Research article Special Issues

Possible effects of mixed prevention strategy for COVID-19 epidemic: massive testing, quarantine and social distancing

  • Received: 25 May 2020 Accepted: 29 June 2020 Published: 06 July 2020
  • Citation: Toshikazu Kuniya, Hisashi Inaba. Possible effects of mixed prevention strategy for COVID-19 epidemic: massive testing, quarantine and social distancing[J]. AIMS Public Health, 2020, 7(3): 490-503. doi: 10.3934/publichealth.2020040

    Related Papers:



  • 加载中

    Acknowledgments



    The authors would like to thank the editor and the anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments on the previous version of our manuscript. TK was supported by the Japan Society for the Promortion of Science (JSPS), Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists (No.19K14594). HI was supported by JSPS, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) (No.19K03614).

    Conflict of interest



    The authors declare no conflict of interest.

    [1] WHOCoronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports.Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports.
    [2] Kuniya T (2020) Prediction of the epidemic peak of coronavirus disease in Japan, 2020. J Clin Med 9: 789. doi: 10.3390/jcm9030789
    [3] Inaba H (2017)  Age-Structured Population Dynamics in Demography and Epidemiology Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer. doi: 10.1007/978-981-10-0188-8
    [4] Day M (2020) Covid-19: identifying and isolating asymptomatic people helped eliminate virus in Italian village. BMJ 368: m1165. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m1165
    [5] Mizumoto K, Kagaya K, Zarebski A, et al. (2020) Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020. Euro Surveill 25: 2000180. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180
    [6] Nishiura H, Kobayashi T, Suzuki A, et al. (2020) Estimation of the asymptomatic ratio of novel coronavirus infections (COVID-19). Int J Infect Dis 94: 154. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.020
    [7] Tian S, Hu N, Lou J, et al. (2020) Characteristics of COVID-19 infection in Beijing. J Infect 80: 401-406. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2020.02.018
    [8] WHOQ&A: Similarities and differences - COVID-19 and influenza.Available from: https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/q-a-similarities-and-differences-covid-19-and-influenza.
    [9] Our World in DataCoronavirus disease (COVID-19) - statistics and research.Available from: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus.
    [10] He X, Lau EHY, Wu P, et al. (2020) Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19. Nat Med 26: 672-675. doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0869-5
    [11] De la Sen M, Agarwal RP, Ibeas A, et al. (2010) On a generalized time-varying SEIR epidemic model with mixed point and distributed time-varying delays and combined regular and impulsive vaccination controls. Adv Diff Equat 2010: 281612. doi: 10.1186/1687-1847-2010-281612
    [12] De la Sen M, Ibeas A, Alonso-Quesada S (2012) On vaccination controls for the SEIR epidemic model. Commun Nonlinear Sci Numer Sim 17: 2637-2658. doi: 10.1016/j.cnsns.2011.10.012
    [13] Inaba H, Nishiura H (2008) The state-reproduction number for a multistate class age structured epidemic system and its application to the asymptomatic transmission model. Math Biosci 216: 77. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2008.08.005
    [14] Anderson RM, Heesterbeek H, Kilnkenberg D, et al. (2020) How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic? Lancet 395: 931-934. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30567-5
    [15] Li Q, Guan X, Wu P, et al. (2020) Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus - infected pneumonia. New Engl J Med 382: 1199-1207. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316
    [16] Linton NM, Kobayashi T, Yang Y, et al. (2020) Incubation period and other epidemiological characteristics of 2019 novel coronavirus infections with right truncation: a statistical analysis of publicly available case data. J Clin Med 9: 538. doi: 10.3390/jcm9020538
    [17] Sun H, Qiu Y, Yan H, et al. (2020) Tracking and predicting COVID-19 epidemic in China mainland. medRxiv .
    [18] CDCSocial distancing, quarantine, and isolation.Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-sick/social-distancing.html.
    [19] Fang Y, Zhang H, Xie J, et al. (2020) Sensitivity of chest CT for COVID-19: comparison to RT-PCR. Radiology 200432.
    [20] Kamae IA coronavirus pandemic alert: massive testing for COVID-19 in a large population entails extensive errors.Available from: https://www.canon-igs.org/en/column/macroeconomics/20200402_6324.html.
    [21] Statistics Bureau of JapanPopulation Estimates Monthly Report.Available from: https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/jinsui/tsuki/index.html.
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2020 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(5032) PDF downloads(318) Cited by(26)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Figures(11)  /  Tables(1)

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog