Research article Special Issues

Towards virtual surgery planning: the modified Blalock-Taussig Shunt

  • A modified Blalock-Taussig shunt (MBTS) is an aortopulmonary shunt to establish or augment pulmonary perfusion in congenital cardiac defects with limited pulmonary blood flow. Proper function of this shunt is of utmost importance. In clinical practice, prediction of flow in an MBTS relies on previous experience. In the research field, computational modeling techniques have been developed to simulate flow in an MBTS and predict its performance. These techniques are promising but also time consuming and prone to uncertainties; therefore not yet suitable for clinical practice. Here we present a simplified, patient-based computational model to predict mean circulatory flow characteristics after MBTS insertion. Simulations performed over a range of pulmonary vascular resistances, were compared to data from: i) previous modeling studies; ii) data from the specific patient modeled, and iii) a cohort of patients with MBTS. Model predictions were within one standard deviation from cohort data; and within 1% from results of previous (more complex) computational models. In comparison to previous studies, our model is computationally stable with significantly shorter computational time to perform simulations. We envision that our approach could be used in the future to perform virtual surgeries, quickly testing different surgical scenarios using the patient own geometrical and physiological characteristics, to aid surgeons in decision making.

    Citation: Stephen Haller, Rabin Gerrah, Sandra Rugonyi. Towards virtual surgery planning: the modified Blalock-Taussig Shunt[J]. AIMS Biophysics, 2020, 7(3): 169-188. doi: 10.3934/biophy.2020014

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  • A modified Blalock-Taussig shunt (MBTS) is an aortopulmonary shunt to establish or augment pulmonary perfusion in congenital cardiac defects with limited pulmonary blood flow. Proper function of this shunt is of utmost importance. In clinical practice, prediction of flow in an MBTS relies on previous experience. In the research field, computational modeling techniques have been developed to simulate flow in an MBTS and predict its performance. These techniques are promising but also time consuming and prone to uncertainties; therefore not yet suitable for clinical practice. Here we present a simplified, patient-based computational model to predict mean circulatory flow characteristics after MBTS insertion. Simulations performed over a range of pulmonary vascular resistances, were compared to data from: i) previous modeling studies; ii) data from the specific patient modeled, and iii) a cohort of patients with MBTS. Model predictions were within one standard deviation from cohort data; and within 1% from results of previous (more complex) computational models. In comparison to previous studies, our model is computationally stable with significantly shorter computational time to perform simulations. We envision that our approach could be used in the future to perform virtual surgeries, quickly testing different surgical scenarios using the patient own geometrical and physiological characteristics, to aid surgeons in decision making.



    1. Introduction

    Modifiable behavioral risk factors (BRFs), such as physical inactivity, tobacco use and unhealthy dietary habits have increased over the years among children and adults across the Arab world [1]. In the context of the present study, BRFs are “detrimental actions that heighten the odds of illness or impede recovery” [2]. Of the 22 Arab countries, Libya had a high prevalence of BRFs, exemplified by the fourth highest prevalence of daily smoking (22.7%) among individuals aged ≥ 15 years [1]. Similarly, Libyan school adolescents exhibited the highest prevalence of overweight (26.6%) in a study of 7 Arab nations [3]. Libyan young people (14-21 years) had high occurrence of sedentary lifestyle, early onset of smoking, and unhealthy dietary habits [4]. Their dietary habits were characterized by elevated sodium intake; over dieting on four meals per day (24.3% of women; 14.6% of men); daily consumption of sweets (> 50% of female adolescents); and high consumption of soft drinks [4]. Equally, Libyan university students had low physical activity (PA) and social engagement, as well as and high occurrence of smoking, over dieting and illicit drug use [5].

    Whilst 60% of deaths across the Arab countries result from non-communicable diseases (NCD), few studies have explored the clustering of BRFs among young people of this region [1]. To this end, the university environment is an important setting where patterns and impacts of BRFs among the youth can be explored; and opportunities can be identified for the prevention of such risk factors, as well as for the promotion of health [6]. Hence, understanding BRFs among Libyan university students is opportune. At the time of the present study, ≈20% of the 1.7 million young Libyans were attending university [7], reflecting that universities harbor a considerable proportion of youth in this country.

    The Libyan higher education system faces structural and financial constraints [8], and this results in high burdens of psychosocial and health challenges of students (e.g. stress, depression, emotional-cognitive challenges to cope with transition at university) [5,9]. These characteristics highlight the need for research and interventions targeted at improving student health. The university setting is also an important environment to explore BRFs because students develop independence and life skills largely by experimenting or reinforcing behavioral choices within this setting [6]. Furthermore, BRFs among students are associated with immediate (e.g. decreased self-reported health, lower academic achievement) and longer term (higher risks of morbidity) outcomes [10,11]. Universities also have various services and organization-wide practices that can potentially benefit the health of students [6], and such services can be optimized if students' behavioral patterns are better understood. In addition, extreme hot weather conditions, political instability, unsafe neighborhoods and sociocultural barriers like social isolation and conservative cultural beliefs in Libya can potentially increase the students' vulnerability to BRFs [1], and those factors have also been linked to decreased PA among young people [12,13,14]. Likewise, aggressive marketing which leads to rise in sales and consumption of unhealthy food commodities, tobacco and alcohol in low- and middle-income countries can increase university students' vulnerability to BRFs [15].

    To date, very few studies assessed BRFs among students or adolescents in Libya, and research that undertook such tasks reported the BRFs in isolation from one another [4,5,16], despite the tendency for co-occurrence of BRFs [17,18,19]. Clustering of BRFs refers to an observed proportion of a combination of risk factors in excess of its expected proportion [20,21]. Hence, evaluating the burden of co-occurrence (clustering) of BRFs is important, as such patterns impact adversely on health, social welfare, academic performance and co-morbidities [22]. Understanding the clustering of BRFs therefore has significant implications for the design of prevention strategies and intervention approaches [23]. There seem to be no published studies on BRFs that explored the clustering patterns of health detrimental behaviors among university students in Libya.

    This current study bridges the knowledge gap by utilizing a cluster analysis approach [24], an increasingly popular method in the assessment of BRFs. Such analysis involves segmenting a population into mutually exclusive clusters where each cluster contains items with similar patterns or properties, but dissimilar to those in different clusters [25]. Cluster analytic approaches infer from participants' varying responses in the data to classify participants into more homogeneous groups, as opposed to relying on central tendencies and simple interactions which may be inconsistent with the diversity and ecological context of behavior within a community [26]. Thus, cluster analysis is considered as more person-centered and of stronger methodological rationale compared to the traditional variable-centered approaches such as regression models, and despite this, the traditional approaches have been more commonly applied in BRFs research [26,27].

    The main purpose of the current study was to identify and describe the clustering of 5 BRFs (dietary behavior, physical activity, health awareness, sleep, and tobacco smoking) among students at 9 universities/colleges in Libya. We also investigated whether cluster membership was associated with the students' self-rated academic performance and self-rated health.


    2. Materials and methods


    2.1. Sampling and data collection

    Data were collected as part of the General Student Health Survey conducted in the Eastern Mediterranean Region countries, United Kingdom and other European countries [16,28,29]. In Libya, a convenient sample of undergraduate students across 9 institutions (6 universities, 3 colleges) were surveyed in 2008-2009. The inclusion criterion was that a participant was a student at the institution, hence all students at the participating institutions were eligible to partake in the study.

    The participating institutions, situated in the 7 cities of Al Bida, Benghazi, Misurata, Sabha, Zawea, Sirt and Tripoli approved the study through their research ethics committees. Students from various courses/academic programs were invited to participate following a detailed explanation of the study (its aims and objectives) and attaining their consent. The participants were mainly from faculties of Engineering, Agriculture, Business, Education, Medical Sciences, and Medical Technology. A self-administered questionnaire was distributed during classroom sessions and students' participation was voluntary and anonymous. Confidentiality was also ensured during the collection of the completed questionnaires. Data were entered, cleaned and stored in a password-secured computer. Out of a total of 2100 students who were provided with the questionnaire, 1567 (74.6%) completed it. We excluded those with missing data in any of the relevant study items, and a total of 1300 fully completed questionnaires were used for the current analysis.


    2.2. Questionnaire

    The data collection tool assessed general health and well-being, social and demographic characteristics, academic achievement, and behavioral characteristics. The questionnaire items were based on previous student health surveys [16,28,29] and were translated from English to Libyan language through two independent translations, which were compared for any inconsistencies. In addition to the socio-demographic characteristics (university/college attended, year of study, age, sex, religion and type of accommodation during academic term), the following BRF items were used in the present study:

    Self-rated health: “How would you rate your health in general?” (5-point response options: 1 = poor, 2 = fair, 3 = good, 4 = very good, 5 = excellent). The item was taken from the US American College Health Association National College Health Assessment [30].

    Self-rated academic performance: “How do you rate your performance in comparison with your fellow students?” (5-point response options: 1 = much worse, 2 = worse, 3 = the same, 4 = better, 5 = much better). The item was taken from the UK Student Health Survey [28].

    Health awareness/consciousness: “To what extent do you keep an eye on your health?” (Response on 4 point scale: 1 = not at all, 4 = very much). The item was taken from the German Youth Health Survey [34] in its English version as previously used by El Ansari and Stock et al. in university students in the UK Student Health Survey [28].

    Vigorous physical activity: “During the last 7 days, on how many days did you do vigorous physical activities like lifting, digging, aerobics or fast cycling that last at least 10 minutes and makes you breathe harder than normal?” (Respondents specified the number of days, 0-7). This was according to the measure and item formulation developed by the American Heart Association [32].

    Moderate physical activity: “During the last 7 days, on how many days did you do moderate physical activity like carrying light loads, cycling at a regular pace or double tennis for at least 10 minutes? Do not include walking (Moderate activities refers to activities that make you breathe somewhat harder than normal)” (Respondents specified the number of days, 0-7). This was according to the measure and item formulation developed by the American Heart Association [32].

    Muscle strengthening physical activity: “On how many of the past 7 days did you do exercises to strengthen or tone your muscles, such as push-ups, sit-ups or weight lifting?” (Respondents specified the number of days, 0-7). This was according to the measure and item formulation developed by the American Heart Association [32].

    Fruit/vegetable daily consumption: “How many servings of fruits and vegetables do you usually have per day (1 serving = 1 medium piece of fruit, ½ cup chopped, cooked or canned fruits/vegetables, ¾ cup fruit/vegetable juice, small bowl of salad greens, or ½ cup dried)?” (4 response options: “I don't eat fruits and vegetables”, “1-2”, “3-4”, “5 or more” servings). The item was taken from the food frequency questionnaire of the German Youth Health Survey [34] in its English version as used by others in research among university students [33].

    Consumption of sweets: “How often do you eat sweets (chocolate, candy, etc.)?” (5 response options: “Several times a day”, “daily”, “several times a week”, “1-4 times a month”, “never”). The item was taken from the food frequency questionnaire of the German Youth Health Survey [34] in its English version as used among university students [33].

    Importance of eating healthy: “How important is it for you to eat healthy?” (4 response options: 1 = not at all important, 4 = very important). The item was taken from the food frequency questionnaire of the German Youth Health Survey [31] in its English version as used by among university students [33].

    Smoking (past 3 months): “Within the last three months, how often did you smoke? (Cigarettes, pipes, cigarillos, cigars)” (3 response options: “Daily”, “occasionally”, “never”). The item was taken from the food frequency questionnaire of the German Youth Health Survey [34] in its English version as used by El Ansari et al. in university students [35].

    Illicit drugs (ever use): “Have you ever use/used drugs?” (3 response options: “Yes, regularly”, “yes, but only a few times”, “never”). The item was taken from the food frequency questionnaire of the German Youth Health Survey [34] in its English version as used by El Ansari et al. in university students [35].

    Alcohol consumption: “Do you drink alcohol?” (3 response options: “Daily”, “occasionally”, “never”). The item was taken from the food frequency questionnaire of the German Youth Health Survey [34] in its English version as used by El Ansari et al. in university students [35].

    Enough sleep: “On how many of the past 7 days did you get enough sleep so that you felt rested when you woke up in the morning?” (Respondents specified the number of days, 0-7). The item was taken from the UK Student Health Survey as used previously by El Ansari et al. [35].

    Disposable income: “Would you say the amount of money you have is…” (3 response options: “Always sufficient”, “mostly sufficient”, “mostly insufficient”, and “always insufficient”). The item was taken from the Cross National Student Health Survey as used previously by Stock et al. [36].


    2.3. Statistical analysis

    Using the statistical package STATA 14, bivariate analyses were conducted to describe the distribution and characteristics of various BRFs among students. This was followed by a two-step cluster analysis [25] conducted in the statistical package SPSS v.23.0 and based on 5 BRFs (dietary behavior, physical activity, health awareness, sleep, tobacco smoking). The variables “alcohol consumption” and “ever use of illicit drugs” were not included as the proportion of abstainers was almost equivalent to 100% among female participants. Two-step cluster analysis was used to identify groupings which differ on criterion variables within a data set and the procedure combines pre-clustering and hierarchical methods [25]. Log-likelihood and Euclidian distance measures were applied in the two-step cluster analysis because the BRFs comprised continuous and categorical variables. Cluster number selection was automated using the Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC). Within each cluster, for categorical BRFs, the frequency of the categories was presented as percentages; while for continuous BRFs, a mean value (with standard deviation) was presented. Differences in distribution of socio-demographic characteristics and BRFs across clusters were tested by Chi-square tests (for categorical variables) [37] or MANOVA (for continuous variables) [37]. Finally, we conducted two separate ordinal logistic regression models in STATA 14 to investigate the association between the cluster membership and the two outcomes of self-rated health and self-rated academic performance, while adjusting for participants' sex and institution (the latter in order to adjust for the nested data structure). In all analyses, statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.


    3. Results


    3.1. Sample characteristics

    The sample comprised 1300 students at 6 universities and 3 colleges: Misurata University (previously 7th October University, n = 463, 35.6%); University of Tripoli (previously Al-Fateh University, n = 190, 14.6%); Omar El-Muktar University (n = 88, 6.8%); Sirt University (previously Tahadi University, n = 191, 14.7%); Sebha University (n = 79, 6.1%); Benghazi University (previously Garyounis University, n = 58, 4.5%); Al Mahed Al Senai College (Misurata, n = 72, 5.5%); Mahad Al Zawea College (Al Zawea, n = 88, 6.8%); and Higher Medical Technology Institute (n = 71, 5.5%). The majority of the respondents were women (66.2%) and Muslims (99.9%). Male participants were on average older (21.1, SD = 2.4 years) than their female counterparts (20.9, SD = 2.3 years). Most participants (81.7%) lived with their parents during university term, 13.7% lived with a roommate, and 4.6% stayed with a spouse or lived alone. The majority of students (72.9%) rated their disposable income during university term as mostly or always sufficient, while the rest had insufficient income during term time.


    3.2. Behavioral risk factors

    Table 1 summarizes the gender aggregated characteristics of the BRFs. Fruit and vegetable consumption was equally low among both genders, and only 10.2% achieved the recommended consumption of ≥ 5 fruit/vegetable servings daily [38]. Similarly, daily consumption of sweets (including several times per day) was high (35.2%), and was more common among women. Within the past 3 months, 99.3% of women did not smoke, whereas a quarter of the males either smoked occasionally or on daily basis. Most (98.4%) students had never used illicit drugs (with the exception of 4.6% of men), and only 3.4% (mainly men) had ever drunk alcohol. For all types of PA, men exercised significantly more than women; however with exception of the 2.9 days per week of muscle strengthening among men, none of the levels of the other types of PA achieved by both sexes satisfied the international recommended guidelines [39]. Students reported an average of 3.1 days per week where they felt well rested after sleep (no gender difference). In terms of health consciousness/awareness (to what extent they keep an eye on their health), overall, 80.2% of the sample was highly health conscious (i.e. ranged from “very much” to “to some extent”), and health consciousness was slightly higher among men than women. Similarly, 82.1% of the sample regarded eating healthy as very important or important.

    Table 1. Gender aggregated characteristics of behavioral risk factors.
    Behavioral risk factor Whole Sample
    N = 1300
    N (%)
    Men
    n = 439
    N (%)
    Women
    n = 861
    N (%)
    p-value
    Fruit/vegetable servings (Daily) 0.453
    ≥ 5 132 (10.2) 42 (9.6) 90 (10.5)
    3-4 servings 332 (25.5) 113 (25.7) 219 (25.4)
    1-2 servings 757 (58.2) 251 (57.2) 506 (58.8)
    I don't eat fruits/vegetables 79 (6.1) 33 (7.5) 46 (5.3)
    Consumption of sweets < 0.001
    Never 56 (4.3) 39 (8.9) 17 (2.0)
    1-4 times a month 239 (18.4) 97 (22.1) 142 (16.5)
    Several times a week 548 (43.1) 188 (42.8) 360 (41.8)
    Daily 304 (23.4) 80 (18.2) 224 (26.0)
    Several times a day 153 (11.8) 35 (8.0) 118 (13.7)
    Smoking (past 3 months) < 0.001
    Never 1188 (91.4) 333 (75.9) 855 (99.3)
    Occasionally 49 (3.8) 43 (9.8) 6 (0.7)
    Daily 63 (4.8) 63 (14.3) 0 (0.0)
    Illicit drug/s (ever use) < 0.001
    Never 1279 (98.4) 419 (95.4) 860 (99.9)
    Only few times 13 (1.0) 13 (3.0) 0 (0.0)
    Regularly 8 (0.6) 7 (1.6) 1 (0.1)
    Alcohol consumption < 0.001
    Never 1256 (96.6) 404 (92.0) 852 (98.9)
    Occasionally 40 (3.1) 31 (7.1) 9 (1.1)
    Daily 4 (0.3) 4 (0.9) 0 (0.0)
    Physical activity* (days/week)
    Vigorous PA for ≥ 10 minutes 1.2 ± 2.0 2.0 ± 2.4 0.8 ± 1.7 < 0.001
    Muscle strengthening PA 1.9 ± 2.3 2.9 ± 2.6 1.3 ± 1.9 < 0.001
    Moderate PA for ≥ 10 minutes 1.3 ± 2.0 2.1 ± 2.4 0.8 ± 1.7 < 0.001
    Enough sleep* (days/week) 3.1 ± 2.3 3.0 ± 2.4 3.2 ± 2.3 0.835
    Health consciousness 0.005
    Very much 418 (32.1) 159 (36.2) 259 (30.1)
    To some extent 625 (48.1) 205 (46.7) 420 (48.8)
    Not much 227 (17.5) 60 (13.7) 167 (19.4)
    Not at all 30 (2.3) 15 (3.4) 15 (1.7)
    Importance of eating healthy 0.050
    Very important 861 (66.2) 285 (64.9) 576 (66.9)
    2nd to very important 207 (15.9) 68 (15.5) 139 (16.1)
    3rd to very important 124 (9.5) 37 (8.4) 87 (10.1)
    4th to very important 37 (2.9) 20 (4.6) 17 (2.0)
    Not at all important 71 (5.5) 29 (6.6) 42 (4.9)
    * Cell values for these BRFs represent means ± standard deviation.
     | Show Table
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    3.3. Clustering of BRFs among students

    The analysis generated two clusters of almost even size (ratio of biggest to smallest = 1.09) (Table 2). Except for smoking, there were statistically significant differences in all the BRFs across the two clusters. Cluster 1 comprised students with higher engagement in all PA types, high levels of health consciousness (keeping an eye on one's health), greater daily fruit/vegetable intake and better sleep compared to cluster 2 students. Only their sweets consumption was higher than that of students in cluster 2. Cluster 2 included students who were less physically active and had poorer sleep patterns. Their daily fruit/vegetable consumption was lower and their sweets consumption was overall high, but lower than that of cluster 1 students. Cluster 2 students placed less importance on eating healthy and were less health conscious compared to cluster 2. There was no significant difference between clusters regarding smoking, which had a low prevalence in both clusters.

    Statistically significant differences between the clusters in terms of sociodemographic characteristics were evident only for sex, year of study and sufficiency of disposable income (Table 3). Compared to cluster 1, cluster 2 was composed of more women (p < 0.001) and more students in higher years of study (i.e. third or fourth year and above, p = 0.017). More cluster 1 (75.6%) compared to cluster 2 (70.0%) students rated their disposable income as always or mostly sufficient (p < 0.001).

    Table 2. Behavioral risk factors of two clusters of university students in Libya.
    Behavioral risk factor Cluster 1 (n = 677) Cluster 2 (n = 623) p-value
    Daily fruit/vegetable servings p < 0.001, Cramer's phi = 0.37
    ≥ 5 98 (14.5) 34 (5.5)
    3-4 servings 249 (36.8) 83 (13.3)
    1-2 servings 322 (47.5) 435 (69.8)
    I don't eat fruits and vegetables 8 (1.2) 71 (11.4)
    Consumption of sweets p = 0.003, Cramer's phi = 0.11
    Never 23 (3.4) 33 (5.3)
    1-4 times/month 115 (17.0) 124 (19.9)
    Several times/week 272 (40.2) 276 (44.3)
    Daily 187 (27.6) 117 (18.8)
    Several times/day 80 (11.8) 73 (11.7)
    Smoking in past 3 months p = 0.45, Cramer's phi = 0.03
    Never 625 (92.3) 563 (90.4)
    Occasionally 23 (3.4) 26 (4.2)
    Daily 29 (4.3) 34 (5.4)
    Physical activity* (days per week)
    Vigorous PA for ≥ 10 minutes 1.9 ± 2.4 0.5 ± 1.2 p < 0.001, λ = 0.97
    Muscle strengthening PA 2.8 ± 2.5 0.9 ± 1.6 p < 0.001, λ = 0.94
    Moderate PA for ≥ 10 minutes 1.8 ± 2.4 0.6 ± 1.4 p < 0.001, λ = 0.99
    Enough sleep* (days per week) 3.5 ± 2.4 2.7 ± 2.2 p < 0.001, λ = 0.97
    Health consciousness p < 0.001, Cramer's phi = 0.59
    Very much 380 (56.1) 38 (6.1)
    To some extent 268 (39.6) 357 (57.3)
    Not much 26 (3.8) 201 (32.3)
    Not at all 3 (0.4) 27 (4.3)
    Importance of eating healthy p < 0.001, Cramer's phi = 0.58
    Very important 625 (92.4) 236 (37.9)
    2nd to very important 34 (5.0) 173 (27.8)
    3rd to very important 2 (0.3) 122 (19.6)
    4th to very important 11 (1.6) 26 (4.1)
    Not at all important 5 (0.7) 66 (10.6)
    * Cell values for these BRFs represent means ± standard deviation; λ: Wilks' Lambda statistic from MANOVA.
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
    Table 3. Socio-demographic characteristics of the clusters.
    Variable Cluster 1
    (N = 677)
    Cluster 2
    (N = 623)
    p
    Sex < 0.001
    Women 417 (61.6) 444 (71.3)
    Men 260 (38.4) 179 (28.7)
    Year of study 0.017
    First year 250 (36.9) 181 (29.1)
    Second year 175 (25.9) 181 (29.1)
    Third year 151 (22.3) 168 (26.9)
    Fourth year and above 101 (14.9) 93 (14.9)
    Disposable income
    Always sufficient 203 (30.0) 119 (19.1) < 0.001
    Mostly sufficient 309 (45.6) 317 (50.9)
    Mostly insufficient 87 (12.9) 121 (19.4)
    Always insufficient 78 (11.5) 66 (10.6)
     | Show Table
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    3.4. Association between behavioral risk factor cluster and self-rated academic performance

    When asked to rate their academic performance in comparison to their fellow students, almost half (49.4%) of the sample indicated that their performance was the same, 38% indicated better performance, 6.7% reported much better performance, and 12.4% reported worse performance than their colleagues. Ordinal logistic regression (adjusting for sex) examined the relationship between BRF cluster and academic performance (Table 4). Belonging to cluster 2 was associated with lower odds of being in a higher self-rated academic performance category adjusted for participants' sex (OR: 0.66, p < 0.001). In addition, sex was strongly associated with self-rated academic performance, where men had lower odds of high self-rated academic performance (OR: 0.57, p < 0.001).

    Table 4. Association between BRF cluster and self-rated academic performance and health.
    Self-rated
    Academic performance
    (n = 1300)
    Health
    (n = 1300)
    Cluster Odds ratio (95% CI) p Odds ratio (95% CI) p
    Cluster 1 Reference Reference
    Cluster 2 0.66 (0.54, 0.82) < 0.001 0.46 (0.38, 0.57) < 0.001
    Sex
    Women Reference Reference
    Men 0.57 (0.45, 0.72) < 0.001 0.90 (0.72, 1.24) 0.358
    Ordinal logistic regression (adjusted for gender and institution); CI: Confidence interval; Self-rated academic performance: Ordinal outcome with increasing levels (much worse, worse, the same, better, much better); Self-rated health: Ordinal outcome with increasing levels (poor, fair, good, very good, excellent).
     | Show Table
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    3.5. Association between behavioral risk factor cluster and self-rated health

    The majority of participants (66.2%) self-rated their health between good and very good, while 19.5% rated it as excellent, and 11.8% and 2.5% rated it as fair and poor respectively. As depicted in Table 4, ordinal logistic regression showed that being a student of cluster 2 compared to cluster 1 was associated with lower odds of perceiving one's self-rated health as good (OR: 0.46, p < 0.001). Sex was not associated with self-rated health.


    4. Discussion

    The health behaviors of individuals (whether they smoke, how much they drink, what they eat, whether they are regularly physically active) influence their health and mortality risk [40]. A substantial burden of illness is associated with these health behaviors. Less is known about how these behaviors cluster together [41]. We assessed the clustering and co-distribution of lifestyle risk factors, examining 5 major BRFs among Libyan students.

    Our analysis yielded 2 BRFs clusters of almost even size; cluster 1 with more favorable lifestyle habits and cluster 2 with mostly less favorable lifestyle patterns. Such 2 cluster findings are consistent with research among Chinese college students (aged ≈ 19.7 years, similar to our mean age of 21.0 years) where a two-step cluster analysis identified 2 different clusters [42]. Likewise, among male adolescents in Saudi Arabia, 6 health-compromising behaviors (including low fruit and high sweet consumptions, low PA, smoking) clustered into 2 conceptually distinct clusters [43]. However, our findings contrast with others who found ≥ 3 distinct clusters of multiple health behaviors among college students [44]. While it is not straightforward to speculate the reasons for such differences, it could be because other studies included additional variables e.g. alcohol consumption (in the USA) [44], illicit drug use (in the UK) [45], or out-of-home eating (in China) [46]. In contrast, our cluster analysis did not include “alcohol consumption” and “ever use of illicit drugs” because abstainers comprised ≈100% among the female participants. This suggests that students from Arab countries potentially exhibit a lower number of clusters, where the low consumption of alcohol and illicit drug use reduces the variation of BRFs among this population.

    As for the clusters' socio-demographic characteristics, our healthier cluster 1 comprised more men, compared to the less healthy cluster 2 (p < 0.001). This is in contrast to research from Spain on the associations between smoking, high-risk alcohol consumption, leisure-time sedentariness and unbalanced diet, which reported that behavior-related risk factors tended to aggregate, and that such aggregation was higher among men [47]. Our findings also contrast with those from Greece, where although health-compromising behaviors (14 behavioral and metabolic health risk factors) were highly prevalent across both genders, men engaged in more health risk behaviors than women [48]. Likewise, in terms of age, our cluster 2 (compared to cluster 1) had more students in higher years of study i.e. ≥ third or fourth year, suggesting a higher risk among the slightly older students. The contrasts of our findings with those from Spain and Greece [47,48] might be because: (1) Alcohol use was not included in our analysis; (2) physical inactivity was higher for Libyan women than men; and (3) nutritional behavior and health consciousness were—different from what is commonly seen among European students—not better for women than men. Such gender and age differences in clustering patterns calls for gender specific attention when designing intervention programs, with perhaps more “intensive” strategies required for women in higher years of study.

    As for the clusters' components, members of our less healthy cluster 2 were minimally physically active, had poorer sleep patterns, lower daily fruit/vegetable consumption, high sweet consumption, placed lower importance on eating healthy and were less health conscious. Our findings are consistent with those from Switzerland, where multiple risk factors coexisted in a substantial percentage of students [49] and with those among Nigerian adolescents, where the prevalence of clustering of modifiable risk factors (alcohol, physical inactivity, cigarette smoking, poor dietary patterns) was high [50].

    Our cluster 2 constellation of BRFs is similar to findings from Ireland, where health behavior cluster analysis revealed groups of physically inactive students (17.8%) and those with multiple risk factors (17%) [10]; and with findings in China, where two-step cluster analysis found an unhealthy (25.7%) and an moderately healthy (31.1%) group [46]. Our cluster 2 findings support the assumption that individuals at a higher level for one BRF were more likely to be also at a higher level for another BRF [51]. The reasons/mechanisms through which health behaviors cluster in some individuals rather than others are not easy to disentangle and may include: “Transfer” effects (e.g. nonsmokers consume less alcohol and regularly active people smoke less) and “compensation” effects (e.g. people who consume alcohol more frequently are more physically active in order to compensate the potential harm related to drinking) [52]. Alternatively, a framework of more generic protective and risk factors might be helpful in exploring students' multiple BRFs. Risk factors that stimulate several risk behaviors simultaneously could be social pressures to use alcohol and tobacco, to consume unhealthy food and to neglect sleep. More generic protective factors, could be values and expectations for academic achievement or support and control from parents, friends, or partners [53]. Other explanations why BRFs cluster in individuals include personality or psychological factors, whereby conscientiousness or extraversion are concomitants of health behaviors among university populations [54]. Future research could explore such propositions.

    As for the association between BRFs clusters and self-rated health, we observed that while adjusting for sex, membership to cluster 2 (compared to cluster 1) was associated with lower odds of perceiving one's own health as good (OR: 0.47, p < 0.001). Our findings concur with research in Spain, where a clustering of risk factors was associated with a higher frequency of suboptimal perceived health [47]. Thus, compared to persons with none of 4 risk factors (smoking, high-risk alcohol consumption, leisure-time sedentariness, unbalanced diet), individuals who simultaneously reported 3 or 4 risk factors more frequently reported suboptimal subjective health [47]. However, the Spanish study [47] comprised a general population sample with wider age band (18-64 years), while this current study was confined to young adult university students. Certainly, effects of unhealthy BRFs clustering extend beyond self-rated health to actual health, where among Dutch high school adolescents, unhealthy behavior was associated with poor psychosocial and physical health [55]; and in China among those aged ≥ 18 years with hypertension, there was a clear gradient between the number of BRFs and actual blood pressure level for men and women (p < 0.05 for both genders) [56].

    In terms of the link between BRFs cluster and self-rated academic performance, belonging to cluster 2 (compared to cluster 1) was associated with lower odds of being in a higher self-rated academic performance category even when adjusted for sex (OR: 0.63, p < 0.001). Such findings suggest that the BRFs' clustering effects reach far beyond self-rated health and actual disease processes, to influence individuals' academic achievement, a great concern for university populations. Whilst we employed self-reported academic performance, future research could examine this relationship using objective measure/s e.g. module grades achieved by students.

    Some limitations need to be considered when interpreting our findings. The cross-sectional study design is not conclusive on causal relationships. As general health surveys need to observe certain limits of respondent burden, some variables were measured by single items. Self-reported data were used and we did not have access to more objective measures of academic achievement, such as the actual grades attained by students. In addition, recall bias, social desirability and sociability may have affected the responses. Our sampling method during lessons/lectures resulted in a high response rate and possibly low self-selection bias, but those not present in class at the time of data collection (potentially due to clustering of BRFs), did not have an opportunity to participate in the survey, and while we tried that the sample is as representative as possible, it remains a convenience sample. The data were collected 9 years ago and the prevalence of BRFs might have undergone changes during this period, which could have resulted in changes in the composition and size of clusters. Although we cannot rule out that changes in student behaviours could have taken place, we do not assume such changes, should they exist, to be of large magnitude and impact regards the resulting two clusters and the associations found with self-rated health and academic achievement. Data from Libya is very scarce, and there does not exist anymore recent comparative data on BRFs among young people from Libya, except for a study published in 2015 on smoking in 25 Eastern Mediterranean and Eastern European countries, but this study also reports Libyan data from 2010 [57].

    Despite these limitations, the current study collected data from a large number of universities and colleges in Libya resulting in a high representability. The study provides new insights on a wider range of key BRFs across a large sample of undergraduates across Libya, an under-researched and difficult-to-reach group.


    5. Conclusion

    Our findings suggest the potential for interventions targeting BRFs, either sequentially or concurrently, particularly where there is clustering. A practical implication of this research is the possibility to tailor prevention programs more specifically towards the risk factor profiles of individuals, which could be easily obtained prior to counseling or other educational activities. Any material produced could take into consideration that, among this student population, two quite different groups of students exist, a point that needs to be addressed with respect to tailored preventive strategies, language and programs. In addition, a broader approach to risk behavior prevention is warranted. Behavioral interventions focused on modifying BRFs, that simultaneously address multiple domains of risk and protective factors of risk behavior need to be tested. Such strategies, tailored to students' age and gender, could potentially have larger effects on prevention than those targeting any single behavior in isolation. Likewsie, as behavior does not appear in vacuum, attention to the wider influences on risk behavior at the level of the university environment, as well as at the broader societal level is necessary i.e. culture, media and social climate should as well be considered through broader social policy strategies.


    Acknowledgements

    The authors thank the staff and students of the participating institutions. This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.


    Conflict of interest

    The authors declare no conflict of interest.

    Ethical approval

    Approved by the participating institutions.



    Acknowledgments



    The authors would like to thank Dr. Chivukula for advice during model implementation. This publication was made possible with support from the Oregon Clinical and Translational Research Institute (OCTRI), grant number UL1TR000128 from the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (NCATS), a component of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), and NIH Roadmap for Medical Research; and grant NIH R01 HL094570. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of grant giving bodies.

    Conflict of interest



    The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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