Epidemic models with differential susceptibility and staged progression and their dynamics

  • Received: 01 December 2007 Accepted: 29 June 2018 Published: 01 March 2009
  • MSC : 34D20, 34D23, 92D30.

  • We formulate and study epidemic models with differential susceptibilities and staged-progressions, based on systems of ordinary differential equations, for disease transmission where the susceptibility of susceptible individuals vary and the infective individuals progress the disease gradually through stages with different infectiousness in each stage. We consider the contact rates to be proportional to the total population or constant such that the infection rates have a bilinear or standard form, respectively. We derive explicit formulas for the reproductive number $R_0$, and show that the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0<1$ when the infection rate has a bilinear form. We investigate existence of the endemic equilibrium for the two cases and show that there exists a unique endemic equilibrium for the bilinear incidence, and at least one endemic equilibrium for the standard incidence when $R_0>1$.

    Citation: James M. Hyman, Jia Li. Epidemic models with differential susceptibility and stagedprogression and their dynamics[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2009, 6(2): 321-332. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2009.6.321

    Related Papers:

  • We formulate and study epidemic models with differential susceptibilities and staged-progressions, based on systems of ordinary differential equations, for disease transmission where the susceptibility of susceptible individuals vary and the infective individuals progress the disease gradually through stages with different infectiousness in each stage. We consider the contact rates to be proportional to the total population or constant such that the infection rates have a bilinear or standard form, respectively. We derive explicit formulas for the reproductive number $R_0$, and show that the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0<1$ when the infection rate has a bilinear form. We investigate existence of the endemic equilibrium for the two cases and show that there exists a unique endemic equilibrium for the bilinear incidence, and at least one endemic equilibrium for the standard incidence when $R_0>1$.


    加载中
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2009 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(1786) PDF downloads(534) Cited by(6)

Article outline

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog