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Research article

The spread of debt risk from real estate companies to banks: Evidence from China

  • Received: 27 April 2023 Revised: 25 June 2023 Accepted: 25 June 2023 Published: 05 July 2023
  • JEL Codes: B41, G33, M21

  • The recent real estate debt crisis in China has dealt a huge blow to the banking sector. To address this challenge, we construct a dynamic game model that considers the interaction of the government, banks and real estate companies. The model is used to analyze the default behavior of real estate companies and loan losses for banks when facing information asymmetry. In addition, we empirically demonstrate the contagion effect of debt risk of real estate companies to banks, using a sample of 119 listed real estate companies and 42 listed banks in China from 2001 to 2020. The results show the following. (1) The debt risk associated with non-state-owned real estate companies is more likely to be contagious to banks compared to state-owned real estate companies. (2) The contagion effect of debt risk of real estate companies to banks is more significant among small and medium-sized banks. (3) The debt risk of non-state-owned real estate companies is most contagious for rural banks, followed by urban banks. Further tests show that the rising debt risk of non-state-owned real estate companies significantly increases the asset risk of small and medium-sized banks. This effect is reinforced through the liquidity channel. This implies that controlling the contagion of debt risk of non-state-owned real estate companies to small and medium-sized banks is an effective way to prevent the occurrence of banking crises.

    Citation: Yonghong Zhong, Junhao Zhong. The spread of debt risk from real estate companies to banks: Evidence from China[J]. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 2023, 7(3): 371-390. doi: 10.3934/QFE.2023018

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  • The recent real estate debt crisis in China has dealt a huge blow to the banking sector. To address this challenge, we construct a dynamic game model that considers the interaction of the government, banks and real estate companies. The model is used to analyze the default behavior of real estate companies and loan losses for banks when facing information asymmetry. In addition, we empirically demonstrate the contagion effect of debt risk of real estate companies to banks, using a sample of 119 listed real estate companies and 42 listed banks in China from 2001 to 2020. The results show the following. (1) The debt risk associated with non-state-owned real estate companies is more likely to be contagious to banks compared to state-owned real estate companies. (2) The contagion effect of debt risk of real estate companies to banks is more significant among small and medium-sized banks. (3) The debt risk of non-state-owned real estate companies is most contagious for rural banks, followed by urban banks. Further tests show that the rising debt risk of non-state-owned real estate companies significantly increases the asset risk of small and medium-sized banks. This effect is reinforced through the liquidity channel. This implies that controlling the contagion of debt risk of non-state-owned real estate companies to small and medium-sized banks is an effective way to prevent the occurrence of banking crises.



    Over the past decades, the use of biochemical reactors and correlation techniques has increased greatly because of their fruitful application in converting biomass or cells into pharmaceutical or chemical products, such as vaccines [1], antibiotics [2], beverages [3], and industrial solvents [4]. Among various classes or operation regions of bioreactors, the fed-batch modes have extensively used in the biotechnological industry due to its considerable economic profits [5,6,7]. The main objective of these reactors is to achieve a given or maximum concentration of production at the end of the operation, which can be implemented by using some suitable feed rates [8,9,10]. Thus, in order to ensure economic benefit and product quality of the fed-batch processes, the process control of this units is an very important topic for the engineers [11,12,13].

    Switched dynamical systems provide a flexible modeling method for a variety of different types of engineering systems, such as financial system [14], train control system [15], hybrid electric vehicle [16], chemical process system [17], and biological system [18,19,20,21]. Generally speaking, switched dynamical systems are formed by some continuous-time or discrete-time subsystems and a switching rule [22]. There usually exist four types of switching rules as follows: time-dependent switching [23], state-dependent switching [24], average dwell time switching [25], and minimum dwell time switching [26]. Recently, switched dynamical system optimal control problems are becoming increasingly attractive due to their significance in theory and industry production [27,28,29,30]. Because of the discrete nature of switching rules, it is very challenging that switched dynamical system optimal control problems are solved by directly using the classical optimal control approaches such as the maximum principle and the dynamic programming method [31,32,33,34]. In additions, analytical methods also can not be applied to obtain an solution for switched dynamical system optimal control problems due to their nonlinear nature [35,36,37]. Thus, in recent work, two kinds of well-known numerical optimization algorithms are developed for switched dynamical system optimal control problems to obtain numerical solutions. One is the bi-level algorithm [38,39]. The other is the embedding algorithm [40,41]. Besides above two kinds of well-known numerical optimization algorithms, many other available numerical optimization algorithms are also developed for obtaining the solution of switched dynamical system optimal control problems [42]. Unfortunately, most of these numerical optimization algorithms depend on the following assumption: the time-dependent switching strategy is used to design the switching rules, which implies that the system dynamic must be continuously differentiable with respect to the system state [43,44,45]. However, this assumption is not reasonable, since some small perturbations of the system state may lead to the dynamic equations being changed discontinuously. Thus, the solution obtained is usually not optimal. In additions, although these approaches have demonstrated to be effective by solving many practical problems, they only obtaining an open loop control [46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53]. Unfortunately, such open loop controls are not usually robust in practice. Thus, an optimal feedback controller is more and more popular.

    In this paper, we consider an optimal feedback control problem for a class of fed-batch fermentation processes by using switched dynamical system approach. Our main contributions are as follows. Firstly, a dynamic optimization problem for a class of fed-batch fermentation processes is modeled as a switched dynamical system optimal control problem, and a general state-feedback controller is designed for this dynamic optimization problem. Unlike the existing works, the state-dependent switching method is applied to design the switching rule, and the structure of this state-feedback controller is not restricted to a particular form. In generally, the traditional methods for obtaining an optimal feedback control require solving the well-known Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman partial differential equation, which is a very difficult issue even for unconstrained optimal control problems. Then, in order to overcome this difficulty, this problem is transformed into a mixed-integer optimal control problem by introducing a discrete-valued function. Furthermore, each of these discrete variables is represented by using a set of 0-1 variables. Then, by using a quadratic constraint, these 0-1 variables are relaxed such that they are continuous on the closed interval [0,1]. Accordingly, the original mixed-integer optimal control problem is transformed into a nonlinear parameter optimization problem, which can be solved by using any gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm. Unlike the existing works, the constraint introduced for these 0-1 variables are at most quadratic. Thus, it does not increase the number of locally optimal solutions of the original problem. During the past decades, many iterative approaches have been proposed for solving the nonlinear parameter optimization problem by using the information of the objective function. The idea of these iterative approaches is usually that a iterative sequence is generated such that the corresponding objective function value sequence is monotonically decreasing. However, the existing algorithms have the following disadvantage: if an iteration is trapped to a curved narrow valley bottom of the objective function, then the iterative methods will lose their efficiency due to the target with objective function value monotonically decreasing may leading to very short iterative steps. Next, in order to overcome this challenge, an improved gradient-based algorithm is developed based on a novel search approach. In this novel search approach, it is not required that the objective function value sequence is always monotonically decreasing. And a large number of numerical experiments shows that this novel search approach can effectively improve the convergence speed of this algorithm, when an iteration is trapped to a curved narrow valley bottom of the objective function. Finally, an optimal feedback control problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of this method developed by this paper. Numerical simulation results show that this method developed by this paper is low time-consuming, has faster convergence speed, and obtains a better result than the existing approaches.

    The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 presents the optimal feedback control problem for a class of fed-batch fermentation processes. In Section 3, by introducing a discrete-valued function and using a relaxation technique, this problem is transformed into a nonlinear parameter optimization problem, which can be solved by using any gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm. An improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm are developed in Section 4. In Section 5, the convergence results of this numerical optimization algorithm are established. In Section 6, an optimal feedback control problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of this algorithm developed by this paper.

    In this section, a general state-feedback controller is proposed for a class of fed-batch fermentation process dynamic optimization problems, which will be modeled as an optimal control problem of switched dynamical systems under state-dependent switching.

    Let α1=[α11,,α1r1]TRr1 and α2=[α21,,α2r2]TRr2 be two parameter vectors satisfying

    a_iα1riˉai,i=1,,r1, (2.1)

    and

    b_jα2rjˉbj,j=1,,r2, (2.2)

    respectively, where a_i, ˉai, i=1,,r1; b_j, ˉbj, j=1,,r2 present given constants. Suppose that tf>0 presents a given terminal time. Then, a class of fed-batch fermentation process dynamic optimization problems can be described as choose two parameter vectors α1Rr1, α2Rr2, and a general state-feedback controller

    u(t)=Υ(x(t),ϑ),t[0,tf], (2.3)

    to minimize the objective function

    J(u(t),α1,α2)=ϕ(x(tf)), (2.4)

    subject to the switched dynamical system under state-dependent switching

    {Subsystem1:dx(t)dt=f1(x(t),t),ifg1(x(t),α1,t)=0,Subsystem2:dx(t)dt=f2(x(t),u(t),t),ifg2(x(t),α2,t)=0,t[0,tf], (2.5)

    with the initial condition

    x(0)=x0, (2.6)

    where x(t)Rn presents the system state; x0 presents a given initial system state; u(t)Rm presents the control input; ϑ=[ϑ1,,ϑr1]TRr3 presents a state-feedback parameter vector satisfying

    c_kϑkˉck,k=1,,r3, (2.7)

    c_k and ˉck, k=1,,r present given constants. Υ:Rn×RrRm; ϕ:RnR, f1:Rn×[0,tf]Rn, f2:Rn×Rm×[0,tf]Rn, g1:Rn×Rr1×[0,tf]Rn, g2:Rn×Rr2×[0,tf]Rn present five continuously differentiable functions. For convenience, this problem is called as Problem 1.

    Remark 1. In the switched dynamical system (2.5), Subsystem 1 presents the batch mode, during which there exists no input feed (i.e., control input) u(t), and Subsystem 2 presents the feeding mode, during which there exists input feed (i.e., control input) u(t). This fed-batch fermentation process will oscillate between Subsystem 1 (the batch mode) and Subsystem 2 (the feeding mode), and g1(x(t),α1,t)=0 and g2(x(t),α2,t)=0 present the active conditions of Subsystems 1 and 2, respectively.

    Remark 2. Note that an integral term, which is used to measure the system running cost, can be easily incorporated into the objective function (2.4) by augmenting the switched dynamical system (2.5) with an additional system state variable (see Chapter 8 of this work [54]). Thus, it is not a serious restriction that the integral term does not appear in the objective function (2.4).

    Remark 3. The structure for this general state-feedback controller (2.3) can be governed by the given continuously differentiable function Υ, and the state-feedback parameter vector ϑ is decision variable vector, which will be chosen optimally. For example, the linear state-feedback controller described by u(t)=Kx(t) is a very common state-feedback controller, where KRm×n presents a state-feedback gain matrix to be found optimally.

