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Research article

Developing and evaluating efficient estimators for finite population mean in two-phase sampling

  • Received: 05 March 2025 Revised: 05 April 2025 Accepted: 09 April 2025 Published: 18 April 2025
  • MSC : 62DXX

  • The estimator development process is more efficient when additional information is used. However, occasionally, it is necessary to use information regarding unknown population parameters. In these cases, we chose two-phase sampling by substituting the population mean of the supplemental variable with the sample mean from first-phase sampling. The goal of this project was to develop effective estimators of the finite population mean in a two-phase sampling scenario with a single auxiliary variable. Under certain conditions, the recommended estimators outperform the current estimators, producing biased and Mean Square Error (MSE) expressions. Empirical and theoretical comparisons of the proposed families were conducted using real and simulated data. We found that the proposed families were more effective in the two-phase sampling situation than in all-population mean estimators.

    Citation: Khazan Sher, Muhammad Ameeq, Sidra Naz, Basem A. Alkhaleel, Muhammad Muneeb Hassan, Olayan Albalawi. Developing and evaluating efficient estimators for finite population mean in two-phase sampling[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2025, 10(4): 8907-8925. doi: 10.3934/math.2025408

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  • The estimator development process is more efficient when additional information is used. However, occasionally, it is necessary to use information regarding unknown population parameters. In these cases, we chose two-phase sampling by substituting the population mean of the supplemental variable with the sample mean from first-phase sampling. The goal of this project was to develop effective estimators of the finite population mean in a two-phase sampling scenario with a single auxiliary variable. Under certain conditions, the recommended estimators outperform the current estimators, producing biased and Mean Square Error (MSE) expressions. Empirical and theoretical comparisons of the proposed families were conducted using real and simulated data. We found that the proposed families were more effective in the two-phase sampling situation than in all-population mean estimators.



    The utilization of additional information during sampling has proven effective in accurately estimating the population mean. Incorporating a supplementary variable during the estimation phase is a valuable strategy for enhancing the precision of estimating the population mean for the study variables. When there is a positive or negative correlation between the study and auxiliary variables, we typically employ the ratio and product estimation methods. Survey statisticians have developed exponential-type estimators for various sample scenarios, as evidenced in the works of Singh and Vishwakarma [1], Grover et al. [2], Noor-ul-Amin and Hanif [3]. The latest and efficient estimators were produced by Sher et al. [4], Muneer et al. [5] and Choudhury and Singh [6], which are hybrid type estimators. For a more comprehensive understanding, Sabat et al. [7], Di Gravio et al. [8], and Zaman and Kadilar [9], demonstrate the common use of two-phase sampling in cases where collecting data on variables of interest is cost-prohibitive and data on variables that correlate with the variables of interest is more economical. For example, conducting on-site assessments of forest surveys in remote locations can be both challenging and expensive. However, aerial photography is a more cost-effective alternative, yielding comparable results regarding the type of forest without the need for costly ground visits. However, in many important situations, before the survey, the population mean ˉX of the supplementary variable is not known. In such a situation, the sample mean ˉx1=1n1n1i=1xi is used as auxiliary information obtained through an initial sample of n1 units (n1<N), taken through a simple random sampling w.o.r scheme. At the second stage, a sample of n(n<n1) units obtained in the same fashion, and sample means of both the study variable ˉy=1nni=1yi and auxiliary variable ˉx=1nni=1xi, are obtained from Tato and Singh [10] and Misra [11].

    Suppose a population consists of N units Ω={ʊ1,ʊ2,ʊ3,,ʊN}, and let a first-phase sample of n1 units be drawn from where the estimated mean value of auxiliary variable is obtained. Then, in a second phase, a sample of n (n < n1) units is drawn where both the study and auxiliary variables are measured. To obtain the expressions for MSE and bias, let us introduce the following terms:

    Notations:

    ξ0=ˉyˉYˉY→ is a relative error term for y; ξ1=ˉxˉXˉX→ is a relative error term for x, Cy is the population coefficient of variation (c.v.) for y; Cx is the population coefficient of variation (c.v.) for x; ρ → is the population correlation coefficient between y and x; and λ and λ1 are the finite population correction (fpc) factors for first- and second-phase sampling, respectively.

    ˉy=ˉY(1+ξ0), ˉx=ˉX(1+ξ1), and ˉx1=ˉX(1+ξ2), so that E(ξ0)=E(ξ1)=E(ξ2)=0, E(ξ20)=λC2y, E(ξ21)=λC2x, E(ξ22)=λ1C2x, and E(ξ0ξ1)=λCyx, E(ξ0ξ2)=λ1Cyx, E(ξ1ξ2)=λ1C2x, where λ=NnNn, λ1=Nn1n1N and R=ˉYˉX.

    Kumar and Bahl [12] proposed the usual ratio estimator of the population mean in two-phase sampling, as follows:

    tR=ˉy(ˉx1ˉx). (1)

    The ratio estimator is typically chosen when there is a positive correlation between the study and auxiliary variables. The mean square error (MSE) of their proposed estimator up to the first order of approximation is given as

    MSE(tR)=ˉY2(λC2y+λ1C2x(12ψ)), (2)

    where ψ=ρyxCyCx.

    In situations when there is a negative correlation between the study variable and the auxiliary variable, the product estimator is typically preferred over the ratio estimator. In two-phase sampling, the classical product estimator of population mean is given as

    tP=ˉy(ˉxˉx1). (3)

    The MSE of their proposed estimator up to the first order of approximation is given as

    MSE(tP)=ˉY2(λC2y+λ1C2x(1+2ψ)). (4)

    In two-phase sampling, Singh and Vishwakarma [1] suggested the exponential type of ratio and product estimators of the population mean of the research variable as

    tSVR=ˉyexp(ˉx1ˉxˉx1+ˉx) (5)

    and

    tSVP=ˉyexp(ˉxˉx1ˉx1+ˉx). (6)

    The MSEs of the above estimators up to the first order of approximation are given as

    MSE(TSVR)=ˉY2[λC2y+λ1C2x(14ψ)] (7)

    and

    MSE(tSVP)=ˉY2[λC2y+λC2x(14+ψ)]. (8)

    Yadav et al. [13] proposed the following exponential ratio and product estimators:

    tGR=αˉy+(1α)ˉyexp(ˉx1ˉxˉx1+ˉx) (9)

    and

    tGP=δˉy+(1δ)ˉyexp(ˉxˉx1ˉx+ˉx1). (10)

    The MSE up to the first order of approximation of the above estimators for optimum values of α=g2ψg and δ=g+2ψg are given as

    MSE(tGR)=ˉY2[λC2y+λgC2x(g4ψ)λA24] (11)

    and

    MSE(tGP)=ˉY2[λC2y+λgC2x(g4+ψ)λB24], (12)

    where A=g2ψ, B=g+2ψ, and g=nn1n, λ=λλ1=1n1n1.

    The classical unbiased regression estimator is used in two-phase sampling to estimate the population mean when the auxiliary variable and the research variable are correlated. It works like this:

    tReg=ˉy+β(ˉxˉx1), (13)

    where β is the regression coefficient of the main study variable y regressed on auxiliary variable x. The MSE up to the first order of approximation for the above linear regression estimator is obtained as

    MSE(tReg)=ˉY2C2y(λλ1ρ2). (14)

    By combining Singh and Vishwakarma [1] and regression estimator with a linear transformation, in Ozgul and Cingi [14], the following estimator was proposed:

    tOC=[k1ˉy+k2(ˉx1ˉx)]exp(ˉz1ˉzˉz1+ˉz), (15)

    where ˉz1=uˉx1+v and ˉz=uˉx+v. and u, v are the generalized constants, meaning that for different values of u and v, one can obtain different estimators with different MSE. The minimum MSE up to the first order of approximation for k1=12λ1θ2C2x1+(λλ1ρ2) and k2=R[(θ1)+2λ1θ2C2x1+(λλ1ρ2)(2θψ)] is given as

    MSE(tOC)=ˉY2C2y(λλ1ρ2)(1λ1θ2C2x)λ21θ4C4x4[1+C2y(λλ1ρ2)] (16)

    or

    MSE(tOC)=ˉY2MSE(tReg)(1λ1θ2C2x)λ21ˉY2θ4C4x4(ˉY2+MSE(tReg)), (17)

    where θ=uˉX2(uˉX+v).

    The use of auxiliary information commonly leads to improved precision of the estimator. Also, the development of novel estimators for the finite population mean in two-phase sampling is not only a theoretical advancement but also a practical necessity. These novel estimators, developed under existing constraints, are expected to make a substantial contribution to the field of survey sampling by providing more reliable and precise population estimates. Motivated by these objectives, we propose the following two families of estimators under a two-phase sampling scheme using a single auxiliary variable.

    Motivated by Muneer et al. [5] and Shabbir et al. [15], we propose the following class of estimators for the population mean:

    tPro1=(k1ˉy+k2)[ωˉx1ˉx{2exp(u(ˉxˉx1)u(ˉx1+ˉx)+2v)}+(1ω)ˉxˉx1exp(u(ˉx1ˉx)u(ˉx1+ˉx)+2v)]. (18)

    A number of estimators can be generated from the above estimator by assigning different values of u, v, and ω. Here, k1 and k2 are the minimizing constants whose values are determined by minimizing the MSE, and u, v, and ω, 0≤ω≤1, are the generalizing constants that can assume any suitable value or any known parameter of the population. The bias and MSE of the estimator are given as:

    Theorem 1. An estimator for the population mean defined in Eq (18) in the case of two-phase sampling with single auxiliary variables will have its MSE equation given as

    MSE(tPro1)minˉY2(1AprD2pr+BprC2pr2CprDprEprAprBprE2pr). (19)

    Motivated by Shabbir et al. [15], Gupta and Shabbir [16], and Shabbir and Gupta [17], we propose the following improved class of estimators for a finite population mean in two-phase sampling:

    tpro2=(k3ˉy+k4)[ωˉx1ˉx+(1ω)ˉxˉx1]exp[u(ˉx1ˉx)u(ˉx1+ˉx)+2v], (20)

    where

    Apr=1+λC2y+(Δ1λ+Δ2λ1Δ3λ1)C2x+4ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx,
    Bpr=1+(Δ1λ+Δ2λ1Δ3λ1)C2x,Cpr=1+(ϑ3λ+ϑ4λ1ϑ2λ1)C2x+ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx,
    Dpr=1+(ϑ3λ+ϑ4λ1ϑ2λ1)C2x,andEpr=1+(Δ1λ+Δ2λ1Δ3λ1)C2x+2ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx.

    Description. In Table 1, estimators 1–3 represent product exponential estimators obtained using the value ω=0. These estimators vary based on different values of u and v, derived from known parameter values. Estimators 4–6 are ratio exponential estimators obtained by setting ω=1. Estimators 7–11 are obtained by setting ω=12 in combination with different values of u and v. The final group of estimators are of a hybrid type, incorporating both ratio and product exponential forms, making them effectively efficient in both cases. Hence, this list of estimators covers a range of possible settings. Although many other possible estimators are possible, we have listed only a selected few.

    Table 1.  Estimators deduced for different values of ω, u, and v.
    Estimator u v ω Estimators from first class Estimators from second class
    1 1 0 1 tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2][ˉx1ˉxexp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][ˉx1ˉx]exp[ˉx1ˉxˉx1+ˉx]
    2 1 Cx 1 tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2][ˉx1ˉxexp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][ˉx1ˉx]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]
    3 1 βx 1 tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2][ˉx1ˉxexp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][ˉx1ˉx]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]
    4 1 0 0 tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2][ˉxˉx1exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][ˉxˉx1]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)]
    5 1 Cx 0 tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2][ˉxˉx1exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][ˉxˉx1]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]
    6 1 βx 0 tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2][ˉxˉx1exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][ˉxˉx1]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]
    7 1 0 ½ tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2]12[ˉx1ˉx{2exp[(ˉxˉx1)(ˉx1+ˉx)]}+ˉxˉx1exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][12{ˉx1ˉx+ˉxˉx1}]exp[ˉx1ˉxˉx1+ˉx]
    8 1 Cx ½ tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2]12[ˉx1ˉx{2exp[(ˉxˉx1)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]}+ˉxˉx1exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][12{ˉx1ˉx+ˉxˉx1}]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]
    9 1 βx ½ tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2]12[ˉx1ˉx{2exp[(ˉxˉx1)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]}+ˉxˉx1exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][12{ˉx1ˉx+ˉxˉx1}]exp[(ˉx1ˉx)(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]
    10 ρ βx ½ tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2]12[ˉx1ˉx{2exp[ρ(ˉxˉx1)ρ(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]}+ˉxˉx1exp[ρ(ˉx1ˉx)ρ(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][12{ˉx1ˉx+ˉxˉx1}]exp[ρ(ˉx1ˉx)ρ(ˉx1+ˉx)+2βx]
    11 ρ Cx ½ tPro1=[k1ˉy+k2]12[ˉx1ˉx{2exp[ρ(ˉxˉx1)ρ(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]}+ˉxˉx1exp[ρ(ˉx1ˉx)ρ(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]] tpro2=[k3ˉy+k4][12{ˉx1ˉx+ˉxˉx1}]exp[ρ(ˉx1ˉx)ρ(ˉx1+ˉx)+2Cx]

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    The MSE of the proposed estimator is given in the following theorem.

    Theorem 2. An estimator for the population mean defined in Eq (20) in the case of two-phase sampling with single auxiliary variables will have its MSE equation given as

    MSE(tpro2)minˉY2(1ApD2p+BpC2p2CpDpEp+Bp+2BpCp+D2p2DpEpApBpE2p+Bp), (21)

    where

    Ap=λC2y+{λ(δ21+2δ3)λ1(δ21+2δ22δ4)}C2x+4δ1(λλ1)Cyx,Bp=1+{λ(δ21+2δ3)λ1(δ21+2δ22δ4)}C2x,Cp=δ1(λλ1)Cyx+{δ3λλ1(δ2δ4)}C2x,Dp=1+{δ3λλ1(δ2δ4)}C2x andEp=1+{λ(δ21+2δ3)λ1(δ21+2δ22δ4)}C2x+2δ1(λλ1)Cyx.

    Our proposed estimator Tpro is better than the existing estimators subject to the following conditions:

    Condition (ⅰ): By comparing Eqs (2) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tR) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(12ψ)+11>0, (22)

    where 1=AprD2pr+BprC2pr2CprDprEprAprBprE2pr.

    Condition (ⅱ): By comparing Eqs (4) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tP) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(1+2ψ)+11>0. (23)

    Condition (ⅲ): By comparing Eqs (7) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tSVR) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(14ψ)+11>0. (24)

    Condition (ⅳ): By comparing Eqs (8) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tSVP) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(14+ψ)+11>0. (25)

    Condition (ⅴ): By comparing Eqs (11) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tGR) if

    λC2y+λgC2x(g4ψ)λA24+11>0. (26)

    Condition (ⅵ): By comparing Eqs (12) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tGP) if

    λC2y+λgC2x(g4+ψ)λA24+11>0. (27)

    Condition (ⅶ): By comparing Eqs (14) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tReg) if

    C2y(λλ1ρ2)+11>0. (28)

    Condition (ⅷ): By comparing Eqs (16) and (19), MSE(tpro1)<MSE(tOC) if

    1+11>0, (29)

    where 1=C2y(λλ1ρ2)(1λ1θ2C2x)λ21θ4C4x41+C2y(λλ1ρ2).

    Our proposed estimator tpro2 is better than the existing estimators subject to the following conditions:

    Condition (ⅰ): By comparing Eqs (2) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tR) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(12ψ)+231>0, (30)

    where 2=ApD2p+BpC2p2CpDpEp+Bp+2BpCp+D2p2DpEp and 3=ApBpE2p+Bp.

    Condition (ⅱ): By comparing Eqs (4) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tP) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(1+2ψ)+231>0. (31)

    Condition (ⅲ): By comparing Eqs (7) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tSVR) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(14ψ)+231>0. (32)

    Condition (ⅳ): By comparing Eqs (8) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tSVP) if

    λC2y+λ1C2x(14+ψ)+231>0. (33)

    Condition (ⅴ): By comparing Eqs (11) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tGR) if

    λC2y+λgC2x(g4ψ)λA24+231>0. (34)

    Condition (ⅵ): By comparing Eqs (12) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tGP) if

    λC2y+λgC2x(g4+ψ)λA24+231>0. (35)

    Condition (ⅶ): By comparing Eqs (14) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tReg) if

    C2y(λλ1ρ2)+231>0. (36)

    Condition (ⅷ): By comparing Eqs (16) and (21), MSE(tpro2)<MSE(tOC) if

    1+231>0. (37)

    In this section, the MSEs of the proposed estimators, along with other existing estimators for real data sets, are given.

    In all these data sets, assume the following notations: N → population size; n1 → first-phase sample size; n → second-phase sample size; Y → population mean of variable y; X → population mean of variable x; Cy → population coefficient of variation of y; Cx → population coefficient of variations of x; ρ → population correlation coefficient between y and x.

    Population 1. [18] Where X is the population (in 1000s) in 1920 and Y is the population (in 1000s) in 1930 of 49 US cities.

    N n1 n Y X Cy Cx ρ
    49 24 10 127.7959 103.1429 0.9634 1.0122 0.9817

    Population 2. [19] Y: The total acreage planted with wheat in 34 communities in 1974. X: The total area planted with wheat (in acres) across 34 villages in 1971.

    N n1 n Y X Cy Cx ρ
    34 13 6 856.41 208.88 0.8561 0.7205 0.4491

    Population 3. [20] Y: The number of tube wells. X: The 69 communities' net irrigated area in hectares.

    N n1 n Y X Cy Cx ρ
    69 15 7 135.26 345.75 0.842 0.848 0.922

    Population 4. [20] Y: The average number of hours spent sleeping. X: The person's age.

    N n1 n Y X Cy Cx ρ
    30 10 4 6.377 66.933 0.163 0.144 -0.8669

    Population 5. [21]. Y: The number of agriculture workers in 1971. X: The number of agriculture workers in 1961.

    N n1 n Y X Cy Cx Ρ
    278 25 12 39.06 25.11 1.4451 1.6198 0.7213

    Table 2 shows the MSE values of various estimators of the population mean in the two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary. The software R version 4.4.2 was utilized for all numerical analysis. Three specific scenarios are introduced—the first with no transformation (1, 0), the second utilizing Cz (1, Cz), and the third incorporating both Ryz and Cz (Ryz, Cz)—for each of the two groups of estimators. As shown in the table, the MSEs for all estimators in the proposed groups were considerably lower than those of the classical, ratio, and other estimators. Therefore, we can conclude that the proposed groups of estimators for the population mean in two-phase sampling with an auxiliary variable exhibit lower variances than all the existing estimators for the same parameters.

    Table 2.  MSEs of the estimators under different populations in two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary variable.
    Estimators Pop-Ⅰ Pop-Ⅱ Pop-Ⅲ Pop-Ⅳ Pop-Ⅴ
    t0 1206.468 73780.58 1665.785 0.47943 254.1521
    tR 897.4455 72564.16 1094.546 0.5554184 212.3113
    tP 2226.915 111176.3 3609.537 2.211102 587.5549
    tSVR 963.0284 68649.96 1208.601 0.2914667 196.7865
    tSVP 1627.763 87956.02 2466.097 1.119308 384.4083
    tGR 954.4859 67885.15 1387.843 0.1654431 194.0551
    tGP 1367.202 64018.73 1717.514 0.2167253 357.6551
    tReg 895.9134 68629.51 1089.727 0.2898695 193.7843
    tOC 844.7858 62373.91 1018.88 0.28241 168.1552
    (tpro1)0.51,0 48.68735 6124.312 95.30145 0.01487197 18.65086
    (tpro1)0.51,Cx 47.50149 6081.405 94.78652 0.01480804 16.12708
    (tpro1)0.5ρ,Cx 47.47971 6029.342 94.74336 0.01494622 15.25888
    (tpro2)0.51,0 57.78406 6751.424 117.1208 0.01497448 28.7724
    (tpro2)0.51,Cx 51.81201 6705.387 116.5365 0.01491032 25.35458
    (tpro2)0.5ρ,Cx 51.70824 6649.523 116.4875 0.01504901 24.18399

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    Table 3 shows the percentage relative efficiency (PRE) values of various estimators for the population mean in two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary variable. We introduce three distinct scenarios—the first with no transformation (1, 0), the second utilizing Cz (1, Cz), and the third incorporating both Ryz and Cz (Ryz, Cz)—for each of the two groups of estimators. As shown in the table, the PREs of all estimators belonging to the proposed groups exhibit a significantly higher level of efficiency compared to the classical, ratio, and other estimators available in the literature. Thus, we can confidently conclude that the proposed groups of estimators for the population mean in two-phase sampling with an auxiliary variable offer exceptional efficiency when compared to all existing estimators for the same parameters.

    Table 3.  Percentage relative efficiency (PRE) values of the estimators under different populations in two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary variable.
    Estimators Pop-Ⅰ Pop-Ⅱ Pop-Ⅲ Pop-Ⅳ Pop-Ⅴ
    t0 100 100 100 100 100
    tR 134.4335 101.6763 152.1896 58.58052 119.7073
    tP 54.17664 66.36359 46.14954 130.0708 43.25589
    tSVR 125.2785 107.4736 137.8275 77.27718 129.1512
    tSVP 74.11813 83.88349 67.54742 121.2234 66.11516
    tGR 126.3997 108.6844 120.0269 6.364461 130.9691
    tGP 88.24353 115.2484 96.98812 10.89628 71.06068
    tReg 134.6634 107.5056 152.8626 130.0789 131.1521
    tOC 142.8134 118.2876 163.4918 130.7012 151.1414
    (tpro1)0.51,0 2477.99 1204.716 1747.911 1579.749 1362.683
    (tpro1)0.51,Cx 2539.852 1213.216 1757.407 1586.569 1575.934
    (tpro1)0.5ρ,Cx 2541.017 1223.692 1758.208 1571.9 1665.602
    (tpro2)0.51,0 2087.89 1092.815 1422.279 1568.934 883.3193
    (tpro2)0.51,Cx 2133.748 1100.318 1429.411 1575.686 1002.391
    (tpro2)0.5ρ,Cx 2134.61 1109.562 1430.012 1561.164 1050.911

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    In two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary variable, the population was divided into two phases. In the first phase, a sample was selected based on the auxiliary variable. In the second phase, one sample was selected from the first-phase sample. This design is commonly used to reduce sampling costs and increase efficiency.

    Several estimators, including regression, ratio, and difference estimators, have been proposed to estimate the population mean by using this architecture. Simulations were performed to assess estimator performance. The general procedure for performing simulations of estimators of the finite population mean in two-phase sampling using a single auxiliary is presented below.

    Algorithm: Simulation for estimator evaluation

    ⅰ. Initialization of parameters

    Define N,

    Define auxiliary variables and their distribution functions,

    Define population mean and variance covariance matrix.

    ⅱ. Generate population

    Based on the above parameters we generate a data set of size N.

    ⅲ. Draw a first-phase sample and sample statistics

    From this dataset randomly select an initial sample S1 called first-phase sample.

    Calculate means, correlation coefficients, coefficient of variations, and other statistics for both variables y and x.

    ⅳ. Draw a second-phase sample

    Draw a second-phase sample S2 < S2.

    ⅴ. Calculate population estimators' values

    We calculate the values for the estimators of the population mean from this sample utilizing the statistics obtained from the first-phase sample as auxiliary information.

    Store these values of estimators for performance evaluation.

    ⅵ. Repeat steps iii-v ℜ times to obtain the distribution of the estimated population mean.

    ⅶ. Evaluate estimators' performance

    Calculate the distribution of estimators over ℜ repetition.

    And obtain the MSE of the estimators

    MSE(ti)=1RRr=1(tiY)2.

    ⅷ. Analyze results

    Repeat steps ⅲ-ⅶ for different sample sizes.

    Compare MSEs across different scenarios to evaluate estimators' performance.

    By conducting simulations, one can compare the performance of different estimators and choose the estimator that performs best under various scenarios.

    Table 4 displays the MSE values of various estimators for the finite population mean in two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary variable on the simulated data. In this study, we introduced two novel families of estimators, tpro1 and tpro2, and presented three special cases for each of these estimators.

    Table 4.  MSEs of the estimators for finite population mean in two-phase sampling.
    Estimators n=10 n=20 n=50 n=100 n=200
    t0 0.11765 0.0674538 0.0297463 0.0146399 0.006835741
    tR 0.112473 0.0595570 0.0258601 0.0129036 0.005915756
    tP 0.356272 0.2496402 0.1294851 0.0631248 0.0314097
    tSVR 0.085407 0.0415785 0.0157659 0.0079163 0.003416362
    tSVP 0.207807 0.1366718 0.0676182 0.0330339 0.01616443
    tGR 0.031958 0.0443500 0.0156862 0.0078855 0.003399093
    tGP 0.031805 0.0445138 0.0157166 0.0078912 0.003400891
    tReg 0.085769 0.0415185 0.0156956 0.0078885 0.003398686
    tOC 0.076553 0.0390543 0.0181793 0.0085051 0.004243778
    (tpro1)0.51,0 0.023453 0.0146365 0.0065068 0.0031587 0.001479118
    (tpro1)0.51,Cx 0.019830 0.0125145 0.0056139 0.0027609 0.001276948
    (tpro1)0.5ρ,Cx 0.0196495 0.0120682 0.0056766 0.0027526 0.001261685
    (tpro2)0.51,0 0.022643 0.0143328 0.0064367 0.0031449 0.001475519
    (tpro2)0.51,Cx 0.019288 0.0122986 0.0055556 0.0027491 0.001273876
    (tpro2)0.5ρ,Cx 0.019124 0.0118482 0.0056223 0.0027394 0.00125787

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    An analysis of the results indicates that our proposed estimators exhibit significantly lower MSEs compared to all estimators selected from the existing literature for the same parameter in similar scenarios. Moreover, for both of our proposed estimators, the estimators with u = Ryx and v = Cx consistently demonstrate smaller variances across all selected sample sizes. In addition, the values of the proposed estimators remain relatively stable across varying sample sizes.

    Based on these findings, we confidently conclude that our proposed families of estimators are highly efficient and consistent for the population mean in two-phase sampling when compared with traditional estimators such as ratio, product, and other similar estimators.

    Table 5 displays the PRE values of estimators for the finite population mean in two-phase sampling with a single auxiliary variable based on simulated data. We introduce two families of estimators, tpro1 and tpro2, from which numerous estimators can be obtained by applying different values of the generalizing constants u, v, and ω. However, we provide only three unique cases for each estimator. Upon examining the results, it is clear that the proposed estimators outperform all previously established estimators in the literature for the same parameter under comparable circumstances. Furthermore, the estimators with u = ρyx and v = Cx from both proposed families demonstrate smaller variances across all chosen sample sizes. Additionally, the estimators' values exhibit consistency across varying sample sizes, signifying that the proposed families are efficient and consistent estimators compared with conventional ratios, products, and other estimators for the population mean in two-phase sampling. In conclusion, the proposed estimators are highly efficient and consistent compared to the previously presented estimators.

    Table 5.  PREs of the estimators relative to the usual estimator of the mean.
    Estimators n=10 n=20 n=50 n=100 n=200
    t0 100 100 100 100 100
    tR 104.6039 113.2593 15.0276 113.4563 115.5514
    tP 33.02292 27.02043 22.97275 23.19201 21.76316
    tSVR 137.753 162.2327 188.6743 184.9327 200.0883
    tSVP 56.61566 49.35462 43.99152 44.31777 42.2888
    tGR 368.1474 152.0943 189.6341 185.6548 201.1049
    tGP 367.1043 151.5348 189.2668 185.5208 200.9986
    tReg 137.1721 162.4671 189.5195 185.5857 201.1289
    tOC 153.6846 172.7181 163.6273 172.1314 161.0768
    (tpro1)0.51,0 501.6541 460.5439 457.1578 465.9208 462.1497
    (tpro1)0.51,Cx 593.2857 536.4649 517.8296 532.5756 543.2696
    (tpro1)0.5ρ,Cx 598.7415 558.9393 531.9137 531.8565 567.5748
    (tpro2)0.51,0 519.6022 470.3019 462.1383 467.9549 463.277
    (tpro2)0.51,Cx 609.9509 545.885 523.2615 534.8668 544.5798
    (tpro2)0.5ρ,Cx 615.1905 569.3159 537.0446 534.4118 569.2958

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    The utilization of auxiliary information has proven to be highly effective in improving efficiency; however, such information is not always available during the design and estimation processes or can be prohibitively expensive. Two-phase sampling procedures are frequently employed to overcome this challenge. In this approach, a sample is first obtained from the population, and auxiliary information is collected from this sample. In the second phase, a smaller sample is drawn from the first-phase sample, and both the primary and auxiliary variables are measured in this subsample. Various estimators such as ratio and product estimators are commonly used to estimate the finite population mean in two-phase sampling scenarios with a single auxiliary variable. Inspired by the work of [7,8,15], we have proposed two classes of estimators for the population mean and derived their expressions for bias and mean squared error (MSE) up to the first order of approximation. We identified the theoretical conditions under which the proposed estimators are more efficient than some existing estimators in terms of having less variance. The proposed estimator families were compared with existing mean estimators on both real and simulated data based on their MSE and percentage relative efficiency (PRE).

    The results of our comparison strongly support the claim that the proposed estimator families are significantly more efficient than existing methods for estimating the finite population mean in a two-phase sampling scenario.

    Khazan Sher: Conceptualization, project administration, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing; Muhammad Ameeq, Sidra Naz, Basem A. Alkhaleel: Conceptualization, project administration, investigation, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing; Muhammad Muneeb Hassan, Olyan Albalawi: Conceptualization, project administration, investigation, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

    The authors declare they have not used Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the creation of this article.

    Researchers Supporting Project number (RSPD2025R630), King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

    The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest.

    Proof 1. To obtain the MSE of the estimator given in Eq (18), we can express Eq (18) in terms of error as follows:

    tPro1=[k1ˉY(1+ξ0)+k2][ωˉX(1+ξ2)ˉX(1+ξ1){2exp[u(ˉX(1+ξ1)ˉX(1+ξ2))u(ˉX(1+ξ1)+ˉX(1+ξ2))+2v]}+(1ω)ˉX(1+ξ1)ˉX(1+ξ2)exp[u(ˉX(1+ξ2)ˉX(1+ξ1))u(ˉX(1+ξ1)+ˉX(1+ξ2))+2v]] (38)

    or

    tPro1=[k1ˉY(1+ξ0)+k2][ω(1ξ1+ξ2ξ1ξ2+ξ21){2exp[η(ξ1ξ2)2η2(ξ21ξ22)4]}+(1ω)(1+ξ1ξ2ξ1ξ2+ξ22)exp[η(ξ2ξ1)2η2(ξ22ξ21)4]], (39)

    where η=uˉXuˉX+v.

    Now, expanding with the exponential series and Taylor series, we have

    tPro1=[k1ˉY(1+ξ0)+k2](1+ϑ1ξ1ϑ1ξ2ϑ2ξ1ξ2+ϑ3ξ21+ϑ4ξ22) (40)

    or

    tPro1ˉY=k1ˉY(1+ξ0+ϑ1ξ1+ϑ1ξ0ξ1ϑ1ξ2ϑ1ξ0ξ2ϑ2ξ1ξ2+ϑ3ξ21+ϑ4ξ22)+k2(1+ϑ1ξ1ϑ1ξ2ϑ2ξ1ξ2+ϑ3ξ21+ϑ4ξ22)ˉY. (41)

    Taking expectation on both sides of Eq (41), the bias of the estimator is given as

    Bias(tPro1)=k1ˉY[1+ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx(ϑ2λ1ϑ3λϑ4λ1)C2x]+k2[1(ϑ2λ1ϑ3λϑ4λ1)C2x]ˉY. (42)

    Now by taking the square of Eq (42), we get the following expression:

    (tPro1ˉY)2=k21ˉY2[1+ξ20+(ϑ21+2ϑ3)ξ21+(ϑ21+2ϑ4)ξ22+4ϑ1ξ0ξ14ϑ1ξ0ξ22(ϑ21+ϑ2)ξ1ξ2]+k22[1+(ϑ21+2ϑ3)ξ21+(ϑ21+2ϑ4)ξ222(ϑ21+ϑ2)ξ1ξ2]2k1ˉY2[1+ϑ3ξ21+ϑ4ξ22+ϑ1ξ0ξ1ϑ1ξ0ξ2ϑ2ξ1ξ2]2k2ˉY[1+ϑ3ξ21+ϑ4ξ22ϑ2ξ1ξ2]+2k1k2ˉY[1+(ϑ21+2ϑ3)ξ21+(ϑ21+2ϑ4)ξ22+2ϑ1ξ0ξ12ϑ1ξ0ξ22(ϑ21+ϑ2)ξ1ξ2]+ˉY2. (43)

    Taking expectations on both sides of Eq (43), we get the MSE expression as

    MSE(tPro1)=k21ˉY2(1+λC2y+Δ1λC2x+Δ2λ1C2x+4ϑ1λCyxε14ϑ1λ1CyxΔ3λ1C2x)+k22[1+Δ1λC2x+Δ2λ1C2xΔ3λ1C2x]2k1ˉY2(1+ϑ3λC2x+ϑ4λ1C2x+ϑ1λCyxε1ϑ1λ1Cyxϑ2λ1C2x)2k2ˉY[1+ϑ3ε21+ϑ4ε22ϑ2λ1C2x]+2k1k2ˉY[1+Δ1λC2x+Δ2λ1C2x+2ϑ1λCyxε12ϑ1λ1CyxΔ3λ1C2x]+ˉY2,

    where Δ1=ϑ21+2ϑ3, Δ2=ϑ21+2ϑ4 and Δ3=2(ϑ21+ϑ2).

    Also, the simplified form is given as

    MSE(tPro1)=k21ˉY2[1+λC2y+(Δ1λ+Δ2λ1Δ3λ1)C2x+4ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx]+k22[1+(Δ1λ+Δ2λ1Δ3λ1)C2x]2k1ˉY2[1+(ϑ3λ+ϑ4λ1ϑ2λ1)C2x+ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx]2k2ˉY[1+(ϑ3λ+ϑ4λ1ϑ2λ1)C2x]+2k1k2ˉY[1+(Δ1λ+Δ2λ1Δ3λ1)C2x+2ϑ1(λλ1)Cyx]+ˉY2. (44)

    To find the values of k1 and k2, we convert the above Eq (44) in the below simplified form

    MSE(tPro1)=k21ˉY2Apr+k22Bpr2k1ˉY2Cpr2k2ˉYDpr+2k1k2ˉYEpr+ˉY2. (45)

    Now differentiating Eq (45) w.r.t. k1 and k2 and equating to zero, we get the following two equations:

    MSE(tpro1)k1=0 and MSE(tpro1)k2=0.

    So, we obtain

    k1ˉY2Apr+k2ˉYEprˉY2Cpr=0 (46)

    and

    k1ˉYEpr+k2BprˉYDpr=0. (47)

    Solving both Eqs (46) and (47) simultaneously, we obtain the following optimum values k1=BprCprDprEprAprBprE2pr and k2=¯Y(AprDprCprEpr)AprBprE2pr. With these values, the minimum MSE of the estimator adopts the following form:

    MSE(tPro1)minˉY2(1AprD2pr+BprC2pr2CprDprEprAprBprE2pr). (48)

    Proof 2. The MSE of the proposed estimator given in Eq (20) and its bias are obtained as follows:

    tpro2=(k3ˉY(1+ξ0)+k4)[ω(1+ξ2)(1+ξ1)1+(1+ω)(1+ξ1)(1+ξ2)1]           exp[12η(ξ2ξ1)(1+12η(ξ2+ξ1))1] (49)

    or

    tpro2=k3ˉY(1+ξ0+δ1ξ1δ1ξ2+δ1ξ0ξ1δ1ξ0ξ2δ2ξ1ξ2+δ3ξ21+δ4ξ22)+k4(1+δ1ξ1δ1ξ2δ2ξ1ξ2+δ3ξ21+δ4ξ22), (50)

    where

    δ1=12ω12η,δ2=114η+14η2,δ3=ω12η+38η2, and δ4=1ω12η18η2.

    The difference equation of the proposed estimator is given as follows:

    tpro2ˉY=(k31)ˉY+k3ˉY(ξ0+δ1ξ1δ1ξ2+δ1ξ0ξ1δ1ξ0ξ2δ2ξ1ξ2+δ3ξ21+δ4ξ22)+k4(1+δ1ξ1δ1ξ2δ2ξ1ξ2+δ3ξ21+δ4ξ22). (51)

    After taking the expectation of Eq (51), we obtain the following bias expression

    Bias(tpro2)=(k31)ˉY+k3ˉY[δ1(λλ1)Cyx+{δ3λ(δ2δ4)λ1}C2x]+k4[1+{δ3λ(δ2δ4)λ1}C2x]. (52)

    Taking the square on both sides of Eq (52) and simplifying, we have

    (tpro2ˉY)2=(k31)2ˉY2+k23ˉY2(ξ20+(δ21+2δ3)ξ21+(δ21+2δ4)ξ22+4δ1ξ0ξ14δ1ξ0ξ22(δ21+δ2)ξ1ξ2)+k24{1+(δ21+2δ3)ξ21+(δ21+2δ4)ξ222(δ21+δ2)ξ1ξ2}2k3ˉY2(δ1ξ0ξ1δ1ξ0ξ2δ2ξ1ξ2+δ3ξ21+δ4ξ22)2k4ˉY(1δ2ξ1ξ2+δ3ξ21+δ4ξ22)+2k3k4ˉY{1+(δ21+2δ3)ξ21+(δ21+2δ4)ξ22+2δ1ξ0ξ12δ1ξ0ξ22(δ21+δ2)ξ1ξ2}. (53)

    Taking the expectation on both sides of the above Eq (53), we obtain the following MSE equation:

    MSE(tpro2)=(k31)2ˉY2+k23ˉY2[λC2y+{λ(δ21+2δ3)λ1(δ21+2δ22δ4)}C2x+4δ1(λλ1)Cyx]+k24[1+{λ(δ21+2δ3)λ1(δ21+2δ22δ4)}C2x]2k3ˉY2[δ1(λλ1)Cyx+{δ3λλ1(δ2δ4)}C2x]2k4ˉY[1+{δ3λλ1(δ2δ4)}C2x]+2k3k4ˉY[1+{λ(δ21+2δ3)λ1(δ21+2δ22δ4)}C2x+2δ1(λλ1)Cyx] (54)

    or

    MSE(tpro2)=(k31)2ˉY2+k23ˉY2Ap+k24Bp2k3ˉY2Cp2k4ˉYDp+2k3k4ˉYEp. (55)

    Let us differentiate Eq (55) and equate to zero to obtain optimum values of the constants k3 and k4

    MSE(tpro2)k3=0 and MSE(tpro2)k4=0.

    So, we obtain

    (k31)ˉY2+k3ˉY2Ap+k4ˉYEpˉY2Cp=0 (56)

    and

    k3ˉYEp+k4BpˉYDp=0. (57)

    Solving both Eqs (56) and (57) simultaneously, we obtain the following values of the constants k3 and k4

    k3=BpCpDpEp+BpApBpE2p+Bp and k4=ˉY(ApDpCpEp+DpEp)ApBpE2p+Bp.

    Incorporating these optimum values of the constants, the minimum MSE of the proposed estimator is given as

    MSE(tpro2)minˉY2(1ApD2p+BpC2p2CpDpEp+Bp+2BpCp+D2p2DpEpApBpE2p+Bp). (58)


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