The vigorous development of new energy vehicles has driven an escalating demand for power batteries and a rapidly growing volume of retired batteries. Low recycling efficiency of retired batteries and mismatched cost-benefit allocation of technology investment have emerged as key issues in the closed-loop supply chain. To address these issues, we investigate AI technology investment and contract mechanisms in the closed-loop supply chain of power batteries, taking into account government subsidies. By considering three scenarios, i.e. an independent AI investment model, a cost-sharing model, and a revenue-cost sharing model, we examine how different collaboration mechanisms influence AI investment and collaboration strategies among the participating companies, and also investigate the effects of government subsidies on supply chain decision. Our results show that both coordinated models achieve higher AI investment than the independent model. Additionally, when government subsidies are within a moderate range, both wholesale price and retail price are lowest under the revenue-cost sharing scenario, moderate under the independent investment scenario, and highest under the cost-sharing scenario. Furthermore, supplier profits rise under both coordinated models. Manufacturer profits increase only when the cost-sharing ratio and revenue-sharing ratio are relatively low. Moreover, coordinated models improve social welfare under moderate subsidy levels by strengthening AI investment incentives. However, deeper coordination and higher subsidies may increase environmental impacts due to scale expansion effects, revealing a trade-off between economic benefits and environmental sustainability. These findings highlight the need for balanced subsidy and coordination strategies to promote AI adoption while ensuring sustainable development in power battery closed-loop supply chains.
Citation: Qi Zheng, Miao Yu. Closed-loop supply chain decisions for power battery with AI technology under government subsidy[J]. Journal of Industrial and Management Optimization, 2026, 22(10): 5001-5038. doi: 10.3934/jimo.2026173
The vigorous development of new energy vehicles has driven an escalating demand for power batteries and a rapidly growing volume of retired batteries. Low recycling efficiency of retired batteries and mismatched cost-benefit allocation of technology investment have emerged as key issues in the closed-loop supply chain. To address these issues, we investigate AI technology investment and contract mechanisms in the closed-loop supply chain of power batteries, taking into account government subsidies. By considering three scenarios, i.e. an independent AI investment model, a cost-sharing model, and a revenue-cost sharing model, we examine how different collaboration mechanisms influence AI investment and collaboration strategies among the participating companies, and also investigate the effects of government subsidies on supply chain decision. Our results show that both coordinated models achieve higher AI investment than the independent model. Additionally, when government subsidies are within a moderate range, both wholesale price and retail price are lowest under the revenue-cost sharing scenario, moderate under the independent investment scenario, and highest under the cost-sharing scenario. Furthermore, supplier profits rise under both coordinated models. Manufacturer profits increase only when the cost-sharing ratio and revenue-sharing ratio are relatively low. Moreover, coordinated models improve social welfare under moderate subsidy levels by strengthening AI investment incentives. However, deeper coordination and higher subsidies may increase environmental impacts due to scale expansion effects, revealing a trade-off between economic benefits and environmental sustainability. These findings highlight the need for balanced subsidy and coordination strategies to promote AI adoption while ensuring sustainable development in power battery closed-loop supply chains.
| [1] |
X. Li, J. Du, P. Liu, C. Wang, X. Hu, P. Ghadimi, Optimal choice of power battery joint recycling strategy for electric vehicle manufacturers under a deposit-refund system, Int. J. Prod. Res., 61 (2023), 7281–7301. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2022.2148009 doi: 10.1080/00207543.2022.2148009
|
| [2] |
Q. Zhang, C. Li, Y. Wu, Analysis of research and development trend of the battery technology in electric vehicle with the perspective of patent, Energy Procedia, 105 (2017), 4274–4280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.918 doi: 10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.918
|
| [3] |
S. A. Jose, C. A. D. Cook, J. Palacios, H. Seo, C. E. T. Ramirez, J. Wu, et al., Recent advancements in artificial intelligence in battery recycling, Batteries, 10 (2024), 440. https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries10120440 doi: 10.3390/batteries10120440
|
| [4] |
J. Zhao, X. Qu, Y. Wu, M. Fowler, A. F. Burke, Artificial intelligence-driven real-world battery diagnostics, Energy AI, 18 (2024), 100419. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyai.2024.100419 doi: 10.1016/j.egyai.2024.100419
|
| [5] |
Y. C. Tsao, H. T. T. Ai, Remanufacturing electric vehicle battery supply chain under government subsidies and carbon trading: Optimal pricing and return policy, Appl. Energy, 375 (2024), 124063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124063 doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124063
|
| [6] |
J. Jia, W. Chen, Z. Wang, L. Shi, S. Fu, Blockchain's role in operation strategy of power battery closed-loop supply chain, Comput. Ind. Eng., 198 (2024), 110742. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2024.110742 doi: 10.1016/j.cie.2024.110742
|
| [7] |
Y. Zhou, AI-driven battery ageing prediction with distributed renewable community and E-mobility energy sharing, Renew. Energy, 225 (2024), 120280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2024.120280 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.120280
|
| [8] |
A. K. Vishwakarma, P. K. Patro, A. Acquaye, Applications of AI to low carbon decision support system for global supply chains, Clean. Logist. Supply C., 17 (2025), 100261. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clscn.2025.100261 doi: 10.1016/j.clscn.2025.100261
|
| [9] |
L. Li, W. Zhu, L. Chen, Y. Liu, Generative AI usage and sustainable supply chain performance: A practice-based view, Transp. Res. Part E Logist. Transp. Rev., 192 (2024), 103761. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2024.103761 doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103761
|
| [10] |
B. Wu, H. Chen, Y. Shi, Influence of artificial intelligence development on supply chain diversification, Financ. Res. Lett., 78 (2025), 107210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107210 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.107210
|
| [11] |
Q. Yang, H. Liu, Intelligent-driven resilience enhancement: Nonlinear impacts and spatial spillover effects of AI penetration on China's NEV industry chain, Technol. Soc., 81 (2025), 102827. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.102827 doi: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.102827
|
| [12] |
C. C. Lee, J. Hussain, Q. Abass, An integrated analysis of AI-driven green financing, subsidies, and knowledge to enhance CO2 reduction efficiency, Econ. Anal. Policy., 85 (2025), 675–693. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2024.12.021 doi: 10.1016/j.eap.2024.12.021
|
| [13] |
G. Yanginlar, S. Ansari, N. Altay, Reverse logistics and sustainable supply chains in the automotive industry: the roles of AI adoption and top management support, Transp. Res. Part E Logist. Transp. Rev., 210 (2026), 104791. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2026.104791 doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2026.104791
|
| [14] |
R. Mardyana, G. C. Mahata, Implementations of AI technology and profit-sharing contract for sustainability development and customer experience improvement: A differential game approach, Expert Syst. Appl., 275 (2025), 126920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2025.126920 doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2025.126920
|
| [15] |
J. Hussain, B. Lev, J. Ren, Government influence on AI Investment and energy leakage mitigation technology in SCM: Duality modeling and scenario analysis, Sustain. Futur., 10 (2025), 100853. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100853 doi: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100853
|
| [16] |
J. Zhu, L. Yang, W. Zhou, AI-driven remanufacturing supply chains: Greening and intelligence diffusion, Inf. Process. Manag., 63 (2026), 104763. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ipm.2026.104763 doi: 10.1016/j.ipm.2026.104763
|
| [17] |
M. Guo, W. Yang, Research on retired power battery recycling strategy considering consumer's low carbon preference and government dynamic subsidy, J. Energy Storage, 154 (2026), 121163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2026.121163 doi: 10.1016/j.est.2026.121163
|
| [18] |
H. Chu, W. Zhang, L. Zhu, The impact of government policies on the coordination of power battery closed-loop supply chain, J. Clean. Prod., 519 (2025), 145961. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.145961 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.145961
|
| [19] |
J. An, G. He, S. Ge, S. Wu, The impact of government green subsidies on corporate green innovation, Finance. Res. Lett., 71 (2025), 106378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106378 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106378
|
| [20] |
J. Hua, J. Lin, K. Wang, G. Liu, Government interventions in new technology adoption to improve product greenness, Int. J. Prod. Econ., 262 (2023), 108924. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2023.108924 doi: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2023.108924
|
| [21] |
W. Cao, H. Mu, Research on the impact of government subsidies on the recycling of electric bicycle batteries, Sustainability, 17 (2025), 10204. https://doi.org/10.3390/su172210204 doi: 10.3390/su172210204
|
| [22] |
W. Wu, M. Zhang, Decision-making analysis of power battery recycling under carbon cap-and-trade mechanism and subsidy policy, Chin. J. Manage. Sci., 33 (2025), 340–354. https://doi.org/10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1828 doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1828
|
| [23] |
M. Zhang, W. Wu, Y. Song, Study on the impact of government policies on power battery recycling under different recycling models, J. Clean. Prod., 413 (2023), 137492. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137492 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137492
|
| [24] |
S. Zhao, Y. Han, Q. Zhou, X. Xia, Collaborative management of battery manufacturer responsibility in electric vehicle production with ESG due diligence, J. Clean. Prod., 486 (2025), 144591. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.144591 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.144591
|
| [25] |
M. R. Khodoomi, B. M. Tosarkani, E. P. Hung Li, Sustainable life cycle management of batteries in a closed-loop supply chain under hierarchical cost-sharing contracts and carbon policies, Int. J. Prod. Econ., 290 (2025), 109799. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2025.109799 doi: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2025.109799
|
| [26] |
Y. Lin, Z. Yu, H. Lin, Y. Wang, Supply chain cooperative strategies for electric vehicle battery recycling under joint environmental policies, Comput. Ind. Eng., 211 (2026), 111528. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2025.111528 doi: 10.1016/j.cie.2025.111528
|
| [27] |
Z. Xiang, M. Xu, Dynamic game strategies of a two-stage remanufacturing closed-loop supply chain considering Big Data marketing, technological innovation and overconfidence, Comput. Ind. Eng., 145 (2020), 106538. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2020.106538 doi: 10.1016/j.cie.2020.106538
|
| [28] |
X. Lyu, Y. Gao, J. Xu, J. Wang, Q. Kong, Pricing decisions of power battery closed loop supply chain considering cascade utilization under different power structures, Comput. Integr. Manuf. Syst., 32 (2026), 2595–2612. https://doi.org/10.13196/j.cims.2025.0027 doi: 10.13196/j.cims.2025.0027
|
| [29] |
B. Liu, H. Liu, A. Gao, Game-theoretic analysis of recycling integration modes in a power battery supply chain under carbon trading and deposit-return mechanisms, J. Clean. Prod., 525 (2025), 146540. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.146540 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.146540
|
| [30] |
C. Xu, K. Yang, Y. Wu, J. Yang, Research on environmental cost sharing mechanism of power battery supply chain considering blockchain technology investment, Results Eng., 30 (2026), 110056. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.110056 doi: 10.1016/j.rineng.2026.110056
|
| [31] |
A. Mostafavi, H. Khosroshahi, M. B. Jamali, Blockchain-enabled closed-loop supply chains for sustainable electric vehicle battery recycling considering data flows, contracts, and stakeholder coordination, J. Energy Storage., 165 (2026), 121571. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2026.121571 doi: 10.1016/j.est.2026.121571
|
| [32] |
F. Ren, B. Hu, Decisions and coordination in low-carbon supply chains with a wholesale price constraint under government subsidies, Int. J. Prod. Econ., 277 (2024), 109407. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2024.109407 doi: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2024.109407
|
| [33] |
L. Zhang, P. Liu, Optimizing channel selection and contract decision of low-carbon supply chain under government subsidy, Clean. Logist. Supply C., 16 (2025), 100242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clscn.2025.100242 doi: 10.1016/j.clscn.2025.100242
|
| [34] |
Q. Bai, J. Xu, Y. Zhang, Emission reduction decision and coordination of a make-to-order supply chain with two products under cap-and-trade regulation, Comput. Ind. Eng., 119 (2018), 131–145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2018.03.032 doi: 10.1016/j.cie.2018.03.032
|
| [35] |
X. Li, D. Mu, J. Du, J. Cao, F. Zhao, Game-based system dynamics simulation of deposit-refund scheme for electric vehicle battery recycling in China, Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 157 (2020), 104788. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.104788 doi: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.104788
|
| [36] |
L. Feng, K. Govindan, C. Li, Strategic planning: Design and coordination for dual-recycling channel reverse supply chain considering consumer behavior, Eur. J. Oper. Res., 260 (2017), 601-612. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2016.12.050 doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.12.050
|
| [37] |
W. Zhang, X. Liu, L. Zhu, W. Wang, H. Song, Pricing and production R&D decisions in power battery closed-loop supply chain considering government subsidy, Waste Manage., 190 (2024), 409–422. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2024.10.004 doi: 10.1016/j.wasman.2024.10.004
|
| [38] |
C. Zhang, Y. Tian, M. Han, Recycling mode selection and carbon emission reduction decisions for a multi-channel closed-loop supply chain of electric vehicle power battery under cap-and-trade policy, J. Clean. Prod., 375 (2022), 134060. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134060 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134060
|
| [39] |
G. Esenduran, E. Kemahlıoğlu-Ziya, J. M. Swaminathan, Take-back legislation: Consequences for remanufacturing and environment, Decision. Sci., 47 (2015), 219–256. https://doi.org/10.1111/deci.12174 doi: 10.1111/deci.12174
|
| [40] |
X. Wu, Y. Zhou, Buyer-specific versus uniform pricing in a closed-loop supply chain with third-party remanufacturing, Eur. J. Oper. Res., 273 (2019), 548–560. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2018.08.028 doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.08.028
|
| [41] |
E. Gratz, Q. Sa, D. Apelian, Y. Wang, A closed loop process for recycling spent lithium ion batteries, J. Power Sources., 262 (2014), 255–262. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2014.03.126 doi: 10.1016/j.jpowsour.2014.03.126
|
| [42] |
R. Madlener, A. Kirmas, Economic viability of second use electric vehicle batteries for energy storage in residential applications, Energy Proc., 105 (2017), 3806–3815. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.890 doi: 10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.890
|
| [43] |
Y. Tang, Q. Zhang, Y. Li, G. Wang, Y. Li, Recycling mechanisms and policy suggestions for spent electric vehicles' power battery -A case of Beijing, J. Clean. Prod., 186 (2018), 388–406. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.03.043 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.03.043
|
| [44] |
W. Zhu, Y. He, Green product design in supply chains under competition, Eur. J. Oper. Res., 258 (2017), 165-180. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2016.08.053 doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.08.053
|
| [45] |
Y. Li, Y. Tong, F. Ye, J. Song, The choice of the government green subsidy scheme: innovation subsidy vs. product subsidy, Int. J. Prod. Res., 58 (2020), 4932–4946. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2020.1730466 doi: 10.1080/00207543.2020.1730466
|
| [46] |
Z. Pi, K. Wang, Y. Wei, Z. Huang, Transitioning from gasoline to electric vehicles: Electrification decision of automakers under purchase and station subsidies, Transp. Res. Part E Logist. Transp. Rev., 188 (2024), 103640. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2024.103640 doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103640
|
| [47] |
B. Frank, B. Herbas-Torrico, S. J. Schvaneveldt, The AI-extended consumer: Technology, consumer, country differences in the formation of demand for AI-empowered consumer products, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang., 172 (2021), 121018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121018 doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121018
|
| [48] | B. Niu, X. Yu, J. Dong, Could AI livestream perform better than KOL in cross-border operations? Transp. Res. Part E Logist. Transp. Rev., 174 (2023), 103130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2023.103130 |
| [49] |
Z. Sun, J. Tu, Research on coordination of the E-Commerce platform supply chain considering tripartite AI investments, J. Theor. Appl. Electron. Commer. Res., 20 (2025), 269. https://doi.org/10.3390/jtaer20040269 doi: 10.3390/jtaer20040269
|
jimo-22-10-173-s001.pdf |
![]() |