    In Problem 1, the state-dependent switching strategy is adopted to design the switching rule, which is unlike the existing switched dynamical system optimal control problem. Then, the solution of Problem 1 can not be obtained by directly using the existing numerical computation approaches for switched dynamical systems optimal control problem, in which the switching rule is designed by using time-dependent strategy. In order to overcome this difficulty, by introducing a discrete-valued function, the problem will be transformed into a equivalent nonlinear dynamical system optimal control problem with discrete and continuous variables in this subsection.

    Firstly, by substituting the general state-feedback controller (2.3) into the switched dynamical system (2.5), Problem 1 can be equivalently written as the following problem:

    Problem 2. Choose (α1,α2,ϑ)Rr1×Rr2×Rr3 to minimize the objective function

    ˉJ(α1,α2,ϑ)=ϕ(x(tf)), (3.1)

    subject to the switched dynamical system under state-dependent switching

    {Subsystem1:dx(t)dt=f1(x(t),t),ifg1(x(t),α1,t)=0,Subsystem2:dx(t)dt=ˉf2(x(t),ϑ,t),ifg2(x(t),α2,t)=0,t[0,tf], (3.2)

    and the three bound constraints (2.1), (2.2) and (2.7), where ˉf2(x(t),ϑ,t)=f2(x(t),Υ(x(t),ϑ),t).

    Next, note that the solution of Problem 1 can not be obtained by directly using the existing numerical computation approaches for switched dynamical systems optimal control problem, in which the switching rule is designed by using time-dependent strategy and not state-dependent strategy. In order to overcome this difficulty, a novel discrete-valued function y(t) is introduced as follows:

    y(t)={1,ifg1(x(t),α1,t)=0,2,ifg2(x(t),α2,t)=0,t[0,tf]. (3.3)

    Then, Problem 2 can be transformed into the following equivalent optimization problem with discrete and continuous variables:

    Problem 3. Choose (α1,α2,ϑ,y(t))Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×{1,2} to minimize the objective function

    ˜J(α1,α2,ϑ,y(t))=ϕ(x(tf)), (3.4)

    subject to the nonlinear dynamical system

    dx(t)dt=(2y(t))y(t)f1(x(t),t)+(y(t)1)ˉf2(x(t),ϑ,t),t[0,tf], (3.5)

    the equality constraint

    (2y(t))y(t)g1(x(t),α1,t)+(y(t)1)g2(x(t),α2,t)=0,t[0,tf], (3.6)

    and the three bound constraints (2.1), (2.2), and (2.7).

    Note that standard nonlinear numerical optimization algorithms are usually developed for nonlinear optimization problems only with continuous variables, for example the sequential quadratic programming algorithm, the interior-point method, and so on. Thus, the solution of Problem 3, which has discrete and continuous variables, can not be obtained by directly using these existing standard algorithms. In order to overcome this difficulty, this subsection will introduce a relaxation problem, which has only continuous variables.

    Define

    P(σ(t))=2i=1i2σi(t)(2i=1iσi(t))2, (3.7)

    where σ(t)=[σ1(t),σ2(t)]T. Then, a theorem can be established as follows.

    Theorem 1. If the nonnegative functions σ1(t) and σ2(t) satisfy the following equality:

    σ1(t)+σ2(t)=1,t[0,tf], (3.8)

    then two results can be obtained as follows:

    (1) For any t[0,tf], the function P(σ(t)) is nonnegative;

    (2) For any t[0,tf], P(σ(t))=0 if and only if σi(t)=1 for one i{1,2} and σi(t)=0 for the other i{1,2}.

    Proof. (1) By using the equality (3.8) and the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, we have

    2i=1iσi(t)=2i=1(iσi(t))σi(t)2i=1(i2σi(t))2i=1σi(t)=2i=1(i2σi(t)), (3.9)

    Note that the functions σ1(t) and σ2(t) are nonnegative. Then, squaring both sides of the inequality (3.9) yields

    2i=1(i2σi(t))(2i=1iσi(t))2,

    which implies that for any t[0,tf], the function P(σ(t)) is nonnegative.

    (2) The correctness of the second part for Theorem 1 only need to prove the following result: for any t[0,tf], P(σ(t))=0 has solutions σi(t)=1 for one i{1,2} and σi(t)=0 for the other i{1,2} and ii.

    Define

    v1(t)=[σ1(t),2σ2(t)],v2(t)=[σ1(t),σ2(t)].

    Then, the inequality (3.9) can be equivalently transformed into as follows:

    v1(t)v2(t)v1(t)v2(t), (3.10)

    where and present the vector dot product and the Euclidean norm, respectively. Note that the equality

    v1(t)v2(t)=v1(t)v2(t) (3.11)

    holds if and only if there exists a constant βR such that

    v1(t)=βv2(t). (3.12)

    By using the equality (3.8), one obtain v1(t)0 and v2(t)0, where 0 presents the zero vector. Then, β is a nonzero constant and the equality (3.12) implies

    (1β)σ1(t)=0, (3.13)
    (2β)σ2(t)=0. (3.14)

    Furthermore, the constant β can be set equal to one integer i{1,2}, and for the other integer i{1,2}, one have

    σi(t)=0,ii, (3.15)

    From the two equalities (3.8) and (3.15), we obtain σi(t)=1. This completes the proof of Theorem 1.

    Now, Problem 3 can be rewritten as a relaxation problem as follows:

    Problem 4. Choose (α1,α2,ϑ,σ(t))Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×R2 to minimize the objective function

    Jrelax(α1,α2,ϑ,σ(t))=ϕ(x(tf)), (3.16)

    subject to the nonlinear dynamical system

    dx(t)dt=(2ˉy(t))ˉy(t)f1(x(t),t)+(ˉy(t)1)ˉf2(x(t),ϑ,t),t[0,tf], (3.17)

    the two equality constraints

    (2ˉy(t))ˉy(t)g1(x(t),α1,t)+(ˉy(t)1)g2(x(t),α2,t)=0,t[0,tf], (3.18)
    P(σ(t))=0,t[0,tf], (3.19)

    the bound constraint

    0σi(t)1,i=1,2,t[0,tf], (3.20)

    the equality constraint (3.8), and the three bound constraints (2.1), (2.2), and (2.7), where

    ˉy(t)=1×σ1(t)+2×σ2(t). (3.21)

    By using Theorem 1, one can derive that Problems 3 and 4 are equivalent.

    Note that the bound constraint (3.20) is essentially some continuous-time inequality constraints. Thus, the solution of Problem 4 can not also be obtained by directly using the existing standard algorithms. In order to obtain the solution of Problem 4, this subsection will introduce a nonlinear parameter optimization problem, which has some continuous-time equality constraints and several bound constraints.

    Suppose that τi presents the ith switching time. Then, one have

    0=τ0τ1τ2τM1τM=tf, (3.22)

    where M1 presents a given fixed integer. It is important to note that the switching times are not independent optimization variables, whose values can be obtained indirectly by using the state trajectory of the switched dynamical system (2.5). Then, Problem 4 can be transformed into an equivalent optimization problem as follows:

    Problem 5. Choose (α1,α2,ϑ,ξ)Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×R2M to minimize the objective function

    ˉJrelax(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ)=ϕ(x(tf)), (3.23)

    subject to the nonlinear dynamical system

    dx(t)dt=Mi=1((2(ξ1i+2ξ2i))(ξ1i+2ξ2i)f1(x(t),t)+((ξ1i+2ξ2i)1)ˉf2(x(t),ϑ,t))χ[τi1,τi)(t),
    t[0,tf], (3.24)

    the equality constraints

    Mi=1((2(ξ1i+2ξ2i))(ξ1i+2ξ2i)g1(x(t),α1,t)+((ξ1i+2ξ2i)1)g2(x(t),α2,t))χ[τi1,τi)(t)=0,
    t[0,tf], (3.25)
    ˉP(ξ,t)=0,t[0,tf], (3.26)
    ξ1i+ξ2i=1,i=1,,M, (3.27)

    the bound constraint

    0ξji1,j=1,2,i=1,,M, (3.28)

    and the three bound constraints (2.1), (2.2), and (2.7), where ξi1 and ξi2 present, respectively, the values of σ1(t) and σ2(t) on the ith subinterval [τi1,τi), i=1,,M; ξ=[(ξ1)T,(ξ2)T]T, ξ1=[ξ11,,ξ1M]T, ξ2=[ξ21,,ξ2M]T; ˉP(ξ,t)=Mi=1(2j=1j2ξji(2j=1jξji)2)χ[τi1,τi)(t); and χI(t) is given by

    χI(t)={1,iftI,0,otherwise, (3.29)

    which is a function defined on the subinterval I[0,tf].

    Due to the switching times being unknown, it is very challenging to acquire the gradient of the objective function (3.23). In order to overcome this challenge, the following time-scaling transformation is developed to transform variable switching times into fixed times:

    Suppose that the function t(s):[0,M]R is continuously differentiable and is governed by the following equation:

    dt(s)ds=Mi=1θiχ[i1,i)(s), (3.30)

    with the boundary condition

    t(0)=0, (3.31)

    where θi is the subsystem dwell time on the ith subinterval [i1,i)[0,tf]. In general, the transformation (3.30)–(3.31) is referred to as a time-scaling transformation.

    Define θ=[θ1,,θM]T, where

    0θitf,i=1,,M. (3.32)

    Then, by using the time-scaling transform (3.30) and (3.31), we can rewrite Problem 5 as the following equivalent nonlinear parameter optimization problem, which has fixed switching times.

    Problem 6. Choose (α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×R2M×RM to minimize the objective function

    ˆJrelax(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)=ϕ(ˆx(M)), (3.33)

    subject to the nonlinear dynamical system

    dˆx(s)ds=Mi=1θi((2(ξ1i+2ξ2i))(ξ1i+2ξ2i)f1(ˆx(s),s)+((ξ1i+2ξ2i)1)ˉf2(ˆx(s),ϑ,s))χ[i1,i)(s),
    s[0,M], (3.34)

    the continuous-time equality constraints

    Mi=1θi((2(ξ1i+2ξ2i))(ξ1i+2ξ2i)g1(ˆx(s),α1,s)+((ξ1i+2ξ2i)1)g2(ˆx(s),α2,s))χ[i1,i)(s)=0,
    s[0,M], (3.35)
    ˆP(ξ,s)=0,s[0,M], (3.36)

    the linear equality constraint (3.27), the three bound constraints (2.1), (2.2), (2.7), (3.28), and (3.32), where ˆx(s)=x(t(s)) and ˆP(ξ,s)=Mi=1θi(2j=1j2ξji(2j=1jξji)2)χ[i1,i)(s).

    In this section, an improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm will be proposed for obtaining the solution of Problem 1.

    In order to handle the continuous-time equality constraints (3.35) and (3.36), by adopting the idea of l1 penalty function [55], Problem 6 will be written as a nonlinear parameter optimization problem with a linear equality constraint and several simple bounded constraints in this subsection.

    Problem 7. Choose (α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×R2M×RM to minimize the objective function

    Jγ(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)=ϕ(ˆx(M))+γM0L(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,s)ds, (4.1)

    subject to the nonlinear dynamical system (3.34), the linear equality constraint (3.27), the three bound constraints (2.1), (2.2), (2.7), (3.28) and (3.32), where

    L(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,s)
    =ˆP(ξ,s)+Mi=1θi((2(ξ1i+2ξ2i))(ξ1i+2ξ2i)g1(ˆx(s),α1,s)+((ξ1i+2ξ2i)1)g2(ˆx(s),α2,s))χ[i1,i)(s),

    where γ>0 presents the penalty parameter.

    The idea of l1 penalty function [47] indicates that any solution of Problem 7 is also a solution of Problem 6. In additions, it is straightforward to acquire the gradient of the linear function in the equality constraint (3.27), and the gradient of the objective function (4.1) will be presented in Section 4.2. Thus, the solution of Problem 7 can be achieved by applying any gradient-based numerical computation method.

    In order to acquire the solution of Problem 7, the gradient formulae of this objective function (4.1) will be presented by the following theorem in this subsection.

    Theorem 2. For any s[0,M], the gradient formulae of the objective function (4.1) with respect to the decision variables α1, α2, ϑ, ξ, and θ are given by

    Jγ(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)α1=M0H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))α1ds, (4.2)
    Jγ(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)α2=M0H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))α2ds, (4.3)
    Jγ(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)ϑ=M0H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))ϑds, (4.4)
    Jγ(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)ξ=M0H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))ξds, (4.5)
    Jγ(α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ)θ=M0H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))θds, (4.6)

    where H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s)) denotes the Hamiltonian function defined by

    H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))=L(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,s)+(λ(s))Tˉf(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,s), (4.7)
    ˉf(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,s)
    =Mi=1θi((2(ξ1i+2ξ2i))(ξ1i+2ξ2i)f1(ˆx(s),s)+((ξ1i+2ξ2i)1)ˉf2(ˆx(s),ϑ,s))χ[i1,i)(s), (4.8)

    and the function λ(s) presents the costate satisfying the following system:

    (dλ(s)ds)T=H(ˆx(s),α1,α2,ϑ,ξ,θ,λ(s))ˆx(s) (4.9)

    with the terminal condition

    (λ(M))T=ϕ(ˆx(M))ˆx(M). (4.10)

    Proof. Similarly to the discussion of Theorem 5.2.1 described in [56], the gradient formulae (4.2)–(4.6) can be obtained. This completes the proof of Theorem 2.

    For simplicity of notation, let g(η)=˜Jγ(η) presents the gradient of the objective function Jγ described by (4.1) at η, where η=[(α1)T,(α2)T,ϑT,ξT,θT]T. In additions, let and present, respectively, the Euclidean norm and the infinity norm, and suppose that the subscript k presents the function value at the point ηk or in the kth iteration, for instance, gk and (Jγ)k. Then, based on the above discussion, an improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm will be provided to acquire the solution of Problem 1 in this subsection.

    Algorithm 1. An improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm for solving Problem 1.
    01. Initial: η0Rr1+r2+r3+3M, 0<μ<1, 0<ϖ<1, ρmaxρmin>0, 0<NminN0Nmax, ε>0;
    02. begin
    03.   calculate the objective function (Jγ)0 and the gradient g0 at the point η0;
    04.   (ˆJγ)p(0):=Jγ(η0), ρ0:=1, k:=0;
    05.   while gkε do
    06.     dk:=ρkgk, ωk:=1, ˆηk:=ηk+ωkdk;
    07.     while Jγ(ˆηk)>(ˆJγ)p(k)+μωk(gk)Tdk do
    08.     ωk:=ϖωk, ˆηk:=ηk+ωkdk;
    09.     end
    10.     ηk+1:=ˆηk, (Jγ)k+1:=Jγ(ˆηk);
    11.     calculate δk by using the following equality:
                    δk=(zk1)Tek1(ek1)Tek1,          (4.11)
            where zk1=ηkηk1, ek1=gkgk1;
    12.     if δk<0 then
    13.     ρk:=1ρmax;
    14.     otherwise
    15.     ρk+1:=min{ρmax,max{ρmin,1ρk}};
    16.     end
    17.     calculate gk+1;
    18.     calculate Nk by using the following equality:
                    Nk={Nk1+1,ifgk0.1,Nk1,if0.001gk0.1,Nk11,otherwise,             (4.12)
          in [Nmin,Nmax];
    19.     update (ˆJγ)p(k) by using the following equality:
                    (ˆJγ)p(k)=max0imin(k,Nk){(Jγ)ki},k=0,1,2,,               (4.13)
           which satisfying the following inequality:
                    Jγ(ηk+ωkdk)(ˆJγ)p(k)+μωk(gk)Tdk;                (4.14)
    20.     k := k +1;
    21.   end
    22. η:=ηk, Jγ:=Jγ(ηk);
    23. end
    24. Output: η, Jγ.
    25. construct the optimal solution and optimal value of Problem 1 by using η and Jγ.

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Remark 4. During the past decades, many iterative approaches have been proposed for solving the nonlinear parameter optimization problem by using the information of the objective function [57]. The idea of these iterative approaches is usually that a iterative sequence is generated such that the corresponding objective function value sequence is monotonically decreasing. However, the existing algorithms have the following disadvantage: if an iteration is trapped to a curved narrow valley bottom of the objective function, then the iterative methods will lose their efficiency due to the target with objective function value monotonically decreasing may leading to very short iterative steps. Then, in order to overcome this challenge, an improved gradient-based algorithm is developed based on a novel search approach in Algorithm 1. In this novel search approach, it is not required that the objective function value sequence is always monotonically decreasing. In additions, an improved adaptive strategy for the memory element Nk described by (4.12), which is used in (4.13), is proposed in iterative processes in Algorithm 1. The corresponding explanation on the equality (4.12) is as follows. If the 1st condition described by (4.12) holds, then it implies that the iteration is trapped to a curved narrow valley bottom of the objective function. Thus, in order to avoid creeping along the bottom of this narrow curved valley, the value of the memory element Nk should be increased. If the 2nd condition described by (4.12) holds, then the value of the memory element Nk is better to remain unchanged. If the 3rd condition described by (4.12) holds, then it implies that the iteration is in a flat region. Thus, in order to decrease the objective function value, the value of the memory element Nk will be decreased. Above discussions imply that the novel search approach described in Algorithm 1 is also an adaptive method.

    Remark 5. The sufficient descent condition is extremely important for the convergence of any gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm. Thus, the goal of lines 12–16 described in Algorithm 1 is avoiding uphill directions and keeping {ρk} uniformly bounded. As a matter of fact, for any k, ρminρkρmax and dk=ρkgk ensure that there are two constants l1>0 and l2>0 such that dk satisfies the following two conditions:

    (gk)Tdkl1gk2, (4.15)
    dkl2gk. (4.16)

    This section will establish the convergence results of Algorithm 1 developed by Section 4. In order to establish the convergence results of this algorithm, we suppose that the following two conditions hold:

    Assumption 1. Jγ is a continuous differentiable function and bounded below on Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×R2M×RM.

    Assumption 2. For any η1Ω and η2Ω, there is a constant l3 such that

    g(ρ1)g(ρ2)l3ρ1ρ2, (5.1)

    where Ω presents a open set and g(η) presents the gradient of Jγ(η).

    Theorem 3. Suppose that Assumptions 1 and 2 hold. Let {ηk} be a sequence obtained by using Algorithm 1. Then, there is a constant ς>0 such that the following inequality holds:

    (Jγ)k+1(ˆJγ)p(k)ςgk2. (5.2)

    Proof. Let ς0 be defined by ς0=infk{ωk}0.

    If ς0>0, then by using the inequalities (4.14) and (4.15), one can obtain

    (Jγ)k+1(ˆJγ)p(k)l1ς0gk2. (5.3)

    Let ς be defined by ς=l1ς0. Then, the proof of Theorem 1 is complete for ς0>0.

    If ς0=0, then there is a subset Λ{0,1,2,} such that the following equality holds:

    limkΛ,kωk=0, (5.4)

    which indicates that there exists a ˆk such that the following inequality holds:

    ωkϖ1, (5.5)

    for any k>ˆk and kΛ. Let ω=ωkϖ. Then, the inequality (4.14) does not hold. That is, one can obtain

    Jγ(ηk+ωdk)(ˆJγ)p(k)+μω(gk)Tdk, (5.6)

    which implies

    (Jγ)kJγ(ηk+ωdk)<μω(gk)Tdk. (5.7)

    Applying the mean value theorem to the left-hand side of the inequality (5.7) yields

    ω(g(ηk+ζkωdk))Tdk<μω(gk)Tdk, (5.8)

    where 0ζk1. From the inequality (5.8), one obtain

    (g(ηk+ζkωdk))Tdk>μ(gk)Tdk. (5.9)

    By using Assumption 2 and Cauchy-Schwartz inequality, from (4.15) and (5.9), we have

    l3ωdk2g(ηk+ωζkdk)gkdk(g(ηk+ωζkdk)gk)Tdk
    (1μ)(gk)Tdkl1(1μ)gk2. (5.10)

    Furthermore, applying ω=ωkϖ and the inequality (4.16) to the inequality (5.10), one obtain

    ωkl1(1μ)gk2ϖl3dk2l1(1μ)(l2)2ϖl3>0, (5.11)

    for any k>ˆk and kΛ. Clearly, the inequalities (5.4) and (5.11) are contradictory. Thus, ς0>0. This completes the proof of Theorem 3.

    Lemma 1. Suppose that Assumptions 1 and 2 hold. Let {ηk} be a sequence obtained by using Algorithm 1. Then, the following inequalities

    max1jAJγ(ηAp+j)max1jAJγ(ηA(p1)+j)ςmin1jAgAp+j12, (5.12)
    p=1min1jAgAp+j12<+, (5.13)

    are true, where A=Nmax.

    Proof. Note that if the following inequality

    Jγ(ηAp+j)max1jAJγ(ηA(p1)+j)ςgAp+j12,j=1,2,,A, (5.14)

    is true, then the inequality (5.12) also holds. Here, the inequality (5.14) will be proved by using mathematical induction.

    Firstly, Theorem 3 indicates

    Jγ(ηAp+1)max1jq(Ap)Jγ(ηAp+j)ςgAp2, (5.15)

    where q(Ap)=min{Ap,NAp}. By using 0q(Ap)A and the inequality (5.15), one can derive that the inequality (5.14) is true for j=1.

    Suppose that the inequality (5.14) is true for 1jA1. Note that ς>0 and the term gAp+j12 described in (5.14) is nonnegative. Then, one can obtain

    max1ijJγ(ηAp+i)max1iAJγ(ηA(p1)+i), (5.16)

    for 1jA1.

    Next, by using 0q(Ap)A, the inequality (5.2), and the inequality (5.16), one can derive

    Jγ(ηAp+j+1)max1iq(Ap+j)Jγ(ηA(p1)+j+1)ςgAp+j2
    max{max1iAJγ(ηA(p1)+i),max1ijJγ(ηAp+i)}ςgAp+j2
    max1iAJγ(ηA(p1)+i)ςgAp+j2, (5.17)

    which implies that the inequality (5.14) is also true for j+1. Then, the inequality (5.14) is true for 1jA by using mathematical induction. Thus, the inequality (5.12) holds.

    In additions, Assumption 1 shows Jγ being a continuous differentiable function and bounded below on Rr1×Rr2×Rr3×R2M×RM, which indicates that

    max1iAJγ(ηAp+i)>. (5.18)

    Then, summing the inequality (5.12) over p yields

    p=1min1jAgAp+j12<+.

    Thus, the inequality (5.13) holds. This completes the proof of Lemma 1.

    Theorem 4. Suppose that these conditions of Theorem 3 are true. Then, the following equality holds:

    limkg(ηk)=0, (5.19)

    where g(ηk) presents the gradient of the objective function Jγ described by (4.1) at the point ηk.

    Proof. Firstly, the following result will be proved: there is a constant l4 such that

    g(ηk+1)l4g(ηk). (5.20)

    By using Assumptions 1 and 2, one can obtain

    g(ηk+1)g(ηk+1)g(ηk)+g(ηk)
    g(ηk+1)g(ηk)+g(ηk)
    l3ωkdk+g(ηk)
    (1+l2l3ωk)g(ηk). (5.21)

    Let the constant l4 be defined by l4=1+l2l3ωk. Then, the inequality (5.21) implies that the inequality (5.20) is true.

    Define the function ψ(p) by

    ψ(p)=argmin0jA1g(ηAp+j). (5.22)

    Then, Lemma 1 indicates that the following equality holds:

    limpg(ηAp+ψ(p))=0. (5.23)

    By using the inequality (5.20), one can obain

    g(ηA(p+1)+j)l2A4g(ηAp+ψ(p)),j=0,1,,A1. (5.24)

    Thus, from (5.23) and (5.24), one can deduce that the equality (5.19) is true. This completes the proof of Theorem 4.

    In this section, an optimal feedback control problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the approach developed by Sections 2–5, and the numerical simulations are all implemented on a personal computer with Intel Pentium Skylake dual core processor i5-6200U CPU(2.3GHz).

    The 1, 3-propanediol fermentation process can be described by switching between two subsystem: batch subsystem and feeding subsystem. There exists no input feed during the batch subsystem, while alkali and glycerol will be added to the fermentor during the feeding subsystem. In generally, the subsystem switching will happen, if the glycerol concentration reaches the given upper and lower thresholds. By using the result of the work [58], the 1, 3-propanediol fermentation process can be modeled as the following switched dynamical system under state-dependent switching:

    {Subsystem1: dx(t)dt=f1(x(t),t),ifx3(t)α1=0,Subsystem2: dx(t)dt=f1(x(t),t)+f2(x(t),u(t),t),ifx3(t)α2=0,t[0,tf], (6.1)

    where tf denotes the given terminal time; the system states x1(t), x2(t), x3(t), x4(t) denote the volume of fluid (L), the concentration of biomass (gL1), the concentration of glycerol (mmolL1), the concentration of 1, 3-propanediol (mmolL1), respectively; the control input u(t) denotes the feeding rate (Lh1); x(t)=[x1(t),x2(t),x3(t),x4(t)]T denotes the system state vector; Subsystem 1 and Subsystem 2 denote the batch subsystem and the feeding subsystem, respectively; α1 and α2 (two parameters that need to be optimized) denote the upper and lower of the glycerol concentration, respectively; and the functions f1(x(t),t), f2(x(t),u(t),t) are given by

    f1(x(t),t)=(0φ(x3(t),x4(t))x2(t)Δ1(x3(t),x4(t))x2(t)Δ2(x3(t),x4(t))x2(t)), (6.2)
    f2(x(t),u(t),t)=u(t)x1(t)(x1(t)x2(t)l5l6x3(t)x4(t)). (6.3)

    Subsystem 1 is essentially a natural fermentation process due to no input feed. The functions φ, Δ1, and Δ2 are defined by

    φ(x3(t),x4(t))=h1x3(t)x3(t)+Y1(1x3(t)x3)(1x4(t)x4), (6.4)
    Δ1(x3(t),x4(t))=l7+Z1φ(x3(t),x4(t))+h2x3(t)x3(t)+Y2, (6.5)
    Δ2(x3(t),x4(t))=l8+Z2φ(x3(t),x4(t))+h3x3(t)x3(t)+Y3, (6.6)

    which denote the growth rate of cell, the consumption rate of substrate, and the formation rate of 1, 3-propanediol, respectively. In the equality (6.4), the parameters x3 and x4 denote the critical concentrations of glycerol and 1, 3-propanediol, respectively; h1, h2, h3, Y1, Y2, Y3, Z1, Z2, l7, and l8 are given parameters.

    Note that the feeding subsystem doesn't only consist of the natural fermentation process. Thus, the function f2(x(t),u(t),t) is provided to describe the process dynamics because of the control input feed in Subsystem 2. In the equality (6.3), the given parameters l5 and l6 denote the proportion and concentration of glycerol in the control input feed, respectively.

    In generally, as the increase of the biomass, the consumption of glycerol also increases. Then, during Subsystem 1 (batch subsystem), the concentration of glycerol will eventually become too low due to no new glycerol being added. Thus, Subsystem 1 will switch to Subsystem 2 (feeding subsystem), when the equality x3(t)α2=0 (the active condition of Subsystem 2) satisfies. On the other hand, during Subsystem 2 (feeding subsystem), the concentration of glycerol will eventually become too high due to new glycerol being added. This will inhibit the growth of cell. Thus, Subsystem 2 will switch to Subsystem 1 (batch subsystem), when the equality x3(t)α1=0 (the active condition of Subsystem 1) satisfies.

    Suppose that the feeding rate u(t), the upper of the glycerol concentration α1, and the lower of the glycerol concentration α2 satisfy the following bound constraints:

    1.0022u(t)1.9390, (6.7)
    295α1605, (6.8)
    45α2265, (6.9)

    respectively.

    The model parameters of the dynamic optimization problem for the 1, 3-propanediol fermentation process are presented by

    h1=0.8041,h2=7.8296,h3=20.2518,Y1=0.4901,Y2=9.4628,Y3=38.6596,
    Z1=144.9216,Z2=80.8538,l5=0.5698,l6=10759.0000mmolL1,l7=0.2981,l8=12.2603,
    x3=2040.0000mmolL1,x4=1035.0000mmolL1,tf=25.0000hours,M=9,
    x0=[5.0000,0.1113,496.0000,0.0000]T.

    Suppose that the control input u(t) takes the piecewise state-feedback controller u(t)=Mi=1kix(t)χ[τi1,τi)(t). Our main objective is to maximize the concentration of 1, 3-propanediol at the terminal time tf. Thus, the optimal feedback control problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes can be presented as follows: choose a control input u(t) to minimize the objective function J(u(t))=x4(t) subject to the switched dynamical system described by (6.1) with with the initial condition x(0)=x0 and the bound constraints (6.7–6.9). Then, the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3) is adopted to solve the optimal feedback control problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes by using Matlab 2010a. The optimal objective function value is J=x4(tf)=1265.5597 and the optimal values of the parameters α1 and α2 are 584.3908 and 246.5423, respectively. The optimal feedback gain matrixes Ki, i=1,,9 are presented by

    K1=[0,0,0,0],K2=[0.0140,0.0039,1.1300,0.4786],K3=[0,0,0,0],
    K4=[0.0095,0.0058,0.7149,0.6392],K5=[0,0,0,0],K6=[0.0082,0.0069,0.6080,0.8297],
    K7=[0,0,0,0],K8=[0.0084,0.0073,0.5711,1.0615],K9=[0,0,0,0],

    and the corresponding numerical simulation results are presented by Figures 14.

    Figure 1.  The optimal volume (L) of fluid: x1(t).
    Figure 2.  The optimal concentration (gL1) of biomass: x2(t).
    Figure 3.  The optimal concentration (mmolL1) of glycerol: x3(t).
    Figure 4.  The optimal concentration (mmolL1) of 1, 3-propanediol: x4(t).

    Note that Problem 6 is an optimal control problem of nonlinear dynamical systems with state constraints. Thus, the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] can also be applied for solving this dynamic optimization problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes. In order to compare with the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3), the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] is also adopted for solving this dynamic optimization problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation process with the same model parameters under the same condition, and the numerical comparison results are presented by Figure 5 and Table 1.

    Figure 5.  Convergence rates for the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] and the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3).
    Table 1.  The comparison results between the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] and the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3).
    Algorithm Computation time (second) x4(tf)
    The finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] 1165.3872 1052.9140
    The improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3) 439.1513 1265.5597

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Figure 5 shows that the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3) takes only 67 iterations to obtain the satisfactory result x4(tf)=1265.5597, while the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] takes 139 iterations to achieve the satisfactory result x4(tf)=1052.9140. That is, the iterations of the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3) is reduced by 51.7986%. In additions, Table 1 also shows that the result x4(tf)=1052.9140 obtained by using the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59] is not superior to the result (x4(tf)=1265.5597) obtained by using the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3) with saving 60.4695% computation time.

    In conclusion, the above numerical simulation results show that the improved gradient-based numerical optimization algorithm (Algorithm 1 described by Section 4.3) is low time-consuming, has faster convergence speed, and can obtain a better numerical optimization than the finite difference approximation approach developed by Nikoobin and Moradi [59]. That is, an effective numerical optimization algorithm is presented for solving the dynamic optimization problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation process.

    In this paper, the dynamic optimization problem for a class of fed-batch fermentation processes is modeled as an optimal control problem of switched dynamical systems under state-dependent switching, and a general state-feedback controller is designed for this dynamic optimization problem. Then, by introducing a discrete-valued function and using a relaxation technique, this problem is transformed into a nonlinear parameter optimization problem. Next, an improved gradient-based algorithm is developed based on a novel search approach, and a large number of numerical experiments show that this novel search approach can effectively improve the convergence speed of this algorithm, when an iteration is trapped to a curved narrow valley bottom of the objective function. Finally, an optimal feedback control problem of 1, 3-propanediol fermentation processes is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of this method developed by this paper, and the numerical simulation results show that this method developed by this paper is low time-consuming, has faster convergence speed, and obtains a better result than the existing approaches. In the future, we will continue to study the dynamic optimization problem for a class of fed-batch fermentation processes with uncertainty constraints.

    The authors express their sincere gratitude to the anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments in improving the presentation and quality of this manuscript. This work was supposed by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 61963010 and 61563011, and the Special Project for Cultivation of New Academic Talent and Innovation Exploration of Guizhou Normal University in 2019 under Grant No. 11904-0520077.

    The authors declare no conflicts of interest.



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