti-PD-L1 inhibitor with effect of CD8+T cells are added in Castiglione-Piccoli model. So, [27,28] explains the new time-dependent ordinary differential system. Equation (1) tells about components of immune system against cancer cells, which is made by adding IL-12 and anti-PD-L1 to components of immune system. The main objective of adding new variables in (1) is to fight cancer cells for the immune system more effectively. The system of nonlinear fractional order with Fractal Fractional operator is given as
{FFMDξ,η0,t(H(t))=a0+b0DH(1−Hf0)+λ42I2K2+I2H(1−Hf0)+λ412I12K12+I12H(1−Hf0)−c0H,FFMDξ,η0,t(M(t))=a1+b1I2K2+I2(M+D)C(1−Cf1)+λ812I12K12+I12C(1−Cf1)−c1C,FFMDξ,η0,t(C(t))=b2M(1−Mf2)−d2FMC,FFMDξ,η0,t(D(t))=−d3DC,FFMDξ,η0,t(I2(t))=b4DH−e4I2C−c4I2,FFMDξ,η0,t(I12(t))=λDI12D−dI12I12,FFMDξ,η0,t(Z(t))=−γZ. | (3.1) |
where
F=cpd−1π(tan−1((Z−1)kpd)+π2) |
H0=H(0),C0=C(0),M0=M(0), |
D0=D(0),I20=I2(0),I120=I12(0),Z0=Z(0) |
Here H,C,M,D,IL−2,IL−12 and Z symbolize CD+4T and CD+8T lymphocytes, cancer cells, dendritic cells, IL-2 and IL-12 cytokine, anti-PD-L1, respectively given in [27,28]
Theorem 1. The solution of the given cancer fractal-fractional model (3.1) along initial conditions is unique and bounded in R7+.
Proof. We obtain
FFMDξ,η0,t(H(t))H=0=a0≥0,FFMDξ,η0,t(M(t))M=0=a1+[b1I2K2+I2D+λ812I12K12+I12]C(1−Cf1)−c1C,≥0,FFMDξ,η0,t(C(t))C=0=b2M(1−Mf2)≥0,FFMDξ,η0,t(D(t))|D=0=0≥0,FFMDξ,η0,t(I2(t))|I2=0=b4DH≥0,FFMDξ,η0,t(I12(t))|I12=0=λDI12D≥0,FFMDξ,η0,t(Z(t))|Z=0=0≥0. | (3.2) |
If (S(0),U(0),C(0),Ca(0),R(0),B(0)∈R6+, then according to Eq (3.2) thee solution cannot escape from the hyperplane. Also on each hyperplane bounding the non-negative orthant, the vector field points into R7+, i.e., the domain R7+ is a positively invariant set.
Stability and existences of proposed operator
Here, we consider stability and existences with proposed operator,
FFMDξ,η0,t(H(t))=a0+b0DH(1−Hf0)+λ42I2K2+I2H(1−Hf0)+λ412I12K12+I12H(1−Hf0)−c0H,FFMDξ,η0,t(M(t))=a1+b1I2K2+I2(M+D)C(1−Cf1)+λ812I12K12+I12C(1−Cf1)−c1C,FFMDξ,η0,t(C(t))=b2M(1−Mf2)−d2FMC,FFMDξ,η0,t(D(t))=−d3DC,FFMDξ,η0,t(I2(t))=b4DH−e4I2C−c4I2,FFMDξ,η0,t(I12(t))=λDI12D−dI12I12,FFMDξ,η0,t(Z(t))=−γZ. | (3.3) |
For existence, we have
{ABR0Dξ,η0,t(H(t))=ηtη−1Z1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),ABR0Dξ,η0,t(M(t))=ηtη−1Y1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),ABR0Dξ,η0,t(C(t))=ηtη−1X1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),ABR0Dξ,η0,t(D(t))=ηtη−1W1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),ABR0Dξ,η0,t(I2(t))=ηtη−1V1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),ABR0Dξ,η0,t(I12(t))=ηtη−1U1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),ABR0Dξ,η0,t(Z(t))=ηtη−1E1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z). | (3.4) |
where
{Z(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=a0+b0DH(1−Hf0)+λ42I2K2+I2H(1−Hf0)+λ412I12K12+I12H(1−Hf0)−c0H,Y(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=a1+b1I2K2+I2(M+D)C(1−Cf1)+λ812I12K12+I12C(1−Cf1)−c1C,X(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=b2M(1−Mf2)−d2FMC,W(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=−d3DC,V(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=b4DH−e4I2C−c4I2,U(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=λDI12D−dI12I12,E(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)=−γZ. |
We can write system (3.4) as:
{ABR0DξtΩ(t)=ηtη−1Λ(t,Ω(t)),Ω(0)=Ω0. |
By replacing ABR0Dξ,η0 by ABC0Dξ,η0 and applying fractional integral, we get
