Research article

Dynamics of an age-structured heroin transmission model with vaccination and treatment

  • Received: 04 April 2018 Accepted: 04 September 2018 Published: 14 December 2018
  • Based on the development of heroin vaccine, in this paper, we propose an age structured heroin transmission model with treatment and vaccination. The model allows the drug reuse rate of the individuals in treatment to depend on a treatment-age and the vaccine waning rate of the vaccinated to depend on a vaccination age. Meanwhile, the model allows that the heroin vaccine provides an imperfect protection (i.e., the vaccinated individuals can also become drug addicted). We derive the basic reproduction number which dependents on vaccination. The basic reproduction number completely determines the persistence and extinction of heroin spread, i.e., if the basic reproduction number is less than one the drug-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable (i.e., the heroin spread dies out), if the basic reproduction number is larger than one, there exists an unique positive steady state and it is locally and globally stable in some special cases. Finally, some numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the stability of the positive steady state.

    Citation: Xi-Chao Duan, Xue-Zhi Li, Maia Martcheva. Dynamics of an age-structured heroin transmission model with vaccination and treatment[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2019, 16(1): 397-420. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2019019

    Related Papers:

  • Based on the development of heroin vaccine, in this paper, we propose an age structured heroin transmission model with treatment and vaccination. The model allows the drug reuse rate of the individuals in treatment to depend on a treatment-age and the vaccine waning rate of the vaccinated to depend on a vaccination age. Meanwhile, the model allows that the heroin vaccine provides an imperfect protection (i.e., the vaccinated individuals can also become drug addicted). We derive the basic reproduction number which dependents on vaccination. The basic reproduction number completely determines the persistence and extinction of heroin spread, i.e., if the basic reproduction number is less than one the drug-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable (i.e., the heroin spread dies out), if the basic reproduction number is larger than one, there exists an unique positive steady state and it is locally and globally stable in some special cases. Finally, some numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the stability of the positive steady state.


    加载中


    [1] NIDA InfoFacts: Heroin. Available from: http://www.nida.nih.gov/infofacts/heroin.html.
    [2] J. Arino, C. C. McCluskey and P. van den Sriessche, Global results for an epidemic model with vaccination that exhibits backward bifurcation, SIAM J. Appl. Math., 64 (2003), 260–276.
    [3] P. T. Bremer, J. E. Schlosburg, M. L. Banks, F. F. Steele, B. Zhou, J. L. Poklis and K. D. Janda, Development of a clinically viable heroin vaccine, J. Am. Chem. Soc., 139 (2017), 8601–8611.
    [4] C. Comiskey, National prevalence of problematic opiate use in Ireland, EMCDDA Tech. Report, 1999.
    [5] O. Diekmann, J. A. P. Heesterbeek and J. A. J. Metz, On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations, J. Math. Biol., 28 (1990), 365–382.
    [6] P. van den Driessche and J. Watmough, Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission, Math. Biosci., 180 (2002), 29–48.
    [7] X. Duan, S. Yuan and X. Li, Global stability of an SVIR model with age of vaccination, Appl. Math. Comput., 226 (2014), 528–540.
    [8] X. Duan, S. Yuan, Z. Qiu and J. Ma, Global stability of an SVEIR epidemic model with ages of vaccination and latency, Comp. Math. Appl., 68 (2014), 288–308.
    [9] European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA): Annual Report, 2005. Available from: http:// annualreport.emcdda.eu.int/en/homeen.html.
    [10] B. Fang, X. Z. Li, M. Martcheva and L. M. Cai, Global asymptotic properties of a heroin epidemic model with treat-age, Appl. Math. Comput., 263 (2015), 315–331.
    [11] J. K. Hale, Asymptotic Behavior of Dissipative Systems, Mathematical Surveys and Monographs Vol 25, American Mathematical Society, Providence, RI, 1988.
    [12] W. Hao, Z. Su, S. Xiao, C. Fan, H. Chen and T. Liu, Longitudinal surveys of prevalence rates and use patterns of illicit drugs at selected high-prevalence areas in china from 1993 to 2000, Addiction., 99 (2004), 1176–1180.
    [13] W. M. Hirsch, H. Hanisch and J. P. Gabriel, Differential equation models of some parasitic infections: methods for the study of asymptotic behavior, Comm. Pure Appl. Math., 38 (1985), 733–753.
    [14] M. Iannelli, M. Martcheva and X. Z. Li, Strain replacement in an epidemic model with superinfection and perfect vaccination, Math. Biosci., 195 (2005), 23–46.
    [15] M. Iannelli, Mathematical theory of age-structured population dynamics, CNR Applied Mathematics Monographs, Giardini, Pisa, Vol. 7, 1995.
    [16] A. Kelly, M. Carvalho and C. Teljeur, Prevalence of Opiate Use in Ireland 2000-2001. A 3-Source Capture Recapture Study. A Report to the National Advisory Committee on Drugs, Subcommittee on Prevalence. Small Area Health Research Unit, Department of Public.
    [17] C. M. Kribs-Zaleta and J. X. Velasco-Hernndez, A simple vaccination model with multiple endemic states, Math. Biosci., 164 (2000), 183–201.
    [18] C. M. Kribs-Zaleta and M. Martcheva, Vaccination strategies and backward bifurcation in an agesince- infection structured model, Math. Biosci., 177&178 (2002), 317–332.
    [19] X. Z. Li, J. Wang and M. Ghosh, Stability and bifurcation of an SIVS epidemic model with treatment and age of vaccination, Appl. Math. Model., 34 (2010), 437–450.
    [20] X. Liu, Y. Takeuchi and S. Iwami, SVIR epidemic models with vaccination strategies, J. Theor. Bio., 253 (2008), 1–11.
    [21] D. R. Mackintosh and G. T. Stewart, A mathematical model of a heroin epidemic: implications for control policies, J. Epidemiol. Commun. H., 33 (1979), 299–304.
    [22] P. Magal, Compact attractors for time-periodic age-structured population models, Electron. J. Differ. Eq., 65 (2001), 1–35.
    [23] P. Magal and H. R. Thieme, Eventual compactness for semiflows generated by nonlinear agestructured models, Commun. Pure Appl. Anal., 3 (2004), 695–727.
    [24] R. K. Miller, Nonlinear Volterra integral equations Mathematics Lecture Note Series, W.A. Benjamin Inc., Menlo Park, CA, 1971.
    [25] K. A. Sporer, Acute heroin overdose, Ann. Intern. Med., 130 (1999), 584–590.
    [26] H. R. Thieme, Semiflows generated by Lipschitz perturbations of non-densely defined operators, Diff. Int. Eqns., 3 (1990), 1035–1066.
    [27] J.Wang, R. Zhang and T. Kuniya, The dynamics of an SVIR epidemiological model with infection age, IMA J. Appl. Math., 81 (2016), 321–343.
    [28] W. D. Wang and X. Q. Zhao, Basic reproduction numbers for reactio-diffusion epidemic models, SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst., 11 (2012), 1652–1673.
    [29] Y. Xiao and S. Tang, Dynamics of infection with nonlinear incidence in a simple vaccination model, Nonlinear Anal. Real World Appl., 11 (2010), 4154–4163.
    [30] J. Yang, M. Martcheva and L. Wang, Global threshold dynamics of an SIVS model with waning vaccine-induced immunity and nonlinear incidence, Math. Biosci., 268 (2015), 1–8.
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2019 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(3442) PDF downloads(784) Cited by(6)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Figures(2)

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog