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Research article

Finite difference method for transmission dynamics of Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia

  • Received: 30 December 2021 Revised: 28 February 2022 Accepted: 10 March 2022 Published: 24 March 2022
  • MSC : 34A08; 65N06

  • In this study, the transmission dynamics of Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia (CBPP) by finite difference method are presented. This model is made up of sensitive, exposed, vaccinated, infectious, constantly infected, and treated compartments. The model is studied by the finite difference method. Firstly, the finite difference scheme is constructed. Then the stability estimates are proved for this model. As a result, several simulations are given for this model on the verge of antibiotic therapy. From these figures, the supposition that 50% of infectious cattle take antibiotic therapy or the date of infection decrease to 28 days, 50% of susceptible obtain vaccination within 73 days.

    Citation: Sait Kıkpınar, Mahmut Modanli, Ali Akgül, Fahd Jarad. Finite difference method for transmission dynamics of Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2022, 7(6): 10303-10314. doi: 10.3934/math.2022574

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  • In this study, the transmission dynamics of Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia (CBPP) by finite difference method are presented. This model is made up of sensitive, exposed, vaccinated, infectious, constantly infected, and treated compartments. The model is studied by the finite difference method. Firstly, the finite difference scheme is constructed. Then the stability estimates are proved for this model. As a result, several simulations are given for this model on the verge of antibiotic therapy. From these figures, the supposition that 50% of infectious cattle take antibiotic therapy or the date of infection decrease to 28 days, 50% of susceptible obtain vaccination within 73 days.



    CBPP is a great deal of restriction to cattle augmentation in the vital arcadian territory of Africa (see [1,2,3]). In [3], mathematical modeling of the transmission dynamics of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia was uncovered aim profiles at a small extent for upgraded vaccines and diagnostic tests. Development of real-time diagnostic analysis specific for Mycoplasma mycoides subspecies mycoides small colony were worked in [4]. It brings about high morbidity and fatality rate damages to cattle which causes economic decline (see [5,6,7,8] for more information). They worked Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia: Challenges and Prospects Regarding Diagnosis and Control Strategies in Africa [9]. Charge of restrain of CBPP is a big issue in African regions as well [10]. In [11], the model was given with no interference, having the purpose of revealing data that have a crucial part in altering the dynamics of the illness.

    In the study [12], the researchers have examined antibiotic treatment and vaccination as a controlling medium of CBPP and given a segmented model with six parts for the transmission dynamics of the CBPP: sensitive, exposed, vaccinated, infectious, often infected, and treated compartments. Antibiotic therapy was taken into consideration in the model by adding the recovery rate of treated cattle to ensure that the treated moved at a rate from the infectious compartment to cured compartment.

    The goal of this study [12] was to set up a more efficient handling program out of vaccination, antibiotic care, or both of them. We consider [12]:

    dS(t)dt=μN+ωVβSINρSμS (2.1)
    dV(t)dt=ρSωVμV, (2.2)
    dE(t)dt=βSINγEμE, (2.3)
    dI(t)dt=γE+kQ(αt+αr)IαqIμI, (2.4)
    dQ(t)dt=αqIkQψQμQ, (2.5)
    dR(t)dt=(αt+αr)I+ψQμQ. (2.6)

    This system has known well-posedness from [12]. The contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) was a respiratory disease of cattle; CBPP was lead to by Mycoplasma mycoides subsp, mycoides small colony [17]. They gave and analyzed a mathematical model of the transmission dynamics of Contagious Bovine Pleuropneumonia (CBPP) in the presence of antibiotic treatment with limited medical supply [18]. The equilibrium solutions were studied in detail [2]. Using the symbols in this paper are given as:

    N: total number
    t: time
    S: susceptible class
    V: vaccinal immune class
    E: exposed compartment
    I: infectious compartment
    R: recovered compartment persistently infected

    Local stability analysis and global durability analysis for illness free equipoise the (İFE) were studied in [13]. Examining this model, which is defined by the Caputo derivative, with the finite difference method and obtaining simulations for an approximate solution makes this study different from previous studies.

    This paper is constructed as follows. In Section 2, the dynamics of CBPP for a mathematical model with antibiotic interventions and vaccination are demonstrated with Caputo derivative. In Section 3, finite difference method is constructed and the stability estimates of this model is presented. Numerical simulations have been demonstrated in Section 4. In Section 5, conclusion is proposed.

    Definition 2.1: The definition of the Caputo derivative of α order is given as [6]:

    Dαtf(t)=αf(t)tα=1Γ(nα)ta1(tp)αn+1αf(p)pαdp,

    where n1<α<n and n=[α]+1. The Caputo derivative has some advantages over the Riemann-Liouville derivative. First, the Caputo derivative is frequently used in the solution of fractional differential equations in the Laplace transform method. The Laplace transform of the Riemann-Liouville derivative requires boundary conditions involving the boundary values of the Riemann-Liouville fractional derivatives at the lower bound at t=a. Although mathematically such problems are solvable, there is no physical interpretation of such conditions. On the other hand the Laplace transform of the Caputo derivative imposes boundary conditions involving integer-order derivatives at the lower point t=a which usually are acceptable physical conditions. The second advantage is that the Caputo derivative of a constant is zero while the Riemann Liouville derivative is nonzero [14]. The fractional order partial differential equations were studied by many researchers [15,16].

    In this part, we construct finite difference method for the model of the antibiotic treatment and vaccination as a controlling tool of CBPP and the transmission dynamics of CBPP. The fractional order differential equation model defined by Caputo derivative is given by the following system:

    C0DαtS(t)=μN+ωVβSINρSμS (2.7)
    C0DαtV(t)=ρSωVμV, (2.8)
    C0DαtE(t)=βSINγEμE, (2.9)
    C0DαtI(t)=γE+kQ(αt+αr)IαqIμI, (2.10)
    C0DαtQ(t)=αqIkQψQμQ, (2.11)
    C0DαtR(t)=(αt+αr)I+ψQμQ, (2.12)

    with initial conditions

    S(0)=S0,V(0)=V0,E(0)=E0,I(0)=I0,Q(0)=Q0,R(0)=R0.

    We present grids with uniform steps in the domain [0,T]

    Wτ={tn:tn=nτ,n=0,1,,M},τ=TM.

    We use the notation un=u(tn) for functions defined on the grid (or parts of this grid) Wτ.

    For the fractional Caputo derivative operator, difference scheme is known as [13]:

    C0DS(tn)=αs(tn)tαταΓ(2α)nj=0w(α)j(unj+1unj)=ταΓ(2α)[Sn+1Sn+nj=1w(α)j(Snj+1Snj), (2.13)

    here w(α)j=(j+1)1α(j)1α, S(tn)=Sn,tn=nτ.

    Using the formula (2.13), we can obtain the finite difference method for the formulas (2.7)–(2.12)

    ταΓ(2α)[Sn+1Sn+nj=1w(α)j(Snj+1Snj)]=μN+ωVnβSnInNρSnμSn, (2.14)
    ταΓ(2α)[Vn+1Vn+kj=1w(α)j(Vnj+1Vnj)]=ρSnωVnμVn, (2.15)
    ταΓ(2α)[En+1En+nj=1w(α)j(Enj+1Enj)]=βSnInNγEnμEn, (2.16)
    ταΓ(2α)[In+1In+nj=1w(α)j(Inj+1Inj)]=γEn+kQn(αt+αr)InαqInμIn, (2.17)
    ταΓ(2α)[Qn+1Qn+nj=1w(α)j(Qnj+1Qnj)]=αqInkQnψQnμQn, (2.18)
    ταΓ(2α)[Rn+1Rn+nj=1w(α)j(Rnj+1Rnj)]=(αt+αr)In+ψQnμQn. (2.19)

    Now, we shall prove that these systems are satisfied the stability estimates. For this, the Von-Neuman analysis method will be used as follow:

    Sn=Vn=En=In=Qn=Rn=rn. (2.20)

    Taking α1,n=1, the formulas (2.14)–(2.19) can be written as:

    (1τ+βN)r2+(ρ+μ1τω)rμN=0, (2.21)
    1τr2+(ω+μ1τρ)r=0, (2.22)
    (1τβN)r2+(γ+μ1τ)r=0, (2.23)
    (1τ)r2+(αt+αr+αq+μkγ1τ)r=0, (2.24)
    (1τ)r2+(μ+ψ+kαq1τ)r=0, (2.25)
    (1τ)r2+(μψ(αt+αr)1τ)r=0. (2.26)

    These formulas are quadratic equations. For the stability estimates the following conditions have to be satisfied:

    ⅰ) a)ω<γ+μ+βN,b)1τ+βN>μN,

    ⅱ) ρ<ω+μ,

    ⅲ) β<N(γ+μ),

    ⅳ) k+γ<αt+αr+αq+μ,

    ⅴ) αq<μ+ψ+k,

    ⅵ) ψ+αt+αr<μ.

    From the Von-Neumann analysis method, it can be seen that the (2.14)–(2.19) system is stable if the conditions (ⅰ)–(ⅵ) are satisfied. Because the roots of the quadratic equation satisfying the system are 0 or less than 1.

    Table 1.  Explanations of the data.
    Variables Definitions Baseline references
    ω vaccinal immunity loss rate 13×365 0.00078–0.0011 [11]
    Pe Vaccination success rate 0.65 0.5–0.8 [11]
    Pv Vaccination rate 0.5 [11]
    Vaccination efficacy 0.8 [11]
    p Ratio of immunization Pe×Pv× [11]
    β Rate of contact efficiency 0.126 0.07–0.13 [10]
    ρ Ratio of vaccination p73 assumed
    γ Transition rate from exposed to contagious compartment 0.0238 0.0179–0.0357 [11]
    ar Natural recuperation rate of contagious cattle 0.0045 0.0060–0.0036 [11]
    aq Rate of sequestrum formation of contagious cattle 3ar [11]
    at Rate of recovery of treated cattle 0.0179 0.0119–0.0214 assumed
    k Rate of sequestrum re-initiate 0.00009 0.00007–0.00011 [11]
    ψ Rate of sequestrum resolution 0.0075 0.0068 to 0.0079 [11]
    μ death rate 15×365 16×365 to 120×365 [11]
    B Birth rate 15×365 16×365 to 120×365 [11] and estimated

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Firstly, we investigated 500 bovine populations consisting of an infectious cattle and 499 susceptible cattle with individual animals as epidemiological units. Consistent with the conclusion of [7], we suggested that the best way to control the disease is vaccination with antibiotic therapy. Because the proportion to be vaccinated pv and t are not dependent variables of ρ, a given value of ρ can have many practical interpretation. Therefore, practical application of the value of ρ can be adjusted based on cost of control, availability, and time value.

    Numerical simulations are obtained using MATLAB in Figures 17.

    Figure 1.  Using the supposition that 50% of infectious cattle take antibiotic therapy or the interval of infection is decreased to 28 days (at = 1/28−1/56), 50% of credulous obtain vaccination within 73 days (𝜌 = (0.5×0.8×0.65)/73), I0=1, S0=499 and V0=E0=Q0=R0=0.
    Figure 2.  Using the supposition that 80% of sensitive cattle are vaccinated within 49 days (𝜌 = (0.65 ∗ 0.8 ∗ 0.8)/49) with no treating infectious cattle (at=0), I0=1, S0=499 and V0=E0=Q0=R0=0.
    Figure 3.  Using the Table 1 with the supposition that 85.7% of infectious cattle give antibiotic treatment within 8 days (at=1/8−1/56) with no vaccinating healthy cattle (ρ=0), I0=1, S0=499 and V0=E0=Q0=R0=0.
    Figure 4.  Using the Table 1 with ρ=at=0, I0=1, S0=499 and V0=E0=Q0=R0=0.
    Figure 5.  Using the Table 1 with ar = 1/56 (as in [14]) and I0=1, S0=499 and V0=E0=Q0=R0=0.
    Figure 6.  Using the Table 1 with α=0.01 ar = 1/56, at=0.1049 and S0=499 and V0=E0=0.
    Figure 7.  Using the Table 1 with α=0.50 ar = 1/56, at=0.1049 and S0=499 and V0=E0=0.

    We did not treat any of the infected cattle in the 49-day period. We can control by vaccinating 80% of susceptible cattle in see Figure 2.

    On the condition that the other values in Figure 6 and Figure 7 are the same, the values of α=0.01 and α=0.50 are compared.

    Finally, for the parametric values in Table 1, assuming 50% of susceptible people are vaccinated a period of 73 days and 50% of infected cattle appear to be cured.

    The simulations obtained using the Matlab program and the results obtained from these simulations were given in the main text. In this paper, we presented differential equations defined by Caputo derivative for the transmission aspects of CBPP with intercession. We constructed finite difference scheme for this equation. The stability estimates are proved for this difference method. Consequently, the verge of the antibiotic therapy is at=0.1049. The values of α=0.01 and α=0.50 are compared and showed by Figures 6 and 7. This fractional order model defined by the Atangana-Baleanu derivative can be compared with the Caputo derivative by applying the finite difference method.

    There is no conflict of interest declared by the authors.



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