Ω(t)=Ω(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)CD(ξ)Λ(t,Ω(t))+ξηCD(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(t,Ω(t))dω, |
where
Ω(t)={H(t)M(t)C(t)D(t)I2(t)I12(t)Z(t)Ω(0)={H(0)M(0)C(0)D(0)I2(0)I12(0)Z(0)Λ(t,Ω(t))={Z(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),Y(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),X(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),W(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),V(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z),U(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)E(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z) |
For the existence theory, we define a Banach space B=C×C×C×C×C×C×C, where C=[0,T] under the norm
‖Ω‖=maxtϵ[0,T]|H(t)+M(t)+C(t)+D(t)+I2(t)+I12(t),Z(t)|. |
Define an operator ℘:B→B as:
℘(Ω)(t)=Ω(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t,Ω(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(t,Ω(t))dω. | (3.5) |
Now, we suppose that Λ(t,(Ω(t)) is the non-linear function with growth and the Lipschitz conditions.
● For each ΩϵB,∃ constants AΛ and PΛ such that
|Λ(t,Ω(t))≤AΛ|Ω(t)|+PΛ. | (3.6) |
● For each Ω, ¯ΩϵB,∃a constant KΛ>0 such that
|Λ(t,Ω(t))−Λ(t,¯Ω(t)|≤KΛ|Ω(t)−¯Ω(t)|. | (3.7) |
Theorem 2. For the set of continuous function Λ=[0,T]×B→R there exists at least single outcome for system (3.1) if the condition (3.6) holds.
Proof.
Let
L= {ΩϵB:‖Ω‖≤R,R>0}. |
Now for any ΩϵB, we have
|℘(Ω)|=maxtϵ[0,T]|Ω(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t,Ω(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(t,Ω(t))dω |
≤Ω(0)+ηTη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)(AΛ‖Ω‖+PΛ)+maxtϵ[0,T]ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1|Λ(t,Ω(t))|dω |
≤Ω(0)+ηMη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)(AΛ‖Ω‖+PΛ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)(AΛ‖Ω‖+PΛ)Tξ+η−1L(ξ,η) |
≤R. |
Hence, ℘ is uniformly bounded, for equicontinuity of ℘, let us take t1<t2≤T. So, we have
|℘(Ω)(t2)−℘(Ω)(t1)|=|ηtη−12(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t2,Ω(t2))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t20ωη−1(t2−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Ω(ω))dω |
−ηtη−11(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t1,Ω(t1))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t10ωη−1(t1−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Ω(ω))dω| |
≤|ηtη−12(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)(AΛ|Ω(t)|,PΛ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)(AΛ|Ω(t)|,PΛ)tξ+η−12L(ξ,η) |
−|ηtη−11(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)(AΛ|Ω(t)|,PΛ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)(AΛ|Ω(t)|,PΛ)tξ+η−11L(ξ,η), |
when t1→t2 then |℘(Ω)(t2−℘(Ω)(t1|. Consequently, we can say that,
‖℘(Ω)(t2−℘(Ω)(t1‖→0,t1→t2. |
Hence, ℘ is equicontinuous. So, theorem is proved. Thus, system has at least one solution.
Theorem 3. Assume that (3.7) holds. If ϱ<1, where
ϱ=(ηTη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)Tξ+η−1L(ξ,η))KΛ. |
Then the considered model has a unique solution.
Proof. For Ω,¯ΩϵB, we have
|℘(Ω)−℘(¯Ω)|=maxtϵ[0,T]|ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)(Λ(t,Ω(t))−Λ(t,¯Ω(t)))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ) |
∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1dω(Λ(ω,Ω(ω))−Λ(ω,¯Ω(ω)))| |
≤[ηTη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)Tξ+η−1L(ξ,η)]‖Ω−¯Ω‖ |
≤ϱ‖Ω−¯Ω‖. |
Hence, ℘ is a contraction. So, system has unique solution by using Banach contraction principle.
Definition 3.1. The proposed model is Ulam-Hyres stable if ∃℘ξ,η≥0 such that for any ε>0 and for every Ω∈(C[0,T],R) satisfies the following inequality:
|FFM0Dξ,ηtΩ(t)−Λ(t,Ω(t))|≤ε,tϵ[0,T], | (3.8) |
and there exists a unique solution Υ∈(C[0,T],R) such that
|Ω(t)−Υ(t)|≤℘ξ,ηε,tϵ[0,T]. | (3.9) |
Consider a small perturbation Ψ∈C[0,T] such that Ψ(0)=0. Let
∙|ψ(t)|≤εforε>0. |
∙FFM0Dξ,ηtΩ(t)=Λ(t,Ω(t))+ψ(t). |
Theorem 4. The solution of the perturbed model
FFM0Dξ,ηtΩ(t)=Λ(t,Ω(t))+ψ(t),Ω(0)=Ω0, |
fulfills the relation given below
|℘(t)−(Ω(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1ξ)Λ(t,Ω(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Ω(ω))dω,)| |
≤ξ∗ξ,ηε, | (3.10) |
where
ξ∗ξ,η=ηTη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)Tξ+η−1L(ξ,η). |
Proof. Under condition (3.7) along with Theorem 3.5, the solution of the proposed model is Ulam-Hyres stable if ϱ<1.
Let Υ∈B be a unique solution and Ω∈B be any solution of the proposed model, then
|Ω(t)−Υ(t)|=|Ω(t)−(Υ(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t,Υ(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ) |
∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Υ(ω))dω)| |
≤|Ω(t)−(Ω(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t,Ω(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Ω(ω))dω)| |
+|Ω(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t,Ω(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Ω(ω))dω)| |
−|Υ(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)Λ(t,Υ(t))+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ωη−1(t−ω)η−1Λ(ω,Υ(ω))dω)| |
≤ξ∗ξ,ηε+(ηTη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)Tξ+η−1L(ξ,η))KΛ|Ω(t)−Υ(t)| |
≤ξ∗ξ,ηε+ϱ|Ω(t)−Υ(t)|. |
Consequently, one can write
‖Ω−Υ‖≤ξ∗ξ,ηε+ϱ‖Ω−Υ‖. |
We can write the above relation is
‖Ω−Υ‖≤℘ξ,ηε, |
where ℘ξ,η=ξ∗ξ,η1−ϱ. Hence, proposed scheme is Ulam-Hyres stable.
In this section, The numerical scheme is establish for developed fractional order model, we get
{H(t)=H(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L1(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L1(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,M(t)=M(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L2(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L2(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,C(t)=C(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L3(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L3(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,D(t)=D(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L4(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L4(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,I2(t)=I2(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L5(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L5(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,I12(t)=I12(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L6(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L6(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕZ(t)=Z(0)+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L7(t,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)L7(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ. | (4.1) |
Now, we derive the numerical scheme at t=tx+1, we have
{Hx+1=H0+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L1(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L1(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Mx+1=M0+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L2(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L2(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Cx+1=C0+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L3(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L3(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Dx+1=D0+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L4(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L4(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Ix+12=I02+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L5(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L5(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Ix+112=I012+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L6(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L6(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕZx+1=Z0+ηtη−1(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L7(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∫t0ϕη−1(t−ϕ)ξ−1L7(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ. | (4.2) |
On system (4.2), we have
{Hx+1=H0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L1(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L1(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Mx+1=M0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L2(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L2(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Cx+1=C0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L3(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L3(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Dx+1=D0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L4(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L4(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Ix+12=I02+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L5(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L5(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ,Ix+112=I012+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L6(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L6(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕZx+1=Z0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L7(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+ξηC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ)∑xf=0∫tf+1tfϕη−1(tx+1−ϕ)ξ−1L7(ϕ,H,M,C,D,I2,I12,Z)dϕ. | (4.3) |
Using Lagrangian piece-wise interpolation with in the finite interval [tf,tf+1], we get
{Jf(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL1(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L1(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1),Of(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL2(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L2(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1),Gf(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL3(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L3(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1),Nf(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL4(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L4(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1),Ff(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL5(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L5(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1),Qf(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL6(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L6(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1),Rf(ϕ)=ϕ−tf−1tf−tf−1tη−1fL7(tf,Hf,Mf,Cf,Df,If2,If12,Zf)−ϕ−tftf−tf−1tη−1f−1L7(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1). | (4.4) |
We have
{Hx+1=H0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L1(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxf=0[tη−1fL1(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L1(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))],Mx+1=M0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L2(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxff=0[tη−1fL2(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L2(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))],Cx+1=C0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L3(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxf=0[tη−1fL3(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L3(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))],Dx+1=D0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L4(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxf=0[tη−1fL4(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L4(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))],Ix+12=I02+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L5(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxf=0[tη−1fL5(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L5(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))],Ix+112=I012+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L6(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxf=0[tη−1fL6(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)times((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(ξ2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L6(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))],Zx+1=Z0+ηtη−1x(1−ξ)C1D1(ξ)L7(tx,Hx,Mx,Cx,Dx,Ix2,Ix12,Zx)+η(Θt)ξC1D1(ξ)Γ(ξ+2)Σxf=0[tη−1fL7(tf,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((x+1−f)ξ(x−f+2+ξ)−(x−2)ξ(2+2ξ+x−2))−tη−1f−1L7(tf−1,Hf−1,Mf−1,Cf−1,Df−1,If−12,If−112,Zf−1)×((1+x−f)ξ+1−(x−f)ξ(1+ξ+x−f))]. | (4.5) |
The mathematical analysis of the tumor-immune system consisting of a fractional differential equation has been presented. In order to conduct a credible study, several α values are evaluated. By using non-integer parameter values, surprising reactions are achieved from the compartments of the proposed fractional-order model. Solution for H(t),M(t),C(t), I2(t) and I12(t) start decreasing by decreasing the fractional values while D(t) and Z(t) start increasing by decreasing fractional values respectively and can be seen easily from Figures 1–7 which converges to steady state with dimension 0.7. Solution for H(t),M(t),D(t), I2(t), I12(t) and Z(t) start increasing by decreasing the fractional values while C(t) start decreasing by decreasing fractional values respectively and can be seen easily from Figures 8–14 which converges to steady state with dimension 0.9. It is easily observed from Figure 3 and Figure 9 that cancer cell start decreasing by decreasing the fractional with both dimensions. But Fractal-fractional technique with dimension 0.9 gives better results for all the compartments which converges rapidly to steady state as compare to dimension 0.7. It is easily observed from simulation that fractional order model check the relationship between cancer cells and immune system which further increase the immune system of CD4+T and CD8+T lymphocytes production and decrease the cancer cell by adding IL-12 cytokine and anti-PD-L1 inhibitor. The variable anti-PD-L1 inhibitor was introduced to catch cells escaping from the immune system and destroy these cells which can be seen in Figures 7 and 14 with both dimensions. Also the variable IL-12 cytokine is used to increase the number of CD4+T and CD8+T lymphocytes production which can be seen in Figures 1, 2 and 8, 9 with dimension 0.7 and 0.9 respectively. This kind of study helps to analyze the effect of cancer cell and its anti-PD-L1 inhibitor in human body. Numerical simulations are important in sense for developing algorithm of treatment cell and impact of vaccination to control the disease. This kind of study is helpful for physician for planing and decision making for treatment cells.
We developed a scheme for the analytical solution of the fractional order cancer model by using the Fractal Fractional operator. The model represents population dynamics during the disease as a set of non-linear fractional-order ordinary differential equations. The Fractional-order system is analyzed qualitatively to verify the state of the disease as well as determine the unique positive solutions. Uniqueness and boundedness for solution are proved using the fixed point theory. The solution is obtained for the fractional-order cancer model using the Fractal Fractional operator. Numerical simulations are carried out to check the actual behavior of the cancer outbreak using a developed scheme for fractional-order model, which will be helpful in future understanding of this disease and control strategics. The simulation easily observed that the fractional-order model examines that IL-12 cytokine and anti-PD-L1 inhibitor are used to check the relationship between the immune system and cancer cells, which cause to increase the immune system and decrease the cancer cell is due to IL-12 cytokine and anti-PD-L1 inhibitor with the impact of fractional parameters. Results show significant changes using different fractional values with different dimensions. Numerical simulations are important for developing an algorithm of treatment cells and the impact of vaccination to control the disease. In the future, the other cytokineses are also added to the mathematical model, which can further check with different types of derivatives and different types of techniques.
All authors declare no conflicts of interest in this paper.
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