This paper presents a development of the mathematical theory of swarms towards a systems approach to behavioral dynamics of social and economical systems. The modeling approach accounts for the ability of social entities are to develop a specific strategy which is heterogeneously distributed by interactions which are nonlinearly additive. A detailed application to the modeling of the dynamics of prices in the interaction between buyers and sellers is developed to describe the predictive ability of the model.
Citation: Nicola Bellomo, Sarah De Nigris, Damián Knopoff, Matteo Morini, Pietro Terna. Swarms dynamics approach to behavioral economy: Theoretical tools and price sequences[J]. Networks and Heterogeneous Media, 2020, 15(3): 353-368. doi: 10.3934/nhm.2020022
This paper presents a development of the mathematical theory of swarms towards a systems approach to behavioral dynamics of social and economical systems. The modeling approach accounts for the ability of social entities are to develop a specific strategy which is heterogeneously distributed by interactions which are nonlinearly additive. A detailed application to the modeling of the dynamics of prices in the interaction between buyers and sellers is developed to describe the predictive ability of the model.
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1.0, 5.0 ratios: 10/50 buyers (red) and 10/10 sellers (blue), mean price sequences; blue line hides in large part the red one
1.0, 5.0 ratio: 10/50 buyers (red) and 10/10 sellers (blue), zoom on individual price sequences. Y axes do not share the same scale
1.0, 5.0 ratio: 10/50 buyers (red) and 10/10 sellers (blue), standard deviation of mean prices within buyers and within sellers over time
Buyers
Sellers