Research article

Determinants of electricity consumption and energy intensity in South Africa

  • Received: 15 October 2019 Accepted: 29 November 2019 Published: 05 December 2019
  • JEL Codes: N7, O14, O44, O13, O14, P28, P25, Q01, Q47, Q43

  • This study investigates the drivers of electricity consumption and energy intensity in South Africa. Relying on annual time series data from 1975-2014, the study examines the effect of income, manufacturing, changing characteristics of manufacturing sector, manufactures trade, domestic credit and urbanization on energy situation in the country. Estimation from the fully modified ordinary least squares method reveals income reduces electricity consumption and energy intensity; urbanization increases electricity consumption; and manufacturing increases electricity consumption and intensity. Domestic credit is found not to exhibit any statistically significant effect on the energy situation in the country. A further analysis to ascertain the effect of these variables on the energy situation in South Africa is done using the variance decomposition analysis. The results among other things imply the need for policymakers to subsidize energy efficient technologies for manufacturing firms and to also improve the rural settlements in South Africa.

    Citation: Paul Adjei Kwakwa, Frank Adusah-Poku. Determinants of electricity consumption and energy intensity in South Africa[J]. Green Finance, 2019, 1(4): 387-404. doi: 10.3934/GF.2019.4.387

    Related Papers:

  • This study investigates the drivers of electricity consumption and energy intensity in South Africa. Relying on annual time series data from 1975-2014, the study examines the effect of income, manufacturing, changing characteristics of manufacturing sector, manufactures trade, domestic credit and urbanization on energy situation in the country. Estimation from the fully modified ordinary least squares method reveals income reduces electricity consumption and energy intensity; urbanization increases electricity consumption; and manufacturing increases electricity consumption and intensity. Domestic credit is found not to exhibit any statistically significant effect on the energy situation in the country. A further analysis to ascertain the effect of these variables on the energy situation in South Africa is done using the variance decomposition analysis. The results among other things imply the need for policymakers to subsidize energy efficient technologies for manufacturing firms and to also improve the rural settlements in South Africa.


    加载中


    [1] Aboagye S (2017b) The policy implications of the relationship between energy consumption, energy intensity and economic growth in Ghana. OPEC Energy Rev, 344-363.
    [2] Adams S, Adom K, Klobodu EKM (2016) Urbanization, regime type and durability, and environmental degradation in Ghana. Environ Sci Pollut Res 23. doi: 10.1007/s11356-016-7513-4
    [3] Addo EO (2017) The impact of manufacturing industries on Ghana's economy. Int J Res Stud Manage 6: 73-94.
    [4] Adom PK (2013) Time-varying analysis of aggregate electricity demand in Ghana: a rolling analysis. OPEC Energy Rev, 63-80. doi: 10.1111/j.1753-0237.2012.00227.x
    [5] Adom PK, Bekoe W (2012) Conditional dynamic forecast of electrical energy consumption requirements in Ghana by 2020: a comparison of ARDL and PAM. Energy 44: 367-380 doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2012.06.020
    [6] Adom PK, Kwakwa PA (2019) Does Technological Progress Provide a Win-Win Situation in Energy Consumption? The Case of Ghana, In Energy and Environmental Strategies in the Era of Globalization, Springer, Cham, 363-385. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-06001-5_14
    [7] Adom PK, Kwakwa PA (2014) Effects of changing trade structure and technical characteristics of the manufacturing sector on energy intensity in Ghana. Renew Sust Energ Rev 35: 475-483. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.04.014
    [8] Amusa H, Amusa K, Mabugu R(2009) Aggregate demand for electricity in South Africa. Energy Policy 37: 4167-4175.
    [9] Ateba BB, Prinsloo JJ, Fourie E (2018) The impact of energy fuel choice determinants on sustainable energy consumption of selected South African households. J Energy South Afr 29: 51-65. doi: 10.17159/2413-3051/2018/v29i3a4714
    [10] Belloumi M, Alshehry AS (2018) The Impact of Urbanization on Energy Intensity in Saudi Arabia. Sustainability 8: 1-17. doi:10.3390/su8040375.
    [11] Bhorat H, Rooney C (2017) State of Manufacturing in South Afric. Development Policy Research Unit Working Paper 201702. DPRU, University of Cape Town.
    [12] Burney N (1995) Socioeconomic development and electricity consumption. Energy Econ 17: 185-195. doi: 10.1016/0140-9883(95)00012-J
    [13] Chan S, Jin H, Lu Y (2019) Impact of urbanization on CO2 emissions and energy consumption structure: A panel data analysis for Chinese prefecture-level cities. Struct Change Econ Dyn 49:107-119. doi: 10.1016/j.strueco.2018.08.009
    [14] Chang SC (2015) Effects of financial developments and income on energy consumption. Int Rev Econ Financ 35: 28-44. doi: 10.1016/j.iref.2014.08.011
    [15] Dées S, Karadeloglou P, Kaufmann RK, et al. (2007) Modelling the world oil market: Assessment of a quarterly econometric model. Energy Policy 35: 178-191. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2005.10.017
    [16] Ewing RH, Rong F (2008) The impact of urban form on US residential energy use. Hous Policy Debate 19: 1-30. doi: 10.1080/10511482.2008.9521624
    [17] Francioli A (2018) Investigating energy usage among low income households and implications for fire risk. Doctoral dissertation, Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch University. Available from: https://scholar.sun.ac.za/bitstream/handle/10019.1/103422/francioli_investigating_2018.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
    [18] Gertler P, Shelef O, Wolfram C, et al. (2012) Poverty, Growth and the Demand for Energy. Available from: http://economics.mit.edu/files/7591
    [19] Heinemman T (2019) Energy crisis in South Africa-a barrier to higher economic growth. KfW Res Econ Brief. Available from: https://www.kfw.de/PDF/DownloadCenter/Konzernthemen/Research/PDF-Dokumente-Volkswirtschaft-Kompakt/One-Pager-2019-EN/VK-No.-178-May-2019-Energy-crisis-South-Africa.pdf
    [20] Hubler M (2011) Technical diffusion under contraction and convergence: a CGE analysis of China. Energy Econ 33: 131-142. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2010.09.002
    [21] Inglesi-Lotz R, Blignaut JN (2011) Estimating the price elasticity of demand for electricity by sector in South Africa. South Afri J Econ Manage Sci 14: 449-465. doi: 10.4102/sajems.v14i4.134
    [22] Inglesi R (2010) Aggregate electricity demand in South Africa: conditional forecasts to 2030. Appl Energy 87: 197-204. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2009.08.017
    [23] Inglesi-Lotz R, Blignaut JN (2011) South Africa's electricity consumption: A sectoral decomposition analysis. Appl Energy 88: 4779-4784. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.06.018
    [24] Joffe H (2012) Challenges for South Africa's electricity supply industry. Focus J Helens Suzman Found 64: 32-37.
    [25] Jorgenson AK, Rice J, Clark B (2010) Cities, slums, and energy consumption in less developed countries, 1990 to 2005. Organization Environ 23: 189-204. doi: 10.1177/1086026610368376
    [26] Khobai HB, Le Roux P (2017) The Effect of Rural Urban-development Transformation on Electricity Consumption: An Econometric Analysis in South Africa. Int J Energy Econ Policy 7: 156-164.
    [27] Kohler M (2015) An Empirical Analysis of Energy Efficiency in South Africa Available from: http://2015.essa.org.za/fullpaper/essa_3067.pdf
    [28] Kwakwa PA, Alhassan H, Adu G (2018a) Effect of natural resources extraction on energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission in Ghana. MPRA Paper No. 85401. Available from: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/85401/
    [29] Kwakwa PA, Alhassan H, Adu G (2019). Effect of natural resources extraction on energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission in Ghana. Int J Energy Sector Manage. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-09-2018-0003
    [30] Kwakwa PA (2018) Analysis of the determinants of energy consumption in Benin. J Energy Manage Technol 2: 42-59.
    [31] Kwakwa PA, Aboagye S (2014) Energy consumption in Ghana and the story of economic growth, industrialization, trade openness and urbanization. Asian Bulletin Energy Econ Technol 1: 1-5.
    [32] Kwakwa PA (2019) Towards sustainable energy: what have natural resource extraction, political regime and urbanization got to do with it? J Energy Manage Technol 3: 44-57.
    [33] Kwakwa PA (2017) Electricity consumption in Egypt: a long-run analysis of its determinants. OPEC Energy Rev 41: 3-22. doi: 10.1111/opec.12091
    [34] Kwakwa PA, Adu G, Osei-Fosu AK (2018b) A time series analysis of fossil fuel consumption in Sub-Saharan Africa: evidence from Ghana, Kenya and South Africa. Int J Sust Energy Planning Manage 17: 31-44.
    [35] Lai M, Peng S, Bao Q (2006) Technology spillovers, absorptive capacity and economic growth. China Econ Rev 17: 300-320. doi: 10.1016/j.chieco.2006.04.005
    [36] Li K, Lin B (2015) Impacts of urbanization and industrialization on energy consumption/CO2 emissions: Does the level of development matter? Renew Sust Energ Rev 52: 1107-1122. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.07.185
    [37] Liddle B, Lung S (2014) Might electricity consumption cause urbanization instead? Evidence from heterogeneous panel long-run causality tests. Global Environ Change 24: 42-51.
    [38] Lim K-M, Kim M, Kim CS (2012) Short-Run and Long-Run Elasticities of Diesel Demand in Korea. Energies 5: 5055-5064. doi: 10.3390/en5125055
    [39] Louw K, Conradie B, Howells M, et al. (2008) Determinants of electricity demand for newly electrified low-income African households. Energy policy 36: 2812-2818. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2008.02.032
    [40] Magazzino C (2018) GDP, energy consumption and financial development in Italy. Int J Energy Sector Manage 12: 28-43. doi: 10.1108/IJESM-01-2017-0004
    [41] Mahalik MK, Mallick H (2014) Energy consumption, economic growth and financial development: exploring the empirical linkages for India. J Dev Areas, 139-159. doi: 10.1353/jda.2014.0063
    [42] Mielnik O, Goldemberg J (2002) Foreign direct investment and decoupling between energy and gross domestic product in developing countries. Energy Policy 30: 87-89. doi: 10.1016/S0301-4215(01)00080-5
    [43] Molele SB, Ncanywa T (2018) Resolving the energy-growth nexus in South Africa. J Econ Financ Sci 11: 1-8. doi: 10.4102/jef.v11i1.162
    [44] Mtutu P, Thondhlana G (2016) Encouraging pro-environmental behaviour: Energy use and recycling at Rhodes University, South Africa. Habitat Int 53: 142-150. doi: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.11.031
    [45] National Planning Commission (2011) National Development Plan, Pretoria: Government Printer.
    [46] Pretorius I, Piketh SJ, Burger RP (2015) The impact of the South African energy crisis on emissions, In: Transactions on Ecology and the Environment, 4 Eds: WIT Press, 255-264.
    [47] Rafindadi AA, Ozturk I (2016) Effects of financial development, economic growth and trade on electricity consumption: Evidence from post-Fukushima Japan. Renew Sustainable Energy Rev 54: 1073-1084. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.10.023
    [48] Rafindadi AA, Ozturk I (2017) Dynamic effects of financial development, trade openness and economic growth on energy consumption: Evidence from South Africa. Int J Energy Econ Policy 7: 74-85.
    [49] Ruzive T, Mkhombo T, Mhaka S, et al. (2017) Electricity intensity and unemployment in South Africa: A quantile regression analysis. Available from: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/81717/1/MPRA_paper_81717.pdf
    [50] Salim R, Rafiq S, Shafiei S (2017) Urbanization, energy consumption, and pollutant emission in Asian developing economies: an empirical analysis. Asian Development Bank Institute ADBI Working Paper Series: No. 718.
    [51] Sadorsky P (2010) The impact of financial development on energy consumption in emerging economies. Energy Policy 38: 2528-2535. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2009.12.048
    [52] Sadorsky P (2011) Trade and energy consumption in the Middle East. Energy Econ 33: 739-749. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2010.12.012
    [53] Sadorsky P (2013) Do urbanization and industrialization affect energy intensity in developing countries?. Energy Econ 37: 52-59. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.01.009
    [54] Shahbaz M, Islam F, Islam MM (2010) The impact of financial development on energy consumption in Pakistan: evidence from ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration. In The 2nd International Conference on the Role of Social Sciences and Humanities in Engineering (ICoHSE), 12-14.
    [55] Shahbaz M, Lean HH (2012) Does financial development increase energy consumption? The role of industrialization and urbanization in Tunisia. Energy Policy 40: 473-479.
    [56] Shahbaz M, Shahzad SJH, Alam S, et al. (2018). Globalisation, economic growth and energy consumption in the BRICS region: The importance of asymmetries. J Int Trade Econ Dev 27: 985-1009. doi: 10.1080/09638199.2018.1481991
    [57] Shahbaz M, Mallick H, Kumar M, et al. (2016) The Role of Globalization on the Recent Evolution of Energy Demand in India: Implications for Sustainable Development. MPRA Paper No. 69127. Available from: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/69127/
    [58] Solarin SA, Shahbaz M, Khan HN, et al. (2019) ICT, Financial Development, Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption: New Evidence from Malaysia. Global Bus Rev, 0972150918816899.
    [59] South African Catholic Bishops Conference (2015) Energy Crisis: How Did We Find Ourselves in the Dark? Briefing paper 378. Available from: http://www.cplo.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/BP-378-The-Energy-Crisis-March-2015.pdf
    [60] Thurlow J (2006) Trade liberalization and pro-poor growth in South Africa. Trade and Poverty Project, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town,1-21. Available from: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.533.1220&rep=rep1&type=pdf
    [61] Trollip H, Butler A, Burton J, et al. (2014) Energy Security in South Africa. Cape Town, MAPS RESEARCH PAPER. Available from: https://www.africaportal.org/documents/11913/Energy-Security-in-South-Africa.pdf
    [62] Ududechinyere C, Eze OM, Nweke AM (2018) An analysis of the effect of manufacturing sector on the growth of the Nigerian economy. J Bus Manage 20: 34-46.
    [63] Wang D, Han B (2017) Effects of indigenous R&D and foreign spillover on energy intensity in China. J Renew Sust Energy 9: 035901. doi: 10.1063/1.4984624
    [64] World Development Indicators [WDI] (2018) Available from: https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators
    [65] Ye Y, Koch SF, Zhang J (2018) Determinants of household electricity consumption in South Africa. Energy Econ 75: 120-133. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.08.005
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2019 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(3593) PDF downloads(747) Cited by(8)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Tables(7)

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog