In this study, we examine the impact of vaccination and environmental transmission on the dynamics of the monkeypox. We formulate and analyze a mathematical model for the dynamics of monkeypox virus transmission under Caputo fractional order. We obtain the basic reproduction number, the conditions for the local and global asymptotic stability for the disease-free equilibrium of the model. Under the Caputo fractional order, existence and uniqueness solutions have been determined using fixed point theorem. Numerical trajectories are obtained. Furthermore, we explored some of the sensitive parameters impact. Based on the trajectories, we hypothesised that the memory index or fractional order could use to control the Monkeypox virus transmission dynamics. We observed that if the proper vaccination is administrated, public health education is given, and practice like personal hygiene and proper disinfection spray, the infected individuals decreases.
Citation: Emmanuel Addai, Mercy Ngungu, Musibau Abayomi Omoloye, Edmore Marinda. Modelling the impact of vaccination and environmental transmission on the dynamics of monkeypox virus under Caputo operator[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2023, 20(6): 10174-10199. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023446
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In this study, we examine the impact of vaccination and environmental transmission on the dynamics of the monkeypox. We formulate and analyze a mathematical model for the dynamics of monkeypox virus transmission under Caputo fractional order. We obtain the basic reproduction number, the conditions for the local and global asymptotic stability for the disease-free equilibrium of the model. Under the Caputo fractional order, existence and uniqueness solutions have been determined using fixed point theorem. Numerical trajectories are obtained. Furthermore, we explored some of the sensitive parameters impact. Based on the trajectories, we hypothesised that the memory index or fractional order could use to control the Monkeypox virus transmission dynamics. We observed that if the proper vaccination is administrated, public health education is given, and practice like personal hygiene and proper disinfection spray, the infected individuals decreases.
An important goal of system biology is to understand the mechanisms that govern the protein regulatory dynamics. The so-called feedback loop is believed to be widely present in various eukaryotic cellular processes and regulates the gene expression of a broad class of intracellular proteins. It is usually understood that in the feedback loop transcription factors are regulatory proteins which activate transcription in eukaryotic cells; they act by binding to a specific DNA sequences in the nucleus, either activating or inhibiting the binding of RNA polymerase to DNA; mRNA is transcribed in the nucleus and is in turn translated in the cytoplasm. Such a feedback loop was described by systems of ordinary differential equations in [6, 7, 8,17,21].
Many scholars have noticed that the genetic regulatory dynamics are dependent on the intracellular transport of mRNA and protein [13,18]. In particular, models of genetic regulatory dynamics are developed to explain a variety of sustained periodic biological phenomena [19]. Hence the possible roles played by the time delays in the signaling pathways become an interesting research topic and we are interested how time delays are associated with periodic oscillations. Regulatory models with constant delays are investigated in the work of [18,24], among many others, where time delay is used as a parameter and is tuned to observe stable periodic oscillations. It was pointed out in [19] that if the simplification of constant time delay is too drastic, another approach is to assume a distributed time delay. In the work of Busenburg and Mahaffy [2], both diffusive macromolecular transport represented as a distributed delay and active macromolecular transport modeled as time delay are considered. It was demonstrated that stable periodic oscillations can occur when transport was slowed by increasing the time delay, and that oscillations were dampened if transport was slowed by reducing the diffusion coefficients.
We follow the idea of the work of [2] to consider both diffusion transport and active transport in genetic regulatory dynamics, while we start from the Goodwin's model [6] in contrast to the reaction-diffusion equations in [2]. Namely, we will provide a new perspective to investigate genetic regulatory dynamics which generalizes the previous extension of Goodwin's model with constant delay and simplifies the approach adopted by [2]. To be more specific, we begin with the prototype model for Hes1 system (see Section 2 for a brief introduction) and discuss how to model the diffusion time if we consider the effect of the fluctuation of concentrations of the substances in the Hes1 system. We show that modeling the diffusion time will lead to a model with threshold type distributed delay, which is also called threshold type state-dependent delay [1,16]. With a general model with threshold type state-dependent delay, we are interested how the model with state-dependent delay differs from those with only constant delays, how the stabilities of the steady state and the periodic oscillations depend on the state-dependent delay.
We organize the remaining of the paper as follows. In Section 2, we model the diffusion time in regulatory dynamics and set up a prototype system of differential equations with state-dependent delay for the Hes1 system. In Section 3, we consider a general model with state-dependent delay and conduct linear stability analysis of the equivalent model and conduct a local Hopf bifurcation analysis of the system using the multiple time scale method. Numerical simulations on the model of Hes1 system with state-dependent delay will be illustrated in Section 4. We conclude the investigation at Section 5.
In this section, we motivate the modeling of diffusion time delay with the Hes1 regulatory system. Hes1 is a protein which belongs to the basic helix-loop-helix (bHLH, a protein structural motif) family of transcription factors. It is a transcriptional repressor of genes that require a bHLH protein for their transcription. As a member of the bHLH family, it is a transcriptional repressor that influences cell proliferation and differentiation in embryogenesis. Hes1 regulates its own expression via a negative feedback loop, and oscillates with approximately 2-hour periodicity [9]. However, the molecular mechanism of such oscillation remains to be determined [9]. Mathematical modeling of Hes1 regulatory system has been an active research area in the last decade. See among many others, [12,20].
The basic reaction kinetics for the regulatory system (Figure 1) can be described by the following ordinary differential equations which is in general called the Goodwin model (See [7,8]). Denote by
{dxm(t)dt=−μmxm(t)+αm1+(yp(t)ˉy)h,dyp(t)dt=−μpyp(t)+αpxm(t), | (1) |
where
Since mRNA is typically transcribed in nucleus and then translated to cytoplasm for protein synthesis, there exists transcriptional and translational delays in the real reaction kinetics. For a better description of the intracellular processes, (1) was extended into the following model of delay differential equation (see, e. g., [12])
{dxm(t)dt=−μmxm(t)+αm1+(yp(t−τm)ˉy)h,dyp(t)dt=−μpyp(t)+αpxm(t−τp), | (2) |
where
For simplicity, we combine the reaction or transcription time with the translation time between the nucleus and the cytoplasm and call the combination is the diffusion time which will be denoted by
(A1)
Now we drop the subscripts for the variables
The next problem is how
T=−L(x(t)−x(t−τ))2J. | (3) |
Then we have
(A2) there exist constants
Namely, we assume that the diffusion time is linearly dependent on the fluctuation of the concentrations of mDNA. We remark that
Now we obtain the following state-dependent delay differential equations,
{dx(t)dt=−μmx(t)+αm1+(y(t−τ)ˉy)h,dy(t)dt=−μpy(t)+αpx(t−τ),τ(t)=c(x(t)−x(t−τ))+ϵ. | (4) |
which provides another view on the models (1) and (2): If we assume that the transcription and translation of the newly produced solute is instant, namely,
It was shown in [10] that system with the state-dependent delay in the form of
Regarding system (4) as a prototype model of a range of genetic regulatory dynamics, we consider the following system,
{dx(t)dt=−μmx(t)+f(y(t−τ)),dy(t)dt=−μpy(t)+g(x(t−τ)),τ(t)=ϵ+c(x(t)−x(t−τ)), | (5) |
where
B1) System (5) has at least one equilibrium
{x′(0)=−μmx(0)+f(y(−τ0)),y′(0)=−μpy(0)+g(x(−τ0)),τ0=ϵ+c(x(0)−x(−τ0)), | (6) |
system (5) has a unique solution
B2) Let
We rewrite the equation for the delay in (4) as
∫tt−τ(t)1−c˙x(s)ϵds=1. | (7) |
Let
η=∫t01−cu(s)ϵds,r(η)=x(t),ξ(η)=y(t),k(η)=τ(t). | (8) |
Then we have
{η−1=∫t−τ(t)01−cu(s)ϵds,r(η−1)=x(t−τ(t)),ξ(η−1)=y(t−τ(t)),k(η)=ϵ+c(r(η)−r(η−1)). | (9) |
Note that we have
{˙x(t)=drdη⋅dηdt=˙r(η)⋅1−c˙xϵ,˙y(t)=dξdη⋅dηdt=˙ξ(η)⋅1−c˙xϵ, | (10) |
Then by (9) and (10), system (4) is transformed into
{drdη=ϵ−μmr(η)+f(ξ(η−1))1−c(−μmr(η)+f(ξ(η−1))),dξdη=ϵ−μpξ(η)+g(r(η−1))1−c(−μmr(η)+f(ξ(η−1))),k(η)=ϵ+c(r(η)−r(η−1)), | (11) |
where the assumption that
{1ϵdrdη=−μmr(η)+f(ξ(η−1))1ϵdξdη=−μpξ(η)+g(r(η−1))k(η)=ϵ, | (12) |
which is equivalent to (5) with
{dx(t)dt=−μmx(t)+f(y(t−τ)),dy(t)dt=−μpy(t)+g(x(t−τ)),τ(t)=ϵ, | (13) |
in the sense of the time-domain transformations leading to system (11).
Comparing system (11) with system (12), we see that both systems have the same set of equilibria. We also observe that, if
Now we study the stability of the equilibrium of system (11). Note that the variable
{−μmr∗+f(ξ∗))=0,−μpξ∗+g(r∗)=0. |
We translate the equilibrium of (11) to the origin by letting
F(v(η−1))=f(v(η−1)+ξ∗)−f(ξ∗),G(u(η−1))=g(u(η−1)+r∗)−g(r∗). |
Then we have
{1ϵdudη=−μmu+F(v(η−1))1−c[−μmu+F(v(η−1))],1ϵdvdη=−μpv+G(u(η−1))1−c[−μmu+F(v(η−1))]. | (14) |
Linearization of (14) at
˙x(η)=ϵMx(η)+ϵNx(η−1), | (15) |
where
(λ+ϵμm)(λ+ϵμp)−ϵ2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)e−2λ=0. | (16) |
Let
z2+τ(μm+μp)z+τ2μmμp+τ2he−z=0, | (17) |
which is the same equation investigated in [3]. Then by the results in [3] we have,
Lemma 3.1. Consider the characteristic equation (16), where
β2−ϵ2(μmμp)=ϵ(μm+μp)βcot2β, |
has a unique solution for
ⅰ) If
ⅱ) If
Lemma 3.2. Consider the characteristic equation (16), where
μmμp<−f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗), |
then there exists a unique
(μm+μp)β(ϵ0)+ϵ0f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)sin2β(ϵ0)=0, |
and
tan2β(ϵ0)=√l(μm+μp)1−lμmμp, |
where
l=μ2m+μ2p+√(μ2m−μ2p)2+4f′2(ξ∗)g′2(r∗)2(f′2(ξ∗)g′2(r∗)−μ2mμ2p),ϵ0=√lβ(ϵ0). |
Proof. By Lemma 3.1
{β2(ϵ0)−ϵ02(μmμp)−ϵ0(μm+μp)β(ϵ0)cot2β(ϵ0)=0,(μm+μp)β(ϵ0)+ϵ0f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)sin2β(ϵ0)=0. | (18) |
Eliminating the trigonometric terms in (18), we obtain that
ϵ40(μ2mμ2p−f′2(ξ∗)g′2(r∗)))+ϵ20(μ2m+μ2p)β2(ϵ0)+β4(ϵ0)=0, |
which can be regarded as a quadratic equation of
ϵ20=lβ2(ϵ0),l=μ2m+μ2p+√(μ2m−μ2p)2+4f′2(ξ∗)g′2(r∗)2(f′2(ξ∗)g′2(r∗)−μ2mμ2p). |
Bringing
tan2β(ϵ0)=√l(μm+μp)1−lμmμp. |
In this section we use multiple time scale method to find the normal form of system (11) at the first critical value
{α2−β2+ϵ(μm+μp)α+ϵ2μmμp−ϵ2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)e−2αcos2β=0,2αβ+ϵ(μm+μp)β+ϵ2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)e−2αsin2β=0. | (19) |
By Implicit function theorem, we can show that
{dαdϵ(ϵ∗(μm+μp)+2ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)cos2β)+dβdϵ(−2β+2ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)sin2β)=−2ϵ∗μmμp+2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)cos2β,dαdϵ(2β−2ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)sin2β)+dβdϵ(ϵ∗(μm+μp)+2ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)cos2β)=−(μm+μp)β−2ϵ∗f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)sin2β. | (20) |
Noticing that if
{ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)cos2β=ϵ∗2μmμp−β2,ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)sin2β=−ϵ∗(μm+μp)β. | (21) |
Combining (20) and (21), we obtain that
dαdϵ|ϵ=ϵ∗,λ=±iβ=2β2ϵ∗(ϵ∗2(μ2m+μ2p)+2β2)(ϵ∗(μm+μp)+2ϵ∗2μmμp−2β2)2+(2β+2βϵ∗(μm+μp))2>0. | (22) |
To illustrate the stability of system (5), we have,
Theorem 3.3. Consider system (5) with an equilibrium
ⅰ) If
ii) If
Proof. By the technique of formal linearization [4,23], we know that the equilibrium stability of system (5) is equivalent to that of system (13) which has the same equilibrium and characteristic equation for system (11). Then by Lemma 3.1, the stability of
Let
1ϵ˙x(η)=[S((x(η),x(η−1))H((x(η),x(η−1))], |
where
{1ϵdudη=−μmu(η)+f′(ξ∗)v(η−1)+cμ2mu2(η)−2cμmf′(ξ∗)u(η)v(η−1)+(12f″(ξ∗)+cf′2(ξ∗))v2(η−1)+3c2μ2mf′(ξ∗)u2(η)v(η−1)−c2μ3mu3(η)−(cμmf″(ξ∗)+3c2μmf′2(ξ∗))u(η)v2(η−1)+(16f‴(ξ∗)+cf″(ξ∗)f′(ξ∗)+c2f′3(ξ∗))v3(η−1),1ϵdvdη=−μpv(η)+g′(r∗)u(η−1)+12[−2cμpf′(ξ∗)v(η)v(η−1)+2cμmμpu(η)v(η)+g″(r∗)u2(η−1)+2cf′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)u(η−1)v(η−1)−2cμmg′(r∗)uu(η−1)]+16[g‴(r∗)u3(η−1)−6c2μ2mμpu2(η)v(η)+6c2μ2mg′(r∗)u2(η)u(η−1)−3cμmg″(r∗)u(η)u2(η−1)+3cg″(r∗)f′(ξ∗)u2(η−1)v(η−1)−3(cμpf″(ξ∗)+2c2μpf′2(ξ∗))v(η)v2(η−1)+3(cf″(ξ∗)g′(r∗)+2c2f′2(ξ∗)g′(r∗))u(η−1)v2(η−1)+12c2μmμpf′(ξ∗)u(η)v(η)v(η−1))−12c2μmg′(r∗)f′(ξ∗)u(η)u(η−1)v(η−1)]. | (23) |
In this section we compute the normal form of system (14) using its Taylor expansion at (23). We seek a uniform second-order approximate solution in the form
x(η;s)=sx1(T0,T2)+s2x2(T0,T2)+s3x3(T0,T2)+⋯, | (24) |
where
ddη=∂∂T0+s2∂∂T2+⋯=D0+s2D2+⋯. | (25) |
By (24) and (25) we have
x(η−1)=x(T0−1,T2−s2)=∞∑n=1snxn(T0−1,T2)−s3D2x1(T0−1,T2)⋯. | (26) |
Let
1(ϵ∗+s2δ)(D0+s2D2)∞∑n=1snxn(T0,T2)=1(ϵ∗+s2δ)[sD0x1(T0,T2)+s2D0x2(T0,T2)+s3D0x3(T0,T2)+s3D2x1(T0,T2)+s4D2x2(T0,T2)+⋯], |
and the right hand side becomes
M∞∑n=1snxn(T0,T2)+N(∞∑n=1snxn(T0−1,T2)−s3D2x1(T0−1,T2)+⋯)+⋯. |
Comparing the like powers of
D0x1−ϵ∗Mx1−ϵ∗Nx1(T0−1,T2)=0, | (27) |
![]() |
(28) |
![]() |
(29) |
We know that when
x1=A(T2)θeiw∗T0+ˉA(T2)ˉθe−iw∗T0, |
where
(iw∗I+ϵ∗[μm00μp]−ϵ∗[0f′(ξ∗)e−iw∗g′(r∗)e−iw∗0])(θ1θ2)=0. |
Leting
θ=[1eiw∗(iw∗+ϵ∗μm)ϵ∗f′(ξ∗)]. |
Substitute
![]() |
(30) |
Equation (28) has a particular solution of the form
x2=aA2ei2w∗T0+bAˉA+ˉaˉA2e−i2w∗T0, |
where
(aA2ei2w∗T0⋅i2w∗+ˉaˉA2e−i2w∗T0(−i2w∗))+ϵ∗[μm00μp](aA2ei2w∗T0+bAˉA+ˉaˉA2e−i2w∗T0)−ϵ∗[0f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)0](aA2ei2w∗(T0−1)+bAˉA+ˉaˉA2e−i2w∗(T0−1)) | (31) |
![]() |
(32) |
Equating the coefficients of the terms with
{(i2w∗)A2a1+ϵ∗μmA2a1−ϵ∗f′(ξ∗)A2e−i2w∗a2=ϵ∗cμ2mA2−2ϵ∗cμmf′(ξ∗)A2θ2e−iw∗+ϵ∗2(f″(ξ∗)+2cf′2(ξ∗))A2θ22e−i2w∗,(i2w∗)A2a2+ϵ∗μpA2a2−ϵ∗g′(r∗)A2e−i2w∗a1=−ϵ∗cμpf′(ξ∗)θ22A2e−iw∗+ϵ∗cμmμpA2θ2+ϵ∗2g″(r∗)A2e−2iw∗+ϵ∗cf′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)A2θ2e−2iw∗−ϵ∗cμmg′(r∗)A2e−iw∗. | (33) |
Equation (33) has a solution for
(B3)
We have
{a1=ϵ∗(i2w∗+ϵ∗μm)(i2w∗+ϵ∗μp)−ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)e−i4w∗×[((cμ2m−2cμmf′(ξ∗)θ2e−iw∗+12(f″(ξ∗)+2cf′2(ξ∗))θ22e−i2w∗)×(i2w∗+ϵ∗μp)+(−cμpf′(ξ∗)θ22e−iw∗+cμmμpθ2+12g″(r∗)e−2iw∗+cf′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)θ2e−2iw∗−cμmg′(r∗)e−iw∗)(ϵ∗f′(ξ∗)e−i2w∗)],a2=ϵ∗(i2w∗+ϵ∗μm)(i2w∗+ϵ∗μp)−ϵ∗2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)e−i4w∗×[((cμ2m−2cμmf′(ξ∗)θ2e−iw∗+12(f″(ξ∗)+2cf′2(ξ∗))θ22e−i2w∗)×(ϵ∗g′(r∗)e−i2w∗)+(−cμpf′(ξ∗)θ22e−iw∗+cμmμpθ2+12g″(r∗)e−2iw∗+cf′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)θ2e−2iw∗−cμmg′(r∗)e−iw∗)(i2w∗+ϵ∗μm)]. | (34) |
Equating the coefficients of the
{ϵ∗μmb1−ϵ∗f′(ξ∗)b2=2ϵ∗cμ2m−2ϵ∗cμmf′(ξ∗)(¯θ2eiw∗+θ2e−iw∗)+ϵ∗(f″(ξ∗)+2cf′2(ξ∗))θ2¯θ2,−ϵ∗g′(r∗)b1+ϵ∗μpb2=−ϵ∗cμpf′(ξ∗)θ2¯θ2(eiw∗+e−iw∗)+ϵ∗cμmμp(θ2+¯θ2)+ϵ∗g″(r∗)+ϵ∗cf′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)(θ2+¯θ2)−ϵ∗cμmg′(r∗)×(eiw∗+e−iw∗). |
Noticing that
{b1=1ϵ∗2f′2(ξ∗)(μmμp−f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗))[μpf″(ξ∗)w∗2+μpf″(ξ∗)ϵ∗2μ2m+2f′2(ξ∗)cμpw∗2−2f′2(ξ∗)cμpw∗2cosw∗−2c(f′3(ξ∗)g′(r∗)+μmμpf′2(ξ∗))ϵ∗w∗sinw∗+f′3(ξ∗)g″(r∗)ϵ∗2],b2=1ϵ∗2f′2(ξ∗)(μmμp−f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗))[μmf′2(ξ∗)g″(r∗)ϵ∗2+f″(ξ∗)g′(r∗)w∗2+f″(ξ∗)g′(r∗)μ2mϵ∗2+2cf′2(ξ∗)g′(r∗)w∗2−2cμmμpf′(ξ∗)w∗2cosw∗−2c(μmf′2(ξ∗)g′(r∗)+μ2mμpf′(ξ∗))ϵ∗w∗sinw∗]. |
Substituting the expressions of
![]() |
(35) |
Note that
[iw∗I−ϵ∗M−ϵ∗Ne−iw∗]ϕ=χ. | (36) |
where
[−iw∗I−ϵ∗MT−ϵ∗NTeiw∗]d=0, |
we require
ˉdTχ=0, | (37) |
which is an ordinary differential equation of
d=1−2iw∗+ϵ∗(μm+μp)[−iw∗+ϵ∗μpϵ∗eiw∗f′(ξ∗)]. |
Bringing the expressions of
![]() |
(38) |
By (37) and (38) and noticing that
iw∗θ−ϵ∗Mθ−ϵ∗Nθe−iw∗=0, |
we have the following normal form:
![]() |
(39) |
We arrive at,
Theorem 3.4. Assume that (B1), (B2) and (B3) hold. The normal form of system (5) near its equilibrium is (39).
We remark that if the state-dependent translation time
A′=iw∗eiw∗δϵ∗(eiw∗+ϵ∗ˉdTNθ)A+ϵ∗(eiw∗+ϵ∗ˉdTNθ)ˉdT[f″(ξ∗)(a2ˉθ2+b2θ2)+12f‴(ξ∗)θ22ˉθ2g″(r∗)(a1+b1)+12g‴(r∗)]A2ˉA. | (40) |
In this section, we consider the prototype system (4) and illustrate the results of section 3 by numerical simulation. In the following, a vector is said to be positive if all coordinates are positive. To have assumptions (B1) and (B2) hold for system (4), we show that,
Theorem 4.1. Consider system (4) with positive parameters
Proof. Since all parameters of system (4) are positive, direct computation shows that there exists a positive equilibrium. Then there exists a neighborhood
Consider the initial value problem associated with system (4). We obtain by the work of [23] that the initial value problem has a unique solution
Notice that if
Next we show that
˙τ(t)=˙x(t)−˙x(t−τ(t))1c−˙x(t−τ(t))<1. |
It follows that for every
˙x(s)=−μmx(s)+αm1+(y(s−τ(s))ˉy)h<αm1+(y(s−τ(s))ˉy)h<αm, |
which leads to
Next we show that
˙x(t0)=−μmx(t0)+αm1+(y(t0−τ(t0))ˉy)h=αm1+(y(t0−τ(t0))ˉy)h>0, |
which means that there exists
If
˙y(t0)=−μpy(t0)+αpx(t0−τ(t0))=αpx(t0−τ(t0))>0, |
which means that there exists
˙x(t)=−μmx(t)+αm1+(y(t−τ(t))ˉy)h<αm1+(y(t−τ(t))ˉy)h<αm. | (41) |
It follows that
˙y(t)=−μpy(t)+αpx(t−τ(t))<αpx(t−τ(t))<αp(αmt+x(0)). | (42) |
By (41) and (42), and by the third equation of system (4),
Now we turn to assumption (B3). Let
μmμp=1.2×10−3<5.9384374×10−3=−f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗). |
Then by Lemma 3.1 and by Theorem 3.3, there exists a unique
(λ+ϵμm)(λ+ϵμp)−ϵ2f′(ξ∗)g′(r∗)e−2λ|λ=2iw∗,ϵ=ϵ0=−0.9140361052+0.1856539388i≠0. |
That is, (B3) holds. By Theorem 3.4, the normal form of system (4) near
A′=(0.01841158248+0.04829902976i)δA+((2.114544332c2+0.0008578251748c−0.001233336633)−i(1.469928514c2+0.002534237744c−0.003599996653))A2ˉA, |
where the real part of the coefficient of the cubic term
2.114544332c2+0.0008578251748c−0.001233336633, |
which is negative for
If
If
Starting from model (5) of differential equations with threshold type state-dependent delay, we obtained model (11) with constant delay equivalent to (5) under assumptions (B1), (B2) and (B3), by using a time domain transformation. System (11) provides a possibility to investigate the dynamics of the original system near the equilibrium points. We remark that the normal form (39) of the general type of system (11) obtained by using the method of multiple time scales is also applicable to the following type of system:
{1ϵdrdη=−μmr(η)+f(ξ(η−1))1ϵdξdη=−μpξ(η)+g(r(η−1)), | (43) |
which is equivalent to system (13). Even though many specific types of models of genetic regulatory dynamics have been developed in recent years (see [24], among many others), the general normal form we developed applies to a broad class of models.
Modeling the state-dependent delay of the genetic regulatory dynamics gives rise to the parameters
From the analysis of model (11), we find that the characteristic equation is independent of
A subcritical Hopf bifurcation usually means a sudden change of the dynamics when the system state is far enough from the stable equilibrium state. In terms of the model for the state-dependent delay
We remark that the numerical results in Section 4 is consistent with the observations from [2] described in the Section 1: when the analogous diffusion coefficient
We also remark that the attempt to model the state-dependent delay with an inhomogeneous linear function of the state variables reveals that the concentration gradients in the genetic regulatory dynamics may change the Hopf bifurcation direction modeled with constant delays. Since diffusion of substances in live cell may be confined or otherwise free and is a complex process [25], improved models for the state-dependent delay in the diffusion process may provide better means for understanding the underlying mechanisms of genetic regulatory dynamics. For instance, what if the stationary state of
The author would like to thank an anonymous referee for the detailed and constructive comments which greatly improved the paper.
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